Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins preseason Week 2 matchup, with NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Falcons (0-1) and Miami Dolphins (0-1) head into their second game of the NFL preseason off of a week of joint practices. The Dolphins will have the modest home-field advantage at Hard Rock Stadium for Saturday’s 7 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we look at the Falcons vs. Dolphins odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Falcons suffered a 23-3 loss to the Tennessee Titans on their home field last week. Veteran backup QB AJ McCarron and rookie Feleipe Franks split snaps and went a combined 7-for-21 for just 21 net yards and no touchdowns through the air; however, Franks added 76 rushing yards on 4 carries.

The Dolphins took a 20-13 loss on the road against the Chicago Bears. Second-year QB Tua Tagovailoa was an efficient 8-for-11 for 99 yards with 1 interception, while backups Jacoby Brissett and Reid Sinnett were 6-for-10 on the day.

Falcons at Dolphins odds, spread and lines

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Falcons +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Dolphins -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Falcons +4.5 (-115) | Dolphins -4.5 (-105)
  • Total: 37.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Falcons at Dolphins odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Dolphins 20, Falcons 13

Money line

The Falcons played few starters on either side of the ball last week and didn’t see much of promise from either McCarron or Franks in the backup quarterback battle. Rookie TE Kyle Pitts may get his first taste of game action this week, but QB Matt Ryan is unlikely to see much – if any – time.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins could keep giving reps to Tagovailoa to get the second-year signal-caller more meaningful practice with his new additions on offense. The competition for the Dolphins’ leading running back role is also likely to continue between Myles Gaskin and Salvon Ahmed as both played well last week.

Still, we need to PASS on the steep money line price for the Dolphins. There’s a much better payout to be had with the spread.

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Against the spread

Back the DOLPHINS -4.5 (-105) for a win by 5 or more points. The Falcons were blown out at home last week and new head coach Arthur Smith showed little desire to see his first-teamers as he focuses on depth position battles in his first preseason with the team.

Over/Under

Back the UNDER 37.5 (-125) with both these teams playing well below this total last week and the defenses having had a week of practice against at least some of the different offensive combinations they’ll see Saturday.

The Dolphins are bringing back an experienced defensive core from last season while the Falcons’ defensive players should be highly motivated while competing for multiple openings within the Week 1 roster.

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Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins odds and lines: Tua, ‘Phins favored at home

Assessing the odds and lines for Saturday’s NFL preseason contest between the Atlanta Falcons and Miami Dolphins.

The Atlanta Falcons (0-1) visit the Miami Dolphins (0-1) Saturday in Week 2 of the NFL preseason. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium. Below, we look at the Falcons at Dolphins odds and lines.

The Falcons didn’t play any key offensive starters in their 23-3 loss to the Tennessee Titans last week. Backup QBs AJ McCarron and Feleipe Franks split the snaps with McCarron going 5-for-12 for 36 yards and 1 interception and Franks completing just 2 of 9 pass attempts for 16 yards but adding 76 yards on the ground.

The Dolphins took a 20-13 loss on the road against the Chicago Bears in Week 1. Second-year QB Tua Tagovailoa went 8-for-11 for 99 yards with 1 interception. Backup signal-callers Jacoby Brissett and Reid Sinnett both went 6-for-10 with Brissett completing a touchdown pass to RB Salvon Ahmed.

Expect to see both teams stick with backups in Week 2 with position battles heating up in the abbreviated three-week preseason.

Falcons at Dolphins: Odds, spread and line

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:53 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Falcons +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Dolphins -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Falcons +3.5, -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Dolphins -3.5, +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Total: 36.5, Over -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Under +100 (bet $100 to win $100)

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2020 betting stats:

  • ATS: Falcons 7-9 | Dolphins 11-5
  • O/U: Falcons 7-9 | Dolphins 7-9

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New to NFL betting?

The +140 odds for the underdog Falcons represent a 41.67% implied win probability. Those odds can also be expressed as a fraction of 7/5 or a decimal of 2.40. Atlanta must win, tie or lose by no more than 3 points in order for a +3.5 (-130) bet against the spread to cash.

The Dolphins (-170) are slight home favorites with an implied win probability of 62.96%. Those odds can be seen as a decimal of 1.59 or a fraction of 10/17. They must win by at least 4 points in order to cover the -3.5-point spread.

Atlanta and Miami would need to combine to score 37 or more points in order to cash the OVER on the projected total of 36.5 points. A combined point total of 36 or fewer points is a win for the Under (+100). The odds suggest a higher-scoring game by favoring the Over (-125).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:

TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWireTitansWire | VikingsWire | WashingtonFootballWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | TheListWire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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