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NFL Player Prop Bets Picks: 3 best value bets of Week 5

Analyzing the Week 5 matchups and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

The core of the 2021 NFL season is starting to heat up, and in Week 5, fans will be treated to some big-time matchups like Kansas City against Buffalo. Without many great odds on the money lines, we’ll look towards the player prop values. Below, we look at the NFL Week 5 player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

One must also remember that the New York Jets and Atlanta Falcons square off nice and early, playing in London with a 9:30 a.m. ET kickoff. With that in mind, there could be a plethora of upsets in Week 5.

That said, let’s dive into three player props that you should consider taking this Sunday.

Week 5 prop bets picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Titans RB Derrick Henry OVER 24.5 rushing attempts (-118)

Derrick Henry has put the Tennessee Titans on his back, and head coach Mike Vrabel should be okay with that.

With Julio Jones out once again out, the team will depend on Henry even more. Henry went for 33 carries last week and is averaging over 29 per game this season.

Considering they’re taking on the Jaguars, a team that has struggled this season and didn’t put up much resistance in the second half of their primetime game against the Bengals, Henry should be able to have his way.

There’s no reason to think Henry can’t get at least 25 carries against Jacksonville.

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott OVER 2.5 passing TDs (+144)

While the risk is there, for Dak Prescott’s passing touchdowns prop, so are the odds. At +144, assuming Prescott can get going and be trusted to make the right decision in goal-to-go downs, is a risk I’d take.

So far this season, Prescott has 10 touchdowns, and he has thrown for at least 3 in three of four games. The Cowboys have a dynamite offense, and if Prescott is the beneficiary of the late-drive plays, he should be able to throw three in.

The Giants are the Cowboys’ opponent, and they’re just 1-3. New York has given up 25-plus points in two of their four games this season.

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Eagles RB Miles Sanders OVER 46.5 rushing yards (+100)

The Carolina Panthers, after adding Stephon Gilmore, may have the NFL’s best secondary. While they rank in the top half of the league in opponent’s rushing yards per game, if the Eagles are going to move the ball, it’s more than likely going to be on the ground.

Sanders started the season with double-digit carries in the Eagles first two games. He has since had a combined 9 carries. Philadelphia needs to get him going, or it could be in trouble. When he’s used, Sanders goes over 50 yards.

The question will be whether or not he’ll get that usage, and given the Panthers’ elite secondary, the Eagles’ game plan should focus around running the ball.

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: Week 5 player prop picks and predictions

Analyzing the top NFL player prop bets odds and lines of Week 5, with picks and predictions for the most intriguing individual player performances.

With a month’s worth of games in the books, teams are starting to show what they’re looking like in 2021. Below, we look at 5 NFL player prop bets for Week 5, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

This week, we look at those players whose starts have lent their Over/Under numbers to drop to low and others who have proved themselves to require so much defensive attention their numbers may well be too high to send bettors to the pay window.

Week 5 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:00 a.m. ET.

Houston Texans wide receiver Brandin Cooks UNDER 64.5 receiving yards (-112)

One thing that New England head coach Bill Belichick is legendary for is taking the player he perceives to be a team’s biggest threat from an offense. No player in the league has a bigger reception share than Cooks with the Texans. Through four games, he has 28 receptions. Nobody else has more than eight. The Pats are going to dominate time of possession and force the Texans to use somebody else to beat them because Belichick won’t be shy about doubling Cooks (a former player of his) on every down.

Philadelphia Eagles tight end Zach Ertz OVER 27.5 receiving yards (-114)

After a contentious offseason and a dismal start to the year (just four targets in the first two games), Ertz has quietly come around the last two weeks, posting games of 53 and 60 yards against Dallas and Kansas City. He comes up against a Carolina defense that has been oppressive against the run and forced opponents to pass. A 27.5-yard Over/Under seems shockingly low given that the Eagles are likely going to have to pass 35-40 times because rushing yards won’t come easily. It may only take two catches down the seam to hit this number, much less if he catches five, which is his average over the last two weeks.

