NFL futures odds lines picks predictions

Value play: Bet Atlanta Falcons’ Kirk Cousins to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year

Analyzing the 2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award odds, including an expert prediction and best bet.

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The last 6 winners of the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award have been quarterbacks. They overcame serious injuries or did not play much because they were a backup.

This season, New York Jets QB Aaron Rodgers, Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow, Atlanta Falcons QB Kirk Cousins and Indianapolis Colts QB Anthony Richardson are coming off serious season-ending injuries.

Below, we analyze the 2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and make the best suggestion among our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, July 18 at 8:24 p.m. ET.

QB Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets (+130)
QB Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (+240)
QB Kirk Cousins, Atlanta Falcons (+500)
QB Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts (+700)
RB Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns (+1200)

NOTABLE

+2000: QB Deshaun Watson (Browns)

+2500: QB Daniel Jones (Giants)

+3000: RB J.K. Dobbins (Ravens), QB Justin Herbert (Chargers), QB Kyler Murray (Cardinals)

+3500: QB Justin Fields (Steelers)

+12500: QB Mitchell Trubisky (Bills)

+20000: QB Desmond Ridder (Cardinals)

For full list, see BetMGM Sportsbook.

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NFL Comeback Player of the Year best bet

QB Kirk Cousins, Atlanta Falcons (+500)

Rodgers is the favorite at +130 and is a good candidate because he only lasted 4 plays last season in his first year with the Jets. He has weapons to throw to and is one of the best QBs in the league. However, that +130 doesn’t offer much value.

If you want a combination of likelihood of winning and value, Cousins is the guy to bet on at +500.

He was playing at a high level before going down midseason with a torn Achilles. He is with a new team in Atlanta, which won 7 games last season despite below-average quarterback play. The Falcons have a good number of offensive weapons for Cousins to thrive.

Cousins, with RBs Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier, TE Kyle Pitts and WRs Drake London, Darnell Mooney and Rondale Moore, can lead the Falcons to a division title and put up his customary 4,000-plus passing yards.

Coming back from the injury, putting up volume numbers and leading a team to an NFC South title makes Cousins a great value pick for the award.

BET KIRK COUSINS to win NFL COMEBACK PLAYER OF THE YEAR (+500).

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Value play: Bet Los Angeles Rams’ Jared Verse to win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year

Analyzing the 2024 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award odds, including an expert prediction and best bet.

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Four of the last 5 NFL Defensive Rookies of the Year have been edge rushers. The 3 players with the shortest odds to win this coming season’s award are edge rushers.

All 3 were first-round draft picks. Alabama’s Dallas Turner was drafted by the Minnesota Vikings. Florida State’s Jared Verse landed with the Los Angeles Rams and UCLA’s Laiatu Latu was selected by the Indianapolis Colts.

But here we want to find both value and a potential win with a wager.

Below, we analyze the 2024 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and make the best suggestion among our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

2024 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, July 18 at 7:13 p.m. ET.

EDGE Dallas Turner, Minnesota Vikings (+400)
EDGE Laiatu Latu, Indianapolis Colts (+500)
EDGE Jared Verse, Los Angeles Rams (+1100)
CB Quinyon Mitchell, Philadelphia Eagles (+1100)
CB Terrion Arnold, Detroit Lions (+1100)
DT Byron Murphy, Seattle Seahawks (+1300)

For full list, see BetMGM Sportsbook.

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NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year best bet

EDGE Jared Verse, Los Angeles Rams (+1100)

The best position bet for the award is an edge defender. As mentioned, 4 of the last 5 winners have been edge rushers. Three of those 4 players were the top defensive players taken in the draft.

In this year’s draft, that would be Latu, although no defensive player was selected until the 15th overall pick, although Latu, Turner and Verse were all selected between 15th and 19th overall.

All 3 landed with teams where there are established pass rushers with success. Turner has DL Jonathan Greenard, who the Vikings signed as an offseason free agent after he had 12.5 sacks for the Texans last season. Greenard was teammate of last season’s Defensive Rookie of the Year in EDGE Will Anderson.

