NBA Finals betting odds picks predictions best prop bets

NBA Finals Game 5: Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics best prop bet picks and predictions

Here are the 4 best prop bets for Monday’s NBA Finals Game 5 between the Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics.

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The Dallas Mavericks visit the Boston Celtics in Game 5 of the NBA Finals Monday. Tip-off from TD Garden is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we break down BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA Finals Game 5 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the Mavericks vs. Celtics bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

The NBA Finals have been a lopsided affair so far with each of the first 4 games being decided by 7 or more points. The Mavericks avoided a sweep with a 38-point Game 4 win, but heading back to Boston for Game 5, can they do it again?

Game 5 picks and predictions

Game 5: Mavericks at Celtics prop bet picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

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Mavericks G Luka Doncic UNDER 32.5 points (-110)

Doncic has not gone over 32 points a single time in this series and has gone over just once in his last 6 games overall. Doncic will struggle to create scoring opportunities on the road. He is just 1-of-15 from 3 in his last 2 games combined. He has also been inefficient from the free-throw line in this series, going a combined 15-of-27.

Celtics F Jayson Tatum OVER 27.5 points (-110)

With a championship in sight, Game 5 will present an opportunity for Tatum to show that he is the leader of the Celtics. Tatum had 31 in a critical Game 3 on the road, showing his ability to get to the basket at will when needed. He averaged 26.9 points per game in the regular season and has shot 40% or better from the field in 10 of his last 12 games.

Mavericks G Kyrie Irving OVER 4.5 assists (+100)

Irving averaged 5.2 assists per game this season and has been a critical part of the Mavericks’ success. His ability to facilitate the offense and distribute the ball is what will allow Dallas to stay in the game Monday. He has dished out 6 assists in 2 of his last 3 games and at least 4 dimes in 11 of his last 14.

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Tatum OVER 9.5 rebounds (-120)

With C Kristaps Porzingis most likely out of the lineup Monday, Tatum will have to take the lead on grabbing rebounds, and he is more than capable of doing so. He has 9 or more rebounds in both home games in this series and has grabbed 10 or more boards in 12 of 18 playoff games.

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NBA Finals Game 4: Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks best prop bet picks and predictions

Here are the 5 best prop bets for Friday’s NBA Finals Game 4 between the Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks.

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The Dallas Mavericks welcome the Boston Celtics for Game 4 of the NBA Finals Friday. Tip from American Airlines Center is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we break down BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA Finals Game 4 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the Celtics vs. Mavericks bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

This has been a disastrous series for Mavs G Luka Doncic. Entering the series, the talk was: “Is he the best player in the game?” Through 3 games, the talk is now: “Will he ever win an NBA title?” He fouled out in a crucial stretch of Game 3, and the talk after was about how much he complained, berated officials, and how much his lack of defensive aptitude was killing his squad. The Celtics have cruised and have the chance to secure the 2nd-best overall record of any Celtics team in history.

Game 4 picks and predictions

Game 4: Celtics at Mavericks prop bet picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:52 a.m. ET.

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Celtics C Al Horford OVER 1.5 three-pointers (-145)

The 38-year-old has hit 62 shots in the postseason, and 32 of them have been from beyond the arc. He’s 5-for-13 (38.5%) from deep in the series, and with C Kristaps Porzingis (leg) likely out or limited, Horford will have opportunities. He went 2-for-5 from deep in Game 3 without Porzingis. Unless he’s just way off, this should be a sweat-free cash.

Mavericks G Kyrie Irving OVER 2.5 three-pointers (-105)

Channeling my inner The Rock: “It doesn’t matter that the team is down 3-0!” Irving is going to come out blazin’. In the most complimentary form, Irving is a dog, and he’s not going out without a fight. He hit 4 triples in Game 3 after missing each attempt in the first 2 games. I look for another 3 or 4 in this one. Despite his struggles in the first 2 games, he’s still shooting 40.5% from distance in the playoffs.

Celtics G Derrick White to score 15+ points in each game of series (+150)

There’s a series special still alive where White scores 15+ in each game of the series. He has 15, 18 and 16 in this series. His line for this game is 15.5 (-110). He has 15+ in 7 of the last 8 games. We believe this series ends tonight, and this is a great way to cash in. There’s a 50% odds boost token in most BetMGM accounts that takes this to a whopping +225. Thank us later.

