NCAA football betting odds lines picks best bets against the spread over under – Page 2

Tulsa at South Florida odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Tulsa Golden Hurricane at South Florida Bulls sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-1, 1-0 AAC) and South Florida Bulls (1-4, 0-3) are slated to meet in a Friday night American Athletic Conference battle at 7:30 p.m. ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. We analyze the Tulsa-South Florida college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Tulsa at South Florida: Betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Tulsa -385 (bet $385, win $100) | South Florida +295 (bet $100, win $295)
Against the spread/ATS: Tulsa -10.5 (-106) | South Florida +10.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

Tulsa at South Florida: Three things to know

USF’s 19.0 points per game rank as a last-place tie in the AAC. The Bulls’ passing game has gotten off to a slow start, but in that aerial game, sophomore QB Jordan McCloud — a second-year starter — has started to turn things around. McCloud threw for 298 yards in a minus-2 turnover (two USF fumbles) loss to East Carolina and then tossed three touchdowns last week at Temple.
Tulsa registered an upset of then-No. 11 UCF Oct. 3 after playing then-No. 6 Oklahoma State to a 16-7 loss two weeks prior. Since then, a bye and a postponement have left the Golden Hurricane without a chance to build on those efforts. Now, Tulsa — a 2-6 team in AAC play a year ago — returns to the Sunshine State for another road game. The Hurricane are 7-1 against the spread over their last eight road tilts.
The South Florida defense ranks 12th in the nation in pass defense (opponent pass rating). The Bulls have held three foes under 150 passing yards and have come up with six interceptions in five games.

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Tulsa at South Florida: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Tulsa 24, South Florida 21

Money line (ML)

STEER CLEAR. A lot of juice brackets the real win probabilities in between.

Against the spread (ATS)

The host Bulls are coming off three road games in a four-week stretch. Their last two games have been encouraging, at least on offense.

Tulsa was outgained 455 yards to 438 in its big win over Central Florida, but the Hurricane made use of 18 UCF penalties that day. Tulsa was down 16-2, after one quarter. In a turnover-ridden contest (three per side), the Hurricane got back into the contest with scoring drives of 30, 88 and 34 yards.

BACK THE BULLS +10.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

Rain is in the Friday forecast for the Tampa area. The lean here is on a version of sloppy-start and/or ball-control game flow which favors the UNDER 50.5 (-106).

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Alabama football / Auburn football / Florida football / Georgia football / LSU football / Michigan football / Michigan State football / Notre Dame football / Ohio State football / Oklahoma football / Tennessee football / Texas football / USC football / Wisconsin football

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Illinois at Wisconsin odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Illinois Fighting Illini at Wisconsin Badgers sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Big Ten season gets underway when the Illinois Fighting Illini visit the Wisconsin Badgers Friday at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wis., for an 8 p.m. ET kickoff under the lights. Below, we analyze the Illinois-Wisconsin college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

The Badgers are 14th in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Illinois at Wisconsin: Betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:40 a.m. ET.

Money line: Illinois +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Wisconsin -1112 (bet $1,112 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Illinois +19.5 (-106) | Wisconsin -19.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Illinois at Wisconsin: Three things to know

The Badgers are the favorites to win the Big Ten West Division. Redshirt freshman QB Graham Mertz will make his first start as last year’s starter QB Jack Coan is out indefinitely due to a broken foot. Sophomore RB Nakia Watson and senior RB Garrett Groshek will be called on to replace two-time Doak Walker Award winner Jonathan Taylor (now with the Indianapolis Colts). TE Jake Ferguson returns as one of the conference’s best tight ends. The defense, led by LB Jack Sanborn, should be the team’s strength – all three players return up front.
Head coach Lovie Smith begins his fifth season in Champaign following a 6-7 campaign, which included the program’s first bowl game – a 35-20 loss in the Redbox Bowl – in five years. Senior QB Brandon Peters returns after throwing 18 touchdowns in 2019. His No. 1 target is back in WR Josh Imatorbhebhe (9 TDs). The offensive line returns 125 career starts with four potential future NFL players. LB Jake Hansen is the leader of the defense, a unit which led the Big Ten with 2.2 takeaways per game and led the country with 6 defensive touchdowns in 2019.
The Illini stunned the then-No. 6 Badgers 24-23 a year ago, kicking a 39-yard field goal as time expired. The Badgers, who were 6-0 at the time, had won the previous nine games in the series. They are 7-0 in their last seven home games vs. the Illini, who last won in Madison in 2002.

