The New York Islanders (23-20-5) meet the Toronto Maple Leafs (28-11-8) Monday at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Islanders vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Islanders have dropped 4 in a row, and 8 of the last 9 games. The Under has outpaced the Over at a 9-3 clip in the last 12 contests. The Islanders won then 1st of 3 meetings Nov. 21 in Toronto, 3-2 in overtime.
The Maple Leafs suffered a 3-2 overtime loss against the Montreal Canadiens on the road Saturday. The Leafs have lost just once in regulation in the last 7 games overall, going 5-1-1.
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Islanders at Maple Leafs odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:39 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Islanders +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Maple Leafs -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Islanders +1.5 (-135) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -130 | U: +110)
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Islanders at Maple Leafs projected goalies
Ilya Sorokin (15-15-4, 2.37 GAA, .924 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Ilya Samsonov (14-4-2, 2.22 GAA, .919 SV%, 2 SO)
Sorokin has allowed 11 total goals in the last 3 starts, going 0-1-2. The Islanders have not given him much offensive support, scoring just 13 goals across his last 7 outings.
Samsonov allowed 3 goals on 31 shots in the 3-2 OT loss in Montreal Saturday. He has posted a 3-1-2 record with a 2.26 GAA and .917 SV% in 5 January starts and 1 relief appearance.
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Islanders at Maple Leafs picks and predictions
Prediction
Maple Leafs 4, Islanders 2
Moneyline
The Maple Leafs (-230) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s too risky for a standalone wager. While the Islanders (+195) are just 1-4 in the last 5 meetings, and 2-6 in the last 8 trips to Toronto, AVOID.
Puck line/Against the spread
The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (+115) are a better play on the puck line at plus-money. The favorite has cashed in 16 of the last 21 meetings in this series.
The Leafs have covered the puck line in 2 of the previous 3 meetings at home as a favorite against the Islanders, and the Leafs have covered the puck line in 5 consecutive meetings against New York overall.
Over/Under
The Under 6.5 (-135) was a strong play. When the line moved to 5.5 it became a PASS.
The Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings, while going 3-0-1 in the last 4 battles in Toronto.
The Under is 4-1 in the previous 5 road games for the Islanders, while cashing in 7 of the last 9 games overall. The Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 games against teams with a winning overall record.
The Under is also 4-1 in the last 5 games for the Leafs, while hitting in 4 of the last 5 when playing on a day of rest, too.
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