Winner winner chicken dinner: NFL parlay for Week 4

Analyzing NFL Week 4 betting odds and lines, with predictions and picks for the best parlay bet to make.

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The 2024 NFL season heads into Week 4, and we’re looking to finally try and figure things out. Last week, 5 favorites of 6 or more points not only failed to cover, but they each lost outright. It’s been a topsy-turvy few weeks to bet, and we have a handful of injuries which will make things a little more difficult.

The Las Vegas Raiders were listed as 1-point favorites to open the week, but when it was learned WR Davante Adams (hamstring) and DE Maxx Crosby (ankle) would be sidelined Sunday, the Raiders are the underdogs and the Cleveland Browns are 2-point favorites. It’s amazing how 2 players, albeit a star, can change the complexion of an entire game by sitting out.

We picked the Raiders last week as part of a 3-team parlay, but they were a huge disappointment. The Carolina Panthers came into Allegiant Stadium and upset the Silver and Black, finally looking like an NFL caliber offense with QB Andy Dalton.

After looking at BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL Week 4 odds, here is our “Winner winner chicken dinner” NFL parlay bet to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

For this week’s parlay, we’ll again go with a total in the early window on Sunday, a play in the 4 p.m. ET slate and a total from Monday Night Football’s doubleheader.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Winner winner chicken dinner NFL parlay

WEEK 4

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:02 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

Leg 1: Jaguars at Texans — OVER 44.5 (-110) – 1 p.m. (CBS)

The Jacksonville Jaguars went on the road Monday night and they got waffled by the Buffalo Bill, 47-10.

After opening with 17 points in a near-miss in Miami, the Jags offense has gotten worse. It managed 13 points in a Week 2 loss to the Browns at home, and then the terrible effort against the Bills. Now, it faces a short week and another trip, the 3rd road game in 4 to start the season.

The Jacksonville offense has been rather moribund, going for 276.3 total yards per game, and just 160.7 passing yards per contest. Both marks are 27th in the league, and it is 30th in the NFL with just 13.3 points per game (PPG) allowed.

The Houston Texans offered little resistance in a 34-7 loss at the Minnesota Vikings last weekend. The team was without RB Joe Mixon, but he wouldn’t have been on coverage, and trying to make tackles.

Mixon is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game, and RB Dameon Pierce is out. If Mixon can’t go, that could be mean journeyman RB Cam Akers sees another big role.

That could mean more of an aerial attack for Houston. While WR Tank Dell (chest) is already ruled out, the Texans still have WRs Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs as big downfield threats against a Jacksonville defense which allowed 266 through the air in Buffalo.

On the Jaguars side, tackle machine LB Foyesade Oluokun (foot) is out, and TE Evan Engram (foot) will miss another game. With S Jimmie Ward (groin) sidelined for the Texans, the Jags could also look to go downfield more.

BET OVER 44.5 (-110) to kick off this 3-leg parlay in Week 5.

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Leg 2: BROWNS -2 (-110) at Raiders – 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

The Raiders were picked apart by the lowly Panthers last week, falling 36-22. Dalton turned back the clock and looked like a Pro Bowler as he was the 1st QB to throw for at least 300 yards and 3+ TD passes in a single game this season. How unlikely is that?

That gives hope to the suffering Browns fans as QB Deshaun Watson could really use a big game. Watson’s offensive line has been banged up, which is part of the reason he has struggled so much, and RBs Jerome Ford and D’Onta Foreman haven’t been terribly consistent, either, while TE David Njoku remains sidelined.

Still, Watson won’t have to contend with Crosby chasing him down in the backfield, so he could have an extra tick to get off his passes downfield to WRs Amari Cooper, Elijah Moore and Jerry Jeudy. This is the game that the Browns offense breaks out. If not, we might see heads roll, as it’s getting late early in Cleveland.

However, the best play is to BET BROWNS -2 (-110).

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Leg 3: Seahawks at Lions — UNDER 46.5 (-110) – Monday, 8:15 p.m. (ABC)

The Seattle Seahawks head east to battle the Detroit Lions in the 2nd end of a doubleheader on Monday Night Football.

The Seahawks caught a break last week, topping the Miami Dolphins 24-3 as 4-point favorites with the Under (42) cashing. Seattle didn’t have to face QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion), and it knocked backup QB Skylar Thompson from the game with a chest/ribs injury.