Illinois at Wisconsin: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Wisconsin 31, Illinois 23

Money line (ML)

AVOID. Wisconsin (-1112) is way too chalky to bet. As mentioned above, it would take $11.12 just to win $1 on the Badgers ML.

Against the spread (ATS)

ILLINOIS +19.5 (-106) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1.5 times your usual wager. The Illini bring back enough experience to not get blown out by a ranked-Badgers squad that should be a little rusty in the season opener. Plus, Wisconsin will need some time to figure out its offensive attack with star RB Taylor now in the NFL.

Over/Under (O/U)

A slight lean to the OVER 51.5 (-110) – half your usual wager. This likely won’t hit until midway through the fourth quarter. With both teams trying to get a feel for the game in the first half, things could start out slow.

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Johnny’s 2020 CFB record / Strongest plays	1-4 / 0-1
2020 overall record (all sports)	121-94-3
Strongest plays (all sports)	60-36-1

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Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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Boston College at Virginia Tech odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Boston College Eagles at Virginia Tech Hokies sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Boston College Eagles (3-1) head to Blacksburg, Va. to play the Virginia Tech Hokies (2-1) at Lane Stadium (on ACC Network). Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. We analyze the Boston College-Virginia Tech college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

The Hokies are 23rd in the Amway Coaches Poll.

Boston College at Virginia Tech: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Boston College +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Virginia Tech -455 (bet $455 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Boston College +12.5 (-110) | Virginia Tech -12.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 62.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)

Boston College at Virginia Tech: Three things to know

Virginia Tech has the sixth-highest return of production from last season whereas Boston College is ranked 53rd, according to ESPN.
The Hokies were rolled by North Carolina in their last game, 56-45, failing to cover the +3.5-point spread.
Boston College won its last game 31-30 in overtime against the Pittsburgh Panthers and covered as a 7.5-point home underdog. BC’s only loss this season was also to North Carolina (26-22).

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Boston College at Virginia Tech: Odds, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Virginia Tech 30, Boston College 24

Money line (ML)

Virginia Tech (-455) is such a monster favorite over a three-win Boston College (+350) because BetMGM (and bookmakers) anticipates the calvary coming in to support the Hokies. They are getting back starting safety Divine Deablo and QB Hendon Hooker.

The Hokies have been without at least 15 players in each game this season and most of their defensive lapses can be attributed to that. The Hokies were missing five secondary players, which included an ejection to their starting nickelback in the first half against North Carolina.

A tad healthier Virginia Tech side should get a W on Boston College but the Eagles are live dogs. PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Against the spread (ATS)

The market is over-adjusting to Virginia Tech’s -12.5 (-110) returning players and there has been some movement toward Boston College +12.5 (-110) this morning. Virginia Tech-Boston College opened with the Hokies laying 10.5 points, the game was steamed up to as high as 13 and now it sits at the current number of plus-12.5 for the Eagles.

Boston College has won back-to-back games and has covered seven of its last nine against the ACC rival Virginia Tech. The Hokies returning to action still have to find their stride and it could take a game or two for them to gel as a unit.

Virginia Tech got picked apart by North Carolina in its last game and in the previous game a terrible Duke Blue Devils offense put up 38 points. Boston College can move the ball on this Virginia Tech defense and its defense is feisty enough to not get truck-sticked.

BET BOSTON COLLEGE +12.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The ATS handicap leads me in the direction of UNDER 62.5 (-115). The Under is 6-1 in Boston College’s last seven games overall and 5-1 in Boston College’s last seven games as the underdog. You’d figure Boston College would like to keep Virginia Tech’s rushing game off the field and wear down the defense.

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North Texas at Middle Tennessee odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s North Texas Mean Green and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and best bets.

