New York Yankees World Series pennant division odds win total prediction

The 2022 New York Yankees won 99 games and a postseason series (3-2 AL Division Series triumph over the Cleveland Guardians) before being swept 4-0 by the Houston Astros in the American League Championship Series.

Getting past their nemesis Houston, which also ousted New York from the playoffs in 2017 and 2019, will likely require some more offense. The Yanks logged 12.5 whiffs per game while compiling a .502 OPS in the ALCS. But New York also underplayed its support numbers, solid defense and scoring profile (4.98 runs per game, 3.50 RPG allowed) in filing its 99-63 record.

How New York moves forward — after acquisitions and exits — certainly affects how successful it will be as a betting concern. The Yankees resigned OF Aaron Judge and 1B Anthony Rizzo, and they are hoping youngsters Oswald Peraza and Anthony Volpe — both middle infield prospects — add to a high-octane standard of production. On the mound, RHP Carlos Rodon was signed to bolster the New York pitching staff.

Let’s analyze the New York Yankees’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and AL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.

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New York Yankees World Series odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 20 at 11:36 p.m. ET.

Odds: +750 (bet $100 to win $750)

The Yanks have the 4th shortest odds to win the 2023 Series. The Astros (+600) are the favorites, followed by the Los Angeles Dodgers (+700) and New York Mets (+700) and Yankees (+750).

At +750, New York has an implied probability of winning the World Series of 11.8% or 15/2 fractional odds.

The Oakland A’s have the longest odds at +40000. The Washington Nationals are next at +30000.

With Houston in the way and more than a couple of likable NL teams on the other side, it would be wise to PASS on the Yankees on this play.

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New York Yankees playoff odds

Will they make the playoffs: Yes -500 | No +350

PASS: 83.3% for an implied probability is high. Its likely not that far off, but value is lost.

New York Yankees win total

Over/Under: 94.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

The Yankee bullpen could be a bit down from where it has been the last several seasons. There are enough concerns there and with some injuries that, when added with the extra juice here, cuts into a general Over lean just enough. PASS.

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To win AL East Division

New York Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Toronto Blue Jays +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
Tampa Bay Rays +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
Baltimore Orioles +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)
Boston Red Sox +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)

New York’s implied probability of winning the AL East is 50% or 1/1 fractional odds. With the threat mustered by the Jays and Rays, there is not enough return here. PASS.

To win American League

Odds: +330 (bet $100 to win $330)

The Yankees have an implied probability of 23.26% here. With Judge back, this team’s overall depth in hitting (and some versatility in the lineup), its pitching and its defense, figure this tag as one offering some leverage.

This is not to discount the AL contenders, but the top or near-top of the NL is broader. In the AL, the Astros and Yanks are nearly a 1 and 1a.

BACK NEW YORK (+330).

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The 2021 New York Yankees played .630 baseball (46-27) in the second half of the season and finished 92-70, but were ousted from the playoffs by the Boston Red Sox in an American League Wild Card Game.

The Yankees were third in the AL with a 3.76 ERA, but New York often fizzled for long stretches at the plate and was a below-average team defensively.

Gone are 1B Luke Voit, 3B Gio Urshella, and C Gary Sanchez. Newcomers include 3B Josh Donaldson and SS Isiah Kiner-Falefa, while injured-in-2021 SP Luis Severino and OF Aaron Hicks are expected to be back.

The net result is an assessment that the Yanks will be in the mix of contenders in a tough AL East. Below, we look at the New York Yankees MLB futures odds, including their projected 2022 win total and World Series odds at Tipico Sportsbook.

New York Yankees’ 2022 World Series odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 28 at 3:06 p.m. ET.

Odds: +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)

New York has the fourth-shortest odds to win it all. The Los Angeles Dodgers (+480) are the favorites, followed by the Houston Astros (+900) and Toronto Blue Jays (+900).

At +1200, the Yankees have an implied probability of winning the World Series of 7.69% or 12/1 fractional odds.

Backing the YANKEES (+1200) to win the World Series for a 12-to-1 payoff is worth a partial-unit wager. There is enough of a lean on New York improving enough defensively and some offensively that the Yankees can get into the October scrum. The New York bullpen projects as a strength, and that adds value to the chances in short series.

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New York Yankees’ 2022 playoff odds

Will Yankees make the playoffs: Yes -400 | No +300

Peg the true odds here as being buried in the middle. So, a PASS is in order. A -400 Yes wager needs an over-80% probability to have some value leverage. That’s too pricey.

New York Yankees’ 2022 win total

Over/Under: 92.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

TAKE THE OVER 92.5 (+100). This is a competitive price for a club that was clicking after the break last summer. The emergence of starting pitchers Jordan Montgomery (3.83 ERA in 2021) and Nestor Cortes, Jr. (3.07 ERA as a starter) make for some expected depth in a division where that may loom large.

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Odds to win AL East Division

Toronto Blue Jays +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
New York Yankees +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
Tampa Bay Rays +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
Boston Red Sox +480 (bet $100 to win $480)
Baltimore Orioles +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)

If you can work yourself to a place where you figure New York as a 33% proposition to win the East, there is value here. Figuring on some intra-division regression for the Rays (who went 51-25 vs. East foes last season) and enough fade to the Boston Red Sox, there is leverage to be gained on this YANKEES (+230) play.

Odds to win American League

Odds: +550 (bet $100 to win $550)

The Houston Astros (+425) and Chicago White Sox (+550) get added to the top AL East squads and color the pennant bet a little differently. I would want +600 on New York, so a PASS is suggested.

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