On the Colts, Latu will get to play with DLs DeForest Buckner, Kwity Paye and Samson Ebukam, all of whom had between 8.5 and 9.5 sacks.

On the Rams, Verse will have young teammates LB Byron Young and DL Kobie Turner, who had 8 and 9 sacks as rookies last season, respectively.

So, all 3 will have opportunities to face one-on-one blocking.

But the Rams were a playoff team last season and have one of the league’s top offenses, led by a veteran QB Matthew Stafford. The Vikings will be led by veteran QB Sam Darnold or rookie QB J.J. McCarthy this season, while the Colts have a 2nd-year QB Anthony Richardson.

Teams with leads will rush the passer more and get more sacks.

With Turner being the favorite, he isn’t a value play.

With productive pass rushers as teammates, a top veteran QB and a top-10 offense, Verse is the best option, especially for the value.

BET JARED VERSE to win NFL DEFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR (+1100).

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Value play: Bet Detroit Lions’ Jahmyr Gibbs to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year

Analyzing the 2024 Offensive Player of the Year odds, including an expert prediction and best bet.

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The Detroit Lions made it to the NFC Championship Game last season and have Super bowl aspirations for this season. They had the No. 3 offense in yards (394.8 per game) and scored the 5th-most points (27.1 per game) in the league, led by QB Jared Goff and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown. But they also had important contributions from rookie RB Jahmyr Gibbs, who amassed 1,261 total yards from scrimmage, which ranked 20th.

The Lions have the 4th-shortest odds to win the Super Bowl (+1200) — behind the Chiefs (+550), 49ers (+650) and Ravens (+1000) — and they will rely on the offense to lead the way. Gibbs will be a big part of that in his second season. As such, he will make a great value pick to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year.

Below, we analyze the 2024 NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and make the best suggestion among our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

2024 NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, July 18 at 6:31 p.m. ET.

RB Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers (+750)
WR Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins (+750)
WR CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys (+1000)
WR Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals (+1100)
RB Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles (+1400)
WR Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings (+1500)
RB Bjian Robinson, Atlanta Falcons (+2000)
RB Breece Hall, New York Jets (+2000)
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions (+2200)
RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions (+3000)
WR Puka Nacua, Los Angeles Rams (+3000)
WR Garrett Wilson, New York Jets (+3000)

NOTABLE

+3500: RB Jonathan Taylor (Colts)

+4000: RB Kyren Williams (Rams)

+5000: QB Josh Allen (Bills), QB Joe Burrow (Bengals), QB Lamar Jackson (Ravens), QB Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs), WR Deebo Samuel (49ers), QB C.J. Stroud (Texans)

+6000: QB Justin Herbert (Chargers), QB Jalen Hurts (Eagles), QB Jordan Love (Packers)

+8000: QB Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

+15000: QB Aaron Rodgers (Jets)

+25000: QB Bryce Young (Panthers)

+30000: QB Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers), Deshaun Watson (Browns)

For full list, see BetMGM Sportsbook.

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NFL Offensive Player of the Year best bet

RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions (+3000)

While San Francisco’s McCaffrey (+750) is the favorite, no one has repeated as Offensive Player of the Year since Marshall Faulk won 3 straight between 1999-’01. McCaffrey plays in the perfect offense to do it, but he led the NFL in touches last year. The last time he did that was his All-Pro season in 2019, and he followed that up by playing in only 10 combined games the next 2 seasons.

What makes Gibbs a fantastic, big-money bet is his skillset. He will be the focal point in the offense after sharing time with RB David Montgomery last season. Gibbs offers the same sort of offensive impact in both the run game and the passing game, and he runs behind arguably the NFL’s best offensive line.

He is young at a young man’s position and only had 234 total touches last season. He will be the player to touch the ball most in what should be one of the league’s best offenses in 2024.

BET JAHMYR GIBBS to win NFL OFFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR (+3000).

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Value play: Bet Green Bay Packers’ Matt LaFleur to win Coach of the Year

Analyzing the 2024 NFL Coach of the Year award odds, including an expert prediction and best bet.

