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Clark’s ‘Caps: Bank on these NBA player prop predictions, 2/27/21

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Saturday’s NBA slate.

The Dallas Mavericks and PG Luka Doncic visit James Harden‘s Brooklyn Nets as the headliner of the NBA’s Saturday card but we can satiate our hoops appetite by shopping around the player props market. Here are a couple NBA player prop predictions to consider Saturday.

Saturday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Timberwolves C Karl-Anthony Towns OVER 27.5 points (-115)

The Timberwolves are in the nation’s capital Saturday to play the Washington Wizards and Towns has dominated the Wizards in his career. In nine career games against Washington, he’s averaging 28.8 points per game on .599/.500/.921 shooting with a 126 offensive rating.

Granted, KAT’s last game against the Wizards was November 2019, but a lot of these same players are still on Washington’s roster and there hasn’t been any improvement in the Wizards’ interior defense.

Washington is allowing the 4th-most points per game to opposing centers. The Wizards also rank 22nd in opponent’s second-chance points per game and 20th in defensive field-goal shooting within five feet of the basket.

Furthermore, both teams play at a very high tempo—Washington is first in pace of play and Minnesota is sixth—and the suspension of T-Wolves G Malik Beasley is going to open up more shots in the offense.

BET TOWNS OVER 27.5 POINTS (-115) for 1 unit.

Also see: Timberwolves at Wizards odds, picks and prediction

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Denver Nuggets PG Jamal Murray UNDER 24.5 points (-110)

The Oklahoma City Thunder play their second game of a back-to-back Saturday against the Nuggets and Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has always defended Murray well.

In their seven career head-to-head meetings, Murray has never eclipsed 24 points against SGA and averages just 14.9 points per game on .423/.235/.875 shooting.

Also, OKC’s defense does a great job against point guards. The Thunder allow the sixth-fewest points per game to opposing PGs and are tied for the second-lowest field-goal percentage against PGs.

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Murray is an above-average free-throw shooter but is only in the 59th percentile of combo guards in terms of foul shooting percentage, according to CleaningTheGlass.com. Furthermore, Murray averages just 2.3 free-throw attempts per game in his career vs. SGA and OKC is second in defensive FTA/FG rate this year.

TAKE MURRAY UNDER 24.5 points (-110) for 1 unit.

Also see: Nuggets at Thunder odds, picks and prediction

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Clark’s ‘Caps: Bank on these NBA player props, 2/26/21

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Friday’s NBA slate.

The NBA’s Friday card is headlined by the Miami Heat trying to keep their hot streak going by upending a white-hot Utah Jazz and a rematch of last season’s Western Conference first-round series between the Portland Trail Blazers and Los Angeles Lakers. Let’s shop around for some value in Friday’s prop bet market and focus on two NBA player props.

Friday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Portland Trail Blazers SG Gary Trent Jr. OVER 3.5 made 3-pointers (+110)

The third-year Trail Blazers guard has taken his game to another level this season and has played even better since being named a starter in mid-January.

Trent went 7-for-11 from 3-point land in the first Trail Blazers-Lakers game in late December and he was backing up SG C.J. McCollum. Well, McCollum has been sidelined by injury for more than a month and Trent has started the past 16 games for Portland. Trent is averaging 4.1 made threes per game on 43.0% 3-point shooting in 36.3 minutes per game as a starter.

Also, the Lakers’ 3-point defense has suffered since PF Anthony Davis went out with an injury five games ago. Over that span, Los Angeles has the fourth-worst defensive 3-point percentage. The Trail Blazers fire the 2nd-most threes per game and connect at the seventh-best percentage.

On top of all that, Trent’s 3-pointers made prop is getting plus-money! BET TRENT OVER 3.5 MADE 3-POINTERS (+110) for 1.25 units.

Also see: Trail Blazers at Lakers odds, picks and prediction

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Houston Rockets SG Victor Oladipo UNDER 2.5 made 3-pointers (-120)

The Raptors host the Rockets Friday in their temporary home in Tampa, Fla., and Rockets SG Victor Oladipo is a player with which Toronto’s backcourt has a lot of familiarity.

Oladipo has played the Raptors 19 times in his career (he started 18 of those games) but has sunk 3 or more 3-pointers in just five of those contests. Not only are the Raptors familiar with how Oladipo plays, but they also hold opposing shooting guards to the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA.

