The Buffalo Bills (11-3) visit the New England Patriots (6-8) in the Week 16 Monday Night Football game for an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff. Here’s a look at the early Bills-Patriots betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.
The Bills clinched the AFC East title with a 48-19 rout of the Denver Broncos Saturday. QB Josh Allen threw for 359 yards with 2 touchdowns and ran for 2 scores as Buffalo easily covered as a 6-point favorite. WR Stefon Diggs finished with a game-high 147 receiving yards on 11 receptions, while WR Cole Beasley pulled in 8 passes for 112 receiving yards. The Bills can’t catch the Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) for the AFC’s top seed, as they lost 26-17 at home to the Chiefs in Week 6, but they can pass the Pittsburgh Steelers (11-2-1) for the No. 2 seed.
The Patriots were eliminated from playoff contention after losing 22-12 at the Miami Dolphins in Week 15, snapping their NFL-record run of 11 consecutive postseason appearances. The Patriots, who closed as 1.5-point favorites, allowed 250 rushing yards to the Dolphins – Miami entered the week last in the league in yards per carry. The Pats led 9-7 after three quarters but were outscored 15-3 in the final 12:55. At 6-8, the Patriots will end up at .500 or worse for the first time since 2000, the season after they drafted QB Tom Brady. New England also falls one season short of matching the Dallas Cowboys’ NFL record of 20 consecutive winning seasons.
Bills at Patriots: Betting odds, spread and line
Odds via BetMGM; last updated Monday at 9:50 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Bills -300 (bet $300 to win $100) / Patriots +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Bet now
- Against the spread/ATS: Bills -6.5, -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Patriots +6.5, -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Bet now
- Total: 44.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Under -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Bet now
Betting stats:
- ATS: Bills 9-5 | Patriots 6-8
- O/U: Bills 9-4-1 | Patriots 4-10
New to NFL betting?
At -300 odds, the Bills have an implied win probability of 75% or 1/3 fractional odds. Buffalo must win by 7 or more points for a Bills -6.5 (-115) ATS wager to win.
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At +240 odds, the Patriots have an implied win probability of 29.41% or 12/5 fractional odds. New England must win outright or keep the game within 6 points in a loss for a Patriots +6.5 (-105) ticket to cash.
Also see:
- Reactions to AFC East title: ‘An unexplainable feeling’ (Bills Wire)
- Disappointed Belichick on elimination from playoff race (Patriots Wire)
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