Packers open as 4-point favorites over Buccaneers in NFC title game

Despite a 28-point loss in the first meeting back in October, Matt LaFleur’s team are the early favorite to advance to Super Bowl LV. 

The Green Bay Packers (14-3) will welcome the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13-5) to Lambeau Field for the NFC Championship Game on Sunday.

Despite a 28-point loss in the first meeting back in October, Matt LaFleur’s team is the early favorite to advance to Super Bowl LV.

According to BetMGM, the Packers opened as 4-point favorites over the Buccaneers, who beat the New Orleans Saints as 2.5-point underdogs to advance to the conference title game.

The Packers beat the Los Angeles Rams after opening as a 7-point favorite in the NFC Divisional Round.

Green Bay hasn’t lost since Nov. 22 in Indianapolis. LaFleur’s team will be a betting favorite for the eighth straight game (7-0 in last seven games).

The Packers were 2.5-point favorites during the first meeting, but the Buccaneers used a 38-0 run to beat the Packers 38-10 in Tampa Bay in Week 6.

The Buccaneers won twice as an underdog this season (vs. GB in Week 6, at NO in NFC Divisional Round). They have won six straight games.

The Packers are 12-2 as the favorite this season, including the playoffs.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Quick thoughts on Packers hosting Buccaneers in NFC title game

The Green Bay Packers will host Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday at Lambeau Field.

The Green Bay Packers will host Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday at Lambeau Field.

The top-seeded Packers beat the Los Angeles Rams on Saturday, while the fifth-seeded Buccaneers knocked off the New Orleans Saints on the road on Sunday.

Here are some quick thoughts on the matchup:

– Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady never played in a Super Bowl despite the Packers and Patriots being the two dominant forces in the NFC and AFC for more than a decade. This meeting isn’t the Super Bowl, but close enough. Finally, the world gets a chance to see two of the greatest quarterbacks to ever live battle under the brightest lights.

– The Packers beat Brady during his last trip to Lambeau Field in 2014.

– The Packers turned it over twice in the first meeting, completely changing the entire outlook of the game. A 10-0 lead turned into a 38-10 blowout. The Bucs delivered four takeaways of the Saints on Sunday. The Packers, who are 11-0 without a turnover this year, can’t have any giveaways.

– The Bucs are loaded with talent on offense. Brady completed passes to eight different receivers on Sunday. This was probably the worst possible matchup in the NFC field for the the Packers defense, who will have their hands full. They’ll need a symbiotic relationship between the pass-rush and secondary.

– Getting Aaron Jones involved will be crucial. The Bucs held him to 15 rushing yards on 10 carries in the first meeting. Matt LaFleur and the Packers offensive line must unlock the Bucs defensive front and find ways to negate the speed at linebacker.

– Keep in mind, Jamaal Williams and A.J. Dillon both had runs of 20 or more yards in the first meeting. The Saints averaged 4.2 yards per rush against the Bucs on Sunday. Getting production on the ground against this defense is possible.

– Bucs defensive coordinator Todd Bowles gave Rodgers a really hard time back in October. He disguised coverages well and brought some well-timed blitzes. The guess here is that the Packers will be more prepared for what Bowles is going to show on Sunday.

– Davante Adams caught six passes for 60 yards and was the target on both Rodgers interceptions in the first meeting. Once again, the guess here is the Packers will do a better job of getting the ball to Adams this time around.

– The Packers’ middle of the field defenders must do a better job on Rob Gronkowski, who caught five passes for 76 yards and a score the first meeting.

– The Bucs got 125 rushing yards from Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones on Sunday in New Orleans. They are a tough tandem. Good thing the Packers’ run defense is trending up.

– Once again, the Packers just need to play their game. Efficient passing game, dominate situationally on offense, win the turnover battle and get opportunistic stops on defense. No team, including the Bucs, can beat the Packers if they play their game and avoid major mistakes.

– The Bucs scored four touchdowns on four red-zone trips in the first meeting. The Packers will probably need a stop or two down there on Sunday.

– The colder the better. Brady is incredible, but the Packers will get more and more of an edge the colder it gets at Lambeau Field on Sunday. Remember, this is a Florida team that hasn’t had to play outdoors in the cold. Some snow wouldn’t hurt either.

– Turnovers are going to decide this game. The Packers are 11-0 without a turnover in 2020, but 3-3 with at least one. The Bucs were 1-4 when turning the ball over at least two times, but now 7-0 without a turnover. The team that wins the turnover battle is probably going to Super Bowl LV.