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More importantly, how comfortable is Oladipo with his new system and teammates in Houston? Oladipo has played in only 12 games for the Rockets while missing seven, and he has made 3 or more 3-pointers in only one of his past five games and is shooting 28.2% from deep since joining Houston.

TAKE OLADIPO UNDER 2.5 MADE 3-POINTERS (-120) for 1 unit.

Also see: Rockets at Raptors odds, picks and prediction

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Clark’s ‘Caps: Bank on these NBA player props, 2/21/21

Geoff Clark breaks down three NBA player prop bet predictions for Sunday’s NBA slate.

The NBA’s Sunday card will be tipped off with a matinee between the Boston Celtics and New Orleans Pelicans and headlined by a Brooklyn Nets showdown against the Los Angeles Clippers. Let’s shop around for some value in Sunday’s prop market and focus on three NBA player props.

Sunday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia 76ers SF Tobias Harris OVER 19.5 points (-115)

An ascending Toronto Raptors meet an elite Philadelphia 76ers, and while Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid deservingly get a bunch of credit for Philadelphia’s strong start this season, forward Tobias Harris is also playing at an All-Star caliber.

Harris is averaging a career-best 20.9 points per game on a career-high 57.6% effective field goal shooting (eFG%). He’s got a career-high 19.7 PER at the moment and has an above 60% true shooting percentage for the first time in his career.

In his five games vs. the Raptors since joining the Sixers, Harris is averaging 22.8 points per game with 6.8 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game. And Toronto is allowing the 10th-most points per game (23.5 PPG) to opposing power forwards on the 24th-ranked shooting percentages from the field and 3-point land as well.

TAKE T. HARRIS OVER 19.5 POINTS (-115) for 1.50 units.

Also see: 76ers at Raptors odds, picks and prediction

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Minnesota Timberwolves SF Anthony Edwards UNDER 1.5 made 3-pointers (+145)

The Minnesota Timberwolves are in the Big Apple Sunday for a game with the New York Knicks and No. 1 overall pick Timberwolves wing Anthony Edwards is getting a ton of buzz after his earth-shattering dunk against the Raptors Friday.

And while Edwards is super impressive athletically, his jumper is still a work in progress. Edwards’ 3-point percentage has fallen to 26.9% this month, and he has hit less than two 3-pointers in six of his 11 games in February.

More importantly, the Knicks have the lowest-scoring defense in the NBA, the best 3-point defense, and hold opposing small forwards to the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage.

BET 1 unit on TWolves’ A. Edwards UNDER 1.5 made threes (+145).

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Also see: Timberwolves at Knicks odds, picks and prediction

Los Angeles Clippers PG Patrick Beverley OVER 1.5 steals & rebounds (+140)

First of all, I love getting 1.4 times ROI in this spot considering Clippers PG Patrick Beverley is a notorious defensive pest, whose perimeter defense is a key for Los Angeles tonight.

Beverley has familiarity guarding both James Harden and Kyrie Irving; he is averaging 2.4 steals & blocks per game in his five career games against Harden and 2.1 steals & blocks in seven career games vs. Kyrie.

Los Angeles plays host to Brooklyn for the second meeting of the season, and this is a nationally televised game that pits the Nets’ All-NBA backcourt against the Clippers’ elite perimeter defenders.

A deciding factor in this game figures to be Beverley’s on-ball defense vs. Harden and Irving and the chip on Pat Bev’s shoulder for being an overlooked point guard usually motivates him.

TAKE P. Beverley OVER 1.5 steals & blocks (+140) for a half-unit.

Also see: Nets at Clippers odds, picks and prediction

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Clark’s ‘Caps: Bank on these NBA player props, 2/20/21

Geoff Clark breaks down three NBA player prop bet predictions for Saturday’s NBA slate.

Saturday in the NBA is headlined by a rematch of last season’s NBA Finals with the Miami Heat visiting the Los Angeles Lakers as well as Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors heading to Curry’s hometown to play the Charlotte Hornets. Here are a few NBA player prop bet predictions to consider Saturday.

Saturday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:15 p.m. ET.

Golden State Warriors SF Kelly Oubre Jr. OVER 17.5 points (-120)

While Stephen Curry will most likely put on a show in front of his father in Charlotte, Oubre Jr. has been playing better this month and has a good matchup tonight.

Oubre’s offensive numbers have soared in February as he’s averaging 19.9 points per game on .487/.467 shooting with a 113 offensive rating after scoring just 13.1 points per game on .402/.275 shooting and a 98 offensive rating in January.