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers UNDER 2.5 passing touchdowns (-135)

It’s always tough betting against Rodgers under any circumstance because he can light up anybody at any time. But, the fact of the matter is the Packers defense is suspect and has difficulty getting off the field. In four games, Rodgers has thrown three TD passes just once, and the NFL is quickly learning that the Cincinnati Bengals aren’t just a “cute story.” In four games, Cincinnati has allowed just four passing touchdowns. This is a defense that is legit because it plays in a hard-nosed division where they’ve been last for a long time. If Rodgers throws three TD passes, he will have to earn it because the Bengals haven’t allowed more than three touchdowns total in any game this season.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans OVER 65.5 receiving yards (-114)

Tampa Bay reverted to a run-heavy offense against the Patriots because they felt they had with the scheme Bill Belichick was going to throw at Tom Brady in their reunion. Miami provides no such fear factor. His Over/Under seems strange because he has posted 75 or more receiving yards in each of his last three games, and the Dolphins don’t bring a lights-out defense to the table. While there is always the concern that there are too many weapons, it would seem this number is an over-correction for the rushing attack from last week. Brady will come out throwing and, when he does, Evans will be a primary option on every play.

Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb UNDER 88.5 rushing yards (-108)

Chubb hasn’t had less than 83 rushing yards in any game this season. This bet is more about the opponent than the Browns offense. The Browns are going to try to set the tone early with long drives to keep the Chargers’ potent pass offense off the field. However, if L.A. can get off to a fast start, those plans may change in a hurry. That, combined with an expanding role for Kareem Hunt makes this hard to overly endorse because so many factors could come into play that would prevent Chubb from rushing 20 times, which is likely what he will need to hit that lofty pre-game number.

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Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks odds, picks and predictions: Player prop bets

Analyzing the Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks Week 5 matchup and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

Week 5 of the NFL season begins with an NFC West showdown on Thursday Night Football. The Los Angeles Rams (3-1) and Seattle Seahawks (2-2) battle in an 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff at Lumen Field in Seattle. Below, we look at the Rams vs. Seahawks prop bet odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Rams lost their first game of the year in Week 4, falling 37-20 to the Arizona Cardinals. The defense allowed 465 total yards and QB Matthew Stafford threw a first-quarter interception. WR Cooper Kupp was held to 5 catches for 64 yards.

The Seahawks defeated the San Francisco 49ers 28-21 in Week 4. QB Russell Wilson threw two touchdown passes and rushed for another in the win. The defense, though, allowed 457 yards and three touchdown passes, although they held the Niners to 2-for-14 on third down.

Rams at Seahawks prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

Rams QB Matthew Stafford OVER 2.5 TD passes (+120)

Stafford has 11 touchdown passes on the season and had 3 or more in two of four games. The Seahawks allowed 3 touchdown passes to Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins in Week 3 and allowed 3 more to the 49ers in Week 4.

Rams QB Matthew Stafford OVER 305.5 passing yards (-114)

The Seahawks allowed 313 or more passing yards in each of their last three games. Stafford passed for more than 305 yards twice. Seattle allows the fifth-most passing yards per game in the league.

Rams WR Cooper Kupp UNDER 7.5 receptions (-143)

Kupp had 9 receptions twice this season and 7 receptions once. However, the Seahawks, despite having a questionable pass defense, have allowed a receiver to have 8 or more receptions only once.

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Seahawks WR DK Metcalf OVER 5.5 receptions (-149)

Metcalf had 6 receptions in two games this season. The Rams have allowed at least one receiver to have at least 6 receptions in three of their four games.

Seahawks QB Russell Wilson UNDER 1.5 passing TDs (+128)

Wilson had multiple touchdown passes in three of four games this season. However, the Rams have allowed only one quarterback to throw multiple touchdown passes in a game. That was Kyler Murray in their loss to the Cardinals last week. Wilson had only 1 touchdown pass in his last three regular-season games against the Rams.

