Browns’ Kevin Stefanski the early favorite to win NFL coach of the year

Stefanski would be the 1st repeat winner since Joe Gibbs in 1983

Kevin Stefanski captured the NFL’s coach of the year honor in his first season at the helm of the Cleveland Browns. The impressive debut in Cleveland in 2020 leaves Stefanski as the early favorite to win the honor once again in 2021.

The odds for the 2021 NFL coach of the year at BetMGM are updated after the schedule release, and Stefanski stands on a tier all his own as the favorite. Stefanski has a +1200 line, well ahead of a cluster of other coaches at +1600 that includes Andy Reid of the Kansas City Chiefs and Sean McVay of the Los Angeles Rams.

It would be quite a feat for Stefanski to repeat. No person has won NFL coach of the year twice in a row since Joe Gibbs in 1982-1983.

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Texans’ David Culley tied for the worst odds to win NFL coach of the year

Houston Texans coach David Culley is tied for the worst odds to win the Associated Press’ NFL Coach of the Year.

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One of the greatest attributes about David Culley is his ability to believe in himself no matter the circumstances around him.

That aspect is good news, because hardly anybody outside of NRG Stadium is giving the new Houston Texans’ rookie coach a chance.

According to BetMGM, Culley has the same odds to win the Associated Press’ NFL Coach of the Year for 2021 as the Cincinnati Bengals’ Zac Taylor does: +6600. The odds are tied for the worst in the NFL.

Among rookie coaches, Brandon Staley leads the way with +1600 odds, which are actually tied with Sean McVay, Brian Flores, Andy Reid, and Kyle Shanahan for the second-best in the entire league.

The New York Jets’ Robert Saleh has +1800 odds, which are even better than Bill Belichick’s +2000. Arthur Smith of the Atlanta Falcons has +2500. Even Urban Meyer is at +3500 with Dan Campbell of the Detroit Lions and Nick Sirianni of the Philadelphia Eagles at +5000.

Although the Texans aren’t expected to have a good season, it isn’t unprecedented for a coach to win coach of the year amid a losing campaign. In 1990, the Dallas Cowboys’ Jimmy Johnson won the award after posting a 7-9 record following a 1-15 mark in his first season in the league.

If the Texans are able to get within a win of a playoff berth, just as the ’90 Cowboys were, then award voters need to consider giving Culley his just due. However, if the Texans indeed are a basement dweller in the AFC South, then voters need to wait until 2022 to evaluate whether Culley can get a handle on the problems ailing the Texans.

For more information on the rest of the NFL and college football, please check out our sister site, the Sportsbook Wire.


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Kevin Stefanski wins NFL coach of the year honors

The Browns coach wins the award in his first season

Congratulations are in order for Cleveland Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski. The first-year coach won the NFL’s coach of the year award for the 2020 season.

Stefanski was the winner in his rookie campaign after leading the Browns to an 11-5 finish in the regular season and the team’s first postseason berth since 2003. His Browns also won a playoff game for the first time in over 25 years before falling just short of the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC’s divisional round.

He is the first Browns coach to win the award since Forrest Gregg captured the honor for the 1976 season.

It’s a remarkable accomplishment for Stefanski and the Browns given the strange circumstances of playing the season in a global pandemic with no preseason and radical changes to the defensive personnel.

Good job, coach Stefanski, you earned it!

The NFL’s Week 14 Overreaction Index: Coach of the Year Edition

Brian Flores, Andy Reid, Sean McVay and more lead Touchdown Wire’s list of Coach of the Year candidates.

As the end of both the calendar year and the NFL season approach, that means year-end articles are coming into view. Soon every website and media outlet will be filled with “Best of” type pieces, and while those could be a heavy lift for some outlets given everything that 2020 has put in our laps, in the football world there are still reasons to celebrate.

Particularly when it comes to NFL head coaches. When thinking about potential Coach of the Year winners there is no shortage of candidates. From veteran head coaches like Andy Reid and Bill Belichick, to the next generation of coaches like Sean McVay and Brian Flores, there have been some great coaching jobs this year.

