The New York Mets (60-62) and Los Angeles Dodgers (77-46) continue a four-game set Saturday with a 4:05 p.m. ET first pitch at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Rich Hill is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 6-4 with a 4.08 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 8.1 K/9, and 3.3 BB/9 in 117 IP over 23 starts and one relief appearance.
- Owns a 5.26 ERA and 1.48 WHIP across six starts in the second half.
- Facing a left-leaning Dodgers lineup that is hitting in the lesser half of its platoon split with a .725 OPS against left-handed pitching.
- Left-handed bats own a .647 OPS against Hill this season.
RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starter for the Dodgers. He is 10-4 with a 2.69 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 12.0 K/9, and 2.2 BB/9 in 127 1/3 IP over 22 starts.
- Owns a 2.20 ERA and 0.92 WHIP over three starts with the Dodgers after coming over from the Washington Nationals in a deadline deal. Making just his second Dodger Stadium start since that trade.
- Facing the Mets for a second straight start; logged 6 innings of 2-run ball Sunday at Citi Field.
- Has allowed a .652 OPS over his career and just a .612 mark across 10 lifetime games at Dodger Stadium.
Mets at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Dodgers -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (+105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Prediction
Dodgers 6, Mets 3
Money line (ML)
The Dodgers are up 2-0 in the series after a couple of pitcher duels resulting in just 10 total runs scored. New York is just 5-14 this month and while its offense has been shaky most of the season it has been especially awful in August averaging 3.3 runs per game on a .626 OPS.
The Dodgers are 14-3 in August and enter Saturday’s game on an eight-game win streak. Los Angeles is 10-2 over its last 12 games in Chavez Ravine and is 10-3 over its last 13 home games against the Mets.
As good as the Dodgers have been they have motored along with a win percentage perhaps under what it “should be” all season based on runs and runs allowed.
Dodgers (-280) is perhaps just a bit too high of a tag here. PASS, but be ready to pounce on anything lower than -270 or -265.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Dodgers have won five games by a lone run over their eight-game win streak and that has the public perhaps too skittish on this price. Especially for a club that has won 29 games by 5 or more runs.
With an Over lean (see below) and a fair price on the home side (best starter, best bullpen, best offense), TAKE THE DODGERS -1.5 (-130).
Over/Under (O/U)
After a couple of low-scoring games, it feels risky to look for an Over here with Scherzer on the mound and the Dodgers swung around against a left-handed starting pitcher.
However, with a nod to the Dodgers offense and on a humid, breeze-out afternoon at Dodger Stadium, BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-130) Saturday.
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