Tag: NBA betting odds lines picks against the spread over-under

Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Tuesday’s Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (40-29) face the Sacramento Kings (28-38) Tuesday at 2:30 p.m. ET in the Orlando bubble. We analyze the Mavericks-Kings NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Mavericks vs. Kings: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • SG Seth Curry (leg) doubtful
  • PF Dwight Powell (Achilles) out
  • SG Courtney Lee (calf) out

Kings

  • C Alex Len (conditioning) questionable
  • PF Marvin Bagley III (foot) out

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Mavericks vs. Kings: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Mavericks 132, Sacramento 119

Moneyline (ML)

The Mavericks  (-223) come into Tuesday having lost back-to-back games to the Houston Rockets, 153-149, and the Phoenix Suns, 117-115, to begin the restart.

Despite those poor results, Dallas did clinch a playoff berth and their best two players—C Kristaps Porzingis and G Luka Doncic—are averaging 30-plus-point double-doubles in the last two games.

The Kings (+180) can kiss their season goodbye if they can’t win this game. Sacramento also has lost their first two games of the restart to the San Antonio Spurs (129-120) and Orlando Magic (132-116).

The Kings are 1-2 against the Mavericks this season. The one win came in Dallas and without their second-year PG De’Aaron Fox. Their path to victory is Fox aggressively attacking the basket and getting hot from three. Both could happen.

But NBA regular-season games are too random to bet the Mavericks (-223) at that price. So Dallas being fueled by consecutive losses, and the Kings (+180) being below-.500, has me PASSING ON THE MONEYLINE.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The MAVERICKS -5.5 (-110) are much closer to looking like their regular-season selves, which are a good team, than the Kings +5.5 (-110), which are a bad team. Essentially if SG Tim Hardaway and Doncic don’t go a combined 0-11 from three, the Mavericks beat the Suns in Dallas’ last game.

Sacramento can’t guard anyone and have a bottom-10 defense. They are ranked 20th in defensive efficiency, 24th in opponent effective field-goal percentage and 26th in opponent free-throw attempts per field-goal attempts.

The Mavericks have the highest-rated offense in the NBA with the fourth-best effective field-goal percentage and the second-most three-pointers made. Dallas can have their way against Sacramento and this will be a get right game for them. BET MAVERICKS -5.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The total is set at 236.5 and it’s crazy-high for a reason. Their combined Over/Under record on the season is 77-58 and the Over is 4-0 in the last four Mavericks-Kings meetings. It’s too easy to score on Sacramento and Dallas isn’t a defensive juggernaut. I LEAN OVER 236.5 (-110).

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Memphis Grizzlies vs. New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Memphis Grizzlies vs. New Orleans Pelicans betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (32-35) face the New Orleans Pelicans (28-38) Monday at 6:30 p.m. ET in the Orlando bubble. We analyze the Nuggets-Thunder NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

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Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Grizzlies 127, Pelicans 119

Moneyline (ML)

The Grizzlies (+150) lost a heartbreaker to the San Antonio Spurs, 108-106, Sunday. Memphis lost their first two games of the restart but is still the 8-seed in the Western Conference.

One of the teams chasing them is these Pelicans (-182). New Orleans lost to the Utah Jazz and the Los Angeles Clippers in back-to-back games heading into this contest.

The losses were tragic in different ways. The Pelicans had a double-digit lead entering halftime and F Brandon Ingram missed a three at the end of regulation that would’ve won the game. Saturday, you could argue the Clippers took the Pelicans’ souls in the 23-point slaughter.

Each of Memphis’ losses came down to the wire and we are getting a great price in this game. Their implied win probability is 40% plus they split the season series and Memphis’ motivation is more actionable.

We know the Grizzlies have a lot to play for but we don’t know if the Pelicans do. I LOVE GRIZZLIES (+150). New to sports betting? A $50 bet on the Grizzlies (+150) earns a profit of $75 if Memphis upsets New Orleans.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Both are solid against the spread teams. The Pelicans are 17-12 ATS and the Grizzlies are 20-14 ATS against teams below .500. Memphis is 10-5 ATS when getting 1-4.5 points.

Since we are on the Memphis moneyline, let’s BET GRIZZLIES +4.5 (-110) for insurance. New to sports betting? A $110 bet on the Grizzlies +4.5 (-110) returns a $100 profit if Memphis wins or loses by four or fewer points.

Over/Under (O/U)

I LEAN OVER 236.5 (-110) in Grizzlies-Pelicans because the projected totals in their two regular-season meetings were 241.5 and 242.5. The Over/Under record in those games is 1-1, but the Under was by a half-point.

