In a third Round of 16 matchup in the 2023 Women’s World Cup, Netherlands takes on South Africa Saturday. Kickoff from Allianz Stadium is set for 10 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Netherlands vs. South Africa odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
Netherlands finished atop Group E with 7 points. It beat Portugal 1-0 to open up its World Cup on July 23 then drew the United States 1-1 on July 26. It finished its group stage with a 7-0 win over Vietnam Tuesday. It ended with 9 goals for and 1 against which was tied for the 2nd-best goal differential in the tournament. Netherlands sits 9th in the FIFA Women’s Ranking.
South Africa is among the surprise nations to qualify for the Round of 16, ranking 54th. It finished 2nd in Group G, beating out Argentina and Italy, both nations ranked higher than it. South Africa was 1-1-1 in the group stage, scoring 6 goals and allowing 6. It opened with a 2-1 loss vs. Sweden despite scoring first, then drew Argentina 2-2 and shocked Italy 3-2 Wednesday.
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Netherlands vs. South Africa odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:37 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Netherlands -415 (bet $415 to win $100) | South Africa +950 (bet $100 to win $950) | Draw +500
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +105 | U: -145)
Netherlands vs. South Africa picks and predictions
Prediction
Netherlands 2, South Africa 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
There’s just no value here. Netherlands is the better side, and South Africa struggled against both Italy and Argentina, giving up 4 combined goals to them, and it lost to Sweden with just 31% possession. Netherlands (-415) isn’t worth a wager though: it’s simply too expensive.
The better bet is BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (-120).
South Africa averaged 2 goals per game and scored on Sweden, striking first in the match. It scored 3 on Italy and 2 on Argentina. Its struggle is defensive, so expect the Netherlands to get on the board.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (-145).
The two matches between top sides within each nation’s respective group stage were South Africa against Sweden and USA against Netherlands. Both games went Under this total. Netherlands scored just 1 on the USA and had just 5 shots.
South Africa ended with minimal possession and 4 shots on frame against Sweden while limiting Sweden to 6 shots on frame — and Sweden is arguably among the best nations in the world.
Netherlands destroyed Vietnam, but it struggled to get on the board against Portugal, scoring just once. It allowed just 1 goal throughout the 3 matches and should showcase that strong defense Saturday.
Back UNDER 3.5 (-145).
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
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