NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 12

NFL expert John Holler looks at the NFL Week 12 slate and tabs the 5 best NFL player props to cash in on.

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Fresh off overeating at Thanksgiving and searching for bargains on Black Friday, most of us are fatter and broker than we were Wednesday. It’s time to rectify that. How about we see some touchdowns Sunday?

Of all the prop bets that get made, among my blue-chip favorites are anytime touchdowns. Unlike most prop bets, you take home more than you invest if you win — unless you step up to cash in on favorites like Kanas City TE Travis Kelce or Tennessee RB Derrick Henry.

The best part about the anytime touchdown is you can get in the win column 4 minutes into a game or it can be a “garbage-time” cash-in.

Put on the sweatpants and get your turkey soup ready.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 12 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL week 12 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9 a.m. ET.

Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields SCORES A RUSHING/RECEIVING TOUCHDOWN (+210)

– At Jets, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)

For the unaware, a light came on when the Bears figured out they can’t win throwing the ball and decided to let Fields do his thing as a runner. It came after the loss to Minnesota.

Fields has scored touchdowns in each of his last 5 games, and if the Bears get close, he’ll close the deal again. There is one thing to consider, though, and that is the left shoulder injury he suffered at the end of the Week 11 game. It sounds like a pain-tolerance issue, which could adjust some things in the scheme.

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Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson SCORES A RUSHING/RECEIVING TOUCHDOWN (+160)

– At Jaguars, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Where did Fields suddenly get his “take off when you want to” approach? From Jackson. What makes Jackson the most tantalizing touchdown bet is that you always come into a game convinced he’ll run one in.

He can do it from the opponent’s 1-yard line. He can do it from his own 20. That’s why he’s overdue on getting paid big.

The Jaguars only allow 1 rushing touchdown a game. They have yet to face Lamar. The last time they did (2020), he accounted for 4 TDs – 3 passing and the 1 we need Sunday.

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Cleveland Browns RB Nick Chubb SCORES A TOUCHDOWN (-125)

– Host Buccaneers, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)

The only non-plus-money bet of the week. Chubb has scored at least 1 touchdown in 7 of 10 games. When the Browns get in close, they know their best option to seal the deal with the ball in Chubb’s hands.

At home against a Buccaneers defense that has proven incapable of forcing an opposing offense to be one-dimensional, Chubb will get 20 chances to score. Most likely, 17 of them will be from more than 5 yards out. Those other 3 are where the pay window beckons.

Seattle Seahawks WR DK Metcalf SCORES A TOUCHDOWN (+130)

– Host Raiders, Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)

I’m still not down with Geno Smith, but I am with Metcalf. As such, Metcalf has only cashed in on this 4 times in 10 games in bringing home a touchdown.

That being said, the Raiders and Davante Adams are coming to town, and there is such a thing as playcalling done to slap back. Adams is going to be targeted 10 or more times. The Seahawks will slap back. That means targeting the best mismatch Seattle has – Metcalf.

Quarterbacks playing the Raiders have a combined passer rating of 106.3 and average 2 touchdown passes a game. I’ll take my chances being a beneficiary of that.

Philadelphia Eagles WR A.J. Brown SCORES A TOUCHDOWN (+130)

– Host Packers, Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

The Packers are a boxer waiting for the towel to be thrown in from the corner. Sunday night, at home, coming off a couple of weeks that are a stark contrast from what we all saw during the 8-game unbeaten streak for the Eagles…

That changes back to normal Sunday night.

In my opinion, the Eagles will score a minimum of 4 touchdowns against a Packers team that hasn’t had the answer for lesser teams. If they score 4 TDs, it’s hard to imagine a scenario where Brown doesn’t get one of them.

More NFL Week 12 picks and predictions

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NFL Player Prop Bets Picks: 3 best value bets of Week 12

Analyzing the Week 12 matchups and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

After a few Thanksgiving thrillers along with a big weekend of college football, fans should be primed and ready for another exciting Sunday in the NFL. Below, we look at the NFL Week 12 player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Fans were treated to three Thanksgiving Thursday games. They first saw the Chicago Bears edge the Detroit Lions 16-14 at Ford Field. The Lions covered and the Under hit in that game.

The second game was an overtime thriller between the Dallas Cowboys and Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders won 36-33 and covered as 7-point underdogs as the Over hit. The third game was a dominating showing from the Buffalo Bills over the helpless New Orleans Saints. The Bills easily covered in a 31-6 victory and the Under hit.

Let’s dive into a few props that one must consider for the full Week 12 Sunday slate.

Week 12 prop bets picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger OVER 254.5 passing yards (-114)

Bengals rank 24th in the NFL with 255 yards allowed per game through the air. They’re still down their second-best cornerback in Trae Waynes, so things won’t be made easier for the home side.

The Bengals had Roethlisberger’s number when they traveled to Heinz Field in a 24-10 victory for Cincinnati in Week 3. However, the Bengals haven’t completed a regular-season sweep of Pittsburgh since 2009.

Big Ben has hit this number in two of his past three games. The Steelers’ offense is starting to click, and the Bengals should be more fearful of RB Najee Harris than they were in the previous meeting, which should help the Over.

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Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa UNDER 225.5 passing yards (-115)

The Miami Dolphins are taking on the Carolina Panthers this week. The Panthers allow the fewest passing yards per game to opponents (174.2).

With Stephon Gilmore as one of their top cornerbacks and a lethal safety duo, the Panthers have thrived defensively this season. Tua hasn’t been great since returning, and he continues to be without star WR DeVante Parker.

Tua has topped the number in two of his five starts this season, but combine the Panthers’ stout defense, his recent return and lack of dynamic weapons, and the Under is the better play.

Also see: All Week 12 odds and lines

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Broncos RB Javonte Williams OVER 53.5 rushing yards (-114)

This is probably my favorite prop of the three.

The Chargers run defense is absolutely pitiful, allowing 145.1 rushing yards per game, easily the most in the NFL. With Javonte Williams the future of the Broncos backfield, they need to start getting him more involved.

He’s averaging 5.0 yards per carry and he’s hit this number three times and has received double-digit carries just five times. This should be a good time for Williams, who is one of the league leaders in broken tackles, to showcase his talent.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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