New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Islanders (23-20-5) meet the Toronto Maple Leafs (28-11-8) Monday at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Islanders vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Islanders have dropped 4 in a row, and 8 of the last 9 games. The Under has outpaced the Over at a 9-3 clip in the last 12 contests. The Islanders won then 1st of 3 meetings Nov. 21 in Toronto, 3-2 in overtime.

The Maple Leafs suffered a 3-2 overtime loss against the Montreal Canadiens on the road Saturday. The Leafs have lost just once in regulation in the last 7 games overall, going 5-1-1.

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Islanders at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Islanders +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Maple Leafs -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Islanders +1.5 (-135) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -130 | U: +110)

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Islanders at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Ilya Sorokin (15-15-4, 2.37 GAA, .924 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Ilya Samsonov (14-4-2, 2.22 GAA, .919 SV%, 2 SO)

Sorokin has allowed 11 total goals in the last 3 starts, going 0-1-2. The Islanders have not given him much offensive support, scoring just 13 goals across his last 7 outings.

Samsonov allowed 3 goals on 31 shots in the 3-2 OT loss in Montreal Saturday. He has posted a 3-1-2 record with a 2.26 GAA and .917 SV% in 5 January starts and 1 relief appearance.

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Islanders at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 4, Islanders 2

Moneyline

The Maple Leafs (-230) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s too risky for a standalone wager. While the Islanders (+195) are just 1-4 in the last 5 meetings, and 2-6 in the last 8 trips to Toronto, AVOID.

Puck line/Against the spread

The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (+115) are a better play on the puck line at plus-money. The favorite has cashed in 16 of the last 21 meetings in this series.

The Leafs have covered the puck line in 2 of the previous 3 meetings at home as a favorite against the Islanders, and the Leafs have covered the puck line in 5 consecutive meetings against New York overall.

Over/Under

The Under 6.5 (-135) was a strong play. When the line moved to 5.5 it became a PASS.

The Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings, while going 3-0-1 in the last 4 battles in Toronto.

The Under is 4-1 in the previous 5 road games for the Islanders, while cashing in 7 of the last 9 games overall. The Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 games against teams with a winning overall record.

The Under is also 4-1 in the last 5 games for the Leafs, while hitting in 4 of the last 5 when playing on a day of rest, too.

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New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Islanders (11-8-0) and Toronto Maple Leafs (10-5-4) meet Monday at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Islanders vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Islanders have dropped the past 2 games at the Dallas Stars and Nashville Predators, allowing 5 goals in each setback. New York looks for the bounce-back here, trying to even its record at 2-2 on the 4-game road trip.

The Maple Leafs spanked the Buffalo Sabres Saturday night by a 5-2 count, moving to 3-0-1 across the past 4 games overall. The Leafs’ defense and goalie situation has been improved lately, allowing just 2.3 goals per game (GPG) during the 4-game span.

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Islanders at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Islanders +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Maple Leafs -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Islanders +1.5 (-160) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +105 | U: -125)

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Islanders at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Ilya Sorokin (7-5-0, 2.41 GAA, .925 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Matt Murray (2-1-1, 2.76 GAA, .913 SV%)

Sorokin coughed up 5 goals on 31 shots in his most recent showing Thursday in Nashville. He had conceded 3 or fewer goals in each of his prior 7 starts and 8 appearances dating back to Oct. 22.

The 28-year-old Murray has picked up his play since returning from a month-long injury, going 2-0-1 with a 2.34 GAA and .933 SV% in 3 November starts. He was stellar Saturday against the Sabres, turning aside 32 of 34 shots.

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Islanders at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 4, Islanders 2

Moneyline

The MAPLE LEAFS (-180) are right at my personal limit for a moneyline play, but Toronto is totally worth it.

Toronto has been playing with a lot of confidence lately, and it has won 4 straight meetings in this series, all as the favorite. New York last won in this series on Nov. 13, 2019.

Puck line/Against the spread

The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (+130) are worth a roll of the dice on the puck line. Not only has Toronto won the past 4 in this series, but it has outscored New York by a 13-3 count during the span, including a pair of shutouts. Toronto has covered the puck line as the favorite in each of the wins during the 4-game streak.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-125) is worth a look Monday.

The Under is 3-0-1 in the past 4 meetings in this series while going 4-1 in New York’s past 5 meetings against Atlantic Division foes.

The Under is 9-3 in the past 12 home games for the Leafs, while going 8-1 in the previous 9 against teams with a winning record, too.

Want action on this matchup or any other NHL games? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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