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The New York Giants (9-7-1) make their 1st playoff appearance since the 2016 season when they face the Minnesota Vikings (13-4) Sunday at US Bank Stadium. Kickoff is at 4:30 ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Vikings odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
It seems that everyone and his brother is jumping on the Giants’ bandwagon because history shows at least 1 lower-seeded team wins in the wild-card round every year. This fails to take into account that, after a 6-1 start, the Giants went 3-6-1 in their final 10 games — with their 3 wins coming against the Houston Texans, Washington Commanders and Indianapolis Colts, who had a combined record of 15-33-3.
The Vikings finished with 13 wins for only the 2nd time since 1998. However, it isn’t how many games the Vikings have won, it’s how they’ve won. The Vikings finished 11-0 in 1-score games, but their 4 losses came by 17, 37, 11 and 24 points — which explains how a 13-4 team could be outscored (424-427).
Minnesota’s M.O. has been to keep games close and win in the 4th quarter — the Vikings have outscored opponents 175-91 in the 4th quarter and overtime. The Vikings beat the Gianst 27-24 in Week 16.
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Giants at Vikings odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:04 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Vikings -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Giants +3 (-115) | Vikings -3 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48 (O: -109 | U: -111)
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Giants at Vikings key injuries
Giants
- No players listed with injury designation
Vikings
- CB Cameron Dantzler (ankle/personal matter) questionable
- RB/RS Kene Nwangwu (illness) questionable
- S Harrison Smith (knee) questionable
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Giants at Vikings picks and predictions
Prediction
Vikings 27, Giants 23
Moneyline
PASS
The only bet to make here is the Giants at +135 if you believe New York will win. All a bet on the Vikings accomplishes here is hedging a bet if you believe that Minnesota is going to win by 1 or 2 points. That hedge is the difference between betting at -150 and -105, which is too steep an investment.
Against the spread
TAKE THE VIKINGS AND LAY 3 POINTS (-105).
The action is clearly on the side of the Giants. While the spread has remained the same, a bet on New York has gone from -110 to -115.
While I agree that Minnesota’s defense has been brutal, the teams that have beaten them (the Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers) all did so by shredding them in the pass game. The Giants don’t have a strong pass offense and the only reason the Giants were successful passing (Daniel Jones threw for 334 yards in Week 16) was that they were playing from behind. They only had a lead for 5:19 of the game.
Injuries along Minnesota’s offensive line is a concern for those betting on the Vikings, but the offense has been operating under a quick-strike pass offense the 2nd half of the season. Throw in that the Giants have lost their last 6 games against teams with winning records, it difficult to endorse taking New York on the road.
Over/Under
TAKE THE OVER (-109)
There is no denying that the Vikings defense is suspect and has been pushed around all season, despite winning 13 games.
Discounting the Week 18 win over Chicago when both teams were playing backups much of the game, Minnesota games haven’t gone Under this point in 6 weeks, with totals of 59, 49, 57, 75, 51 and 48. It will take some doing to hit the Over, but the Vikings have done it with such consistency, it’s difficult not expect the same result this time around.
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