Analyzing the New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles Week 11 NFL match up, with NFL betting odds, lines, picks and best bets
The Philadelphia Eagles (5-4) play host to the New England Patriots (8-1) Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET at Lincoln Financial Field. Here, we focus on the Patriots-Eagles odds and lines, while providing NFL betting tips and advise on this key Week 11 NFL matchup.
Patriots at Eagles: Week 11 preview, betting trends and notes
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- The Patriots are coming off a bye. In their last game, the Baltimore Ravens handed them their first loss of the season with a convincing 37-20 beating. It was a good loss at a good time for the defending Super Bowl Champions.
- The Eagles are also coming off a bye. They beat the Chicago Bears 22-14 in Week 9, which was their second consecutive win.
- Since 2003, the Patriots have won four of the six matchups vs. the Eagles. New England has lost the last two, including a 41-33 loss during Super Bowl LII.
- The Patriots are 6-3 against the spread (ATS) this season, but 3-2 on the road. They’re 3-6 against the Over/Under (O/U), and 1-4 on the road.
- The Eagles are 4-5 ATS, while 2-2 at home. They are 5-4 vs. the O/U, with a 2-2 record at home.
Patriots at Eagles: Key injuries
Eagles LT Jason Peters (knee), WR Alshon Jeffery (ankle) and RB Jordan Howard (shoulder) are all dealing with injuries. Peters and Howard were limited Wednesday, Jeffery missed practice.
Patriots at Eagles: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:45 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Patriots 24, Eagles 20
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Moneyline (?)
The PATRIOTS (-186) are the play; and, while still chalky, the juice isn’t nearly as painful as usual. You can thank the Ravens for that. Patriots head coach Bill Belichick has a .736 win percentage following a bye. Brady is 13-4 following a bye. While the Eagles (+155) might be enticing, it’s a hard pass here.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Patriots returns a profit of $5.38 with a New England victory.
Against the Spread (?)
The Patriots are favored by three-and-a-hook, which is a teasing line (-106). Don’t take the bait. In the Eagles’ four losses, they’ve either been blown out or played it very close. This spread is too dangerous to wager and the best bet here is no bet at all. AVOID.
Over/Under (?)
With 44.5 points slated as the total and both teams returning from a bye, this feels like it will be a game of chess and that number will be a razor-thin margin on my projections. The UNDER (-115) is the play, but just a small-unit wager.
Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.
Ryan’s NFL-pick record: 18-10
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