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Celtics F Jaylen Brown OVER 34.5 points+rebounds+assists (-125)

Brown is on the precipice of being crowned NBA Finals MVP. He had 46 PRA in Game 3, which was the first game without Porzingis in the series. He clearly took on more of the load offensively. With that Bill Russell NBA Finals MVP trophy in sight, I look for him to approach 30 points and blow this combo out of the water.

Mavericks G Luka Doncic UNDER 8.5 assists (+100)

The media has just trashed Doncic over the last 48 hours, and I look for him to put together a big effort shooting. He had 11 dimes in Game 2 but just 1 and 6 in the other 2 games. It’s clear he doesn’t trust anyone outside of Kyrie. Could he get 9 dimes? Absolutely. Is it worth the even-money to bet against it? I believe so. He’s not looking to dish Friday night.

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NBA Finals Game 3: Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks best prop bet picks and predictions

Here are the 4 best prop bets for Wednesday’s NBA Finals Game 3 between the Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks.

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The Dallas Mavericks welcome the Boston Celtics for Game 3 of the NBA Finals Wednesday. Tip from American Airlines Center is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we break down BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA Finals Game 3 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the Celtics vs. Mavericks bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

In a critical Game 3, with the series headed to Dallas, the Mavericks have their backs against the wall. In 2 games, that have not been close, we have seen standout players on both sides including G Luka Doncic for Dallas, who had a triple-double in Game 2, and F Jayson Tatum for Boston, who was 1 rebound shy of a triple-double in Game 2.

Game 3 picks and predictions

Game 3: Celtics at Mavericks prop bet picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

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Mavericks PG Kyrie Irving OVER 23.5 points (-115)

Throughout the first 2 games in this series, Irving has been quiet with 12 points in Game 1 and 16 in Game 2. Averaging 25.6 points during the season, Irving is more than capable of surpassing this total and has previous championship experience that will allow him to bounce back. Returning home to Dallas will be the boost he needs to provide Dallas with a much needed increase in scoring.

Mavericks PG Luka Doncic UNDER 32.5 points (-110)

Doncic has been the anchor for the Mavericks in this series. However, he has not eclipsed 32 points in the first 2 games. He impacts the game in a variety of different ways, but Game 3 will be about the role players getting involved more and helping him out. He may teeter around this number, but do not expect him to surpass 32.5 points.

Mavericks PG Luka Doncic OVER 9.5 assists (+105)

With just 1 assist in Game 1, Doncic rebounded and dished out 11 in Game 2. This season, he averaged 9.8 assists per game, which was 2nd in the NBA. With the series in critical condition, Doncic will display his playmaking abilities Wednesday in effort to open up the floor and spread Boston thin. The Celtics have started to close in on Doncic as a ball handler, which creates opportunities for those around him.

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Player to score most points: Celtics PF Jayson Tatum (+320)

Tatum is the leader of the Celtics and has yet to have a breakout game in this Finals series. He was the Celtics leading scorer this season with 26.9 points per game and averaged his most points per game on the road (27 ppg). With 3 or more days of rest, Tatum averaged 29.4 points per game this season and in a difficult road matchup, he will capture his opportunity to take control.

MAVERICKS -2.5 (-115)

As for the game, I like Dallas to win at home. While the Celtics have largely controlled this Finals series thus far, Dallas has shown glimpses of what it is capable of, especially in Game 2 when it went basket-for-basket against Boston in the 3rd quarter. While the Celtics claimed the league’s best record this season, they performed much better at home than they did on the road where they will face the test of a roaring Mavericks’ arena on Wednesday.

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NBA Finals Game 2: Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics best prop bet picks and predictions

Here are the 5 best prop bets for Sunday’s NBA Finals Game 2 between the Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics.