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NFL Player Prop Bets Picks: 3 best value bets of Week 4

Analyzing the Week 4 matchups and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

While there will be many premier Week 4 battles, all eyes will be on Sunday Night Football as Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Tom Brady returns to Gillette Stadium to face the New England Patriots. Below, we look at the NFL Week 4 player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

There have been a few surprise teams through three-plus weeks, like the Cincinnati Bengals, who defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars on Thursday Night Football.

The Las Vegas Raiders have also surprised many. Each team’s quarterback is playing at an extremely high level. Let’s dive into three players we think may turn it on (or off) in Week 4.

Also see: Buccaneers at Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Week 4 prop bets picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Bills QB Josh Allen OVER 280.5 passing yards (-114)

Allen is finding his rhythm, and that’s good for just about every NFL fan except those cheering for his opponent. Allen struggled through the first two games, with just 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.

As for yards, he threw for 270 against the Pittsburgh Steelers and then 179 in a blowout win over the Miami Dolphins. This past week, he went for 358 yards against the Washington Football Team.

Allen threw for over 280 yards in 10 of 16 games last season, and he’s playing a Houston Texans team that gave up 304 yards to Carolina Panthers QB Sam Darnold last week. Combine it all, and Allen’s Over is looking like a good bet.

Also see: Texans at Bills odds picks and prediction

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes OVER 2.5 passing touchdowns (-123)

Off to a 1-2 start with losses to the Los Angeles Chargers and Baltimore Ravens, Mahomes should be able to find his footing against a susceptible Philadelphia Eagles defense.

The Dallas Cowboys destroyed Philadelphia 41-21 last week. With Mahomes having 3 touchdowns in each of his first three games, he should be able to account for at least 3 against the Eagles.

It should also be noted Kansas City has just 2 rushing touchdowns through the first three weeks.

Also see: Chiefs at Eagles odds, picks and prediction

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Titans RB Derrick Henry UNDER 120.5 rushing yards (-114)

WRs Julio Jones and A.J. Brown are out for the Titans Sunday.

While that still doesn’t make the Jets favorites, it should allow New York to stack the box. The Jets’ one goal should be to make anyone other than Henry beat them.

Henry had 58, 182 and 113 rushing yards in the Titans’ first three games. The Jets are giving up around 110.7 yards per game on the ground which is among the middle of the pack in the league.

With the Jets focusing on Henry and him alone, they should be able to hold him under 120 yards. That’s a steep yards target, even for one of the best backs in the league.

Also see: Titans at Jets odds, picks and prediction

NFL Week 4 picks and predictions

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: Week 4 player prop picks and predictions

Analyzing the top NFL player prop bets odds and lines of Week 4, with picks and predictions for individual player performances with upside.

With injuries starting to pile up around the NFL, opportunities are created that make betting the Over/Under a little more attractive to make a run. Our list this week is quarterback-heavy, and the question is whether they can achieve some lofty numbers projected for them. Below, we look at 5 NFL player prop bets for Week 4, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Week 4 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:40 a.m. ET.

Minnesota Vikings Quarterback Kirk Cousins UNDER 282.5 passing yards (-114)

Cousins has been playing some of the best ball of his life and will be at home against Cleveland. However, his offensive line has been hit and miss, RB Dalvin Cook (ankle) will be a game-time decision and the Browns have one of the most fierce pass rushes in the league. Cousins is at his best when he has a clean pocket. That likely won’t be the case with the Browns coming after him with a rush that will force him to get rid of the ball early. This should be a tightly contested game, and 282.5 yards may require 25 completions or more to accomplish, which will be tough if the Browns can run the ball like they have so often the last two seasons.

Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce UNDER 90.5 receiving yards (-114)

It’s always a gamble betting against Kelce, who has topped 100 yards in each of the last two games. But, much of his success is attributed to opponents doubling Tyreek Hill on most plays. The Eagles play a reckless defense that will see the middle clogged with defenders more than Kelce has been used to, and while he may well catch seven or eight passes, it will take one splash reception or more to hit that lofty number. He will be close, but the Under has the greater likelihood of happening against this particular defense.

Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford OVER 299.5 passing yards (-114)

Stafford has been a Godsend in Los Angeles, topping 320 passing yards and two of three games. The thing about the Rams and Cardinals is that, while both have good defenses, they tend to get in passing shootouts (and that was with Jared Goff). The Cardinals are going to find out the hard way that Stafford can carve them up. With questionable run games for both teams, this has all the makings of an aerial circus, and until a defense proves it can shut the Rams passing game down, Stafford will keep stacking up 300-yard passing games.

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Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott OVER 58.5 rushing yards (-114)

The Panthers are unbeaten, but it should be noted that those wins came against the Jets, Saints and Panthers – all offenses in flux with new starting quarterbacks still learning their systems. The Cowboys don’t have that problem. The Panthers run defense has been impressive, The Saints only ran Alvin Kamara eight times in their matchup. His Over/Under is so low because he has been losing carries to Tony Pollard, but Elliott has had more carries in each game this season, and if he hits 15 carries, he should be able to hit that modest number.

Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson UNDER 68.5 rushing yards (-114)

The Broncos defense hasn’t been severely tested facing the Giants, Jaguars and Jets, but they do have a sound defense and the Ravens don’t want Jackson to run. He will to create big plays, but if Baltimore wants to make a long run, they need to keep Jackson healthy. He missed practice Wednesday and Thursday with a back injury, and while he came back to practice in full Friday, he is clearly not 100 percent. The best move for the Ravens coaching staff is to try to keep him in the pocket as much as possible because another big blow could have their star QB on the sidelines, and Baltimore’s odds of winning then could well go out the window. He will likely make it close, but take the Under because the coaches will design plays to protect him, not expose him.

Also see: Week 4 staff picks

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Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals odds picks and predictions: Player prop bets

Analyzing the Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals Thursday Night Football matchup, offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) travel to meet the Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) at Paul Brown Stadium for Thursday Night Football. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Jaguars vs. Bengals prop bet odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The mistake-prone Jaguars hit the road looking for some semblance of continuity and success. They’re 0-3 straight up and against the spread in losing all three games by 10 or more points. They’ve registered just 17.7 points per game and are allowing 418.0 total yards per game, 302.3 passing yards and 30.3 PPG.

The Bengals picked up a 24-10 road win over the Pittsburgh Steelers last week for their second victory and cover in three tries. Cincinnati won its only home game 27-24 in overtime against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 1.

Also see: Jaguars at Bengals picks and prediction

Jaguars at Bengals prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

Bengals QB Joe Burrow OVER 253.5 passing yards (-114)

Burrow didn’t throw for more than 207 yards in either of his last two games, including just 172 yards in Pittsburgh last week; however, the Jaguars are 28th in the NFL with 302.3 passing yards allowed per game, and Burrow is going to establish a new season-high in this one.

Houston Texans QB Tyrod Taylor dropped 291 yards on the Jags in Week 1, Denver Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater was good for 328 yards in Week 2 and Arizona Cardinals QB Kyler Murray went for 316 yards in Week 3. Jacksonville’s back end is horrific, and they just traded CB C.J. Henderson away this week.

Look for Burrow to add to Jacksonville’s pass defense woes.

Bengals QB Joe Burrow OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns (-222)

This one is a little on the expensive side, but it’s a good bet. Burrow has tossed 7 touchdown passes through three games, with at least two scores in each outing. There is very little chance the Jaguars defense is able to shut him down.

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Bengals RB Joe Mixon OVER 20.5 rushing attempts (-125)

The Bengals can only have so many touches, so playing the Over on Mixon’s carries, as well as Burrow’s Over on passing yards can be a little risky. However, Mixon is going to get this done, and he’ll likely be leaned upon heavily in the second half as the home side salts away what is expected to be a victory.

