The Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) visit Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) Sunday at Raymond James Stadium for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Chargers-Buccaneers Week 4 betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and best bets.
Chargers at Buccaneers betting odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Chargers +270 (bet $100, win $270) | Buccaneers -334 (Bet $334, win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Chargers +7 (-110) | Buccaneers -7 (-110)
- Over/Under: 43.5 (O: -110, U: -110)
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Chargers at Buccaneers game notes
- The Chargers suffered a surprising 21-16 home loss last week against the Carolina Panthers, who were without star RB Christian McCaffrey. LA, which turned the ball over four times, was a 6-point favorite. It was the Chargers’ second loss in a row after winning their season opener at the Cincinnati Bengals.
- The Buccaneers enter on a two-game win streak after cruising to a 28-10 victory at the Denver Broncos in Week 3. Brady threw 3 first-half touchdowns as the Bucs built a 23-3 lead. Tampa Bay, which finished with 6 sacks, covered as a 6-point favorite.
- Chargers rookie QB Justin Herbert started the last two games after starter Tyrod Taylor suffered a punctured lung when a team doctor tried administrating a pain-killing injection for cracked ribs right before Week 2’s game. Herbert showed poise, throwing for 300-plus yards and a touchdown – along with a pick – in each start, but the team went 0-2. As of Friday afternoon, Herbert’s expected to start once again.
- The Chargers and Buccaneers are both 2-1 against the spread. Los Angeles is 1-0 ATS on the road, while Tampa Bay is 1-0 ATS at home.
Chargers at Buccaneers key injuries
Chargers
- DE Joey Bosa (triceps/ankle) questionable
- T Bryan Bulaga (back) questionable
- CB Chris Harris Jr. (foot) IR
- S Rayshawn Jenkins (groin) questionable
- QB Tyrod Taylor (ribs/chest) doubtful
- G Trai Turner (groin) questionable
- WR Mike Williams (hamstring) doubtful
- T Storm Norton (knee) questionable
Buccaneers
- RB Leonard Fournette (ankle) questionable
- WR Chris Goodwin (hamstring) out
- WR Scott Miller (hip/groin) doubtful
- CB Sean Murphy-Bunting (groin) questionable
- LB Jason Pierre-Paul (knee) questionable
- WR Justin Watson (shoulder) probable
Chargers at Buccaneers: Odds, betting lines, picks and prediction
Prediction
Buccaneers 28, Chargers 13
Money line (?)
While I’m predicting a Tampa Bay win, the -334 price is too expensive. Every $3.34 wagered on the Bucs’ ML profits only $1 if they win. In larger numbers, that’s $34 to win $10 or $334 to win $100, etc. …
In the overall picture, those kinds of bets are for “mopes” and not worth the risk. PASS.
Against the spread (?)
The BUCCANEERS -7 (-110) are the STRONGEST PLAY – which should be 1.5 times your usual wager.
It doesn’t matter who starts at QB for the Chargers. He will be hounded by a Bucs defense that recorded 11 sacks over the last two games.
Over/Under (?)
UNDER 43.5 (-110) is worth a small-unit play – which should be half your usual bet.
The Chargers are 0-3 O/U already this season, which isn’t a surprise. Their offense ranks 30th in scoring at 17.3 points per game, while the defense allows just 19.0 PPG to rank 4th.
Meanwhile, the Bucs are 2-1 O/U, scoring 27.3 PPG (ranking 14th) and allowing 20.3 PPG (7th).
Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| Johnny’s 2019 NFL record | 17-10-1 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) | 107-68-2 |
| Strongest plays (all sports) | 55-26 |
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Also see:
- 4 things to know about LAC vs. TB (Chargers Wire)
- Brady: No regrets picking Bucs over Chargers (Bucs Wire)
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
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