The Nevada Wolfpack (18-6, 8-3 Mountain West) looks to win another conference game against the New Mexico Lobos (19-4, 6-4) in The Pit Tuesday at 10:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada vs. New Mexico odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Since a 97-94 overtime win as 3.5-point favorites against the Lobos Jan. 23, the Wolfpack are 2-1 in conference. This includes a 75-66 home win over conference-leading San Diego State as 2.5-point underdogs and a 72-52 win against Air Force as 11-point favorites Friday.
Nevada will now bring its 147th ranked offense at 73.5 points per game into The Pit and attempt to take down a New Mexico team, which despite being undefeated out of conference, has lost 4 games since entering conference play. Including, of course the 97-94 overtime loss in Reno.
The Wolfpack defense, ranking 79th at 66.1 points will have its hands full against a Lobos offense that ranks 10th nationally at 82.0 points per game. The Lobos, who rank 11th in field-goal percentage at 49.1%, will push the pace and force Nevada to keep up. The Wolfpack were able to do so at home. On the road might be a different story.
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Nevada at New Mexico odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nevada +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | New Mexico -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nevada +4.5 (-110) | New Mexico -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Nevada at New Mexico picks and predictions
Prediction
New Mexico 87, Nevada 78
Moneyline
PASS.
New Mexico has lost 4 conference games this season. But the Lobos are a different team at home, and with revenge on their mind, I do not see the Lobos losing Tuesday.
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Against the spread
BET NEW MEXICO -4.5 (-110).
New Mexico can score. Averaging 82.0 points per game on the year and ranking 10th in the nation, the Lobos will be able to put up points at home in this one. On top of this, Nevada will be heading into a hornet’s nest after beating the Lobos at home 97-94 in the previous meeting.
New Mexico needs this win to get back in the hunt for a conference title, and it will look to do so in an impressive fashion. Just 4.5 points will not be enough, and the Lobos will cover this spread.
Over/Under
OVER 151.5 (-105) is the total side to play.
The Wolfpack are 9-3 to the Over in their last 12 games overall and have also gone Over in 5 of 6 against teams with win percentages over .600. Nevada has also gone Over the total in 20 of 27 Tuesday games, and with New Mexico being able to score, this should be another Over for the Wolfpack.
The Lobos have gone Over in 3 of their last 4 games and have also gone Over in 6-straight home games against teams with losing road records.
New Mexico plays great at home, and with 8 of 10 games going Over in the past 10 at home, and with Nevada coming in with a losing road record, the Over is the safest play in this matchup.
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