Mixon ran 29 times in the Week 1 win against the Vikings, and he had 20 totes against the Chicago Bears in Week 2. Last week, he checked in with just 18 rushes in Pittsburgh; however, I expect the Bengals to have a big lead in the final 30 minutes, and he’ll be gobbling up four or five carries per drive.

Jaguars RB James Robinson UNDER 54.5 rushing yards (-114)

Robinson and the Jaguars are going to fall behind early, and you can expect Robinson’s rushing yardage to be curtailed as Jacksonville abandons its plan to establish the run.

Robinson ran for 88 yards in Week 3 against the Cardinals, but he had a total of just 47 yards in the loss against the Broncos in Week 2, and just 25 yards in Week 1 against the Texans. He won’t crack 50 yards Thursday.

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Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys odds picks and predictions: Player prop bets

Analyzing the Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys Monday night matchup, offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player props.

The Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) travel to meet the Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at AT&T Stadium for Monday Night Football. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Eagles vs. Cowboys prop bet odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Eagles had an impressive 32-6 road win against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1, before taking a 17-11 loss at home to the San Francisco 49ers in Week 2. The Under has connected in each game for Philadelphia.

The Cowboys opened with a close 31-29 loss at Tampa Bay in Week 1 on Thursday night. The Over connected in that primetime game. The ‘Boys won on a last-second field goal in Week 2, cashing as three-point underdogs as the Under easily cashed.

Eagles at Cowboys prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Eagles QB Jalen Hurts UNDER 252.5 passing yards (-114)

Hurts ended up throwing for 264 yards and three touchdowns in the opener in Atlanta, and it looked like all was well with the Philadelphia offense. Last week at home against the 49ers was a different story as Hurts completed just 12-of-23 passes for 190 yards, no TDs and no INTs.

I think the Under on Hurts is a slam-dunk play, even though I also expect the Eagles to be playing from behind. Still, the dual-threat quarterback will not threaten to go Over the passing yardage mark as he’ll be running plenty.

Eagles QB Jalen Hurts OVER 57.5 rushing yards (-114)

Hurts rolled up 62 rushing yards in the victory in Atlanta in the season opener before racking up 82 rushing yards and a touchdown in last weekend’s loss at home against the Niners. In fact, his running was about the only thing working for Philadelphia in a home loss.

While the Cowboys are sixth in the NFL with just 73.5 rushing yards allowed so far, they have faced QB Tom Brady and QB Justin Herbert, two guys not exactly fleet of foot. Hurts will be looking to run more than perhaps any opposing quarterback Dallas will see this season.

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Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott OVER 66.5 rushing yards (-114)

The Eagles have allowed 120.5 rushing yards per game through two outings, ranking 23rd in the NFL. That includes their 32-6 win in Atlanta against the likes of RBs Mike Davis and Cordarrelle Patterson, before facing a combination of RBs Elijah Mitchell and JaMycal Hasty last week. That’s not exactly facing the cream of the crop.

Tony Pollard and Zeke will both run amok against a Philadelphia rush defense that has had a hard time so far. Look for Elliott to finally get started after a slow start by his standards.

Cowboys TE Dalton Schultz UNDER 25.5 receiving yards (-114)

Schultz might not be at the top of your list on player props to play, but this is a good one. Remember, TE Blake Jarwin is also in the mix, and the top player on the depth chart at this position on the Cowboys.

Schultz managed just two grabs for 18 yards on two targets last week against the Chargers, and this number is propped up a bit by his six receptions and 45 yards in the Thursday night opener in Tampa. He won’t come close to hitting this number.

Also see: Eagles at Cowboys odds, picks and prediction.

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Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers odds picks and predictions: Player prop bets

Analyzing the Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers Week 3 matchup and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player props.