It’s only a lean and not a like because I don’t love playing totals and neither bet has an edge in bubble trends. Through 19 games in the restart, the Over/Under record is 10-9.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (43-23) face the Northwest division rival Oklahoma City Thunder (41-24) Monday, at 4 p.m. ET in the Orlando bubble. We analyze the Nuggets-Thunder NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Nuggets vs. Thunder: Key injuries

Nuggets

  • SG Gary Harris (hip) out
  • SG Will Barton (knee) out
  • PG Jamal Murray (hamstring) questionable

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Nuggets vs. Thunder: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Thunder 112, Nuggets 108

Moneyline (ML)

The Nuggets (+200) got rolled by the Miami Heat, 125-105, this past Saturday. Part of the reason was that they were without three starters (all of whom are listed on Monday’s injury report).

The Thunder (-250) come into this contest after beating up on the Utah Jazz, 110-94. Oklahoma City’s team effort produced six double-digit scorers in the contest.

Denver’s injuries are particularly concerning in this matchup because it affects the backcourt and three of the Thunder’s top-4 scorers are guards. The market is betting the Thunder heavy and I think the market is right. Once again, it doesn’t pay to bet expensive NBA regular-season favorites.

PASS ON THE MONEYLINE.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Thunder to win would return a profit of just $4.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

While the Nuggets +6.5 (-110) got boat raced by the Heat in their last game, the Thunder don’t have as explosive of an offense as the Heat. Oklahoma City is 13th in offensive efficiency, 18th in points per game and 16th in three-point percentage.

The last time either team was favored by six or more points was back in 2018 and the Nuggets won outright. The market has bet the spread up to Thunder -6 (-110) and I think that’s too many points.

Nuggets C Nikola Jokić wore out Thunder C Steven Adams in both Nuggets-Thunder games this season, combining for 60 points and 21 rebounds in those games. Also, Denver is 10-1 against the spread in the last 11 games against Oklahoma City.

BET NUGGETS +6.5 (-110). Tip: Maybe wait until as close to tip-off as you can. The line opened at Nuggets +4.5 and has been bet all the way up. You might get a full touchdown by tip-off.

Over/Under (O/U)

I am leaning toward UNDER 220.5 (-110) because we got the Nuggets +6.5 and a low-scoring game is a more realistic outcome if our ATS handicap is correct. Also, their combined Over/Under record is 61-68-2 in 2019-20.

The Nuggets and Thunder play a more methodical style of basketball anyway. Denver has the second-slowest pace in the NBA and the Thunder are ranked 24th in pace.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (40-26 ) will take on the Washington Wizards (24-42) Monday at the Visa Athletic Center in Reunion, Fla. for a 4 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Pacers-Wizards NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Pacers vs. Wizards: Key injuries

Pacers

  • SG Victor Oladipo (knee) doubtful
  • PF Domantas Sabonis (foot) out
  • PG Malcolm Brogdon (cervical strain) questionable
  • C Goga Bitadze (knee) questionable

Wizards

  • PG John Wall (Achilles) out
  • SG Bradley Beal (shoulder) out
  • PF Davis Bertans (personal) out
  • PG Gary Payton II (COVID-19) out
  • SF Garrison Mathews (ankle) out

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Pacers vs. Wizards: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Pacers 116, Washington 108

Moneyline (ML)

The Pacers (-334) open this contest as big moneyline favorites over the Wizards (+260) and it’s not hard to see why. Washington is arguably the worst team in the NBA bubble and they have already lost their two previous games in Orlando by a combined 21 points. Meanwhile, Indiana had an impressive 127-121 win over the Philadelphia 76ers Saturday.

While the Pacers should easily win this game, there isn’t enough value here on the moneyline to pick Indiana. PASS on the moneyline in favor of the point spread.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The PACERS -7.5 (-110) are three-basket favorites over the Wizards Monday afternoon. Indiana has fared well against the spread of late, despite not always having Oladipo in the lineup. They’ve failed to cover only once in their last six games and are 34-28-4 against the spread this season.

Washington just doesn’t have the talent to hang with Indiana for very long and will have trouble scoring more than 110 points in this contest. Take INDIANA -7.5 (-110) to win by at least 8 points with confidence in this game.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total for this Eastern Conference matchup is set at 227.5. The Pacers rank fourth in points per game allowed this season (107.6) and the Wizards’ offense is relying on too many young and inexperienced players.

Look for the UNDER 227.5 (-110) to hit as the Pacers’ defense should hold the young Wizards under 110 points.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Marcus_Mosher on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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