Also, Charlotte gives up the third-most points and most 3-point attempts per game to opposing small forwards. Given Oubre’s hot shooting lately and his propensity to attack the basket against a Charlotte team with little rim protection, I’ll BET a unit on OUBRE OVER 17.5 POINTS (-120).

Also see: Warriors at Hornets odds, picks and prediction

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Miami Heat SF Jimmy Butler UNDER 0.5 made 3-pointers (-120)

Butler has notched back-to-back triple-doubles and is playing some of the best basketball of his career entering Saturday’s game. However, Butler’s style is a part throwback, part of him trying to fill a void for his team.

The injury to Heat PG Goran Dragic has forced Butler to be Miami’s point forward, and he’s in charge of getting his teammates involved. This has resulted in Butler averaging the lowest 3-point rate of his career, and he has only made four 3-pointers in 17 games this season.

And in last season’s NBA Finals, Butler only made four 3-pointers in what was a six-game series. BET JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 0.5 MADE 3-POINTERS (-120) for 1 unit.

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Also see: Heat at Lakers odds, picks and prediction

Portland Trail Blazers C Enes Kanter OVER 13.5 rebounds (-115)

The Washington Wizards play the Portland Trail Blazers for the second time this month, and Kanter dominated the boards in the first matchup.

Kanter grabbed 15 boards in the first Wizards-Trail Blazers game and is one of the NBA’s best rebounders. He’s fourth in total rebounding rate and has averaged 13.3 rebounds per game since he replaced injured starting center Jusuf Nurkic last month.

On top of that, Washington allows the most rebounds per game to opposing centers and has the 25th-highest total rebounding rate in the Association. I’m betting ENES KANTER OVER 13.5 REBOUNDS (-115) for 1 unit.

Also see: Wizards at Trail Blazers odds, picks and prediction

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Clark’s ‘Caps: Lonzo will put clamps on CP3 in Suns vs. Pelicans

Geoff Clark breaks down three NBA player prop bet predictions for Friday’s NBA slate.

There are several rematches of games from earlier this week featured during NBA’s Friday night card including the Atlanta Hawks playing the Boston Celtics and two of the top teams from the West with Utah Jazz visiting the Los Angeles Clippers.

Here are a couple of my favorite NBA player prop bet predictions to consider Friday.

Friday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

Phoenix Suns PG Chris Paul UNDER 30.5 points, assists & rebounds (-125)

The Phoenix Suns and New Orleans Pelicans meet for a second time this season and Pelicans guard Lonzo Ball did a good job minimizing the damage done by CP3.

Lonzo held CP3 to only a combined 14 points, rebounds and assists (“PRA”) and kept Paul from getting one board. In their nine all-time meetings, CP3 is averaging just 23.6 PRA against Lonzo. Also, CP3 has gone over 30.5 PRA in just 10 of his 26 games this season.

Finally, the prop market is low-key, very sharp and it’s sniffed out this matchup already hence the extra vig on Under CP3’s PRA. BetMGM making this prop more expensive gives me more confidence in it cashing.

TAKE UNDER CHRIS PAUL 30.5 PRA (-125) for 1.25 units.

Also see: Suns at Pelicans odds, picks and prediction

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Chicago Bulls C Wendell Carter UNDER 11.5 points (-115)

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Chicago Bulls and it’s going to be a tough matchup for Bulls big Wendell Carter Jr. going against Defensive Player of the Year candidate Joel Embiid.

In his only game against Embiid, Carter put up just eight points. Philadelphia gives up the fewest points per game to opposing centers while holding them to the lowest shooting percentage and the seventh-fewest free-throw attempts per game.

Furthermore, the Bulls run the highest rate of pick-and-roll action for the roll man in the Association and the Sixers have elite pick-and-roll defense. Philadelphia allows the sixth-lowest points per possession and fifth-lowest shooting percentage to the roll man in a pick-and-roll play.

TAKE WENDELL CARTER UNDER 11.5 points (-115) for 1 unit.

Also see: Bulls at 76ers odds, picks and prediction

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Boston Celtics PG Kemba Walker OVER 18.5 points (-115)

This will be Kemba and Hawks guard Trae Young’s fifth meeting since Young joined the NBA and Kemba has dominated him in the prior four games.

