The best remaining NFL free agents for 2021

NFL teams committed a truckload of money to their own players and other teams’ former players on Monday. There’s still a lot of talent left.

In the first day of the 2020 legal tampering period, NFL teams threw millions of dollars at their own players to re-sign, and committed future dollars which will become real when the 2021 league year kicks in on Wednesday, March 17 at 4:00 p.m. ET.

Still, as shot-callers for NFL teams wake up bleary-eyed on Tuesday morning, there’s still a ton of business to be done. There are still all kinds of quality free agents at every position, and here are the most prominent names left on the open market.

Grading EDGE Bud Dupree’s deal with the Titans: B

The Titans may have slightly overpaid Bud Dupree, but there’s an argument to be made that they had no choice.

The Titans had already agreed to terms with former Colts defensive lineman Denico Autry to shore up what was a pathetic pass rush plan in 2020, and the addition of ex-Steelers edge-rusher Bud Dupree certainly does make things more interesting. Per Ian Rapoport of the NFL Network, Dupree has agreed to terms on a multi-year deal worth a maximum of $16.5 million per year.

Dupree is a better player than people think he is, and we haven’t seen the actual contract numbers yet, but if he’s being paid like an elite edge guy ($16.5 million per year would exactly match the contracts given to Arizona’s Chandler Jones and Green Bay’s Za’Darius Smith), Dupree will have to elevate his game a bit to match that scratch, but he was on his way to that general neighborhood in 2020 before injuries got in the way.

Though his sack numbers have varied pretty wildly from season to season, Dupree has proven to be pretty consistent when it comes to total quarterback pressures — he’s had at least 42 every year since 2017, and 43 in a 2020 season that ended for him in Week 12 due to a torn ACL. Of course, when your bookend on the defensive line has 75 pressures (hello, T.J. Watt), and you’re on the same line with a guy like Cameron Heyward who can wreck half an offensive line whenever he wants to, the automatic assumption is that Dupree is more a product of his environment than a force on his own.

While there may be some truth to that in a general sense, when you isolate Dupree on tape, he’s perfectly capable of making his own statements with an impressive array of pass-rushing techniques.

Here, in Week 11, he just bombs Jaguars left tackle Cam Robinson (who’s also in our Top 101 free agents list) with a long-arm power move straight out of the Von Miller playbook to sack quarterback Jake Luton…

…and here, in Week 8, he displays his ability to work in traffic to close quickly to and through the pocket to force a Lamar Jackson fumble. One of the more impressive effort sacks of the 2020 season.

Dupree was on pace to have his best season before he was injured, and as long as everything checks out in that regard, he’ll do very well in Tennessee’s front, and as an occasional off-ball linebacker. It’ll be very interesting to see how the Titans choose to align Dupree and Autry in the same front.

Grading EDGE Carl Lawson’s deal with the Jets: B

Carl Lawson won’t fix all of the Jets’ pass-rush problems, but he’ll provide a lot of juice on the way to the quarterback.

The Jets had 99 problems in 2020, and pass rush was definitely one of them. Despite (or perhaps because of) Gregg Williams’ aggressive concepts, Gang Green had just 31 sacks and 141 total pressures. New head coach Robert Saleh and defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich will put forth smarter concepts, and they’ll have a real fireplug to help carry them out — former Bengals edge defender Carl Lawson. Per Ian Rapoport of the NFL Network, Lawson has agreed to terms on a three-year, $45 million deal with $30 million guaranteed.

The numbers are a bit steep, but the Jets have the cap space, and they could do a whole lot worse.

The Bengals’ defense was a schematic disaster under defensive coordinator Lou Anaromo over the last two seasons, especially when it comes to coverage, but Lawson didn’t let that affect his pass-rush abilities. Last season, in 16 games and 11 starts, Lawson put up 3.5 sacks, 24 quarterback hits, 34 quarterback hurries, 20 stops, and two forced fumbles.

Lawson has all the tools you want in an edge-rusher. He can bend the edge and “dip-and-rip” to the pocket, he’s very good at converting speed to power when it’s time to bull-rush a tackle, and as he showed in this Week 15 sack of Ben Roethlisberger against Alejandro Villanueva, he’s got an inside counter that’s very tough to deal with.

Oh… and if you want an edge-rusher with ridiculous upper-body strength, here’s Lawson throwing Eagles left tackle Jason Peters aside with one hand to get to Carson Wentz.