The Green Bay Packers (1-1) are on the road taking on the San Francisco 49ers (2-0) for Sunday Night Football. The game will be held at Levi’s Stadium with kickoff slated for 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Packers vs. 49ers prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers still needs to answer some questions. After a pitiful Week 1 performance, Rodgers exploded against the Lions. Now, the 49ers are on deck, and WR Davante Adams and RB Aaron Jones will need to be at their best against a defense led by DE Nick Bosa.

The 49ers have taken down the Lions and Philadelphia Eagles with their first performance being a 41-33 shootout. With a hampered backfield, they’ll undoubtedly ask more from QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

Also see: Packers at 49ers odds, picks and prediction

Packers at 49ers prop bets picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 4 p.m. ET.

Packers RB AJ Dillon UNDER 5.5 receiving yards (-116)

Jones went off last week, hurting Dillon’s production. I’d expect to see quite a bit of Jones again with Sunday’s matchup projected to be a hard-fought game.

Dillion was given just 19 snaps last week, and he had just 1 target. He had 2 targets in Week 1, but that was a blowout loss for Green Bay. He played less than 30% of the snaps in each game.

Rodgers may not have much time under center with a great San Francisco pass rush. Unless Dillon’s snap count increases, expect limited numbers once again. Green Bay hasn’t played a game that’s been competitive for four quarters yet.

49ers TE George Kittle UNDER 65.5 receiving yards (-114)

Kittle was injured for most of last season and while he’s back in action and playing the bulk of the game for the 49ers, he hasn’t kept that priority-target status. He has just 9 targets through two games, with 78 yards in Week 1 and 17 yards in Week 2.

As for Green Bay, it took on Lions TE T.J. Hockenson last week. He was QB Jared Goff’s top target, and they limited him to 66 yards on 8 receptions.

Combine those two, and the Under 65.5 yards is the better bet.

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Packers RB Aaron Jones OVER rushing yards 59.5 (-114)

Jones should be one of the most active players in this game. He starred last week, while scoring 4 total touchdowns, including 3 through the air. He had 67 rushing yards on 17 carries.

He had just five carries in Week 1 but consider Week 2 as more of the norm for Jones and the Packers. Jones had over 60 yards in nine of 14 games last season.

With San Francisco allowing 5.0 yards per carry through two games, Jones should have a field day.

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New York Jets at Denver Broncos odds, picks and predictions: Player prop bets

Analyzing the New York Jets at Denver Broncos Week 3 matchup and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

The winless New York Jets (0-2) head west this weekend to serve as the opponent in the 2-0 Denver Broncos’ home opener. Kickoff is set for 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High. Below, we look at the Jets vs. Broncos prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Jets, led by first-year head coach Robert Saleh and rookie QB Zach Wilson, opened with a 19-14 road loss to the Carolina Panthers. The Jets’ home opener a week ago was then doomed by 4 Wilson interceptions in a 25-6 loss to New England Patriots.

The Broncos, meanwhile, have turned down the temperature on head coach Vic Fangio’s hot seat by opening with convincing road wins over the New York Giants (27-13) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (23-13). New QB Teddy Bridgewater is off to a stellar start with Denver, completing 54 of 70 passes (77.1%) for 4 touchdowns and no interceptions.

Also see: Week 3 best bets

Jets at Broncos prop bets picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

Jets WR Corey Davis OVER 3.5 receptions (-120) and OVER 45.5 receiving yards (-119)

The Jets’ prized free-agent addition had a strong debut in Week 1, reeling in 5 of 7 targets for 97 yards and 2 TDs — New York’s only TDs on the season so far.

Last Sunday, Davis was targeted five times but caught only 2 of those for 8 yards as the Patriots defense did what it does best in curtailing the opposition’s top offensive threat. The Broncos possess a strong secondary, but look for Davis to win his share of battles in a bounce-back performance.