Kemba scored at least 19 points in each game and is averaging 26.8 points per game and sinking 4.5 threes per game vs. Trae. Plus Kemba has been in and out of the lineup all season but has eclipsed 18.5 points in nine of his 16 games this year.

Lastly, the Hawks struggle against opposing point guards, ranking 23rd in points per game and 28th in free-throw attempts per game vs. opposing point guards. BET KEMBA WALKER OVER 18.5 POINTS (-115) for 1 unit.

Also see: Hawks at Celtics odds, picks and prediction

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Clark’s ‘Caps: Bank on these NBA player props, 2/18/21

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Thursday’s NBA slate.

We are looking at a pared-down NBA slate Thursday with only three games featuring nationally televised showdowns between the Toronto Raptors and Milwaukee Bucks and a meeting of former teammates when LeBron James’ Los Angeles Lakers play Kyrie Irving’s Brooklyn Nets. Here are a couple of NBA player prop bet predictions to consider Thursday.

Thursday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:15 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Bucks SG Bryn Forbes OVER 2.5 made 3-pointers (-125)

This is the second-straight game between the Bucks and Raptors with the first being the 3-point barrage we all expected. Toronto attempted 43 threes (40.8 attempted threes per game), and Milwaukee’s 37 3-point shots were just below its season average (38.1 3-point attempts per game).

Bucks SG Bryn Forbes has fit in nicely at Milwaukee and is averaging a career-high in both effective field goal shooting (eFG%) and 3-point shooting.

Another first-year Bucks player—PG Jrue Holiday—has been sidelined with injury the previous five games, and Forbes is averaging 2.8 made threes on 45.2% 3-point shooting in those games.

Holiday is listed as questionable for tonight’s Raptors-Bucks game, and him playing or not could be a win-win. If Holiday doesn’t play, Forbes starts and if Holiday doesn’t play then Forbes goes back to the best 3-point shooting bench in the Association.

Either way, Forbes should get plenty of looks from three being as though opposing shooting guards attempt the fifth-most threes per game against Toronto. TAKE Bryn Forbes OVER 2.5 threes made for 1 unit.

Also see: Raptors at Bucks odds, picks and prediction

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Los Angeles Lakers PF Montrezl Harrell OVER 14.5 points (-130)

While the injury to Lakers All-Star big Anthony Davis is undoubtedly a speed bump in Los Angeles’ title defense, it does give an opportunity for first-year Lakers PF Montrezl Harrell to step up and perhaps carve a bigger role for himself down the line. He has scored 17, 20 and 21 points in the last three games AD has missed.

Harrell is the reigning Sixth Man of the Year, and it’s mostly due to his offensive prowess. His per-game numbers are down from his previous two seasons with the Clippers, but he has the third-highest eFG% in the league, and his .227 win shares per 48 is a career high.

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Finally, 81.3% of Harrell’s field goal attempts are within 10 feet of the basket. Brooklyn’s opponents have the fourth-highest field goal percentage within five feet of the basket, and the Nets are last in both points in the paint per game allowed and opponent’s second-chance points per game.

BET Montrezl Harrell OVER 14.5 POINTS (-130) for 1.25 units.

Also see: Nets at Lakers odds, picks and prediction

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Clark’s ‘Caps: Bank on these NBA player props, 2/17/21

Geoff Clark breaks down three NBA player prop bet predictions for Wednesday’s NBA slate.

Wednesday’s NBA schedule features a matchup of the best in the West when the Utah Jazz visit the Los Angeles Clippers and a cross-conference battle between the Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors. Here are a couple of NBA player prop bet predictions to consider Wednesday.

Wednesday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:50 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Timberwolves C Karl-Anthony Towns OVER 22.5 points (-105)

The Indiana Pacers stop by Target Center to play the Timberwolves and this is a game Towns should dominate.

While Pacers C Myles Turner is having the best defensive season of his career, KAT has done work against Turner in their head-to-head meetings. Towns is averaging 29.0 points per game on .517/.405/.860 shooting in six career games vs. Turner.

Furthermore, Indiana is 25th in opponent’s points in the paint per game and second-to-last in opponent’s second-chance points per game due to their awful team rebounding. Towns has spent some time on the sidelines this season but returned to the lineup four games ago so the rust should be almost fully knocked off.