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The NFL Coach of the Year is a tough award to predict. It usually goes to a coach whose team overachieves initial expectations, overcomes extreme adversity or is simply dominant all season from start to finish.

Last season it was Cleveland’s Kevin Stefanski who won the award by a tiebreaker over Houston’s DeMeco Ryans. The Browns overcame multiple severe injuries to key players to make the playoffs. The Texans were expected to be one of the worst teams in the NFL and finished as AFC South Division winners with a rookie quarterback.

Entering 2024, those scenarios are a little more difficult to project, especially when looking for a good value bet.

Below, we analyze the 2024 NFL Coach of the Year odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and make the best suggestion among our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

2024 NFL Coach of the Year odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, July 17 at 5:34 p.m. ET.

Matt Eberflus, Chicago Bears (+900)
Jim Harbaugh, Los Angeles Chargers (+1000)
Raheem Morris, Atlanta Falcons (+1000)
Matt LaFleur, Green Bay Packers (+1400)
Shane Steichen, Indianapolis Colts (+1400)
DeMeco Ryans, Houston Texans (+1400)
Jonathan Gannon, Arizona Cardinals (+1600)
Robert Saleh, New York Jets (+1800)
Brian Callahan, Tennessee Titans (+1800)

THE REST

+2000: Dave Canales (Panthers), Mike Macdonald (Seahawks), Mike McDaniel (Dolphins), Dan Quinn (Commanders)

+2200: Dan Campbell (Lions), Kevin O’Connell (Vikings)

+2500: Jerod Mayo (Patriots), Sean McVay (Rams), Sean Payton (Broncos), Antonio Pierce (Raiders), Mike Tomlin (Steelers)

+3000: Doug Pederson (Jaguars), Kyle Shanahan (49ers), Zac Taylor (Bengals)

+4000: Brian Daboll (Giants), Sean McDermott (Bills), Nick Sirianni (Eagles)

+5000: John Harbaugh (Ravens), Mike McCarthy (Cowboys)

+6600: Dennis Allen (Saints), Todd Bowles (Buccaneers), Andy Reid (Chiefs), Kevin Stefanski (Browns)

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NFL Coach of the Year best bet

Matt LaFleur, Green Bay Packers (+1400)

The Packers started 3-6 last season and then caught fire, finishing 9-8 and making the playoffs where they beat the Cowboys in a Wild Card game.

Entering 2024, they are expected to be a playoff team but are not the favorites to win the NFC North. Detroit is +130 to win it, while Green Bay is +200. But with the emergence QB Jordan Love, who threw 18 TDs and only 1 interception over the last 8 regular-season games, and a new defensive coordinator in Jeff Hafley (former Boston College coach) who is expected to shore up their issues, the Packers could be surprisingly good.

They will likely play neck-and-neck in the division with the Lions. Winning 12-plus games is a real possibility.

Eberflus’ Bears have a rookie QB in Caleb Williams — the No. 1 overall pick out of USC — but already had a level of expectations for improved play.

Morris is a good candidate because the Falcons won 7 games last season and added QB Kirk Cousins in the offseason, but that bet at +1000 doesn’t offer the value that LaFleur does at +1400.

Meanwhile, Hoston’s Ryans already exceeded expectations and almost won the award last season. The Texans would have to become a 13-win team for him to win the award.

BET MATT LAFLEUR to win NFL COACH OF THE YEAR (+1400).

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Value play: Bet Chicago Bears’ Montez Sweat to win NFL Defensive Player of the Year

Analyzing the 2024 Defensive Player of the Year odds, including an expert prediction and best bet.

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Between Aaron Donald and J.J. Watt, they have 6 of the last 12 NFL Defensive Player of the Year awards. But both are now retired.

The last 3 winners have been edge defenders with big sack totals — Cleveland Browns DE Myles Garrett (2023), San Francisco 49ers DE Nick Bosa (2022) and J.J.’s younger brother, Pittsburgh Steelers LB T.J. Watt (2021).

