New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Islanders (33-25-8) travel to meet the Pittsburgh Penguins (32-22-9) Thursday at PPG Paints Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Islanders vs. Penguins odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Islanders picked up an important 3-2 win against Buffalo Sabres  Tuesday as the Under cashed. With that win over the Sabres, New York moved into the top wild-card spot with 16 regular-season games remaining. The Under is 6-0-1 in the past 7 games for the Isles.

The Penguins are a point behind the Islanders, sitting in the final wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference, although it has 3 games in hand. Pittsburgh picked up a 5-4 win in overtime last time out against the Columbus Blue Jackets, and 3 of the team’s past 6 games have gone to OT, posting 5 wins during the span.

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Islanders at Penguins odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Islanders +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Penguins -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Islanders +1.5 (-210) | Penguins -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -135 | U: +115)

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Islanders at Penguins projected goalies

Ilya Sorokin (22-18-6, 2.34 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO) vs. Tristan Jarry (19-7-5, 2.77 GAA, .916 SV%, 1 SO)

Sorokin has been sharp lately, allowing 3 or fewer goals in each of his past 6 starts. He allowed 2 goals on 24 shots in a 3-2 win against the Sabres last time out, and he is 2-0-0 with a 1.51 GAA and .936 SV% in 2 March outings.

Jarry was hammered for 4 goals on just 12 shots last time out against the Blue Jackets before getting pulled early in the 2nd period in favor of Casey DeSmith. Still, he hasn’t lost in 4 consecutive starts. Jarry is 0-2-0 with a 4.05 GAA and .890 SV% in 2 starts against the Isles this season.

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Islanders at Penguins picks and predictions

Prediction

Islanders 4, Penguins 3

Moneyline

The ISLANDERS (+125) are worth a look as short ‘dogs on the road in the Steel City.

New York has posted 5 wins in the past 7 games overall, while also going 5-2 in the past 7 games inside the Metropolitan Division.

On the flip side, the Penguins (-145) have won just 5 of the past 18 games against Eastern Conference foes, while going just 1-9 in the past 10 games inside the Metro.

Puck line/Against the spread

If you want some insurance, the Islanders +1.5 (-210) will cost you twice as much as your potential return. That’s just too expensive for not enough reward.

PASS, and look to the moneyline instead.

Over/Under

OVER 5.5 (-135) is the way to go now that the total has dropped from 6.5.

The Over has cashed at a 3-0-2 clip in the past 5 meetings in this series. The Over is also 3-1-1 in the past 5 games inside the Metropolitan Division for the Islanders, too.

For the Penguins, the Over is 5-1-1 in the past 7 games against Eastern Conference foes, while cashing at a 4-0-1 clip in the past 5 home outings.

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Islanders (28-24-7) visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (27-19-9) Monday. The opening faceoff at PPG Paints Arena is slated for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Islanders vs. Penguins odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

New York is 1-2-2 over its last 5 games. The Islanders’ lone win in that span came was a 5-4 victory against this Pittsburgh club Friday. This return game is taking place with just 1 game in between for each side. New York lost 6-2 at the Boston Bruins Saturday.

The Penguins followed up their Friday setback against New York with a 5-2 home loss to the New Jersey Devils Friday. The 10 goals allowed in the back-to-back losses mark the most Pittsburgh has yielded in back-to-back games since Dec. 27-28.

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Islanders at Penguins odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Islanders +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Penguins -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Islanders +1.5 (-210) | Penguins -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +115 | U: -135)

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Islanders at Penguins projected goalies

Ilya Sorokin (18-17-5, 2.44 GAA, .923 SV%, 5 SO) vs. Tristan Jarry (16-5-5, 2.65 GAA, .921 SV%, 1 SO)

Sorokin was between the pipes for the Friday meeting with the Pens. He did yield 4 goals, but Pittsburgh fired 44 shots in that game. The 3rd-year netminder owns a .909 SV% across 7 career starts against the Pens.

Jarry is getting back between the pipes after a 9-game stint on the shelf due to an upper-body injury. In 1 previous start against the Isles this season, he yielded 5G on 42 shots.  Jarry owns a .922 SV% at home.

