Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots odds, picks and best bets

Previewing the Week 3 matchup between the New England Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and best bets.

Week 3 is highlighted by a number of key games, including the Las Vegas Raiders (2-0) at the New England Patriots (1-1). The Patriots play host to the Raiders Sunday at 1 p.m. ET.  Lets analyze the Patriots-Raiders odds, spread and lines as we make our Week 3 NFL wagers and best bets around this AFC matchup.

Raiders at Patriots betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 1:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Raiders +225 (bet $100, win $225) | Patriots -278 (bet $278, win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Raiders +6.5 (-110) | Patriots -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 46.5 (O: -110, U: -110)

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Raiders at Patriots game notes

  • Dating back to 2005, the Patriots have won the past five meetings between these teams. A lot has changed during that time period.
  • Two of the Raiders top offensive options – RB Josh Jacobs (hip) and TE Darren Waller (knee) – are questionable; even if they do play, one has to wonder if they’ll be at 100 percent and effective.
  • The new-look Patriots are relying a ton on QB Cam Newton, possibly too much. He’s rushed 26 times for 122 yards and four touchdowns in two games to go along with passing for 552 yards and one touchdown with one pick.
  • The Under is 5-0 in the Patriots past five games when they are coming off of a game allowing 30 points, per Covers.com, and they are 0-3-1 ATS at home against a team with a winning road record.

Raiders at Patriots key injuries

Raiders

  • T Trent Brown (calf) out
  • G Denzelle Good (thumb, illness) questionable
  • RB Josh Jacobs (hip) questionable
  • LB Nick Kwiatkoski (pectoral) out
  • WR Henry Ruggs (knee/hamstring) out
  • TE Darren Waller (knee) questionable
  • OT Sam Young (groin) questionable

Patriots

  • C David Andrews (hand) out
  • DT Adam Butler (shoulder) questionable
  • S Kyle Dugger (foot) questionable
  • WR Julian Edelman (knee) questionable
  • WR N’Keal Harry (ankle) questionable
  • LB Josh Uche (ankle) out
  • RB James White (not injury related) out
  • T Isaiah Wynn (calf) questionable

Raiders at Patriots: Odds, betting lines, picks and prediction

Prediction

Patriots 24, Raiders 22

Money line (?)

The Patriots (-278) might be getting too much respect in this matchup, but they’re playing at home where they are 1-0 and traditionally hard to beat. There’s a lot of juice here, but confidence in the Patriots winning outright isn’t strong. PASS ON THE MONEY LINE unless you feel confident in the Patriots bouncing back with a victory. The Raiders at +225 pays $225 on every $100 bet if you’re feeling confident about an upset – I can see it, but not enough to put some skin in the game around it. Betting ATS below is the better play there to gain some insurance. 

Against the spread (?)

New England, which is 1-1 ATS, is the 6.5-point favorite (-110) here, which is giving the Pats a bit too much credit. Expect this one to go down to the wire, with the Raiders, who are 2-0 ATS this season, keeping this one close. The Raiders are also 4-0 ATS over their past four games in September and their past four games overall. BET RAIDERS +6.5 (-110), where a $110 wager returns a $100 profit should the Raiders win outright or lose by 6 points or less.

Over/Under (?)

The Raiders are 2-0 O/U this season, while the Patriots are 1-1. The 46.5 point total is middle of the road for this week’s slate and these teams should flirt with just enough offense but end up HITTING THE UNDER (-110) Sunday. However, you’ll be sweating it out right to the end. The Raiders are 5-1 on hitting the Under in their past six road games.

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Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots odds, picks and best bets

Previewing the Week 1 matchup between the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and best bets.

The new-look New England Patriots take the field Sunday at 1 p.m. ET as they play host to the Miami Dolphins in the season opener for both teams. QB Tom Brady is no longer in the picture and QB Cam Newton, a mid-summer addition, takes over as QB1 for head coach Bill Belichick and company. Let’s analyze the Patriots-Dolphins odds, lines and spread as we make our Week 1 NFL wagers and best bets around this AFC East matchup.

Dolphins at Patriots betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dolphins +270 (bet $100, win $270) | Patriots -334 (bet $334, win $100)
  • Against the Spread/ATS: Dolphins +7 (-110) | Patriots -7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 41.5 (O: -110, U: -110)

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Dolphins at Patriots game notes

  • The Patriots have had their struggles vs. the Dolphins, splitting the series each of the past three seasons.
  • When the Patriots have won, they’ve won big — averaging 38.7 points to the Dolphins’ eight in those wins.
  • When they’ve lost, they have often been close games, including their 27-24 loss to Miami last December. In Miami’s three wins, they’ve averaged 29.3 points to the Patriots’ 25.7.
  • Is Newton back to 100% health? Newton hasn’t played a game since 9/12/2019; he had two shoulder surgeries in two years at that point and then needed surgery to repair a Lisfranc (foot) injury.
  • Dolphins QB Ryan Fitzpatrick opens the season under center; but he’s keeping the spot warm for rookie Tua Tagovailoa.
  • How good will the New England D be? The unit lost a number of key players during the offseason to free agency, while others opted out of the year due to COVID-19. 2019 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Stephon Gilmore is still manning one of the cornerback spots for the Pats, however.

Dolphins at Patriots key injuries

Miami Dolphins

  • S Clayton Fejedelem (pectoral) doubtful

New England Patriots

  • WR N’Keal Harry (shoulder) questionable
  • DE Chase Winovich (shoulder) questionable

Dolphins at Patriots: Odds, betting lines, picks and prediction

Prediction

Patriots 30, Dolphins 13

Moneyline (?)

If I was confident enough in Miami, the +270 (bet $100, win $270) on the moneyline is very attractive. In the last 11 matchups, the Patriots are 10-1 at home vs. Miami. The Patriots at -334 (bet $334, win $100) just isn’t worth a wager here, as the risk is too high for too little return profit. PASS on the moneyline.

Against the Spread (?)

When I first saw this line, I was leaning Miami (+7) to cover.

But in examining things further, even with the changes New England has dealt with, Belichick and Josh McDaniels will have this offense ready. Miami, on the other hand, is still in full rebuild. As noted earlier, when the Patriots have won lately vs. Miami, it’s usually by a wide margin. An offseason of being told the dynasty is dead and they are no longer the cream of the crop in the AFC East is just the motivation the Patriots need to set tone. PATRIOTS -7 (-110) is the play here. For every $10 wagered on the Patriots to cover, you profit $9.09 should they win by at least eight points.

Over/Under (?)

A 41.5-point line here is worth a small-unit play. It’s one of the lower ones for the week’s slate, and these two teams have hit the Over in their last eight matchups. Take the OVER (-110).

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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