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The Boston Celtics battle the Dallas Mavericks in Game 2 of the 2024 NBA Finals Sunday. Tip from TD Garden is set for 8 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we break down FanDuel Sportsbook’s NBA Finals Game 2 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the 5 best Mavericks vs. Celtics prop bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Celtics, who were 37-4 in the regular season at home, demolished the Mavericks in Game 1, winning 107-89 and covering as 6.5-point favorites with ease Thursday. Boston jumped out to a 17-point lead in the 1st quarter and never lost it. The Celtics were led by G Jaylen Brown, who 22 points on 7-of-12 shooting. Boston beat the Miami Heat in 5 games in the 1st round and the Cleveland Cavaliers in 5 in the second round before sweeping the Indiana Pacers in the Eastern Finals.

G Luka Doncic led the Mavericks with 30 points in Game 1. He shot 12-of-26 from the field and hauled down a team-high 10 rebounds. Dallas did have a second-half surge, outscoring Boston 47-44 in the last 2 quarters. Dallas beat the L.A. Clippers in 6 to open the postseason, followed by a 6-game series win vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder and a 5-game Western Finals victory vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Game 2 picks and predictions

Game 2: Best Mavericks at Celtics prop bet picks

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:14 a.m. ET.

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Celtics G Derrick White OVER 14.5 points (-113)

White has been among the most productive Celtics this postseason. He has tallied at least 15 points in 5 of the team’s last 6 games, and more to the point, he’s getting shots up, especially 3’s.

White has attempted 8 or more 3’s in 6 straight games and has taken double-digit shots in 6 straight games as well. White is averaging 17.6 points per game during the playoffs and should continue his scoring trend.

BET OVER 14.5 POINTS (-113).

Mavericks C Dereck Lively II OVER 6.5 rebounds (-102)

Lively should see an uptick in minutes. He averaged more than 20 minutes per game against the Thunder and would’ve topped over 20 minutes per game if it weren’t for an injury against the T-wolves. The opportunity is there for the rookie.

Lively has notched at least 7 rebounds in 5 of his last 7 games. He averaged 6.9 rebounds per game during the regular season. Given his ability to defend from 3 better than C Daniel Gafford, expect his minutes to increase, as will his rebounding.

BACK OVER 6.5 REBOUNDS (-102).

Mavericks G Kyrie Irving UNDER 4.5 assists (-122)

The Mavs are starting to have their backs against the wall, and Irving, who has been on this stage before, needs to take over. That means scoring, not passing. He has gone Under this total in 3 of his last 4 games and has gone Under in 6 of his last 8 as well.

Irving needs to be the star the Mavericks need, and having put up 20 or more shots in 4 of his last 7 games, he may shoot instead of pass frequently.

BET UNDER 4.5 ASSISTS (-122).

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Celtics F Jayson Tatum OVER 41.5 points + rebounds + assists (-120)

Tatum has been on fire in the playoffs, and he has gone Over this total in 4 of his last 6 games. The All-Star forward has recorded a double-double in 7 of his last 8 games which significantly helps this total. He has also scored 30 or more points in 4 of his last 8 playoffs games.

Tatum has topped 42 minutes per game in 7 straight contests and should have all the opportunity to be involved in Sunday’s Game 2 battle.

TAKE OVER 41.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSISTS (-120).

1st-half winner: MAVERICKS (+172)

The Mavericks and Celtics should play a closer game. Dallas started to figure things out in the 2nd half of Game 1. Boston put up 37 1st-quarter points and then didn’t score more than 26 in any of the 3 following quarters.

The Mavericks have the stars to bounce back and had a +9.7 net rating in their 1st-round series against the Timberwolves. Expect a better first half and BET MAVERICKS (+172) to win the 1st half.

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NBA Finals Game 1: Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics best prop bet picks and predictions

Here are the 5 best prop bets for Thursday’s NBA Finals Game 1 between the Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics.

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The Dallas Mavericks and the Boston Celtics play Game 1 of the NBA Finals Thursday night. Tip-off from TD Garden in Boston is at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we break down FanDuel Sportsbook’s NBA Finals Game 1 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the 5 best Mavericks vs. Celtics prop bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

After a lengthy layoff since the conference finals, the Mavericks will play in their 1st NBA Finals since 2011 when they took home the Larry O’Brien Trophy for the only time in franchise history with Dirk Nowitzki leading the way against the Miami Heat. This is the Dallas’ 3rd NBA Finals trip as it lost to the Heat back in 2006.