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Islanders at Penguins picks and predictions

Prediction

Penguins 3, Islanders 2

Moneyline

The Isles and Pens are tied with 63 points and hold the two Wild Card spots in the Eastern Conference. A horde of pursuers are upon them, so Monday’s contest is a key match-up. Pittsburgh is 15-7-4 on home ice, is getting healthier of late and has a special-teams advantage. The PENGUINS (-150) are a solid play in this revenge spot.

Puck line/Against the spread

AVOID.

Jarry’s return is likely a plus, but there is some gray area in the prognostication after his week-and-a-half off.

Over/Under

The Under is a lean but it’s pricey here. PASS.

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Islanders (34-29-9) fight to stay alive in the playoff hunt against the Pittsburgh Penguins (42-22-11) Thursday at PPG Paints Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we look at the Islanders vs. Penguins odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

The Islanders are on life support, 15 points out of the final playoff spot with 10 games to go. They have won six of eight, including a 5-4 shootout win over the Pens at home Tuesday. LW Zach Parise scored twice to lead the way. Pittsburgh jumped out to a 1-0 lead, but the Isles stormed back with three of their own. This is a scrappy team that plays physically.

The Pens are short-handed with C Evgeni Malkin serving a four-game suspension for cross checking. C Jake Guentzel stepped up Tuesday with two goals and an assist.

Islanders at Penguins odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Islanders +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Penguins -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Islanders +1.5 (-200) | Penguins -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Islanders at Penguins projected goalies

Ilya Sorokin (24-14-7, 2.30 GAA, .927 SV%, 6 SO) vs. Tristan Jarry (33-18-6, 2.41 GAA, .919 SV%, 4 SO)

Even though he gave up four goals Tuesday, Sorokin made 43 saves in the game. After missing 10 days with an injury, he has now beaten Carolina and Pittsburgh. Sorokin had a 1.98 GAA in March, and he will be the X-factor in this one. Sorokin was a tough-luck 1-0 loser to Pittsburgh earlier this season, and he has stopped 72 of 77 shots with a 2.44 GAA against them this year.

Jarry has been off since Saturday, but he has been jarred of late. He has lost five games in a row, and his 3.61 GAA this month is concerning after the late-season swoon we saw from him last year. Jarry stopped all 25 shots in the 1-0 shutout against the Isles earlier this season.

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Islanders at Penguins odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Islanders 4, Penguins 3

Money line

Pittsburgh is just 3-6-1 in the last 10 games, and they’re without one of their top centers. They needed overtime for two of those wins. The Islanders are playing well and still have a chance to make the playoffs. They’ve also beaten Pittsburgh four out of the last five games with that lone loss being 1-0. There’s a decent chance the ISLANDERS (+135) pull off another one as the underdog on the road.

Against the spread

There’s no value on the puck line here. PASS.

Over/Under

The Over and Under have taken turns in this series with each hitting three times in the last six meetings. We’re going to give the edge to the Over here with the way Jarry has been playing. The Over is 5-1 the last six times the Isles have a day of rest. LEAN OVER 5.5 (-112).

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins Game 5 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins Game 5 odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The New York Islanders and Pittsburgh Penguins play Game 5 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Monday. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at PPG Paints Arena. Below, we analyze the Islanders-Penguins odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Islanders picked up a 4-1 victory in Game 4 on home ice behind Ilya Sorokin grabbing the 2-2 series tie. New York has scored exactly four goals in three of the first four outings outscoring Pittsburgh 13-11.

The Penguins had won six of the final seven regular-season meetings, but the playoffs are a different animal. Pittsburgh also allowed 15 total goals in the final seven regular-season meetings, but they have coughed up 13 goals in the four games in this series.

Islanders at Penguins: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Islanders +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Penguins -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Islanders +1.5 (-225) | Penguins -1.5 (+185)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

Islanders at Penguins: Projected starting goalies

Ilya Sorokin (13-6-3, 2.17 GAA, .918 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Tristan Jarry (25-9-3, 2.75 GAA, .909 SV%, 2 SO)

Sorokin allowed just one goal on 30 shots in Game 4 winning for the second time in as many starts in this series. While Semyon Varlamov was amazing in the regular season, head coach Barry Trotz is simply going with the hot hand right now.