Also see: Pacers at Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction

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Golden State Warriors PF Draymond Green OVER 6.5 rebounds (-130)

Since the Warriors have lost both centers James Wiseman and Kevon Looney to injuries, Green has stepped up his rebounding efforts. He is averaging three more rebounds per game this month than last (7.6 rebounds per game in February from 4.6 RPG in January).

Miami is one of the worst rebounding teams in the Association and at 22nd in team rebounding rate. Additionally, both teams shoot a high-volume of 3-pointers (Miami is 5th in 3-point rate and Golden State is 6th). So there’s a good chance for Green to gobble up long rebounds since he is a little more active than the average big.

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Finally, Draymond could get some easy rebounds off of missed free throws. Golden State is 28th in defensive FT/FGA rate while Miami is sixth in offensive FT/FGA rate and 10th in free throw percentage.

Also see: Heat at Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Houston Rockets PG John Wall UNDER 2.5 made 3-pointers (-115)

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Rockets Wednesday and Wall should have issues getting quality looks against an elite defender in PG Ben Simmons.

Wall and Simmons have played head-to-head only twice, but, Wall has made just one of six 3-point attempts in those meetings. Also, the 76ers are eighth in opposing point guard’s 3-point percentage this season.

Lastly, the Rockets don’t move the ball well and rank in the bottom third of the league in several passing categories. On top of that Wall has made only 3 or more 3-pointers in seven of his 18 games this season.

Also see: Rockets at 76ers odds, picks and prediction

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Clark’s ‘Caps: Bank on these NBA player props, 2/16/21

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Tuesday’s NBA slate.

Tuesday’s NBA schedule is highlighted by a meeting between the first and second overall picks in last year’s NBA draft when Zion Williamson’s New Orleans Pelicans square off with Ja Morant’s Memphis Grizzlies and a storyline-full meeting of the Brooklyn Nets and Phoenix Suns. Here are a couple of NBA player prop bet predictions to consider Tuesday.

Tuesday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Memphis Grizzlies C Jonas Valančiūnas UNDER 11.5 rebounds (-115)

First-year Pelicans C Steven Adams has been a dominating presence in the paint since entering the league in 2013. While his rebounding numbers have never been gaudy, his influence on the glass is typically measured by his on-off rebounding stats.

Adams is in the 98th percentile of bigs in offensive rebounding rate and 94th percentile of bigs in defensive rebounding rate this season for on-off numbers, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Furthermore, in 14 career games against Adams, Valančiūnas has grabbed more than 11 rebounds just three times. Valančiūnas has cleared 11.5 rebounds in seven of his 17 games played and the Pelicans are holding opposing centers to the fewest rebounds per game.

Also see: Pelicans at Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

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Milwaukee Bucks SF Khris Middleton OVER 21.5 points (-115)

The Toronto Raptors visit the Bucks for their second meeting of the season and Middleton was incredible in the first head-to-head clash.

Middleton scored 24 points and connected on 5 of 8 3-point attempts in that game and the Raptors have struggled with wings all season. In fact, Toronto allows the most points per game and the fifth-highest 3-point percentage to opposing small forwards.

Part of the reason for this is Raptors SF OG Anunoby has been sidelined with an injury and his replacement, SG Norman Powell, has the worst defensive rating of any Toronto starter (115).

Lastly, Middleton has much better offensive splits at home compared to the road this season. Middleton has a 71.1% true shooting rate (58.3% true shooting on the road) and his offensive rating is 18 points better in Milwaukee.

Also see: Raptors at Bucks odds, picks and prediction

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Clark’s ‘Caps: Sixers will squash ‘Spida’ Mitchell Monday

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Monday’s NBA slate.

Monday’s NBA slate features a meeting between each conference’s current 1-seed with the Philadelphia 76ers taking on the Utah Jazz and John Wall’s return to Washington, D.C., as his new team, the Houston Rockets, faces off with the Washington Wizards. Here are a couple of NBA player prop bet predictions to consider Monday.

Monday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

Utah Jazz SG Donovan Mitchell UNDER 27.5 points (-115)

The 76ers and Jazz have met six times since Mitchell was drafted by Utah in 2017 and Philadelphia is 5-1 in those contests due in large part to how it defends Mitchell.

In Mitchell’s six career games vs. the 76ers, he’s gone Over 27.5 points just once and is averaging 20.2 points per game on .350/.184/.640 shooting in those games. While the absence of Jazz PG Mike Conley theoretically puts the ball in Mitchell’s hands more, it could hurt the quality of looks the offense gets.