The North Texas Mean Green (1-3) face the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (1-4) at Johnny Floyd Stadium at 5 p.m ET. Below, we analyze the North Texas-Middle Tennessee college football betting odds and lines, with college football picks and best bets.

North Texas at Middle Tennessee: Betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: Middle Tennessee -223 (bet $223, win $100) | North Texas +180 (bet $100, win $180)
Against the spread/ATS: Middle Tennessee State -6 (-110) | North Texas +6 (-110)
Over/Under: 71.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

North Texas at Middle Tennessee: Three things to know

Middle Tennessee has one of the worst offenses in college football, averaging under 20 points per game. The Blue Raiders were shut out against Army in Week 1 and managed to score only 14 points against Troy in Week 2.
North Texas has lost six-straight games on the road and has failed to cover in any of those contests.
North Texas has arguably the worst defense in college football, allowing just under 47 points per game. The Mean Green defense is allowing an absurd 7.30 yards per play this season.

North Texas at Middle Tennessee: Odds, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Middle Tennessee State 35, North Texas 28

Money line (ML)

MIDDLE TENNESSEE (-223) is a slight home favorite in this contest despite its 1-4 record on the season. The lone victory came last week as the Blue Raiders defeated FIU in a close 31-28 contest. North Texas has been an awful road team of late, losing six straight games away from home.

Don’t expect anything to be different in this one as the Raiders should win by a touchdown.

Against the spread (ATS)

MIDDLE TENNESSEE -6 (-110) is a touchdown favorite in this game over North Texas. That’s not all that surprising considering Middle Tennessee is 5-2 against the spread in its last seven games. Meanwhile, North Texas has failed to cover in six of its last seven games. Considering how poor the Mean Green have been on the road over the last two seasons, take the Raiders to win by at least 7 points.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total for this matchup is set at 71.5 points and that makes sense considering the defenses in this matchup. North Texas is allowing close to 50 points per game, but neither team has an elite offense. Look for both sides to score close to the mid-30s, but for the UNDER 71.5 (-106) to ultimately hit in this contest.

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Texas A&M at Mississippi State odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Texas A&M Aggies at Mississippi State Bulldogs sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Texas A&M Aggies (2-1 overall, 2-1 SEC) travel to Starkville, Miss., to play the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-2, 1-2) Saturday in Davis Wade Stadium at 4 p.m. ET (on SEC Network). Below, we analyze the Texas A&M-Mississippi State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

The Aggies are ranked 11th in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Texas A&M at Mississippi State: Betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:26 a.m. ET.

Money line: Texas A&M -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Mississippi State +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
Against the spread/ATS: Texas A&M -5 (-110) | Mississippi State +5 (-110)
Over/Under: 56.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Texas A&M at Mississippi State: Three things to know

This is Mike Leach’s first year as head coach of the Bulldogs. He has a history of coming up short against ranked competition. At his previous coaching gig with Washington State, he was 6-22 against ranked foes.
The home team is 5-1 against the spread in the last six Texas A&M-Mississippi State meetings. The favorites in Texas A&M-Mississippi State are 5-1 ATS in the last six games.
Texas A&M has the 16th-highest return of production compared to Mississippi State’s 110th ranking (according to ESPN).

Texas A&M at Mississippi State: Odds, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Texas A&M 34, Mississippi State 17

Money line (ML)

Mississippi State (+165) shocked the country by beating the defending National Champions LSU Tigers 44-34 in its first game of the season, but MSU has struggled since. The Bulldogs have lost back-to-back games (straight up and failed to cover) to Kentucky and Arkansas.

Texas A&M (-200) beat No. 9-ranked Florida 41-38 in Gainesville, Fla., last week, so naturally Aggies backers need to worry about a letdown game here. But with senior QB Kellen Mond guiding the offense, A&M should be ready to go here. He won SEC Offensive Player of the Week for his 338 passing yards and three-TD performance against the Gators last Saturday.

I like Texas A&M (-200) on the money line but would rather parlay it with another favorite to increase the payout (Alabama perhaps).