Here is a look at each potential candidate, and whether their selection as Coach of the Year would be an overreaction or not.

Kevin Stefanski should be the NFL’s Coach of the Year

Stefanski has the Browns at 8-3 despite a multitude of obstacles in his way

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The Cleveland Browns are 8-3 and heading into December with a great deal hanging on every game. The Browns had a good roster on paper in the 2019 season and things didn’t go as planned, finishing 6-10 and in an ugly fashion. It has been clear for some time that it was going to take some special people to extricate the Browns from what they had become for the last 20 years.

If you were to query a randomly selected group of Browns fans about why the team was so bad and why it continued year in and year out, you would get a multitude of different answers with phrases like “poor culture,” “no continuity,” “lack of discipline,” “bad ownership,” “inadequate leadership” and with “no talent” leading the way.

After some combination of work from general managers Sashi Brown and John Dorsey, we were able to peel off the “no talent” label. Many of us thought this was the answer to our problems, yet the same old phrases remained at the end of the 2019 season.

For the Browns, the 2020 season brought on yet another regime change. Chief strategy officer Paul DePodesta got his way and they hired the 38-year old Kevin Stefanski as head coach, pairing him with the youngest GM in NFL history in Andrew Berry.

2020 also brought what seemed like endless obstacles for the NFL. The Browns were firmly placed behind the eight ball, forced to forge ahead without any real offseason. Let’s not undervalue what an advantage any level of continuity has meant to teams around the NFL this season. The Browns had none.

They devised a plan and Stefanski virtually met his team. His first season as an NFL head coach kicked off completely reliant on communication with staff and players over an endless stream of zoom calls.

Kevin Stefanski should be Coach of the Year in the NFL. How do you change a culture as fast as he has? How do you find a way to reach all your players on a personal level in a normal year let alone 2020? How do you instill the buy-in needed to win in the NFL? How you teach a very youthful football team how to win? I don’t know, but he did it.

You start to see that things have really changed when a guy like WR Rashard Higgins doesn’t dress for multiple weeks at the beginning season. He doesn’t complain and instead stays ready. He gets his opportunity in Week 5 and comes up big with three catches and a touchdown. What would you expect a guy to say about his coach at that point? Not this…

Coach believes in me. I would not be on the team for no reason. He knows what I am capable of, and I do at a high level every time. He kept me on the team for a reason. He believed in me. He trusts in me. The whole staff upstairs, they believe in me. They know what I am capable of. There is nothing to question. I am on the team for a reason. When I am called upon, I have to do my job.” 

That’s a big difference from the back and forth between him and Kitchens in 2019.

That sounds like buy-in.

“We all believe in him. Hell of a coach. He knows what he is doing. With a great leader like that, he knows the way. He is showing us the way, and if we do it correctly, we will win games. It is obviously showing. He is doing a hell of a job leading the pack. What a great leader he is for us.” 

When the players start sounding like the coach, using the same language and answering questions in the same manner, things are changing. That’s buy-in.

He is the adult in the room they have needed, while still inspiring wholesale belief in him and his staff. Taking an organization that has been in a rut for two decades and making them believe they are different is no small task.

His game planning is organized and sound. His play-calling has been excellent and he is putting his players in a position to be successful.

The Cleveland Browns are 8-3 and they are without their star wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr., second-round draft pick Grant Delpit, plus an always-expanding list of weekly injuries to deal with. Despite all of it, they never have deterred from their vision. A vision instilled by and shared with their head coach.

Kevin Stefanski needs to be the Coach of the Year in the NFL. I don’t think it is really that close when accounting for everything he has overcome, the most powerful of which being the 20 years of losing that came before him.

 

Matt Rhule has long odds to win NFL coach of the year

Matt Rhule has long odds to win NFL coach of the year

Panthers coach Matt Rhule comes into the NFL as one of the highest-paid coaches, making even more than Andy Reid per year. He’s going to have to earn his money. Rhule has inherited one of the league’s weakest rosters and its most difficult schedule this year according to some projections.