In 2024, the Chicago Bears are expected to be better, potentially competing for a spot in the postseason. Perhaps no other player changed how his team’s defense performed on the field than DE Montez Sweat, who led both the Bears and the Washington Commanders in sacks last season — he was traded from Washington to Chicago midseason.

After combining for 12.5 sacks between the 2 teams, Sweat is a fantastic value to win this coming season’s NFL Defensive Player of the Year.

Below, we analyze the 2024 NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and make the best suggestion among our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

2024 NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, July 17 at 4:39 a.m. ET.

Micah Parsons, Dallas Cowboys (+650)
Myles Garrett, Cleveland Browns (+650)
T.J. Watt, Pittsburgh Steelers (+750)
Nick Bosa, San Francisco 49ers (+800)
Maxx Crosby, Las Vegas Raiders (+900)
Aidan Hutchinson, Detroit Lions (+1500)
Josh Hines-Allen, Jacksonville Jaguars (+2500)
Chris Jones, Kansas City Chiefs (+2500)
Will Anderson, Houston Texans (+3000)
Montez Sweat, Chicago Bears (+3000)

NOTABLE

+3500: Danielle Hunter, Houston Texans

+4000: Kyle Hamilton, Baltimore Ravens

+25000: T.J. Edwards, Chicago Bears

For full list, see BetMGM Sportsbook.

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NFL Defensive Player of the Year best bet

EDGE Montez Sweat, Chicago Bears (+3000)

The last 3 winners of the award have been different edge defenders, each netting at least 14 sacks. Garrett won last season with 14, while Bosa had 18.5 the season before and Watt 19 before that.

Sweat had 12.5 sacks last season, split between 2 teams. Once he was traded to the Bears, his presence changed Chicago’s defense. After allowing 30 or more points 4 times in the first 8 games, it gave up 17.8 points per game in Sweat’s 9 games.

In 2024, Chicago has what should be a very good offense that might actually give the Bears some leads. Teams with leads rush the passer more and get more sacks. Sweat will prosper and record some of those “more” sacks.

He had 5 games with more than 1 sack last season with the Bears and the Commanders. He played 8 games with no sacks. With more pass-rushing opportunities, if he produces at the same rate in games he did have sacks and if he cuts the zero-sack games in half, then that would put him at 16-plus for the season.

With the +3000 odds to win the award, it gives us the potential for a huge payout.

BET MONTEZ SWEAT to win NFL DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR (+3000).

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Value play: Bet Arizona Cardinals’ Marvin Harrison Jr. to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

Analyzing the 2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award odds, including an expert prediction and best bet.

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Quarterbacks and receivers have won the last 5 NFL Offensive Rookies of the Year and it would appear that there is a good chance that that trend will continue this season.

The 12 rookies with the shortest odds to win this year’s Offensive Rookie of the Year award are either quarterbacks or receivers.

The 2 favorites are quarterbacks, but Arizona Cardinals WR Marvin Harrison Jr. is in a good situation to both put up numbers worthy of the award and also be a good value.

Below, we analyze the 2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and make the best suggestion among our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, July 17 at 3:30 a.m. ET.

QB Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears (+125)
QB Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders (+600)
WR Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals (+750)
WR Malik Nabers, New York Giants (+1600)
QB J.J. McCarthy, Minnesota Vikings (+1800)
QB Bo Nix, Denver Broncos (+1800)

NOTABLE

+3000: WR Rome Odunze, Chicago Bears

+4000: RB Trey Benson, Arizona Cardinals

+25000: WR Luke McCaffrey, Washington Commanders

For full list, see BetMGM Sportsbook.

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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year best bet

WR Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals (+750)

In terms of potential winning bets, really only 2 players make sense — Williams and Harrison.

Daniels plays for a team that will likely end up in last place in Washington. There are enough doubts about how much Nabers can produce with QB Daniel Jones throwing him the ball. McCarthy likely will not start the season as Minnesota’s starter, so he will have fewer games to perform.