Given his skill set and his pressure numbers in a dysfunctional defense, don’t be surprised if Lawson is a double-digit sack artist in Saleh’s system.

Grading EDGE Yannick Ngakoue’s deal with the Raiders: B

Yannick Ngakoue isn’t quite what he used to be, but his addition to the Raiders’ defensive line is a necessary game-changer.

The Raiders have been trying in vain to find consistent pass-rush help since they traded Khalil Mack before the 2018 season, with iffy results. Last year, the team had just 21 sacks and 147 pressures, and that didn’t help a questionable secondary. With the switch in defensive coordinator from Paul Guenther to Gus Bradley, the Raiders are going to try and jump-start that edge pressure with the addition of Yannick Ngakoue, who agreed to terms on a two-year, $26 million deal. Ngakoue reunites with Bradley, who was Jacksonville’s head coach in 2016 when the Jaguars selected Ngakoue in the third round of the draft out of Maryland.

Ngakoue has played for three different teams in three different systems since the start of the 2019 season — the Jaguars in 2019, the Vikings for six weeks in 2020 after Jacksonville traded him there, and the Ravens to finish out the 2020 season after another trade. Wherever he lined up, Ngakoue proved able to disrupt quarterbacks. He’s had 95 total pressures in the last two seasons on 964 pass-rushing snaps, though he was used in a more limited role than expected in Baltimore.

“We had a unique situation here with all the outside ‘backers we had,” Ravens head coach John Harbaugh said in January of Ngakoue’s possible future with the team. “So, going forward, if he chooses, and we work it out and he’s here, it’ll be a little different, because he’ll be here from the beginning, and he’ll be starting, and he’ll get a lot more snaps than he got this year.”

The tape certainly showed that Ngakoue still has a lot to offer as an edge-rusher — he zapped his old Jacksonville team for two sacks with the Ravens in Week 15, and here with the Vikings, he went through Seahawks tight end Greg Olsen and left tackle Duane Brown to take Russell Wilson down on a third-and-24 play.

Ngakoue has always been a great effort player when it comes to pressure, and he’ll bring that to a Raiders team in desperate need of it.

Grading WR Corey Davis’ deal with the Jets: A-

The Jets desperately needed receiver help, and they got it in the person of former Titans target Corey Davis.

Last season, the Jets ranked 31st in the NFL in passing yards, 28th in passing touchdowns, and dead last in passing first downs. Former head coach and “offensive play-designer” Adam Gase was most of the problem. Quarterback Sam Darnold was part of the problem. Another part of the problem is that Darnold’s primary targets were Jamison Crowder, Breshad Perriman, Braxton Berrios, Chris Herndon, and Denzel Mims. If your response to that lineup is, “Who?”, that’s kind of the point.

On Monday, the Jets took a big step forward in improving that anonymous receiver corps by agreeing to terms with former Titans receiver Corey Davis. Per ESPN’s Adam Schefter, it’s a three-year, $37.5 million deal with $27 million in guaranteed money.

With the emergence of A.J. Brown as a true threat in the passing game for the Titans last season, Davis settled into a role as perhaps the second fiddle in the team’s passing attack. But there was a stretch in the middle of the 2020 campaign that highlighted some of what makes him a dangerous threat in the downfield passing game. In games against the Cleveland Browns and the Detroit Lions, Davis caught 14 passes for 292 yards and a pair of touchdowns, showing that when given the opportunity he can be a factor as well for an offense.

What stands out watching Davis on film is how well he maintains speed on his breaks. Whether working towards the middle of the field or the sideline, Davis accelerates into and out of cuts, gaining and/or extending separation away from the nearest defenders.

In terms of a scheme fit, Davis projects best to more vertical offenses. He can operate in more of a West Coast system that relies on short-area quickness and yardage after the catch, given his ability as a ball-carrier, but I think his best fit is as a downfield weapon operating off the more vertical stem of the route tree. Former 49ers passing game coordinator Mike LaFleur, who worked with Kyle Shanahan in Cleveland and Atlanta as well, is the Jets’ new offensive coordinator, and will most likely feature a passing gave featuring both West Coast and vertical elements. So, a rather nice fit on a team where he immediately becomes the alpha receiver for whoever quarterbacks the Jets in 2021 and beyond.

Grading CB Cam Sutton’s re-signing with the Steelers: B

The Steelers need slot defenders to make their defense work, and re-signing Cam Sutton is a big part of that.