The Boston Celtics are looking to break a tie with the Minneapolis/Los Angeles Lakers franchise for most NBA Championships. The C’s have 17, and would love to inch ahead in that rivalry.

Boston last appeared in the NBA Finals in 2022, falling in 6 games to the Golden State Warriors. Prior to that, the C’s fell to the Lakers in 7 games in 2010. Boston’s last title came in 2008 when Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen joined a Doc Rivers’ team that already had Paul Pierce and Rajon Rondo.

Game 1 picks and predictions

Game 1: Best Mavericks at Celtics prop bet picks

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 a.m. ET.

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Mavericks PG Luka Doncic UNDER 31.5 points (-115)

Doncic will make his 1st NBA Finals appearance. He has had a strong playoffs, rolling for 28.8 points (PPG), 9.6 rebounds (RPG), 8.8 assists (APG) and 1.6 steals (SPG) per game through 17 postseason contests.

His target score for points is a bit high in Game 1. Yes, he balled out against Minnesota in the Western Conference Finals, averaging 32.4 PPG in the 5 games, which was similar to his regular-season average of an NBA-best 33.9 PPG. However, facing the Celtics is a whole other animal.

During the regular season, Boston allowed just 109.2 PPG, which ranked 5th in the NBA, while limiting the opposition to just 45.3% from the field (2nd in the NBA), and 35.2% from behind the 3-point line (4th).

Doncic certainly isn’t going to lay an egg, but scoring more than 30 points against the Celtics is a bit ambitious. People will look to his 35.0 PPG average against Boston in 2 regular-season games to argue against going Under, but regular season and postseason are completely different. Those games weren’t on the world’s largest stage.

Doncic averaged 34.0 PPG in 2 regular-season games against OKC but was held to 24.7 PPG in 6 games against the Thunder in the Western semifinals. So, there’s that.

Celtics SF Jayson Tatum OVER 2.5 3-pointers (-136)

Tatum is a good bet to hit at least 3 triples in Game 1 as he enjoys a little bit of home cooking.

He is looking to avenge an NBA Finals loss in his 1st-career appearance in 2022. Tatum hit 20 3-pointers in the 6 games of that Finals. He has that experience to tap into and is the favorite to win the Finals MVP at -125; Doncic is 2nd at +210.

The Mavericks were just so-so during the regular season guarding against the 3, allowing teams to hit 36.8% from behind the arc, 18th in the NBA. Defensively, the Mavs allowed 115.6 PPG, and 47.5% shooting from the field, both ranking 20th.

Tatum sank 8 triples in the final 2 games of the sweep against Indiana in the East Finals, hitting at least 3 in each of those outings.

1st-quarter total points UNDER 55.5 (-122)

The O/U total for Game 1 is set at 215 (O: -110 | U: -110). While the Celtics were in the NBA Finals in 2022, again, there are just a few holdovers. Outside of SG Kyrie Irving, the Mavericks do not have a lot of experience in the Finals, either.

Look for these teams to slowly get their sea legs after a lengthy layoff, too. There will be butterflies. There will be rust. That’s a good recipe for a slow start, and a low score in the opening 12 minutes.

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Mavericks SG Kyrie Irving to RECORD 4+ ASSISTS (-240)

This is not recommended as a standalone wager, as risking 2.4 times your potential wager provides very little in the way of value in hoping Irving gets at least 4 assists.

However, including this wager along with all of the other props is great for a Same-Game Parlay (SGP). Irving had at least 4 assists in all 5 games against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the Western Finals. Plus, he had 4 or more dimes in 14 of his 17 games this postseason, including in 8 of his past 9.

Mavericks SF Derrick Jones Jr. to RECORD 1+ STEALS (-105)

At near even-money, this is a solid play. It’s the kind of prop which can make or break an SGP, as it is a coin-flip, though.

However, Jones had 3 steals in the Minnesota series, and he has at least 1 theft in 5 of his past 9 postseason games. He averaged 33.0 minutes per game in the Western Conference Finals, and there is ample opportunity for his quick hands to get you on the board.