That leaves Williams and Harrison as the 2 real solid candidates. Williams is the favorite because he joins a team that won 7 games last season, had a defense that allowed under 18 points a game over their final 9 games, and has an offensive skill group that includes RB D’Andre Swift, TE Cole Kmet and WRs Keenan Allen, D.J. Moore and Rome Odunze.

Of course, as the favorite at +125, he doesn’t give you nearly the value that Harrison offers.

Harrison joins a Cardinals offense that was top 10 in efficiency after QB Kyler Murray’s return. Harrison will be the Cardinals’ No. 1 receiver option and plenty of opportunities. Because TE Trey McBride emerged as a real pass-catching threat with 81 receptions last season and WR Michael Wilson had 565 receiving yards, defenses won’t be able to focus only on the rookie out of Ohio State. Additionally, the Cardinals had the 4th-best rushing attack in the league last season, so Harrison’s playmaking will provide balance.

Pulling in more than 1,100 or 1,200 receiving yards is not out of the question.

Last season, Los Angeles Rams WR Puka Nacua set rookie records with 105 receptions for 1,486 yards and didn’t win the award because Houston Texans QB C.J. Stroud had a special season and led a team expected to perhaps be the worst in football to a division title.

Any great rookie receiver season will be trumped by a special rookie quarterback season. But will Williams have a special rookie season for the Bears? It’s possible.

Williams is a good bet, but he isn’t a good value play. That is why Harrison gives you the best value for a very possible winning ticket.

BET MARVIN HARRISON JR. to win NFL OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR (+750).

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Value play: Bet Houston Texans’ C.J. Stroud to win NFL MVP

Analyzing the 2024 NFL MVP award odds, including an expert prediction and best bet.

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The Houston Texans surprised everyone last season, winning the AFC South and winning a playoff game when they were expected to be perhaps the worst team in the NFL. They were led by QB C.J. Stroud, who was the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.

With some big offseason additions, they are poised to defend their division title and have better weapons for Stroud in his 2nd season, so much that he is not only a solid candidate to be NFL MVP in 2024, he even gives you good value.

Below, we analyze the 2024 NFL MVP odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and make the best suggestion among our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

2024 NFL MVP odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, July 15 at 8:11 p.m. ET.

QB Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs (+500)
QB Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (+900)
QB Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (+900)
QB C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans (+1000)
QB Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens (+1200)
QB Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers (+1400)
QB Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers (+1400)

For full list, see BetMGM Sportsbook.

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NFL MVP best bet

QB C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans (+1000)

When it comes to the MVP award, 2 things are usually true — it is a quarterback on a really good team. Seventeen of the last 20 MVPs and last 11 have been quarterbacks. Eighteen of the last 20 MVPs have played for a division winner and those teams have averaged 13 wins.

The Texans play in the AFC South where they are the clear favorites to win with against 3 rivals with uncertain 2024 season outcomes.

As a rookie, Stroud had the league’s lowest interception rate and threw 23 TDs to a group of receivers that previously had never had even 500 yards in a season other than 31-year-old Robert Woods.

They added WR Stefon Diggs and RB Joe Mixon to the offense, while 2023 rookie standout WR Tank Dell returns from injury, while they added LB Danielle Hunter (16.5 sacks last season) to the defense.

When Buffalo added Diggs in 2020, they went from a 10-win team to a 13-win team. Houston and Stroud could do that this season.

BET C.J. STROUD to win NFL MVP (+1000).

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Best bet: Vikings’ Justin Jefferson to lead NFL in receiving touchdowns

Analyzing the 2023 NFL odds for most receiving touchdowns, including an expert prediction and best bet.

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When speaking about the elite wide receivers in the NFL, there’s no doubt that Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson should be one of the first names mentioned. Since entering the NFL in 2020, Jefferson has been nothing but productive out wide, and he’s poised for another stellar campaign this season.

With the Vikings looking to be a pass-heavy team again, there is tremendous value in taking Jefferson to lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns this season.

