New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks (18-16) and the Dallas Mavericks (18-16) meet Tuesday at American Airlines Centers in Dallas. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBATV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Knicks have cooled off, dropping 3 straight after an 8-game winning streak from Dec. 4-20. New York fell 121-100 at home against Dallas on Dec. 3 as the Under connected. The Over has cashed in the last 4 outings.

The Mavericks have won their last 3 outings, including a 124-115 win over the Los Angeles Lakers last time out at home on Christmas Day. The Over cashed against the Lakers, but the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 games overall.

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Knicks at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Knicks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Mavericks -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +5.5 (-105) | Mavericks -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Knicks at Mavericks key injuries

Knicks

  • F Jalen Brunson (hip) questionable

Mavericks

  • F Dorian Finney-Smith (hip) out
  • G Frank Ntilikina (knee) questionable
  • G Kemba Walker (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Knicks at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 114, Knicks 105

Moneyline

The Mavericks (-220) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little too expensive even though Dallas is red-hot and at home.

PASS.

Against the spread

The MAVERICKS -5.5 (-115) are a strong play at home.

Dallas has struggled with a 9-19-2 ATS mark in the last 30 games overall, but it is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 games against teams with a winning overall record while going 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 games at home against teams with a winning road record.

While the Knicks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 trips to Dallas, and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings overall, Dallas won and covered the 1st meeting this season, and that holds a lot more weight.

Over/Under

UNDER 221.5 (-110) is the lean here, but only go a half-unit play at best.

The Mavs have cashed the Under in 4 of the last 5 games, while going 29-10-1 in the past 40 home games against a team with a winning road record.

The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 games for the Knicks, but the Under is 6-1 in the last 7 games against teams with a winning overall record. The Under is 10-3 in the last 13 road games for the Knicks, too.

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New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks (27-38) visit the American Airlines Center Wednesday to take on the Dallas Mavericks (40-25). Tip is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Knicks vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Knicks are heating up at the right time. They’re coming off a 16-point win over the Kings, covering as 4-point underdogs. Prior to that, they beat the Clippers by 23.

The Knicks have covered 3 straight games, but are just 3-6 against the spread (ATS) over their last 9. New York is led by F Julius Randle who is averaging 20 points per game.

The Mavericks, led by G Luka Doncic, have won 5 straight games and are 7-2-1 ATS over their last 10 games.

Dallas is favored by 8.5 points and they haven’t been favored by that many since covering as 10.5-point favorites against the Pistons on February 8.

Knicks at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Knicks +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Mavericks -420 (bet $420 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +8.5 (-120) | Mavericks -8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Knicks at Mavericks key injuries

Knicks

  • C Mitchell Robinson (illness) questionable
  • F Obi Toppin (hamstring) out
  • G Cam Reddish (shoulder) out

Mavericks

  • G Jalen Brunson (foot) questionable

Knicks at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 109, Knicks 100

Money line

PASS.

The Mavs have won 5 straight and the Knicks are just 14-19 on the road. Nonetheless, I’d still stay away from Dallas -420. While the Knicks have been playing better as of late, their +320 isn’t worth a longshot wager.

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Against the spread

LEAN to the MAVERICKS -8.5 (-105).

The Knicks are just 1-6 ATS this calendar year when underdogs by 7 or more points.

While the Knicks did beat Dallas by 23 earlier in the season, New York shot 22% better than the Mavs and won the turnover battle and rebounding battle.

Assuming the two teams return to their mean, the Mavs should have a better chance at covering. Also, the Knicks are just 29-36 ATS this season while the Mavs are a far better 36-28-1.

Lastly, the Mavs hold opponents to the 8th-worst three-point field goal rate. The Knicks shoot the 11th-highest rate from distance. That battle that favors the Mavs should be huge for Dallas’ ability to cover.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 215.5 (-115).

The one thing the Mavs have done best this season is fail to cover the projected total. They’re just 23-41-1 O/U this season. It’s really the pace that has killed their total.

The Mavs rank 30th in pace, and the Knicks are also near the bottom of the league, ranking 27th. Also, neither team ranks in the top ten in offensive rating.

Dallas is just 9-24-1 O/U at home as well, making this an even sounder bet.

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New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The New York Knicks (29-27) take on the Dallas Mavericks (30-24) Friday night on the road with tip-off scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET in American Airlines Center. Below, we analyze the Knicks-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Knicks are riding a four-game winning streak but have struggled on the road this season, going 12-17. They are currently in sixth place in the Eastern Conference, holding a slight half-game lead over the Miami Heat, who would have to participate in the play-in games to make it into the playoffs.

Dallas is kicking off a five-game homestand. They have not played as well this season at home as on the road. They are 13-12 at home while 17-12 on the road. If the season ended today with them as the seventh seed in the West, they would be part of the play-in games to determine the final two playoff teams.

Knicks at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Knicks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Mavericks -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Knicks +5.5 (-110) | Mavericks -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 210.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Knicks at Mavericks: Key injuries

Knicks

  • Nerlens Noel (ankle) questionable
  • Mitchell Robinson (foot) out

Mavericks

  • PG Tyrell Terry (personal) not expected to play

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Knicks at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Knicks 108, Mavericks 101

Money line (ML)

Dallas has not been impressive. They have lost three of their last five games and it took a fluky three-pointer at the buzzer by Luka Doncic to beat the Grizzlies Wednesday.

The Knicks have won four straight and have the league’s top scoring defense at 104.3 points allowed per game. I’m going with the upset tonight. Take the KNICKS +180.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Knicks have the third-best ATS record in the league 34-21-1 ATS. They have covered the spread in seven straight games. Since March 13, they are 14-4 ATS.  Dallas has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five and 26-28 ATS overall. Take the KNICKS +5.5 (-110) if you’re not convinced they’re going to win outright, as this line provides some insurance but doesn’t have nearly as profitable of a return. 

Over/Under (O/U)

They Knicks and Mav have two of the four lowest Over percentages in the league. Dallas is 22-32 O/U and New York is 23-33 O/U. Both are top-10 scoring defenses. Even with the projected total as low as it is, I expect this matchup to stay under that. Take UNDER 210.5 POINTS (-105).

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