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NBA Finals Game 5: Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets best prop bet picks and predictions

Here are 5 prop bet picks and predictions for Monday’s NBA Finals Game 5 between the Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets.

The Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets meet for Game 5 of the NBA Finals Monday at Ball Arena. The Nuggets lead the series 3-1. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we break down FanDuel Sportsbook’s NBA Finals Game 5 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the Heat vs. Nuggets prop bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets are on the verge of bringing their first NBA championship title to the Mile High City with the first of 3 chances to secure the Larry O’Brien Championship Trophy.

The Nuggets picked up a 108-95 victory in Miami to push the Heat to the brink of elimination Friday. Denver was 49.4% (39-of-79) from the field, while Miami shot 44.9% (35-of-78). Denver also burned it up from beyond the arc, connecting at a 50.0% clip (14-of-28), while Miami was a cooler 32.0% (8-of-25).

If the Heat did anything well in Game 4 it was at the free-throw line, going 85.0% (17-of-20), while the Nuggets were just 76.2% (16-of-21). Miami also outrebounded Denver by a 37-to-34 margin, including 8 offensive boards.

The Nuggets posted 11 steals to just 2 for the Heat, while blocking 7 shots to just 3 for the Heat. The Heat were also mistake-prone, posting 15 total turnovers to just 8 for the Nuggets.

Denver C Nikola Jokic had another strong game, going for 23 points and 12 rebounds with 3 blocked shots, while F Aaron Gordon dropped a game-high 27 points with 7 boards and 6 dimes. Both Gordon and Jokic were good for 3 triples, too.

Miami F Jimmy Butler did his best to will his team to a win, posting a team-high 25 points with 7 assists and 7 rebounds, while C Bam Adebayo was good for 20 points and 11 rebounds for the team’s only double-double.

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Game 5: Best Heat at Nuggets prop bet picks

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:10 a.m. ET.

0 Dunks in the 1st Quarter 12:00-9:00 (-162)

It seems like a relatively high price to pay for this particular prop, but it’s well worth the money.

We have had just 5 total dunks in the 1st Quarter of this series, with a total of just 1 in the previous 3 games. Gordon had a dunk with 9:27 left in 1st Quarter of Game 1, and he had another with 7:11 to go in the 1st Quarter of Game 2. Hold your breath in the first 3 minutes when Gordon has the ball, and hope Miami can clog up the paint.

We have had a total of just 32 dunks in the entire series, and 4 of the 5 total dunks in the 1st Quarter came in Game 1. In the 2nd Quarter, we have had 11 dunks, the 3rd Quarter has been the most prolific with 13, and the 4th Quarter has had just 3 dunks and 1 missed attempt by Adebayo in Game 3.

Heat SF Jimmy Butler Points: UNDER 27.5 (-125)

Jimmy Buckets had been playing out of his mind, almost single-handedly getting the Heat out of jams all throughout the playoffs. The Nuggets have done a pretty decent holding him in check as he’s shooting 40.8% from the field, including 39.3% (13-of-33) over the first 2 games in Denver.

At Ball Arena, Butler is averaging just 17.0 points per game (PPG) with a total of 3 triples in 2 games in this series. Look for the Nuggets to keep him at bay, for the most part, yet again in Game 5.

Heat C Bam Adebayo Rebounds: OVER 10.5 (-120)

Adebayo averaged 9.2 rebounds per game (RPG) during the regular season, but he has exceeded those numbers in this series by miles.

Adebayo pulled down 13 boards in Game 1 in Denver while going for 9 in Game 2. He managed 17 rebounds in Game 3 and snagged 11 more in Game 4. He is averaging 12.5 RPG in 4 games in this series, and if the rebound prop was 10.5 in each game, he would have cashed Over in 3 out of 4 outings.

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Nuggets F Aaron Gordon Player Combo: OVER 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)

Gordon crushed it in Game 4, going for 27 points to outscore everybody. That’s probably not going to happen again. In fact, it was his best scoring performance since dropping 37 on the Orlando Magic in a regular-season game back on Feb. 9.

However, hitting a combined total of points, rebounds and assists Over 23.5 seems too good to pass up.

