The New York Giants (8-5-1) look to get a step closer to locking down a wild-card spot when they travel to face the Minnesota Vikings (11-3) Saturday at US Bank Stadium at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants at Vikings odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Giants scored a critical 20-12 road win over the Washington Commanders last week to end a skid in which they went 0-3-1. The win gave them a tie-breaker edge over the Commanders, effectively a 2-game lead, as well as a 1.5-game lead over the Detroit Lions and Seattle Seahawks. A win here could go a long way to locking down a playoff spot.
The Vikings have continued to defy the odds, most recently posting the biggest comeback in NFL history, coming back from a 33-0 halftime deficit to the Indianapolis Colts for a 39-36 overtime win the maintain the No. 2 seed in the NFC. Minnesota is 7-1 at home.
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Giants at Vikings odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Vikings -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Giants +4.5 (-111) | Vikings -4.5 (-109)
- Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Giants at Vikings key injuries
Giants
- CB Adoree’ Jackson (knee) out
Vikings
- C Garrett Bradbury (back) out
- CB Cameron Dantzler (ankle) questionable
- LB Eric Kendricks (hip) questionable
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Giants at Vikings picks and predictions
Prediction
Vikings 30, Giants 27
Moneyline
PASS.
The Vikings (-210) are giving up more than twice the return on investment, which is too much to give up on a team that has been in 10 one-score games. Granted, they’re 10-0 in those games, but still too much to give up for a team capable of losing 1 of those games eventually.
Against the spread
TAKE GIANTS +4.5 (-111).
The Vikings defense is quite bad, especially against the pass. While the Giants don’t pass all that well, the threat of the run will keep the Vikings linebackers pinched in, creating a lot of 1-on-1 opportunities that opponents have burned routinely this year.
While I’m convinced the Vikings have the better team and should win, they have displayed a killer instinct only when they’re trailing in the 2nd half — overcoming 4 double-digit deficits in the 4th quarter this season.
When the Vikings have had the lead, they tend to let it get away from them so even a 10- or 11-point lead late could end up resulting in a garbage time touchdown to keep it under this spread.
The Giants are 8-2-1 in 1-score games, so they’re no stranger to games coming down to the very end before being decided.
Over/Under
BET OVER 49.5 (-109).
The Vikings have allowed 22 or more points in 11 of their last 13 games and have allowed 70 in their 2 games. In the 11 games in that span that the Vikings have allowed 22 or more points, they have a record of 9-2 — meaning they have the offensive pop to score a slew of points themselves.
For a team with a record as good as theirs, allowing this many points has become a disturbing trend that has many believing Minnesota’s run in the playoffs will be brief.
The Giants are far from an offensive juggernaut, but have scored 20 or more points in 9 of their last 11 games and each of their last 4.
This combination means that in a week when half the games have an Over/Under of 40 or less this game won’t be 1 of them and the Over seems almost inevitable.
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