Against the spread (ATS)

Texas A&M -5 (-110) head coach Jimbo Fisher has prepped his players well to handle business on the road recently. The Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Mississippi State defense’s stats are good but misleading. Its first opponent, LSU, scored 34 in its first game with a completely remodeled team. The Bulldogs’ next opponents—Kentucky and Arkansas—are ranked 52nd and 68th in yards per play (out of 76 ranked teams).

Also, Mississippi State senior transfer QB K.J. Costello is leading the nation in interceptions thrown (nine). The Aggies should have success on offense and the Bulldogs could easily turn the ball over trying to respond.

TAKE TEXAS A&M -5 (-110) to cover.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. I don’t have a feel for it. Leach’s air raid offense is throwing the ball at the nation’s highest clip (79%) but has played bad the past two games. Texas A&M’s offense put up clunkers in its first two games, but Costello’s interception woes could give them short fields.

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Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Ole Miss at Arkansas odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Ole Miss Rebels at Arkansas Razorbacks sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Ole Miss Rebels (1-2 overall, 1-2 SEC) and Arkansas Razorbacks (1-2, 1-2) face off in an SEC battle Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET at Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Ark. We analyze the School-School college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Ole Miss at Arkansas: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:09 p.m. ET.

Money line: Arkansas +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Ole Miss -121 (bet $121 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Arkansas +1.5 (-110) | Ole Miss -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 76.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

Ole Miss at Arkansas: Three things to know

Ole Miss has the nation’s No. 2 offense, piling up 573 yards per contest.
Arkansas’ defense allows an average of 409 yards per game and are 25th in the country in third-down defense.
Ole Miss is last in the SEC in total defense, scoring defense, run defense and third-down stops.

Ole Miss at Arkansas: Odds, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Ole Miss 37, Arkansas 35

Money line (ML)

There isn’t a bad way to go here because the line is so close. You can go with the even money bet on Arkansas, which is playing at home. You can go with the Rebels and their No. 2 offense in the nation. Ole Miss, though, has the superior talent and that usually will win out. Take OLE MISS (-121).

Against the spread (ATS)

Arkansas has covered all three of its games this season, but the spread is so tight at -1.5 that you basically have to pick a winner. Ole Miss has covered the spread in both of its previous road games. Take OLE MISS -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

This should be high scoring, but the total is too high. Ole Miss’ games have gone Over in all three this year but Arkansas’ defense is solid. The Razorbacks’ games have gone Over the total only once this season. Take UNDER 76.5 (-106).

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Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Georgia at Alabama odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Georgia Bulldogs (3-0 overall, 3-0 SEC) and Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0, 3-0) are scheduled to meet at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala. for an 8 pm ET kickoff Saturday (on CBS). Below, we analyze the Georgia-Alabama college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

The Crimson Tide are No. 2 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports, while the Bulldogs are No. 3.

Georgia at Alabama: Betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Georgia +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Alabama -200 (bet $100 to win $200)
Against the spread/ATS: Georgia +4.5 (-106) | Alabama -4.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 57.5 (O: -121 | U: +100)

Georgia at Alabama: Three things to know

The big news broke Wednesday that Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban and athletic director Greg Byrne each tested positive for COVID-19. Both men left the team’s facility and are in self-isolation. Offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian will take over, similar to how head coach Mike Norvell missed the Florida State game at Miami after his positive test.
With the news of Sark taking over for Saban, money poured in on the Dawgs, moving the line from 6 to 4, before heading back to 4.5. Sarkisian was head coach at USC and Washington previously, so these aren’t uncharted waters for him.
Georgia’s defense has been nasty so far, allowing just 236.7 total yards per game to rank second in the nation while ranking first in rushing yards allowed (38.3) and fifth in points allowed (12.3) per game. Alabama’s offense has been on fire, ranking first in the nation with 51.0 points per game, while checking in second in passing yards (385.0) and third in total yards (560.3) per contest.

Georgia at Alabama: Odds, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Georgia 38, Alabama 31

Money line (ML)

Get in on the money line for GEORGIA (+165), which bumped up a little since the middle of the week. It is a tremendous value. Alabama (-200) is just too expensive, it has the distraction of its head coach being away from the team and the defense has been a disaster. That’s fine when you’re up against the likes of Ole Miss or Mizzou, but it won’t work against UGA.