Gordon is averaging 16.5 PPG, 7.5 RPG and 3.5 APG in the 4 games of this season, and that’s good for 27.5 combined, which would be well Over the threshold for this prop. He has at least 7 boards in the past 3 games, and 5.5 APG in the past 2 games. As long as he doesn’t get into foul trouble, I like this combo prop a lot.

Miami Heat 1st Quarter Line: +3.5 (-122)

The Heat were outscored by 9 points in the 1st Quarter in Game 1 in Denver, but they were leading 26-23 after 12 minutes in Game 2. In Game 3, the Heat was tied 24-24, and in Game 4 Miami was up 21-20 before being outscored in Quarters 2 and 3.

Miami has found a way to hang tough in the early portion of the game before strong showings in the middle of the game by Denver.

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NBA Finals Game 4: Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat best prop bet picks and predictions

Here are the best prop bet picks and predictions for Friday’s NBA Finals Game 4 between the Nuggets and Heat.

The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat square off in Game 4 of the NBA Finals Friday at Kaseya Center. Nuggets lead series 2-1. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we break down BetMGM Sportsbook’s (OR FanDuel Sportsbook’s) NBA Finals Game 4 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the Nuggets vs. Heat prop bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets slipped up in Game 2, losing home-court advantage to the Heat in the process. However, Denver pasted Miami 109-94 on the road in Game 3 on Wednesday as it seized back the advantage.

Denver C Nikola Jokic continued his amazing play, going for a triple-double with 32 points (12-of-21 from the field), 21 rebounds and 10 assists along with 2 blocked shots. The ‘Blue Arrow’, G Jamal Murray, added 34 points with 10 rebounds and 10 assists while hitting 12-of-22 from the floor, including 3 triples.

Jokic and Murray were the first teammates in NBA Finals history to each record triple-doubles. Jokic’s game with 30+ points, 20+ boards and 10+ dimes was the first game of its kind in NBA Finals history, too.

Miami F Bam Adebayo had a giant stat line too, going for 22 points with 17 rebounds, while F Jimmy Butler registered team-high 28 points. As a result, there are a lot of intriguing props to play for Game 4.

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Game 4: Best Nuggets at Heat prop bet picks

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:53 a.m. ET.

Nuggets C Nikola Jokic Player Alt Points + Rebounds + Assists: OVER 53.5 (-136)

Why not start with the top dog? ‘Joker’ had an absolutely ridiculous stat line, combining for 32 points, 21 rebounds and 10 assists in 44 minutes in Game 3. However, if you were playing this prop in the last game, you cashed with plenty of comfort.

Playing Jokic’s points + assists would have been a total of 42, which would cash that prop by just a half-point. You want to make sure you also play a prop which includes rebounds, as that’s a big part of Jokic’s game.

The star pivot is averaging 33.3 PPG, 14.0 RPG and 9.3 APG in the 3 games of this series so far, posting 2 triple-doubles and 3 double-doubles. He wasn’t a giant passer in Game 2, but he would have cashed the Over at this number in each of the past 2 in this series.

Heat PG Gabe Vincent steals: OVER 0.5 (-180)

This is my personal limit for a singular bet. If you’re able to toss the Vincent Steals Over into a parlay, that would be a much better play.

Vincent was good for a pair of steals in Game 3, and he also had 2 steals in Game 2 in Denver. He is averaging 1.3 SPG in the NBA Finals, and he picked up a steal in 12 of the past 18 postseason games.

Nuggets SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Alt Points + Rebounds: Over 9.5 (-168)

Caldwell-Pope has been consistent in these NBA Finals, going for 6 or more points and posting exactly 3 rebounds in each outing against the Heat so far.

This is a safe bet, as we know what to expect from KCP. He has been off with his shot in the past 2 games, hitting just 2-of-8 from the field, but he has gotten to the free-throw stripe 7 times in the past 2 outings, making all of his attempts. This will be a nail-biter prop which goes down to the end, so be prepared.

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Heat C Bam Adebayo Alt Points + Rebounds + Assists: Over 39.5 (+200)

Adebayo is a tremendous value at this price, as you have a chance to double up if he combines for 40 total points, rebounds and assists.