Jarry was 5-1-0 with a 2.41 GAA and .917 SV% in six regular-season starts, but he has had his hands full in this series. He is 2-2-0 with a 3.04 GAA and .904 SV% in four starts in the playoffs so far.

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Islanders at Penguins: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Penguins 4, Islanders 3

Money line (ML)

The PENGUINS (-140) are back on home ice, and they’re the play in this pivotal Game 5 as they look to push the Islanders (+115) to the brink. We haven’t seen overtime since Game 1 in this series, surprisingly, but don’t be shocked to see an extra session or two needed here.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Islanders +1.5 (-225) is a little too expensive on the puck line, but that would be the play as I think this one won’t be determined in regulation.

Still, AVOID, and just stick with the money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 5.5 (+110) at plus-money is the way to go. The Islanders are averaging 3.4 goals per game across four outings in this series while the Pens are good for 2.8 goals per game. Look for the third Over of the series in Game 5.

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins Game 2 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins Game 2 odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The New York Islanders and Pittsburgh Penguins play Game 2 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Tuesday. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at PPG Paints Arena. Below, we analyze the Islanders-Penguins odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Islanders snatched home-ice advantage from the top-seed Penguins with a 4-3 victory in overtime Sunday as deadline acquisition Kyle Palmieri played the hero with the game-winning goal.

The Penguins led 2-1 early in the second period, but Ilya Sorokin shut them down the rest of the way. Only Kasperi Kapanen was able to solve him in the final 52:43. Sorokin was making the start with Semyon Varlamov nursing a lower-body injury.

Islanders at Penguins: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Islanders +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Penguins -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Islanders +1.5 (-250) | Penguins -1.5 (+195)
  • Over/Under: 5 (O: -140 | U: +115)

Islanders at Penguins: Projected starting goalies

Ilya Sorokin (13-6-3, 2.17 GAA, .918 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Tristan Jarry (25-9-3, 2.75 GAA, .909 SV%, 2 SO)

Sorokin was the surprise starter in Game 1 as head coach Barry Trotz said Semyon Varlamov would be available, but he sat due to a lower-body injury that apparently is more serious than initially believed. Sorokin did well stopping 39 of the 42 shots he faced.

Jarry turned aside 37 of the 41 shots he faced, but he could not keep Palmieri from being a hero in overtime. In fact, Palmieri accounted for two of his team’s four goals.

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Islanders at Penguins: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Penguins 3, Islanders 2

Money line (ML)

The PENGUINS (-135) are looking for the bounce-back, and they’ll get it behind Jarry in the Steel City. Offense wasn’t a problem in Game 1 as the Pens found the back of the net three times. But the defense and goaltending broke down a little bit in the third period.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Islanders +1.5 (-250) posted the win in Game 1, and they looked like an attractive play before the game started, but the price is just too high. The same holds true for Game 2. If you like the Isles, just play them straight up. I think this is another one-goal game, but this time it goes to the home side.

AVOID, and just stick with the money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

TOTAL 5 (O: -140, U: +115) is not worth playing. I think this one comes in right on the number. It might be a little on the pricey side, but OVER 4.5 (-225) on the alternate line might be a better play if you want action on the total. But it will cost you.

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins Game 1 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins Game 1 odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The New York Islanders and Pittsburgh Penguins play Game 1 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Sunday. Puck drop is scheduled for noon ET at PPG Paints Arena. Below, we analyze the Islanders-Penguins odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Islanders enter as the fourth-seed in the East Division, but there is no way the Penguins will be taking them lightly. The Islanders managed just two wins in the eight regular-season meetings vs. the Pens, however, five of the games were decided by just one goal.

The Penguins outscored the Islanders 15-7 in winning all four head-to-head meetings on home ice. The top-seeded Pens rattled off three straight wins to wrap up the regular season, albeit against two non-playoff teams. In their last four games against playoff teams, the Penguins went 3-1. So, they are riding high.