Below, we look at the 2023 NFL receiving TDs leader odds at BetMGM Sportsbook and tab the best bet to make, adding to SportsbookWire.com’s expert NFL picks and predictions.

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2023 NFL odds: Most receiving TDs

*-Regular season only

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, Aug. 23 , at 7:59 p.m. ET.

Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals (+650)
Davante Adams, Las Vegas Raiders (+850)
Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs (+850)
A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles (+1000)
Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills (+1000)
Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins (+1100)
JUSTIN JEFFERSON, MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+1200)
Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams (+1300)
CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys (+1400)
Garrett Wilson, New York Jets (+1800)

OTHERS

+2000: Amari Cooper (Browns), Tee Higgins (Bengals), D.K. Metcalf (Seahawks), Calvin Ridley (Jaguars)

+2500: Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins), Mike Williams (Chargers)

+3000: Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions), Devonta Smith (Eagles)

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2023 NFL best bet: Most receiving TDs

WR Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings (+1200)

In each of Jefferson’s first 3 seasons in the NFL, he’s tallied at least 88 receptions, 1,400 receiving yards, and 7 receiving touchdowns for the Vikings. Just last season, he led the league in targets (184), receptions (128), and receiving yards (1,809).

While 8 receiving TDs was a solid output by Jefferson a season ago, he had 10 in 2021. And there’s reason to believe he can see an uptick in touchdowns this season.

The All-Pro wideout led the NFL in routes run in 2022 and in the red zone, Jefferson tied Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce for a league-best 19 targets inside the opponent’s 20-yard line, according to Pro Football Reference. The only problem is that Jefferson caught only 9 of those targets and 5 of them resulted in touchdowns.

After moving on from RB Dalvin Cook this offseason and having a pass-oriented offense under coach Kevin O’Connell, Jefferson should see plenty of scoring opportunities again this season.

Jefferson is arguably the best wide receiver in the NFL, and for him to have the 6th-best odds to lead the league in receiving touchdowns in an offense that has a path toward having the most pass attempts is peculiar.

BET JUSTIN JEFFERSON to record the MOST RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS (+1200) this season.

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Best bet: Chargers’ Justin Herbert to lead NFL in passing touchdowns

Analyzing the 2023 NFL odds for most passing touchdowns, including an expert prediction and best bet.

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The Los Angeles Chargers are a team seemingly on the rise entering the 2023 season, in large part due to QB Justin Herbert operating the offense. Herbert is entering his fourth season in the NFL and he’s one of the most exciting quarterbacks to watch every week.

Ahead of the 2023 campaign, the Chargers have done a great job surrounding Herbert with plenty of weapons in the passing game. With a deep arsenal and a new offensive coordinator in Kellen Moore, Herbert is a fantastic bet to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns this season.

Below, we look at the 2023 NFL passing TDs leader odds at BetMGM Sportsbook and tab the best bet to make, adding to SportsbookWire.com’s expert NFL picks and predictions.

2023 NFL odds: Most passing TDs

*-Regular season only

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday, Aug. 22, at 6:57 a.m. ET.

Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs (+200)
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (+450)
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (+600)
JUSTIN HERBERT, Los Angeles Chargers (+700)
Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets (+900)
Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings (+1200)
Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins (+1600)

OTHERS

+2000: Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars), Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

+2500: Jared Goff (Lions), Lamar Jackson (Ravens)

+3000: Geno Smith (Seahawks), Russell Wilson (Broncos)

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2023 NFL best bet: Most passing TDs

QB Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers (+700)

Since entering the NFL in 2020, Herbert has been one of the most prolific passers due to his arm strength and accuracy. On the outside looking in, Herbert’s 2022 campaign was a disappointing one as he threw for 4,739 yards, but he finished with a career-worst 25 passing touchdowns.

Herbert’s metrics across the board were down in 2022 as he had only 4.5 air yards per completion (2nd lowest in the NFL) and 6.7 intended air yards per attempt (3rd lowest in the NFL).

The Chargers lost standout LT Rashawn Slater to an injury early in the 2022 season, which certainly didn’t help Herbert down the stretch. But on top of that, former offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi didn’t seem to maximize Herbert’s strengths.