So far in this series, Adebayo has been playing out of his mind, posting 21 or more points in each outing, going for 23.0 PPG, 13.0 RPG and 4.0 APG, which is exactly the target number of 40 for this cash to prop. He simply needs to keep hitting his averages for the win.

If you want to play it safe, Over 35.5 (-104) is still right near even-money, and is good if you’re not as adventurous.

Denver Nuggets Total Points: Over 106.5 (-115)

The Nuggets went Under this total in Game 1 at home, going for just 104 points. However, Denver cashed in both Games 2 and 3, going for 108 and 109 points.

I love Over bets. There is a lot less sweating, and once you’re Over, you can just kick back and relax the rest of the game.

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NBA Finals Game 3: Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat best prop bet picks and predictions

Here are the best prop bet picks and predictions for Wednesday’s NBA Finals Game 3 between the Nuggets and Heat.

The Denver Nuggets face the Miami Heat in Game 3 of the NBA Finals on Wednesday. Tip is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC) at Kaseya Center. Below, we break down BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA Finals Game 3 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the 3 best Nuggets vs. Heat prop bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat continued their Cinderella story on Sunday with a 111-108 victory in Denver to even the series. The Nuggets led by 8 points entering the 4th quarter, but could not put the game away.

C Nikola Jokic tried to put the game on his back with 41 points, but in the process diverged from his usual court presence and only contributed 4 assists after notching 14 in Game 1. Miami G Gabe Vincent gave the Heat a much needed boost going 4-of-6 on 3-pointers.

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Game 3: Best Nuggets at Heat prop bet picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:40 p.m. ET.

Nuggets F Michael Porter Jr. 3-pointers made: OVER 2.5 (-120)

For everyone who bet this prop the last 2 games, I understand the skepticism. So far he’s 3 for 17 from behind the arc, 1 for 6 in Game 2.

But just remember MPJ averages 7.1 treys per game, 2nd on the team behind G Jamal Murray. So far his slump hasn’t stopped him from finding open looks and if the Nuggets are going to win (which I still believe will happen) it starts with MPJ.

Miami Heat Team Total: UNDER 103.5 (+130)

This is a way to play the moneyline with better odds but slightly more risk. In these playoffs the Heat win with their offense. In their wins, Miami went Over 103.5 in 11 of their 13 games. In losses, they went Under 103.5 in 5 of their 7 games.

For the Miami fans you can also find plus money odds on the Over market. Against the Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics the Heat scored Over 110 in 7 of their 8 wins. You can get that number at +160. Alas, I think Denver will pull out the win.

Race to 10 points: NUGGETS (-135)

Miami went 4 of 6 to start Game 2 while Denver started 0 for 4 which should be an anomaly. If you include the regular season Denver averages 30.1 points in the 1st quarter, which was 3rd best in the NBA. In Game 2 they scored just 23.

In Game 1 Denver won the race to 10 points and kept their foot on the pedal to open the series. I expect them to come out aggressive after the stunning loss in Game 2.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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NBA Finals Game 2: Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets best prop bet picks and predictions

Here are the best prop bet picks and predictions for Sunday’s NBA Finals Game 2 between the Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets welcome the Miami Heat to Ball Arena for Game 2 of the 2023 NBA Finals. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we break down BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA Finals Game 2 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the 4 best Heat vs. Nuggets prop bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets throttled the Heat in Game 1, winning at home by 11. The score ended 104-93, but Denver was more dominant than that suggests, taking a 21-point lead into the final period. The Nuggets covered as a 9-point favorite. The Under 218.5 hit as well.

Two-time MVP C Nikola Jokic led the way with a 27-point, 14-assist, 10-rebound triple-double. C Bam Adebayo led the Heat with 26 points.

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Game 2: Best Heat at Nuggets prop bet picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

Total game points: 211-220 (+260)

The Under in Game 1 hit with ease, but the poor shooting performances are unlikely to repeat themselves.

For starters, the Nuggets were just 8-for-27 from deep. They had the most efficient offense in the NBA this season. Couple that with the Heat, who shot just 40.6% from the field, and scoring should come easier for both sides.

The total is set at 215.5, so this gets both sides of that. Trust the oddsmakers will be better with their line and back the TOTAL GAME POINTS: 211-220 (+260).