Islanders at Penguins: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:09 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Islanders +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Penguins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Islanders +1.5 (-250) | Penguins -1.5 (+200)
  • Over/Under: 5 (O: -145 | U: +120)

Islanders at Penguins: Projected starting goalies

Semyon Varlamov (19-11-4, 2.04 GAA, .929 SV%, 7 SO) vs. Tristan Jarry (25-9-3, 2.75 GAA, .909 SV%, 2 SO)

Varlamov closed out the regular season on a losing note, dropping his final three outings. He only allowed a total of seven goals in the three losses but received just five goals of offensive support.

Varly posted a 1-3-2 record, 2.86 GAA and .897 SV% in seven appearances against the Pens this season – none of his league-high tying seven shutouts came against Pittsburgh.

Jarry started the season a bit slow, but he recovered rather nicely and was a big part why the Pens won the division.

“Jar Jar Wins” was particularly hard on the Islanders, going 5-1-0 with a 2.41 GAA and .917 SV% in six appearances against New York this season.

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Islanders at Penguins: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Penguins 2, Islanders 1

Money line (ML)

The PENGUINS (-130) are the lean here, although nothing will come easy in this series. It will be a hotly contested series between rivals regardless, but the fact they have eight regular-season games of animosity already built up will make it very entertaining … and close.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Islanders +1.5 (-250) would be the play here if the price was a little better, but this is just too expensive for insurance.

It was already mentioned that five of the eight meetings were one-goal games. And yes, when Varlamov and Jarry are each in net, it’s usually a lower-scoring and close matchup, but New York +1.5 (-250) is just too risky at this price.

AVOID and just stick with the money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 5 (+120) is the lean in Game 1, and a good value. The Under cashed in three of the past four head-to-head meetings between Varlamov and Jarry. That includes a 2-1 score in the most recent matchup in Pittsburgh March 29.

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The New York Islanders (22-9-4) wrap up a two-game set against the Pittsburgh Penguins (22-11-2) on Monday with a 7 p.m. ET puck drop at PPG Paints Arena. Below, we analyze the Islanders-Penguins odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

Islanders at Penguins: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Islanders -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Penguins -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Islanders +1.5 (-300) | Penguins -1.5 (+240)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Islanders at Penguins: Projected starting goalies

Semyon Varlamov (14-6-3, 2.19 GAA, .922 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Tristan Jarry (14-8-2, 2.83 GAA, .909 SV%)

Varlamov was thrust into action when Ilya Sorokin coughed up four goals on nine shots in the first 26:18 on Saturday. Varly allowed just one goal on 11 shots in the relief role, but the damage was already done. He enters 1-2-2 with a 3.00 GAA and .895 SV% in five starts and six appearances against the Pens this season.

Jarry has won back-to-back starts against the Sabres and Islanders, and he is victorious in six of his past eight starts while losing just once in regulation and once in overtime. He improved to 4-1-0 with a 2.57 GAA and .914 SV% in five starts against the Isles this season.

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Islanders at Penguins: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Penguins 4, Islanders 2

Money line (ML)

The PENGUINS (-110) are favorites at home as they look to stay hot against the Islanders (-105). New York has been able to beat up on the rest of the league, but Pittsburgh has been its kryptonite.

While the Isles are still 5-2 in the past seven on the road, they lost the front end of the two-game set in Pittsburgh. They’re also just 2-6 in the past eight following a loss of three or more goals.

The Pens are playing their fourth game in six days, and they’re 6-1 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. They’re also 5-1 in the past six meetings with the Isles and 35-16-2 in their past 53 at home against New York.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The PENGUINS -1.5 (+240) are certainly worth a roll of the dice, as you can more than double up. The Pens struck for six goals in Saturday’s game, a 6-3 rout of the Isles. This beating might not be quite as severe for the Isles, but the Pens certainly have had their number.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 5.5 (-105) is worth a small-unit bet, but don’t get carried away. Sorokin was a sieve last time out against the Pens, but he will be carrying a clipboard and wearing a ball cap with Varlamov back in there. Look for a better showing from the Isles in this one, but the Over should still sneak across the finish line.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The New York Islanders (22-8-4) kick off a two-game set against the Pittsburgh Penguins (21-11-2) on Saturday with a 7 p.m. ET puck drop at PPG Paints Arena. Below, we analyze the Islanders-Penguins odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