Also see: Jets at Broncos odds, picks and prediction

Broncos WR Courtland Sutton UNDER 67.5 receiving yards (-105)

Sutton, coming off a 2020 early-season ACL tear, enjoyed a huge Week 2 outing in Jacksonville, catching 9 of 12 targets for a career-high 159 yards after only snaring 1 of 3 targets for 14 yards in Week 1.

As a result, though, Sutton can expect the Jets’ secondary to pay him extra attention and offer more resistance as New York has allowed the fourth-fewest yards to opposing wideouts so far with 232 total.

The savvy Bridgewater isn’t likely to force the issue and count on him looking elsewhere as he has plenty of other capable targets with nine Broncos owning at least 2 receptions so far.

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Total sacks OVER 5.5 (+110)

Among quarterbacks who have played in two games, Wilson has been the second-most pressured QB (on 34.1% of his dropbacks with a league-high-matching 10 sacks) while Bridgewater, surprisingly, has been under the fourth-most heat (31.6% of his dropbacks with five sacks).

Those matchups — especially Broncos LB Von Miller teeing off on an injury-depleted Jets’ offensive line with crowd noise drowning out the snap count — favor the Over.

SECOND HALF to be highest-scoring half (+105)

The Jets (17-3) and Broncos (30-20) have both put up more points after halftime this season, and with the season’s first game at mile-high altitude figuring to wear on the defenses late, the plus-payoff on more second-half points is too tempting to pass up.

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Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers odds, picks and predictions: Player prop bets

Analyzing the Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers Week 3 matchup and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player props.

The Cincinnati Bengals (1-1) travel to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) Sunday in an AFC North rivalry game. Kickoff from Heinz Field is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bengals at Steelers prop bet odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

It’s been an interesting first couple of weeks for both organizations.

The Bengals defeated the Minnesota Vikings in a thrilling overtime game to start the season then lost 20-17 at the Chicago Bears in Week 2. QB Joe Burrow looked iffy, throwing 3 interceptions.

The Steelers won their first game on the road against the Buffalo Bills, then returned home and lost to a Josh Jacobs-less Las Vegas Raiders. They have struggled to figure anything out offensively, a major point of discussion entering Week 3.

Bengals at Steelers prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:14 a.m. ET.

Bengals QB Joe Burrow OVER 1.5 TDs (-109)

The Steelers won’t have potential Defensive Player of the Year TJ Watt for this match-up, and that’s a blessing for Burrow.

He still had 2 touchdowns despite his 3 interceptions last week, and he tossed 3 touchdowns in Week 1. Two touchdowns at this price against a team without their top defensive player is good value.

The Steelers allowed QB Derek Carr to shred their defense. Without Watt, Burrow could do the same.

Bengals RB Joe Mixon OVER 67.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Again, Watt’s absence will be huge.

The Steelers were the best team defensively through 11 games last season, and have taken on RBs Devin Singletary and Kenyan Drake to start the year. They gave up over 70 yards to the former.

With Mixon likely being force-fed as much as he can handle, there’s no reason he shouldn’t be able to top 67. He had the second-most rushing yards coming into Week 2 and has averaged 4.0 yards per carry.

He should see north of 15 carries as the Bengals have looked to protect Burrow by opening up both their games with a run-heavy scheme.

Also see: Bengals at Steelers odds, picks and prediction

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Steelers WR Chase Claypool OVER 63.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The struggling Steelers will have to abandon trying to force RB Najee Harris‘ involvement if the Bengals get out in front. Claypool should be involved even if the Steelers steamroll out of the gate.

As they saw with WR Anthony Miller last week and WR Adam Thielen to start the season, the Bengals have struggled with the opponent’s WR2. There is an immense benefit to whoever doesn’t have CB Chidobe Awuzie on them.

If that’s Claypool, this prop should be easy for him to achieve.

He had 5 targets to start the season and was more involved with 9 last week. Claypool could hit double digits, especially with WR Diontae Johnson ruled out as well. Johnson had 22 targets through the first two games.

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