Heat F Jimmy Butler points: OVER 26.5 (-110)

Butler is a fighter. He has scored 20-plus points in every game following a game in which he missed the 20-point mark. He scored 13 in Game 1.

Also, the Heat took just 2 free throws, and Butler, a frequent to the line, didn’t take any. That should be expected to change as well. He averaged 7.7 free throw attempts per game against the Celtics.

Butler should bounce back, and considering both those notes, OVER 26.5 (-110) looks like a solid option.

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Heat C Bam Adebayo double-double: YES (-125)

This might be my favorite prop bet, and the reasoning is simple: The Heat will need Bam on the court. In every game this postseason in which Adebayo has topped 39 minutes, he has recorded a double-double.

Adebayo has also recorded a double-double in 3 straight games. He had 13 rebounds in Game 1, and as long as the game is within 15 points, he should again see 39-plus minutes. Take YES (-125).

Nuggets G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope points: OVER 9.5 (-135).

The Nuggets seemed to reduce their rotation in Game 1, and KCP was able to get 36 minutes.

Every other player in the game scored double figures if they managed north of 35 minutes. He will get the opportunities, especially as they look to take the ball out of G Jamal Murray‘s hands.

KCP has his double figures in 10 of 16 playoff games. Expect him to again hit that threshold. Take OVER 9.5 (-135).

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NBA Finals Game 1: Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets best prop bet picks and predictions

Here are the best prop bet picks and predictions for Thursday’s NBA Finals Game 1 between the Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets welcome the Miami Heat to Ball Arena Thursday for Game 1 of the NBA Finals. Tip is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we break down BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA Finals Game 1 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the 4 best Nuggets vs. Heat prop bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets swept the Los Angeles Lakers in the Western Conference Finals while the Heat, who were up 3-0 on the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference Finals, ended up winning a road Game 7.

Led by two-time MVP C Nikola Jokic, the Nuggets are strong favorites, but F Jimmy Butler seems to thrive when counted out. That said, let’s dive into the top prop bets for Game 1.

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Game 1: Best Heat at Nuggets prop bet picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.

Heat SF Jimmy Butler points: UNDER 27.5 (-120)

Butler is the Heat’s star, but he hasn’t necessarily been the most consistent scorer. Butler had games of 14 and 16 in the Celtics series and went Under this total in 4 of 7 games.

The Nuggets ranked 10th in the regular season in opponents’ free-throw attempt rate. Butler has had double-digit free throws in 9 games during the playoffs. Defended by a larger player in F Aaron Gordon will be a factor as well.

Put it together and take the UNDER 27.5 (-120).

Nuggets G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnovers: UNDER 0.5 (+140)

For this value, KCP to not have a turnover is worth a play. He has had 1 turnover in 4 straight games after having none in 4 straight games. He hasn’t had a turnover in 6 of his 15 playoff games.

He didn’t have a turnover in 8 of his last 15 regular-season games as well. KCP isn’t a huge playmaker and is more of a 3-and-D player. That should help limit any turnover-prone nature.

Take the UNDER 0.5 (+140).

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Nuggets C Nikola Jokic to get a triple-double: YES (+105).

If there’s something the Heat should aim to do, it is limit Jokic, who is the Nuggets’ best player, by far. C Bam Adebayo is among the best defenders in the NBA. He is undersized at 6-foot-9, so the rebounds shouldn’t be an issue, but he is talented enough to force Jokic to be more of a passer.

Jokic has had a triple-double in 5 of his last 6 playoff games. He went 12 or more in all categories except once against the Suns in which he had 10 rebounds. Jokic has comfortably had a triple-double in the last few weeks. He should again.

Nuggets to win by 6-10: YES (+375).

The Heat have lost 5 games in the last 2 series, and 2 of those have come by a 6-10 point spread. They should have tired legs, but are a gritty team that has typically found a way to keep the game close.

Denver has won 2 of its last 7 games by this amount and won by 5 and 11 in 2 of the last 3 games against LA. This is more of a long shot, but it is one I like.

Check out: Best bets for Game 1’s moneyline, spread and Over/Under

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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