NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 14

NFL expert John Holler looks at the NFL Week 14 slate and tabs the 5 best NFL player props to cash in on.

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With a shortage of games with 6 teams on their bye week (thankfully the final bye week of 2022), we offer a variety pack of picks that touch different bases.

We have a sneaky-hot player scoring a touchdown (again), a couple of Pro Bowl tight ends hitting the Under and 2 guys in division games hitting the Over.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 14 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL Week 14 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Saturday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett SCORES A TD (+135)

Host Panthers, Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)

Lockett has scored a touchdown in 5 straight games, and while DK Metcalf is the most-targeted wide receiver in the league in the end zone, Lockett is scoring on plays outside the red zone.

His 5 TDs in the last 5 games have included scores of 21, 33, 35 and 36 yards. When Seattle gets to a certain spot on the field and Lockett is single-covered, Geno Smith throws up 50/50 balls – which are more like 80/20 balls when Lockett is involved.

Streaks always come to an end, but at home, the Panthers likely won’t be the team that shuts him down.

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Bengals QB Joe Burrow OVER 275.5 passing yards (-115)

Host Browns, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

The Browns have a solid defense, but it hasn’t translated against Joe Cool. In 4 career games, he has completed 70 percent or more of his passes. In his last 3, he has averaged 309 passing yards a game.

The Bengals know how to exploit the weaknesses of the Browns defense, and Burrow will have the opportunity to make big plays over the top.

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Chiefs TE Travis Kelce UNDER 73.5 receiving yards (-115)

At Broncos, Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)

The Broncos have made it a habit of double-teaming Kelce and severely limiting him. Not only has Kelce struggled to hit the O/U numbers he’s facing this week, he hasn’t hit half those yards.

He has had less than 35 receiving yards in his last 2 meetings with Denver and 3 of the last 4. The Broncos have made other players beat them because they routinely double Kelce and take him away off the snap.

Eagles RB Miles Sanders OVER 66.5 rushing yards (-115)

At Giants, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)

If you were to look at Sanders’ history with the Giants, he hasn’t hit this O/U number in 3 of 5 games, but it has been due to the lack of opportunities. He has averaged 5.3 yards a carry against the Giants, but just hasn’t had the opportunities to get many carries.

This season, Sanders has averaged 15 carries a game. If he gets anywhere near that number against the Giants, he will blow past it.

Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson UNDER 52.5 receiving yards (-115)

At Lions, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)

I’m a big fan of revenge plays, but in Hockenson’s 1st game against his former team, his Vikings history says this number is too high.

In 5 games as a Viking, Hockenson has caught 30 passes, but has topped this number just once – his 1st game as a Viking when he caught 9 passes.

In Minnesota, Hockenson’s role is to be an underneath guy that moves the chains, not a downfield threat. He doesn’t have a single reception of 20 yards and is averaging 7.5 yards per reception. At that rate, he will have to catch 7 passes to hit the Over, and that’s a lot to ask – even for a guy looking for revenge.

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NFL Player Prop Bets Picks: 3 best value bets of Week 14

Analyzing the Week 14 matchups and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

With several playoff-implicating matchups in Week 14, NFL fans should be glued to their seats for nine hours of football Sunday. Below, we look at the NFL Week 14 player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Fans will be treated to games like Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens along with a massive matchup as the Buffalo Bills travel to Florida to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

With 17 games in the season across 18 weeks, there will only be a month of regular-season football remaining after this week.

Let’s dive into three of the top player props for Week 14.

Week 14 prop bets picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

Saints RB Alvin Kamara OVER 33.5 receiving yards (-114)

The Saints are going to have to start producing offense. This is a must-win game for the 5-7 team if they want any chance at making the playoffs, which is technically still possible.

Kamara hasn’t been healthy for much of the season, but he’s a full go for Sunday. He’s topped 33 receiving yards three times in his last four games. Also, the Jets have one of the worst defenses in the NFL.

New York ranks 29th in both opponents receiving and rushing yards per game, so this one could get ugly. With limited weapons, it should be Kamara who sees a ton of usage.

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Buccaneers QB Tom Brady UNDER 307.5 passing yards (-114)

The Buffalo Bills are still looking like they’re a top playoff contender; however, after a loss to the New England Patriots in Week 14 this feels like a major game in which they’ll come out primed to defeat the Bucs. The Bills have the No. 1 passing defense in the NFL.

Tom Brady will be short a key weapon with Bucs WR Antonio Brown still sidelined. He’s taking on a team that’s allowing just 165 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks and almost doubling that number will not be easy.

Although fading Brady isn’t typically advised, this is a good position to do just that. Also, Brady has missed this amount in three of his last four games.

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Browns QB Baker Mayfield OVER 220.5 passing yards (-114)

The Baltimore Ravens can do a lot of things but defending the pass is not one of them — the Ravens give up the second-most yards per game to opposing quarterbacks. They allow over 270 passing yards per game, and without CB Marlon Humphrey they could be in trouble.

This is also a get-right game for Mayfield who has topped 220 passing yards six times this season. He threw for 247 yards in Week 12 against Baltimore which was the last time Cleveland took the field.

I’d bet Baker gets right here.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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