– This is just an epic matchup. Rodgers and Brady. Stars all over the field. An old NFC Central showdown. Late January at Lambeau Field. Get ready for a fun week and an incredible game to determine who represents the NFC in the Super Bowl.

– Early prediction: Packers 31, Buccaneers 27.

Aaron Rodgers’ keys to winning in SF: Start fast, ride the wave, stay poised

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has keys for winning the road in San Francisco during Sunday’s NFC title game.

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers believes his team needs to start fast, ride the emotional wave and stay poised throughout the transitions of momentum to go on the road and beat the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday.

Rodgers outlined some of the keys to winning big games on the road during his press conference Friday.

“It’s the same recipe to winning on the road as in the regular season,” Rodgers said. “You have to go in and start fast, try and take the crowd out of it as much as you can.”

During the first meeting in San Francisco, Rodgers lost a fumble on the first series and handed the 49ers seven easy points. All week, Rodgers has pointed to a faster start as a crucial part of the Packers winning the rematch.

He can reflect back on big road wins in Dallas and Kansas City as evidence for the importance of starting fast.

But even a fast start doesn’t guarantee anything late, and the key to sustaining a fast start is surviving the waves of momentum that happen in every big game against a talented opponent.

“You realize it’s going to be a rollercoaster of momentum as most football games are, especially when you’re playing great teams,” Rodgers said. “You have to ride that wave and make sure you’re on the right side of it. Understand the surge is coming at various times throughout the game. We’re going to need some timely stops from the defense and some important conversions on offense.”

Despite fast starts in Dallas and Kansas City, the Packers needed big plays late to close out the victories. The same will likely be true in San Francisco on Sunday.

The Packers must also avoid in-game hurdles. Big games create opportunities for big mistakes, and mistakes often happen when players try to do too much.

The Packers have tried to keep everything about the preparation phase similar to a normal week so that players don’t feel the need to make it more than it is.

“This is the same type of game. It’s 60 minutes. It’s 11-on-11. It’s all the cliches,” Rodgers said Wednesday. “The problem is when you make it bigger than it needs to be. When you try to do too much. When you try and cover for somebody else in your own mind. That’s when the mistakes happen.”

Composure is the antidote. It’s something the Packers didn’t show much of in the first meeting, especially during the first half as the 49ers raced out to a 23-0 lead in the first half.

However, the Packers have generally played their best late in games this season, and they kept their composure despite a second-half rally from Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks last Sunday. A big defensive stop and two third-down conversions finished it off.

“The key is to stay poised. There will be those huge emotional waves,” Rodgers said. “If we can stay poised and stay focused and make the plays that are there, I feel like we’re going to be in the game and have a great chance to win.”

49ers-Packers odds and lines: San Francisco heavy favorite over Green Bay for NFC Championship

In a battle for the NFC Championship and a trip to the Super Bowl, the San Francisco 49ers are heavy favorites over Green Bay Packers.

The San Francisco 49ers (14-3, including playoffs) host the Green Bay Packers (14-3) for the NFC Championship crown Sunday at 6:40 p.m. ET. This matchup pits the NFC’s No. 1 and No. 2 seeds, respectively, against each other with the winner representing the NFC in Super Bowl LIV.

Packers-49ers odds and lines

If you’re new to sports betting, San Francisco (-345) is a full chalk pick as the heavy favorite vs. Green Bay. It would require a $345 wager to profit $100 with an outright win. Meanwhile, the Packers (+275) enter as the underdog, as a $100 wager on them profits $275 with an upset.


Get some action on this NFL matchup or others and place a bet at BetMGM!


Green Bay is spotted a ridiculously large 7.5 points as the underdog, which means they need to lose by no more than 7 points or outright win in order for a bet against the spread (ATS) to hit for them. BetMGM has a -115 cost on the Packers ATS, while San Francisco carries tax of -106. As the favorite, the 49ers would have to win by at least 8 points in order to cash in on an ATS wager. Look for this line to shrink considerably later in the week; it’s simply too large for two of the best teams facing off.

BetMGM oddsmakers have a conservative Over/Under view, with it set at 44.5 points, with -115 tax on the Over and -106 on the Under. Look for this line to increase later in the week, too, as bettors start to move the line.

Want action on Super Bowl LIV? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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