The Steelers were able to retain a key — albeit underrated — part of their defense on Monday with the re-signing of cornerback Cam Sutton. Per Tom Pelissero of the NFL Network, it’s a two-year deal worth $9 million.

Sutton was Pittsburgh’s primary slot defender in 2020, lining up there on 198 coverage snaps. He allowed 24 receptions on 38 targets in the slot for 248 yards, 93 yards after the catch, one touchdown, one interception, and an opponent passer rating of 79.7. Sutton was even better in the slot in 2019, giving up just eight catches on 15 targets for 62 yards, 17 yards after the catch, no touchdowns, no interceptions, and an opponent passer rating of 63.8.

For a team that played with five defensive backs on 221 opponent dropbacks, and with six defensive backs on 162 dropbacks last season, getting those inside guys signed is a big deal, and Sutton has proven his worth.

Grading Corey Linsley’s deal with the Chargers: A

The Chargers went from worst to best at the center position with the addition of Corey Linsley.

When you have a franchise quarterback, it behooves you to do everything possible to protect him. The Chargers unquestionably have That Guy in Justin Herbert, but in Herbert’s rookie season, per Pro Football Focus, he was pressured on 239 of his 653 dropbacks — only Russell Wilson was pressured more often.

Center Dan Feeney was definitely part of the problem — in 729 pass-blocking snaps, he allowed four sacks, five quarterback hits, and 24 quarterback hurries. That tied him with Connor McGovern of the Jets for the most total pressures (33) allowed by any center. Now, with a five-year, $62.5 million deal given to former Packers center Corey Linsley (which, per Mike Garafolo and Tom Pelissero of the NFL Network, makes Linsley the league’s highest-paid center), the Chargers go from the bottom of the barrel to the NFL’s penthouse at the position. Linsley allowed just four total pressures last season on 437 pass-blocking snaps — the lowest pressure total in the NFL.

Linsley is coming off one of his best seasons as a professional, as he allowed just a single sack during the regular season, back in Week 10 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. He was at times dominant as a run blocker, helping pave the way for the Packers talented stable of running backs. In terms of pass protection, according to charting data from Pro Football Focus he allowed just a pair of quarterback hits this past regular season, both of which came against the Chicago Bears in Week 17 (that is in addition to the sack allowed in Week 10 to the Jaguars).

This play against the Detroit Lions highlights what he offers in terms of pass protection:

After delivering the shotgun snap Linsley slides to the outside to meet the threat of the slanting defensive tackle. While the DT has a buildup of speed on his pass-rushing attempt, Linsley is able to control the defender and keep the pocket clean for Aaron Rodgers, giving his QB time to hit on a downfield throw. Linsley made Rodgers very happy for a long time, and he’ll do the same for Herbert.

Grading S John Johnson III’s deal with the Browns: A

The Browns’ safety rotation was a disaster in 2020, but it’s about to get a lot better with John Johnson III.

In 2020, the Browns went 11-5 and made the postseason for the first time since 2002. They did it with a roster that is stacked at most every position, but there was one major liability for the team, and that was the safety position. Cleveland selected LSU safety Grant Delpit with the 44th overall pick in the second round of the 2020 draft, but Delpit missed his entire rookie season due to a torn Achilles tendon he suffered in training camp. In place of Delpit, the Browns put four different safeties on the field: Sheldrick Redwine, Andrew Sendejo, Ronnie Harrison, and Karl Joseph, and those four players combined to allow 14 touchdowns to just three interceptions.

Targeting former Rams safety John Johnson III to a three-year, $33.75 million deal with $24 million guaranteed is a great way to improve what should be a much better safety rotation with Johnson and a healthy Delpit.

Coverage stats for safeties aren’t generally illustrative of their play on the field, and that tends to be more true at that position than others. To accurately discern responsibility for coverage is just tougher when you’re dealing with deep safeties who are more often than not coming down to stop plays than they are rolling deep with speed receivers. So when we reveal the 2020 coverage stats per Pro Football Focus for Johnson — 55 receptions allowed on 73 targets for 390 yards, 235 air yards, three touchdowns, one interception, nine pass breakups, and an opponent passer rating of 95.1 — you may think we’re talking about an average pass defender.

Then, you see the plays Jackson makes all over the place, and his value becomes clearer .The nine pass deflections last season, though? Pay attention to that, because while Johnson isn’t a ballhawk in the traditional sense with just nine interceptions in his four-year career, he is a plus-level disruptor at the catch point.