Moore is now calling the shots on offense, and he’s known as a more aggressive play caller. Prescott had 30 touchdowns in 2019 and 37 touchdowns in 2021 with Moore as his offensive coordinator in Dallas.

Besides Moore, the Chargers have a talented wide receiver trio in WR Keenan Allen, WR Mike Williams, and rookie WR Quentin Johnston. Also, RB Austin Ekeler and TE Gerald Everett figure to have decent-sized roles in the aerial attack.

More explosive plays should aid Herbert in the passing touchdown department and the improved situation around him makes the Chargers QB a prime candidate to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns in 2023.

BET JUSTIN HERBERT to finish with the MOST PASSING TOUCHDOWNS (+700) in the upcoming season.

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Value play: Bet Seahawks’ Devon Witherspoon to win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year

Analyzing the 2023 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds, including an expert prediction and best bet.

The Seattle Seahawks are a team that many believe could make another jump in 2023 after making the playoffs in 2022. While the offense improved with QB Geno Smith under center, the Seahawks strengthened their secondary by taking CB Devon Witherspoon (Illinois) with the 5th overall pick in this year’s draft.

Ahead of the upcoming season, Seattle has the 13th-best odds to win the Super Bowl (+3000) and the 5th-best odds to win the NFC (+1200). On the other hand, the Seahawks have the 2nd-best odds to secure the NFC West crown (+200) — the San Francisco 49ers are the favorites at -165 odds.

With the Seahawks expected to compete in a wide-open NFC this season, taking Witherspoon to win the NFL’s Defensive Rookie of the Year award (+900) has great value in 2023.

Below, we look at the 2023 NFL DROY odds at BetMGM Sportsbook – with the best suggestion among our expert NFL picks and predictions.

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2023 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, June 26, at 4:24 p.m. ET.

DE Will Anderson, Houston Texans (+400)
DT Jalen Carter, Philadelphia Eagles (+600)
LB Tyree Wilson, Las Vegas Raiders (+700)
CB DEVON WITHERSPOON, Seattle Seahawks (+900)
CB Christian Gonzalez, New England Patriots (+1000)
LB Lukas Van Ness, Green Bay Packers (+1400)
DE Calijah Kancey, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1600)
CB Emmanuel Forbes, Washington Commanders (+1600)

OTHERS

+2000: CB Deonte Banks (Giants), DB Brian Branch (Lions), LB Jack Campbell (Lions), DE Felix Anudike-Uzomah (Chiefs)

+2500: LB Nolan Smith (Eagles), LB Drew Sanders (Broncos), DE Will McDonald IV (Jets), DE Keion White (Patriots), CB Cameron Smith (Dolphins)

For full list, see BetMGM Sportsbook.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year best bet

CB Devon Witherspoon, Seattle Seahawks (+900)

When we’re looking for someone to wager on to win the NFL’s Defensive Rookie of the Year award, we understandably want to focus on players that are going to be on the field often. In each of the last 5 years, the winner of the award has logged 76% or more of their team’s defensive snaps.

After getting stellar production from CB Tariq Woolen as a rookie in 2022, the Seahawks took Witherspoon in the 2023 draft to give them a young, exciting cornerback duo for years to come. Witherspoon should start immediately and the Illinois product could see plenty of opportunities to make plays on the ball in his 1st NFL season.

Witherspoon is coming off a 2022 campaign with Illinois where he registered 14 pass breakups and 3 interceptions. With teams around the NFL throwing more than ever, the rookie cornerback will certainly have chances to force turnovers for the Seahawks.

Pass rushers may be viewed as the favorites to win the award, but cornerbacks have received some love in recent years. Since 2015, there have been 3 cornerbacks to win Defensive Rookie of the Year — Kansas City’s Marcus Peters won in 2015, New Orleans’ Marshon Lattimore in 2017 and New York Jets’ Sauce Gardner last season.

BET DEVON WITHERSPOON to win NFL DEFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR (+900) in 2023.

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