The traditional goals for teams like winning the Super Bowl or division or even making the playoffs will likely be out of reach for Carolina this year, no matter how good Rhule is at his job.

The challenges ahead are laid clear in Rhule’s odds to win the Coach of the Year award. According to BetMGM, Rhule is at +4000, or 40/1. That ties him for the fourth-worst odds in the NFL.

Here’s where all 32 coaches stand.

Bill Belichick (Patriots): +1000

Bruce Arians (Buccaneers): +1400

Mike McCarthy (Cowboys): +1400

Kyle Shanahan (49ers): +1600

Frank Reich (Colts): +2000

Sean McDermott (Bills): +2000

Mike Vrabel (Titans): +2000

Andy Reid (Chiefs): +2000

John Harbaugh (Ravens): +2000

Sean Payton (Saints): +2200

Sean McVay (Rams): +2200

Pete Carroll (Seahawks): +2500

Mike Tomlin (Steelers): +2500

Zac Taylor (Bengals): +2500

Vic Fangio (Broncos): +2500

Doug Pederson (Eagles): +2800

Ron Rivera (Redskins): +2800

Anthony Lynn (Chargers): +2800

Matt LaFleur (Packers): +3000

Mike Zimmer (Vikings): +3000

Dan Quinn (Falcons): +3000

Matt Rhule (Panthers): +4000

Matt Nagy (Bears): +4000

Adam Gase (Jets): +4000

Joe Judge (Giants): +4000

Jon Gruden (Raiders): +4000

Matt Patricia (Lions): +5000

Bill O’Brien (Texans): +5000

Doug Marrone (Jaguars): +5000

Realistically, if Rhule is going to have any chance to win the award the Panthers will have to win 10 games and earn a wild card spot. We’re projecting a 6-10 season, but some have them being as bad as 3-13.

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Don’t bet on Adam Gase to win Coach of the Year in 2020

The New York Jets head coach is tied for the worst odds to win the 2020 AP NFL Coach of the Year award.

Don’t bet on Adam Gase winning the Coach of the Year Award in 2020.

The Jets head coach has the worst odds out of any head coach in the league, according to BetOnline. Gase is tied with Bill O’Brien and Doug Marrone at 50:1 odds to win the 2020 Associated Press Coach of the Year.

After starting his inaugural season with Gang Green at 1-7, Gase found himself on the hot seat just eight games into his second head coaching job. From there, Gase was able to rally the Jets to a 6-2 record in their final eight games, finishing 7-9 on the season. Still, the Jets offense ranked dead last, or close to it, in most major categories.

With Gase calling the shots on offense, the Jets offensive unit ranked 31st in points per game, 32nd in yards per game and 32nd in yards per play. If offensive struggles persist in 2020, his seat will only grow hotter. With Joe Douglas adding multiple reinforcements on the offensive line, there is no longer an excuse for the Jets offense to be stuck in a standstill.

There is not a lot a leeway for Gase with the Jets having the second-toughest strength of schedule in 2020. Right now, Gase is more than a longshot to bring home the 2020 AP Coach of the Year award. Even though Gase was able to right the ship following a disastrous start, he hasn’t exactly inspired a lot of confidence in his ability to be a top head coach. In four seasons at the helm of the Dolphins and the Jets, Gase has a record of 30-35.

Sportsbooks give Texans’ Bill O’Brien the worst odds to be NFL coach of the year

According to BetMGM, Houston Texans coach Bill O’Brien has 50 to 1 odds to win NFL coach of the year, tied for the worst in the league.

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What are the odds Houston Texans coach Bill O’Brien has for NFL coach of the year?

About the same as Doug Marrone and Matt Patricia have ⁠— in other words, not good.

According to BetMGM, the odds O’Brien, Marrone, and Patricia have for winning coach of the year are 50 to 1, tied for the worst odds among all 32 NFL coaches.