While the Seahawks defense was impressive, allowing just 3 points, it did face 2 backups, Thompson and QB Tim Boyle.

Detroit is a perfect 3-for-3 on Unders this season, though. The offense is averaging just 20.7 PPG through 3 outings, while allowing 17.7 PPG.

The Seahawks pass defense has allowed just 473 passing yards in 3 games, and just 1 passing score, with 0 pass plays of 40+ yards allowed. The Lions have allowed a total of 709 passing yards, but just 3 TD passes in 3 games.

This game likely won’t be confused with a defensive slog, but it won’t be a track meet, either.

Go with UNDER 46.5 (-110) for the final leg of this winning parlay!

  • Jaguars-Texans OVER 44.5 (-110)
  • BROWNS -2 (-110) at Raiders
  • Seahawks-Lions UNDER 46.5 (-110)

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $59.58 (payout = $69.58).

Try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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NFL Week 5 parlay: Let’s make some money

Analyzing NFL Week 5 betting odds and lines, with predictions and picks for the best parlay bet to make.

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Our Week 4 parlay struggled as we went 1-2, along with losing our bonus play. If you were with us, our sincerest apologies, but I will not be discouraged. Have to get right back up on the horse.

So, here we go, building another parlay looking to bounce back.

After looking at BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL Week 5 odds, here’s our “Let’s make some money” NFL parlay bet to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

Last week, we made the mistake of taking risks on 2 struggling teams — see Colts and Bengals. Cincy was a road favorite, which obviously was the wrong play.

This week, we’re going to look at good teams and good situations to get us back on track.

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NFL Week 5: Let’s make some money parlay

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12:04 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

Leg 1:BILLS -5.5 (-110) vs. Jaguars at London – 9:30 a.m. (NFL Network)

Both teams are coming off dominant victories as 3-point favorites.

Buffalo (3-1) destroyed visiting Miami 48-20, while Jacksonville (2-2) handled Atlanta 23-7 in London — yes, the Jaguars are playing back-to-back games across the pond. But this is where the similarities end.

After a season-opening 22-16 loss at the New York Jets, the Bills have railed off 3 straight wins — doing so in dominating fashion. They’ve averaged 41.0 points per game with an average winning margin of 30.0 PPG, winning by at least 28 points in the streak.

The Jaguars have been inconsistent so far. They beat Atlanta and Indianapolis — in the opener — but lost to Houston and Kansas City. In the win vs. the Falcons, QB Trevor Lawrence threw for 207 yards and 1 TD, but he didn’t need to air it out with the Jaguars taking control early in the first half. If Jacksonville is going to beat Buffalo, Lawrence will have to put up bigger numbers.

Bills CB Tre’Davious White is out for the season after suffering a torn Achilles in the win vs. the rival Dolphins. This should benefit Lawrence in finding receivers down field, but if the Jaguars offensive line can’t protect him against the Bills pass rush, White’s absence will be nullified.

The Bills are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), covering in all 3 of their victories — by a minimum of 20 points. While a blowout may not be in order against the Jaguars, whose familiarity with playing in London should help them, 5.5 points does not deter me from TAKING THE BILLS to start our parlay.

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Leg 2: RAVENS -4 (-110) at Steelers – 1 p.m. (CBS)

If the Ravens (3-1) win, they’ll have swept their road games against the entire AFC North through the first 5 weeks — they already won at Cincinnati and Cleveland. A win Sunday would go a long way in the Ravens’ goals of returning to the playoffs and winning the division.

The Steelers (2-2) come into this game hobbled. QB Kenny Pickett injured his knee in Week 4 and is questionable for Sunday — he says he plans to play. WR Diontae Johnson has an injured hamstring and is on IR (the injured reserve list). Unable to return until late October at the earliest, this will be a major detriment for Pittsburgh as RB Najee Harris hasn’t shown the ability he has since his rookie season.

Harris has just 210 rushing yards on 49 carries through the first 4 games. After allowing his lead back to have almost 100% of the snap count for much of his tenure, coach Mike Tomlin has been slowly decreasing the usage of Harris — to a career-low 52% in 2023.

The Baltimore offense looked impressive last week against a particularly good Cleveland defense. QB Lamar Jackson found TE Mark Andrews for 2 TD passes as the Ravens will look to continue their strong play this week.