Watch, for example, how Johnson comes down in spun single-high coverage to slow-play Rob Gronkowski over the middle in Week 11, making Tom Brady think he’s got the throw to his old buddy, when he really doesn’t.

If you want positional versatility… well, Johnson played 164 snaps in the slot last season, and here in the wild-card round against the Seahawks, he’s just waiting to whack the heck out of D.K. Metcalf, one of the NFL’s most physical receivers, to interrupt yet another pass.

Johnson is also a fine run defender, and he’s got the 31 stops in the 2020 season to prove it. His interception numbers may not overwhelm, but that doesn’t stop Johnson from being one of the most complete safeties in the league — and a clear asset for any NFL defense. He was also the on-field shot-caller for Brandon Staley’s defense in 2020, so he’ll bring that acumen to a Browns defense that could really use it.

Grading LB Jarrad Davis’ deal with the Jets: C

The Jets ponied up for ex-Lions linebacker Jarrad Davis. Was it the right move?

If we were to list all of the Detroit Lions defensive players who were used in ways that didn’t play best to their attributes, we’d have to shut down our free agency coverage and focus just on that. The Lions were the NFL’s worst team in man coverage last season, so of course, they played a ton of it. One specific player other NFL teams were convinced could be better in a different set of schemes was linebacker Jarrad Davis, who agreed to terms on a one-year, $7 million deal with the Jets on Monday.

I reached out to Jeff Risdon, editor of our sister site Lions Wire, for the inside view of Davis’ attribute and liabilities:

Risdon also told me that Davis is better in man coverage, which… well, the Lions just lost their one guy who’s better in man coverage. In any event, David will have to project well as a run-and-chase linebacker in head coach Robert Saleh’s scheme, and as the 49ers’ defensive coordinator, Saleh had his players running a lot of zone defense. Perhaps Davis will be a specialty blitzer? Either way, $7 million base is a lot to pay for what seems like a strange scheme fit, but perhaps getting away from the Lions is the best thing that can happen to the former first-round pick.

Grading DB Jalen Mills’ deal with the Patriots: B

The Patriots are taking a chance on former Eagles defensive back Jalen Mills, but it’s unwise to bet against Bill Belichick’s DB acumen.

Bill Belichick has always appreciated defensive backs who can full multiple roles, and in former Eagles defensive back Jalen Mills, he will now have another one of those players. Per ESPN’s Adam Schefter, Mills will sign a four-year, $24 million deal with $9 million when the new league years begins on Wednesday.

The obvious story in Philly last season was the implosion of Carson Wentz, but another reason the Eagles finished 4-11-1 was that their defense — especially their pass defense — was not exactly a fountain of greatness. The Eagles finished 24th in pass defense DVOA and allowed 27 touchdowns to just eight interceptions, with linebacker Nathan Gerry, and cornerbacks Darius Slay, Nickell Robey-Coleman, Michael Jacquet III, and Avonte Maddox as the primary instigators.

One guy in that secondary who didn’t wind up with as much egg on his face was Jalen Mills, who alternated between strong safety and slot defender and allowed 30 catches on 49 targets for 374 yards, 188 yards after the catch, two touchdowns, one interception, and an opponent passer rating of 90.0. This after two straight seasons in which he was far more exposed in coverage as an outside cornerback. The Eagles made that move because they needed to replace Malcolm Jenkins, and it worked out pretty well for all involved.

“I feel like at my position, my competitiveness and the position that I (know) this Eagles defense is going to be able to put me in to make the plays that I know I can make, that I’m going to have a breakout season,” Mills told 97.5 The Fanatics’ Rob Maaddivia NJ.com. “I’m ready for it, so as far as when we’re talking about any type of other players and bringing in other guys, especially at the safety position, I definitely feel like I can hold my own.”

Pretty impressive to make such a switch in a season when COVID limited practice time pretty severely, especially in the preseason. Mills could make even more of an impact as both a safety and slot defender with another year of those concepts under his belt. Mills is a decent fit for a team that loves to play man coverage — in Cover-0, Cover-1, and 2-Man coverages as both a slot defender and safety, he allowed 11 catches on 21 targets for 174 yards, and a touchdown. Not overwhelmingly great, but we’ve seen enough DBs go from other teams to the Patriots and improve exponentially to avoid doubting Belichick on this one.