Of course, New England Patriots coach Bill Belichick gets the best odds at 10 to 1. Tennessee Titans coach Mike Vrabel gets 14 to 1, the same as new Dallas Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy.

Frank Reich, the Indianapolis Colts coach, has favorable odds at 16 to 1, tied with San Francisco 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan and Arizona Cardinals coach Kliff Kingsbury for the fourth-best in the field.

O’Brien’s offseason moves are not helping his case as the trading of three-time All-Pro receiver DeAndre Hopkins was critically panned. Also having a five-man draft class doesn’t help, even if the intention was to focus on quality, not quantity.


Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

Odds for Titans’ Mike Vrabel to win NFL Coach of the Year in 2020

If the Titans can continue their stellar play from the second half of last season, Mike Vrabel could take home NFL Coach of the Year in 2020.

Tennessee Titans head coach Mike Vrabel oversaw arguably the best turnaround of any team in the entire NFL in 2019.

The Titans started off the season with an abysmal 2-4 start, and it was so bad — particularly on offense — that a rebound was unthinkable.

But then the Titans inserted Ryan Tannehill into the starting lineup in place of Marcus Mariota in Week 7 and things really took off for Tennessee.

Not only did Vrabel’s group finish the season with a 7-3 run to make the playoffs, it also pulled off two upset victories in the postseason against the New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens to make it to the AFC Championship Game.

With the Titans on the upswing, Vrabel is a pretty good bet to take home NFL Coach of the Year honors in 2020.

The oddsmakers seem to think so too, as BetMGM has Vrabel (+1400) near the top of the list of odds for coaches who could win the award this season.

Here’s a look at the top six head coaches in the list of odds.

Kyle Shanahan | 49ers – (+1000)

Frank Reich | Colts – (+1000)

Bill Belichick | Patriots – (+1200)

Sean McDermott | Bills – (+1400)

Bruce Arians | Bucs – (+1400)

Mike Vrabel | Titans – (+1400)

The 2019 winner was Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh, who saw his season end early in the playoffs thanks to the Titans.

Interestingly enough, Vrabel didn’t receive a single vote for the honor despite his team’s incredible turnaround during the regular season. Of course, the award doesn’t include playoff performances or else Vrabel might have gotten it instead.

One Titans coach who did get a vote for an award was offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, who received one vote for NFL Assistant Coach of the Year.

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Ravens coach John Harbaugh wins NFL’s Coach of the Year award

For exceeding expectations, running a unique offense & leading the charge on analytics, John Harbaugh wins the NFL’s Coach of the Year award

The Associated Press has named Baltimore Ravens coach John Harbaugh their Coach of the Year for the 2019 season. It’s an exclamation point on a season in which Harbaugh and the Ravens posted a franchise-best 14-2 record and claimed the No. 1 seed in the AFC for the first time.

Baltimore exceeded all expectations for this season, largely in part to the changes Harbaugh helped make on offense. After years of struggling with a standard run-first offense and traditional quarterback, Harbaugh and the Ravens went all-in on quarterback Lamar Jackson and his unique skillset. It was a decision that was largely panned over the offseason but created a dynamic and exciting offense.

The gutsy call ended up paying dividends immediately for Baltimore this season, as they led the league in points scored and were second in total yards. In a league that has quickly become pass-happy, Harbaugh and the Ravens doubled down on the old-school philosophy and ran the football with aggression and speed, breaking a 41-year old record for the most single-season rushing yards by a team.

Harbaugh also helped lead the NFL into more analytics-driven decision making this season, being viewed by many as the face of football analytics. Relying on the newly created department of statisticians and analytic whizzes, Harbaugh and Baltimore got impressive results. The Ravens were the most aggressive offense on fourth downs, going for it 24 times in the regular season and converting on 17 of them. The 70.8% conversion rate on fourth downs topped the entire NFL and helped keep drives alive, ultimately ending in more points for Baltimore.

Harbaugh has been widely considered to be one of the top coaches in the NFL over his 12 seasons with the Ravens but he stepped up his game in 2019 and was deserving of this recognition.

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