These division games are usually low scoring. This one is likely to be the same, but with Jackson leading the Ravens, and no matter if Pickett or QB Mitch Trubisky starts for Pittsburgh, I like BALTIMORE TO COVER THE 4-POINT SPREAD on the road.

Leg 3: Cowboys at 49ERS -3.5 (-110) – 8:20 p.m. (NBC)

The Cowboys (3-1) have been blowing teams out who try to throw on them. The 49ers (4-0) would rather run the ball down your throat, which will make things difficult for the Cowboys defense in stopping RB Christian McCaffrey and QB Brock Purdy … especially on the road in San Francisco.

Unless Dallas moves LB Micah Parsons from the right side, he’ll try to get to Purdy around OL Trent Williams, considered the top left tackle in the NFL. Parsons is good. Williams is better. This will give Purdy time to find McCaffrey and WRs Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk.

It also benefits the 49ers that Cowboys CB Trevon Diggs (torn ACL) is out for the season. Plus, with the pressure DE Nick Bosa and Co. will get on Cowboys QB Dak Prescott, Dallas is headed to its 2nd road loss of the season — it lost at Arizona 28-16 in Week 3.

This line should be closer to -6 in favor of San Francisco. Being that it is only -3.5, I love the value offered.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $59.58 (payout = $69.58).

Try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator.

Leg 4-*: Bengals at Cardinals OVER 44.5 (-110) – 4:05 p.m. (FOX)

*-If you want to add a 4th play to this parlay:

This one is tough. The Bengals (1-3) are the better team, but it’s hard to be sure.

QB Joe Burrow has been hobbled by a bad leg, affecting everything in the Cincinnati offense. WR Ja’Marr Chase was frustrated last week and expressed it with his comments in the locker room after the Bengals lost as 2.5-point favorites at the Tennessee Titans 27-3.

Things don’t look right for Cincy, but a visit to Arizona could be just the cure.

Even so, the Over is a safer wager than the spread here — Cincinnati is a 3-point favorite.

Arizona has been playing tough — the Cardinals covered their first 3 games but finally came up short in last week’s 35-16 loss as 14-point underdogs at the 49ers.

Against a good 49ers defense, the Cardinals still were able to score 16 points. The previous week, the Cards put up 28 in its lone victory when they beat the Cowboys.

With the Bengals secondary losing both starting safeties to free agency in the offseason — Jessie Bates to Atlanta and Vonn Bell to Carolina — it has not been the same. Arizona QB Joshua Dobbs should be able to find room to operate Sunday.

The Cardinals defense has not been great this season either, which might help the Bengals’ last-ranked offense (236.0 yards per game) find itself. The Cardinals defense has allowed 374.5 YPG to rank 26th in the league with 242.5 of them coming through the air, ranking 24th..

The Bengals and Burrow need to find something quick if they want to remain anywhere close to a playoff berth. Against the Cardinals, they should be able to put up points. But Arizona will score, too.

OVER 44.5 is a good leg to add to a parlay.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $122.83 (payout = $132.93).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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NFL Week 4 parlay: Let’s make some money

Analyzing NFL Week 4 betting odds and lines, with predictions and picks for the best parlay bet to make.

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While Week 3 featured some blowouts, Week 4 should offer up some closer games.

There are not as many big favorites and the 1st London game takes place when the Atlanta Falcons (2-1) face the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2).

After looking at FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL Week 4 odds, here’s our “Let’s make some money” NFL parlay bet to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL Week 4: Let’s make some money parlay

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:13 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

Leg 1: Steelers at Texans UNDER 41.5 (-105) – 1 p.m. (CBS)

There is certainly a risk taking an Under on a total as low as 41.5.

The Steelers though, are the better team and will attempt to dictate the pace. The Under is 2-1 in Pittsburgh’s 3 games, and 6-4 in its last 10 games dating back to last season.

Houston QB C.J. Stroud and Pittsburgh QB Kenny Pickett will have problems against the opposing defenses, led by Steelers LB T.J. Watt and Texans DE Will Anderson Jr.

Expect a low-scoring game. Neither team is likely to score 20 points, leading to an easy Under in the 1st leg of our parlay.

