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The regular season is over and the playoffs are here.
After looking at Tipico Sportsbook’s NFL Wild Card Weekend odds, here’s a “Let’s make some money” NFL parlay bet to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
All 6 Wild Card Games offer rematches from earlier this season. Some in recent weeks. But this is different. This is win or go home.
Dallas will need to finally beat QB Tom Brady, who is 7-0 in his career vs. the Cowboys, when it visits Tampa Bay Monday night. There are 2 division rivalry matchups Sunday with Buffalo hosting Miami and Baltimore visiting Cincinnati. Below are the best plays for putting together a winning parlay.
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NFL Wild Card Weekend: Let’s make some money parlay
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated on Thursday at 9 a.m. ET. All games ET.
Leg 1: Chargers at JAGUARS (+115) – Saturday, 8:15 p.m. (NBC)
The coaching job done by Los Angeles’ Brandon Staley last Sunday was incredibly bad.
With nothing to play for, he left his starters in for almost the entire game and the Chargers still lost at the Broncos 31-28. This gameplan may have cost the team WR Mike Williams, who was carted off the field with back spasms.
While L.A. was playing Denver in a late Sunday game, Jacksonville was at home relaxing after beating Tennessee 20-16 on the road Saturday to win the AFC South. QB Trevor Lawrence has found himself this season under coach Doug Pederson and the Jaguars have followed suit.
RB Travis Etienne should have a massive role in this game. The Jaguars averaged 124.5 yards on the ground this season, ranking 14th in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Chargers defense allowed 145.8 rushing yards per game, 5th worst in the league. This will be a matchup of strength on weakness and as much as I love Chargers QB Justin Herbert, he cannot play defense.
After winning the 1st meeting at Los Angeles 38-10 in Week 3, Jacksonville will win this one, too. JAGUARS (+115) will be a great way to kick off this parlay.
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Leg 2: Dolphins at BILLS -13 (-108) – Sunday, 1 p.m. (CBS)
Miami will be without injured QB Tua Tagovailoa and backup Teddy Bridgewater likely will not play, leaving the Dolphins starting rookie Skylar Thompson.
Buffalo is on a mission, which has just been amplified by the injury to S Damar Hamlin. His inspirational story only adds to the context of the Bills wanting to make a run to the Super Bowl.
While the run game for the Bills has mostly been through QB Josh Allen, RBs Devin Singletary and James Cook have come on in recent weeks, including a combined 205 rushing yards in a 35-13 win at the Chicago Bears in Week 16. The run game will continue to make its mark as the Bills will attempt to keep the Dolphins offense off the field.
In a must-win Week 18 game, Miami’s offense only mustered 9 points. Fortunately for the Dolphins, it was enough in an 11-6 home victory vs. the New York Jets, but it won’t be enough against the Bills this Sunday. Expect the Bills defense to limit the Dolphins to minimal scoring chances.
There is often 1 blowout in the Wild Card Weekend. This matchup fits that bill.
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Leg 3: GIANTS +3 (-107) at Vikings – Sunday 4:30 p.m. (FOX)
The Vikings pulled out a Christmas miracle on Christmas Eve against the Giants, kicking a 61-yard FG as time expired for a 27-24 victory – though New York covered as 4.5-point road underdogs. This was the story of how Minnesota managed to win the NFC North and get the No. 3 seed: Winning close games. The Vikings are 11-1 in one-score games this season. This will be another close one.
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The Giants sat everyone last Sunday while the Vikings played their starters for a bit as they hoped to get the 2 seed — which was extinguished with the 49ers in the process of routing the Cardinals. After realizing it was unable to, Minnesota rested players in the second half.
New York QB Daniel Jones and RB Saquon Barkley have had strong seasons. After suffering 2 lost seasons due to injury, Barkley finished 4th in the league with 1,312 rushing yards. His performance Sunday will go a long way in the Giants gaining the upset victory.
Behind Barkley, the Giants ranked 4th in rushing yards per game (148.2), while the Vikings defense was 20th, allowing 123.1 per game. Another big problem for the Vikes is their pass defense, which finished 2nd worst in the league after yielding 265.6 YPG. While Barkley will thrive, Jones will also be able to use his mishmash of receivers to shred the Vikings secondary.
Again, this should be a close one, but NEW YORK +3 (-107) will prevail.
Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $70.11 (ticket pays $80.11).
Try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator.
Leg 4-*: Cowboys at BUCCANEERS (+120) – Monday 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, ABC)
*-If you want to add a 4th play to this parlay:
The Dallas defense ranks 12the in the NFL in total yards allowed per game (330.2). While it ranks 8th against the pass (200.9 YPG), it’s only 22nd vs. the run (129.3 YPG). This is where “Playoff Lenny” — Bucs RB Leonard Fournette — will thrive.
Dallas and its defense are built for turf. It is a speed team which does not fare well on natural grass. In 5 games on grass this season, Dallas’ only victory was a Thursday night tilt at Tennessee, which was without starting QB Ryan Tannehill and star RB Derrick Henry.
Brady does not want to end Tampa Bay’s season and possibly his career with a loss to a Cowboys team he has never lost to. The Bucs are underdogs but they shouldn’t be.
I’ll take the value here and wager the BUCCANEERS (+120) get it done one last time for Brady.
Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $166.23 (ticket pays $176.23).
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