Islanders at Penguins: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Islanders -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Penguins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Islanders -1.5 (+240) | Penguins +1.5 (-300)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: +105 | U: -125)

Islanders at Penguins: Projected starting goalies

Semyon Varlamov (14-6-3, 2.20 GAA, .923 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Tristan Jarry (13-8-2, 2.82 GAA, .909 SV%)

Varlamov turned aside 29 of the 32 shots he faced Thursday in Boston for a 4-3 win in overtime. That snapped a two-game mini-losing streak. Overall in March he has posted a solid 5-2-0 record, 2.28 GAA and .919 SV% in seven starts. He hasn’t had great success against the Pens this season, however, going 1-2-2 with a 3.12 GAA and .894 SV% in five starts.

Jarry registered a win against Buffalo on Wednesday, allowing just two goals on 28 shots to pick up his first win in three outings. He has gotten well against the lesser teams this month, but he has also fared well against the Isles, too. Jarry is 3-1-0 with a 2.47 GAA and .917 SV% in four starts against New York so far this season.

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Islanders at Penguins: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Penguins 3, Islanders 1

Money line (ML)

The PENGUINS (-105) are short ‘dogs at home despite their dominance against the Islanders (-110) this season. That’s because New York comes in with five wins in the past six on the road. They’re playing in the fourth game in six days, and they’re a perfect 7-0 in the past seven in a 4-in-6 situation.

While that’s all well and good, the Isles are just 1-4 in the past five meetings, and they have won just 13 of their past 46 trips to the Steel City. Until the Isles start ticking off regular wins against the Pens, back the home side.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Penguins +1.5 (-300) will cost you three times your potential return if you’re looking for a little insurance. Don’t do it, just bet the money line instead. PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 5.5 (-125) is worth a look, as that has been the dominant trend for both sides lately. The Under is 7-1 in Pittsburgh’s past eight and 4-1-2 in the previous seven at home for the Pens. The Under is also 12-3-1 in the previous 16 as a road favorite for the Isles.

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The New York Islanders (8-4-3) visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (7-6-1) Thursday for a 7 p.m. ET puck drop. Below we analyze the Islanders-Penguins NHL odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Islanders at Penguins: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Islanders +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Penguins -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Islanders +1.5 (-275) | Penguins -1.5 (+220)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Islanders at Penguins: Projected starting goalies

Semyon Varlamov (7-2-2, 1.89 GAA, .931 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Tristan Jarry (3-5-1, 3.74 GAA, .875 SV%)

Varlamov is expected to be in the crease for the third time this season against the Pens. He allowed three goals on 31 shots in a 4-3 Feb. 6 victory against them and three goals on 35 shots in a 4-3 shootout loss against the Pens Feb. 11, also at Nassau Coliseum.

Jarry will get a chance to redeem himself for a 4-3 loss Feb. 6, on the road against the Islanders. He allowed four goals on 26 shots in that outing. He has allowed three or more goals in each of his past five starts, and he has struggled to come anywhere near his All-Star form of a season ago.

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Islanders at Penguins: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Islanders 5, Penguins 3

Money line (ML)

The ISLANDERS (+105) are the play in this one, as Varlamov has been red-hot this season. The Penguins (-125) just haven’t been getting very consistent goaltending from Jarry this season, and that’s the difference here. Look to Varly and the Isles to get it done on the road. The Isles have won seven of the past nine meetings in this series, including four of the past five in Pittsburgh.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Islanders +1.5 (-275) are just too expensive on the puck line, so take them straight up instead. The road team has won five of the past seven in this series, so there is no need for insurance. AVOID.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 5.5 (-115) is the best play on the board here, as Jarry will cough up plenty of goals. In fact, the Islanders have a chance to come very close to hitting the Over all on their own. The biggest worry with taking the Over is Varlamov, and how hot he has been this season. But the Over is 5-0 in the past five meetings between these two teams, so keep hitting the Over until the Under starts to come through on a regular basis.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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