The New Mexico Lobos (20-7, 7-7 Mountain West) face the Boise State Broncos (21-6, 11-3) in Extra Mile Arena Wednesday at 10:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the New Mexico vs. Boise State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
New Mexico won 81-79 in overtime at home against Boise State on Jan. 20, barely covered the 2.5-point spread as the Over 146.5 was the correct side. This game should not be as close though, as Boise State is 12-1 at home while New Mexico is 5-4 on the road.
After being the last remaining undefeated team in the nation, the Lobos have fallen back since entering Mountain West conference play. With 7 losses in 14 games, New Mexico needs to gather some victories heading into the conference tournament. A win Wednesday against a good Boise State team would go a long way for confidence in the Lobos locker room.
New Mexico will need its 17th-ranked offense (81.1 points per game) to step up against the 20th-ranked Boise State defense (62.1 PPG). The side of the ball able to set the pace will win the game.
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New Mexico at Boise State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:24 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): New Mexico +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Boise State -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): New Mexico +6.5 (-115) | Boise State -6.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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New Mexico at Boise State picks and predictions
Prediction
Boise State 80, New Mexico 76
Moneyline
PASS.
New Mexico is not the same team on the road. From the scoring to the overall play of the team, the Lobos struggle away from The Pit.
Boise State is a good Mountain West team and with a 12-1 home record, it will look to continue its stellar season on Wednesday, but -280 is too much to wager straight. But it would make a good addition to a parlay play.
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Against the spread
NEW MEXICO +6.5 (-115).
Boise State, despite winning 3 straight and 6 of their last 7 games, has been struggling against the spread. It is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 after a win. The defense of the Broncos will not be able to hold New Mexico down enough to cover this number.
The previous matchup, at The Pit, saw New Mexico favored by 2.5 points. The home-court swing should not cause a 9-point swing in the line and I will take the value on New Mexico at +6.5.
Over/Under
OVER 147.5 (-110).
Boise State has gone Over the total in 6 of 8 games after an ATS loss and has also gone Over the total in 5 of its last 6 games played on Wednesday.
For the Lobos, they have gone over in 6 of their last 8 games overall while also hitting the Over in 6 of their last 8 Wednesday games.
New Mexico averages 81.1 points and is ranked 12th in the country at 49.0% shooting from the field while Boise State averages 72.1. The Lobos will hit their shots and the Broncos will be forced to push the pace to keep up. If the total moves any higher, I would avoid. But at 147.5, I will still lean Over.
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