Against the spread (ATS)

GEORGIA +4.5 (-106) wasn’t caught looking ahead in a marquee tune-up matchup against Tennessee, routing the upstart Vols by a 44-21 count between the hedges last week. After narrowly missing a cover at most shops in their opener at Arkansas, winning 37-10 on a 27.5-point number, the Dawgs are a perfect 2-0 ATS in the previous two.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 57.5 (-121) is the way to go here, as the Tide will be able to move the ball against the Bulldogs defense; UGA will certainly be able to move it against the Tide. Heck, a Pop Warner team likely could move the ball on this Alabama defense, which looks like one of the worst units Saban has had in Tuscaloosa in years. A game in the 60s might be a modest estimate. A higher score wouldn’t be surprising.

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Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Auburn at South Carolina odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Auburn Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Auburn Tigers (2-1) face the South Carolina Gamecocks (1-2) at Williams-Brice Stadium Saturday at noon ET. Below, we analyze the Auburn-South Carolina college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Auburn is 14th in the Amway Coaches Poll.

Auburn at South Carolina: Betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Auburn -167 (bet $167 to win $100) | South Carolina +140 (bet $100 to $140)
Against the spread/ATS: Auburn -3 (-115) | South Carolina +3 (-106)
Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

Auburn at South Carolina: Three things to know

Auburn has won eight-straight games against South Carolina with the Gamecocks’ last win coming in 1933.
South Carolina has lost seven of its last nine games with the only wins coming against Vanderbilt in 2019 and 2020.
Auburn’s offense has struggled to kick off the season, averaging under 22 points per game. QB Bo Nix is completing 56.8% of his passes while averaging 6.3 yards per attempt.

Auburn at South Carolina: Odds, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Auburn 28, South Carolina 21

Money line (ML)

AUBURN (-167) is a slight road favorite in this game as it has had a ton of success against South Carolina in the limited history between the two schools. In 12 all-time meetings, South Carolina has won just once.

Auburn is the ranked team again in this meeting and it has a significant talent advantage. South Carolina has been turnover-prone this season, averaging 2.38 giveaways a game. Look for the TIGERS (-167) to win this game by a touchdown or so at Williams-Brice Stadium.

Against the spread (ATS)

AUBURN -3 (-115) is a field-goal favorite. The Tigers are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven meetings against the Gamecocks. Both teams have had rough starts to the season with Auburn losing to Georgia and South Carolina falling to Florida and Tennessee.

Auburn has looked better against similar teams, such as Kentucky and Arkansas. Expect this SEC matchup to be close and likely come down to the last few possessions, but for Auburn to ultimately win by 4 or more points.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total for this SEC matchup is set at 51.5 and that feels high considering how much both offenses have struggled to begin the season. Auburn is averaging just 21.7 points per game and South Carolina hasn’t been much better.

Both teams want to play ball-control offense, limiting the possessions for their opponent. Take the UNDER 51.5 (-106) here as both teams will struggle to reach 30 points.

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Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Kansas at West Virginia odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Kansas Jayhawks at West Virginia Mountaineers sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Kansas Jayhawks (0-3) travel to Mountaineer Field in Morgantown, W.V., for a Big-12 showdown with the West Virginia Mountaineers (2-1). Kickoff will be Saturday at noon ET. Below, we analyze the Kansas-West Virginia college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Kansas at West Virginia: Betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Kansas +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | West Virginia -1429 (bet $1,429 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Kansas +22.5 (-115) | West Virginia -22.5 (-106)
Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Kansas at West Virginia: Three things to know

The Jayhawks are averaging 14.7 points per game this season. The Kansas offense has produced just 4.2 yards per play; that mark ranks 74th out of 76 in the nation. Quarterback play has been a spotty, three-headed cluster, and neither senior Thomas MacVittie, junior Miles Kendrick nor freshman Jalon Daniels have given head coach Les Miles much to hang any of his many hats on.
West Virginia RB Leddie Brown has averaged 5.1 yards per carry on his way to 320 yards and four touchdowns. The Mountaineers have exhibited a balanced 53-47 run/pass mix through three games. The WVU aerial action is orchestrated by junior QB Jarret Doege who has completed 66.3% of his pass attempts.
WVU defeated Kansas 29-24 in last year’s meeting in Lawrence, Kansas. The Jayhawks put together four scoring drives of 70-plus yards and outgained the Mountaineers in total yardage but were undone by a minus-2 in the turnover exchange.

