Newcastle United (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses) welcomes Borussia Dortmund (0-1-1) to St James’ Park Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Newcastle United vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Newcastle sits 6th in the Premier League, the top league in England. United has averaged 2.67 goals per game in league play while allowing 1.00. They are coming off a 4-0 win over Crystal Palace Saturday. Their top scorer is F Alexander Isak, who has 6 goals in 8 matches. Throughout the 1st 2 match days, Newcastle has beaten PSG 4-1 and drawn Milan 0-0.
Dortmund sits 4th in the Bundesliga, the top league in Germany. They average 2.13 goals per game while allowing 1.00. They have a 2-1-0 road record and have won 5 straight league matches. Dortmund drew Milan 0-0 at home and lost to PSG 2-0 on the road to open their group stage. Three players have tallied 3 league goals each for Dortmund, but M Marco Reus, who is 34, is the engine for this midfield and into the attack.
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Newcastle United vs. Borussia Dortmund odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:05 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Newcastle United -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Borussia Dortmund +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Draw +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -165 | U: +120)
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Newcastle United vs. Borussia Dortmund picks and predictions
Prediction
Newcastle United 1, Borussia Dortmund 1
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+310).
Newcastle throttled PSG at home, but United had the exact same amount of expected goals.
Against Milan, they were on the road and had 1.6 fewer expected goals despite earning a draw. While Newcastle has been good in EPL action at home, it did lose to Liverpool, the best opponent it has welcomed to St. James’ Park so far this season.
Similarly, Dortmund drew Milan, and they have yet to lose on the road in league play. They have a talented roster and should be ample to play a close game with Newcastle.
Back DRAW (+310).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (+120).
Dortmund has gone Under this total in both Champions League matches while Newcastle is 1-1 O/U. Dortmund has scored 2 or more goals in 5 matches throughout 11 competitions this season.
Newcastle has scored 2 or more in 6 of 12. Both teams have strong defense as well. United has had a clean sheet in 6 of their last 8 games. Given the strong defenses and the inconsistent offenses, take UNDER 2.5 (+120).
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