The New Mexico State Aggies (1-5) travel to meet the Nevada Wolf Pack (3-1) Saturday at Mackay Stadium in Reno for a non-conference battle. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the New Mexico State vs. Nevada odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
The New Mexico State offense looked good last week at San Jose State rolling up 31 points in a six-point loss. They easily covered the 26-point number, and the Aggies are 4-1 ATS across the past five while hitting the Over in three of the previous four.
Nevada went to Boise last week and won outright as four-point ‘dogs, 41-31. After getting tripped up at Kansas State Sept. 18, they used two full weeks to prepare for the Broncos, and they obviously did a good job. The Over has cashed in three straight for the Wolf Pack.
Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
New Mexico State at Nevada odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:00 a.m. ET.
- Money line: New Mexico State +1700 (bet $100 to win $1,700) | Nevada -100000 (bet $100,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): New Mexico State +27.5 (-105) | Nevada -27.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 64.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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New Mexico State at Nevada odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Nevada 45, New Mexico State 20
Money line
You probably shouldn’t have to tell someone not to risk this, but Nevada (-100000) is not worth playing, even though there is virtually no chance they lose this game. Betting huge favorites like this is pure nonsense.
AVOID.
Against the spread
NEW MEXICO STATE +27.5 (-105) isn’t a great team, but QB Jonah Johnson has shown some glimpses of brilliance, and he should be able to lead this offense to a handful of points.
I absolutely love QB Carson Strong of Nevada -27.5 (-120), and he is going to be collecting a paycheck on Sundays in the NFL very soon. But this is a rather high number for a Wolf Pack defense that allows 24.0 PPG and is just so-so defensively.
Over/Under
The OVER 64.5 (-108) is worth a small-unit wager. Nevada has the tools to get into the 40’s rather easily against a very giving New Mexico State side. The risk is with the Aggies, and if they can use last weekend’s performance at San Jose State as a springboard into this game.
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