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The New York Rangers (14-12-1) travel upstate to battle the Buffalo Sabres (11-13-4) Wednesday. Puck drop from the KeyBank Center is scheduled for shortly after 7 p.m. ET (TNT / truTV / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Rangers vs. Sabres odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Sabres lead 1-0
The Sabres took the first matchup this season 6-1 as +172 underdogs Nov. 7 at Madison Square Garden with the Over (6.5) hitting. Rangers G Igor Shesterkin was pulled in the second period after already allowing 5 goals on 12 shots.
Both clubs hover around .500 and aim to halt losing streaks.
The Rangers enter on a 2-game slide, recently falling 2-1 as big -235 home favorites to the Chicago Blackhawks Monday. Shesterkin stood tall with 30 saves on 32 shots but was outdueled by Chicago G Arvid Soderblom, who stopped 29 of 30 shots.
Meanwhile, the Sabres are on a 7-game skid, recently suffering a 6-5 shootout loss as -127 home favorites vs. the Detroit Red Wings Monday with the Over (6.5) cashing. It was a tough one for Buffalo, which led 3-2 after the first period and 5-3 after the second. LW Jason Zucker scored 2 goals in the loss.
Both teams feature a skater worth watching for goals. Rangers LW Artemi Panarin and Sabres RW Tage Thompson are tied for eighth in the NHL with 15 tallies.
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Rangers at Sabres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 12:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Sabres +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+170) | Sabres +1.5 (-210)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Rangers at Sabres projected goalies
Igor Shesterkin (9-10-1, 2.95 GAA, .910 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (8-7-3, 2.82 GAA, .902 SV%, 1 SO)
Shesterkin’s tough-luck loss against the woeful Blackhawks marked the third time in 4 games that he only gave up 2 goals. He lost 3 of those games and has sustained an ‘L’ in 6 of his past 7 contests.
The Russian has faced 633 shots, the second-most in the league behind Nashville’s Juuse Saros’ 668. Shesterkin ranks third with 576 saves; Saros has 608 and Winnipeg’s Connor Hellebuyck is second at 583. Shesterkin’s woes can significantly be blamed on a dormant Rangers offense and a defense in transition following Friday’s trade of D Jacob Trouba to Anaheim.
Luukkonen resides in a similar letdown spot, having fallen victim to a Sabres club that allows him to face pepperings continuously. He allowed 5 goals in his last start — against 28 shots — in a 5-2 home loss to Utah Saturday.
The Finn is 0-3-2 in his past 5 games, carrying just a .882 SV% in that window. Compared to Shesterkin’s 6.3 goals saved above expected (13th, per Moneypuck), Luukkonen has significantly lagged at 1.5 (T-30th), so this presents a mismatch.
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Rangers at Sabres picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 3, Sabres 2
Moneyline
A more competent Rangers attack would reward Shesterkin’s form. Though the score doesn’t produce optimism over how much they will score to support their netminder, the Rangers will hit their stride post-Trouba trade.
BET RANGERS (-140).
Puck line/Against the spread
Despite their weak record, Buffalo has overperformed for betting purposes, leveling at 14-14-0 on the puck line.
The score prediction posits the Sabres to lose by just a goal, but this shouldn’t prompt bettors to pounce on Buffalo’s bland -210 PL juice.
PASS.
Over/Under
Given their bouts with inconsistent goaltending, both squads sit at .500 or better on the total. New York at 13-13-1 O/U, while Buffalo is 14-10-4.
However, Shesterkin has thrived on the road so far this season (2.42 GAA/.930 SV%, compared to .331/.895 SV% at Madison Square Garden).
His luck will turn, though the scatterbrained Rangers forecheck likely won’t overperform on offense to the extent that justifies laying the wood on the Over.
BET UNDER 6 (-110).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow @TeamHeaney on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
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