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Leg 2: COLTS -1.5 (-102) vs. Rams – 1 p.m. (FOX)

After escaping Baltimore with an overtime 22-19 win last week as 7.5-point underdogs, the Colts return home to face the Rams.

Los Angeles, which lost 19-16 at Cincinnati Monday night and pushed as a 3-point dog, will play a 2nd consecutive road game. Doing so on a short week will hamper the Rams. Plus, star WR Cooper Kupp (hamstring) remains on the Injured Reserve (IR) list — they hope he’ll be available in Week 5.

The Colts will likely have rookie QB Anthony Richardson back after he missed last week’s victory with a concussion. He practiced Wednesday but still hasn’t cleared concussion protocol.

If Richardson plays Sunday as expected, he’ll be a challenge for the L.A. defense. He has 3 rushing TDs in his first 2 games and should be a problem for the Rams defense, which — other than DE Aaron Donald — is suspect at best.

Even without disgruntled RB Jonathan Taylor — on the Physically Unable to Perform (PUP) list — the Colts have been able to run the ball. RB Zack Moss, who finished with 122 rushing yards on 30 carries vs. the Ravens, will be counted on to lead the ground attack against the Rams.

With Richardson’s return, Moss’ workload shouldn’t be as heavy and he’ll have fresher legs for the end of the game, allowing the Colts to salt away a victory.

With the line only COLTS -1.5 (-102), the home team is the side to back and add to our parlay.

Leg 3: BENGALS -2.5 (-106) at Titans – 1 p.m. (FOX)

After starting the season 0-2, the Bengals got off the mat and, as mentioned above, defeated the Rams 19-16 on Monday Night Football. The Titans, who are coming off a 27-3 loss as 3.5-point road underdogs at the Cleveland Browns, will need to contain Cincy QB Joe Burrow — something opposing defenses have been able to do so far this season.

After throwing for just 82 yards in a Week 1 loss at Cleveland, Burrow has thrown for 481 yards the past 2 weeks, including 259 Monday night as he completed 26 of 49 passes.

Tennessee ranks 28th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (275.3), so look for Cincinnati WRs Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd to flourish.

On the other side of the ball, the Titans offense has been dreadful. QB Ryan Tannehill only has 2 TDs — 1 passing, 1 rushing — and is 28th in the league with 182.7 passing yards per game. So, it’s no surprise, WRs DeAndre Hopkins (14 catches, 153 yards, 0 TD) and Treylon Burks (6, 99, 0) have been disappointing, too.

If the Bengals defense plays like it did against the Rams — 6 sacks, 2 interceptions and holding L.A. to 1-for-11 on 3rd downs — it should be able to shut down the Titans.

The number isn’t big enough here. CINCINNATI -2.5 (-106) is the way to go.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $55.14 (payout = $65.14).

Try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator.

Leg 4-*: Vikings at Panthers OVER 45.5 (-110) – 1 p.m. (FOX)

*-If you want to add a 4th play to this parlay:

Despite being 0-3, Minnesota has averaged 406.0 yards per game this season, ranking 3rd in the NFL, and 6.2 yards per play, ranking 2nd.

Vikings QB Kirk Cousins leads the league with 1,075 passing yards — and 358.3 passing yards per game. The Panthers, also 0-3, have allowed 192.3 passing yards per game, ranking 9th, but they haven’t faced anyone like Vikings WR Justin Jefferson yet.

Although he only has 1 touchdown, Jefferson has 27 receptions for a league-leading 458 receiving yards. Minnesota doesn’t have a problem scoring, but unfortunately, it hasn’t been able to stop anyone on defense.

The Vikes have allowed at least 20 points in each game. They allowed 28 in a 4-point home loss as 1-point favorites last week to the Los Angeles Chargers, and gave up 34 in a 6-point loss as 6-point underdogs at the Philadelphia Eagles in the Week 2 Thursday game.

Whether it be QB Bryce Young coming back — he sat out last week with an ankle injury — or backup QB Andy Dalton, the Panthers will be able to score. After putting up 27 in a 10-pont loss as 4.5-point underdogs at Seattle in Week 2, look for the Panthers to continue to score points in their return to Charlotte against the Vikings.

The O/U line of 45.5 is a bit low. I’ll take the value and OVER 45.5 here.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $123.45 (payout = $133.45).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Dominick Petrillo on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:

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