Furthermore, I don’t think it’s a stretch to call most professional athletes “creatures of habit,” especially given the condensed, COVID-19-altered regular-season schedule. Well, Mitchell’s worst day of the week is Monday.

On Mondays, Mitchell has his lowest offensive rating (94) and scores the fewest points per game (20.1 PPG) with his worst true shooting percentage (50.8%).

Also, the 76ers added another above-average defensive wing this past offseason when they acquired SF Danny Green. Between PG Ben Simmons and Green, I like how Philadelphia’s defense matches up against Utah and Mitchell.

BET UNDER 27.5 POINTS (-115) for 1.25 units.

Also see: 76ers at Jazz odds, picks and prediction

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Brooklyn Nets PG James Harden OVER 38.5 points + assists (-105)

The Nets head across the country without SF Kevin Durant for their one regular-season game at the Kings and The Beard annually dominates the Kings.

Harden is averaging 33.7 points and 7.7 assists per game over his last 10 games against Sacramento. He has cleared the 38.5 combined points and assists number in the last three head-to-head games and five of the last six games.

Regardless of what position Harden plays—he’s used as a combo guard, but, technically is listed as a point guard—the Kings struggle vs. both backcourt positions. Sacramento is in the bottom 10 in points allowed per game to both point guards and shooting guards.

Additionally, the Kings are tied for 24th in opposing point guards’ assists per game and in the bottom-2 in terms of field goal and 3-point percentages for shooting guards.

While the absence of KD gives Harden one less scorer to get assists through, it should help increase Harden’s usage and offensive responsibilities.

BET a unit on OVER 38.5 POINTS + ASSISTS (-105).

Also see: Nets at Kings odds, picks and prediction

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Clark ‘Caps: Dame Time vs. the Mavericks tonight

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Sunday’s NBA slate.

NBA’s Valentine’s Day slate is headlined by a matchup of MVP contenders when Damian Lillard’s Portland Trail Blazers meet Luka Doncic’s Dallas Mavericks and LeBron James’ Los Angeles Lakers visit Nikola Jokic’s Denver Nuggets for a rematch of last season’s Western Conference Finals. Here are a couple of NBA player prop predictions to consider Sunday.

Sunday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Portland Trail Blazers Damian Lillard OVER 31.5 points (-105)

Whichever point guard comes out the winner — both by team- and individual-performance — between Dame and Luka will be considered the more legitimate MVP candidate.

Dame is regarded as one of the most competitive hoopers in the Association and you know Luka being in his third season and already more hyped than Lillard motivates Dame. Aside from that angle, Dame has done WORK against the Mavericks in recent seasons.

Lillard scored a career-high 61 points vs. Dallas in the bubble and has outscored Luka 108-52 in their last two meetings. Over his last eight games vs. Luka and the Mavs, Dame is 37.4 points per on 49.7% shooting (42.5% from three) and has scored 32 or more in six of those games.

Dallas adding defensive guard Josh Richardson this offseason doesn’t help much either because Dame has given him the business recently as well. Dame dropped 51 points on Richardson in Bubble two days prior to scoring 61 on the Luka and averages 32.0 points on 49.5% shooting in eight career games vs. Richardson.

Given how high-profile this matchup is, I don’t think this plays that much of a factor in the overall production, however, the Trail Blazers being without two starters probably ups Dame’s usage rate. It’s as square as a prop pick gets, but it’s going to be Dame Time on Valentine’s Day.

Also see: Trail Blazers at Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

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Charlotte Hornets PG LaMelo Ball UNDER 33.5 points, rebounds & assists (-120)

The Charlotte Hornets host the San Antonio Spurs Sunday and, while the basketball community loves what they’ve seen out of Ball thus far, now is a good sell-high point for Ball’s production.

San Antonio have the 10th-best defensive rating as a team and an above-average defensive backcourt aided by elite rim protection behind them. The Spurs give up a combined 33 points, rebounds and assists per game to opposing shooting guards and Ball only averages 26.6 “PRA” per game.

Furthermore, Charlotte’s projected starting lineup has four ballhandlers because of the doubtful status of PF P.J. Washington, which could keep the ball out of LaMelo’s hands for extended stretches. It also helps four of the last five Spurs-Hornets games have gone Under the total and both teams are below-average in effective field goal shooting.

Also see: Spurs at Hornets odds, picks and prediction

Play our new free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Also see:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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