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Kansas at West Virginia: Odds, betting lines and picks

Prediction

West Virginia 35, Kansas 17

Money line (ML)

STEER CLEAR of the big juice and well-bracketed true odds.

Against the spread (ATS)

The Jayhawks have been awful through three games; there is no way around that. Kansas has been pushed around in the trenches and on offense plays behind schedule so much as to put way too much pressure on unproven quarterbacks.

West Virginia derives most of its value from its defense. In their two games against FBS opponents (Sept. 26 at Oklahoma State, Oct. 3 vs. Baylor), the Mountaineers struggled to get anything going early. They score only 13 points in the OSU game and 14 in regulation time in the Baylor game.

The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against teams with winning records. WVU is 1-4-1 ATS over its last six contests following a straight-up win. Kansas was a minus-3 in turnover margin against Coastal Carolina; the Jayhawks coughed up 16 points on defense-and-special-teams scores against Baylor. The probability of a two-to-three-score loss here is heavy enough to WARRANT A PLAY ON KANSAS +22.5 (-115) plus the hefty point total.

Over/Under (O/U)

There is a slight LEAN TOWARD THE OVER 51.5 (-110) here, just on the grounds Kansas forces West Virginia into a game not devolving into a 35-7 walk-over.

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North Carolina at Florida State odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s North Carolina Tar Heels at Florida State Seminoles sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and best bets.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (3-0 overall, 3-0 ACC) and Florida State Seminoles (1-3, 0-3) will meet at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Fla., for a 7:30 pm ET kickoff Saturday (on ABC). Below, we analyze the North Carolina-Florida State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

The Tar Heels are the No. 6 team in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

North Carolina at Florida State: Betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:29 a.m. ET.

Money line: North Carolina -477 (bet $477 to win $100) | Florida State +345 (bet $100 to win $345)
Against the spread/ATS: North Carolina -13.5 (-118) | Florida State +13.5 (-104)
Over/Under: 63.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

North Carolina at Florida State: Three things to know

The Tar Heels won a wild 56-45 shootout against Virginia Tech at home last week, nearly taking care of the Over (59.5) on their own. UNC’s offense is averaging 506.7 total yards (7th in the nation), 245.0 rushing yards (8th) and 37.7 points (19th) per game.
North Carolina RB Javonte Williams might be one of the most unheralded players in the nation. He ripped off 169 rushing yards in the win over Virginia Tech, and has six rushing touchdowns in three games with seven total scores.
Florida State is 0-3 SU against FBS teams this season, losing those games by an average of 20.3 PPG. Its rushing defense has a lot of holes, allowing 194.3 yards per game to rank 60th, and it is also 60th in scoring defense with 33.5 PPG allowed.

North Carolina at Florida State: Odds, betting lines and picks

Prediction

North Carolina 45, Florida State 24

Money line (ML)

North Carolina (-477) will head down to Tally and will win this one rather handily, but risking nearly five times your potential return is not the way to go. AVOID.

Against the spread (ATS)

NORTH CAROLINA -13.5 (-118) is a good play as long as the number remains south of a flat 14. Florida State +13.5 (-104) has covered just once in four outings, while UNC has hit the number in two of its three outings. It’s a bit concerning that the Heels failed to cover in their only road game at Boston College on Oct. 3, but the Eagles actually have a decent defense. The ‘Noles have no D.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 63.5 (-115) is a good bet due to UNC’s powerful offense coupled with the struggles of the Florida State defense. The strength of the Heels offense is their run game, and that’s the Achilles “heel” of FSU’s D. The boys in Carolina blue will not have a problem marching the ball up and down the field for plenty of points.

Want some action in this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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