Tag: NBA betting odds lines against the spread over-under picks

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets Game 3 betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers and Denver Nuggets continue their best-of-seven Western Conference Semifinals series Monday with Game 3 in the bubble outside of Orlando, Fla., with a 9 p.m. ET tip-off (on TNT). We analyze the Clippers-Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Clippers vs. Nuggets: Key injuries

Clippers

  • No major injuries to report

Nuggets

  • SG Will Barton (knee) out
  • SF Vlatko Cancar (foot) out
  • C Nikola Jokic (wrist) questionable

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Clippers vs. Nuggets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Monday at 7:25 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Clippers 114, Nuggets 103

Moneyline (ML)

The Clippers (-455) are overwhelming favorites despite the fact they just dropped Game 2 by nine points. In fact, last game was a cautionary tale why you never, ever take a moneyline favorite at more than -180 or so. Yes, a majority of the time when a team is favored by this much they’re probably going to win. But you can win this eight times out of 10, or an amazing 80 percent clip, and still be behind. If anything, the Nuggets (+350) are worth sniffing around, although Jokic is nicked up and a question mark. AVOID.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Clippers returns a profit of just $2.20 if they win. A $10 bet on the Nuggets returns a profit of $35 with a win.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The CLIPPERS -9 (-110) got a little bit of a wake-up call after the Nuggets +9 (-110) were sleepwalking through Game 1. Denver couldn’t help it, as they had a quick turnaround after a grueling seven-game set with Utah. They got their sea legs in Game 2 and surprised the Clips. Don’t look for it to happen again, especially if Jokic is shelved. L.A. is a championship contender for a reason, and they’ll roll to a Game 3 win, a cover and a series lead here.

Also see:

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 219.5 (-110) is going to be a nail-biter, but it should end up cashing in your favor. The under has hit in three straight for Denver, and three straight for L.A. The only thing that scares me about playing the under is, again, if Jokic sits. Yes, he provides a lot of offense, but he also clogs the middle. The Clippers will have free reign in the paint if the big man sits to rest his wrist.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Boston Celtics vs. Toronto Raptors odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celtics Game 5 betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Boston Celtics and Toronto Raptors continue their Eastern Conference best-of-seven series for Game 5 Monday at 6:30 p.m. ET in the bubble at Lake Buena Vista, Fla. (on TNT). We analyze the Celtics-Raptors NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Celtics vs. Raptors: Key injuries

Celtics

  • SG Javonte Green (knee) out
  • SF Gordon Hayward (ankle) out
  • C Vincent Poirier (personal) out
  • PG Tremont Waters (knee) probable

Raptors

  • PF Oshae Brissett (knee) out
  • SG Patrick McCaw (knee) out

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Celtics vs. Raptors: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Monday at 7:20 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Raptors 105, Celtics 100

Moneyline (ML)

The RAPTORS (+105) have shown that championship mettle across the past two games. They were staring at a 3-0 series deficit, but OG Anunoby hit a clutch bucket in Game 3 to give them a buzzer-beating win by one point. They dropped the hammer in Game 4, outworking and outshooting the Celtics (-129), winning 100-93. Momentum has clearly shifted back to the defending champs, and there’s no reason to stop backing them now.

New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Raptors would return a profit of $10.50, while a $10 winner on the Celtics would fetch a profit of just $7.75.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The RAPTORS +2 (-110) are short ‘dogs in Game 5 despite entering on a two-game winning streak. On small spreads like this, however, it’s a much better value to just bet the moneyline – unless you feel this will be a one- or two-point game again.

Also see:

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 212.5 (-110) has cashed in each of the first five games, so why stop betting it now? The Raps are averaging 99.3 PPG through four contests in this series, while the C’s are averaging 102.5 PPG.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers Game 2 betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers continue their best-of-seven Western Conference Semifinals series Saturday in the bubble outside of Orlando, Fla. Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET. The Clippers hold a 1-0 lead in the series. We analyze the Nuggets-Clippers NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Nuggets vs. Clippers: Key injuries

Nuggets

  • SG Will Barton (knee) out

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Nuggets vs. Clippers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Clippers 127, Nuggets 110

Moneyline (ML)

After taking the lead in the series with a convincing win in Game 1, the Clippers are heavy favorites for Game 2 at -5005, while the Nuggets are +360.

The Clippers are fully healthy and showed just how good they can be. With the return of PG Patrick Beverley to the lineup, they have their defensive heartbeat and just might be unstoppable in this series.

Although the Clippers seem like a lock for the win after blowing out the Nuggets in the series opener, a moneyline play seems unwise, as there is little upside to a bet. AVOID the moneyline.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Clippers returns a profit of just $2 if they win. A $10 bet on the Nuggets returns a profit of $36 with a win.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The CLIPPERS -9.5 (-110) are healthy and have blown out the Nuggets (+9.5, -110) in each of their last three matchups this year, winning by at least 13 points in all three games.

Overall, the Clippers are 11-4 ATS since play resumed in the bubble. Take the CLIPPERS -9.5 (-110).

Also see:

Over/Under (O/U)

The total for Game 2 is set at 222.5 points, with -110 odds on either side. The Clippers are 9-6 O/U in the bubble, and the Nuggets are 13-3 O/U. Denver will score more than it did in Game 1 but won’t be able to stop Los Angeles. Take the OVER 222.5 POINTS (-110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers Game 1 matchup with NBA betting odds and lines, picks, tips and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers begin their best-of-seven Western Conference Semifinals series Thursday in the bubble outside of Orlando, Fla., with a 9 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Nuggets-Clippers NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Nuggets vs. Clippers: Key injuries

Nuggets

  • SG Will Barton (knee) out
  • SF Vlatko Cancar (foot) out

Clippers

  • PG Patrick Beverley (calf) questionable

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Nuggets vs. Clippers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Clippers 123, Nuggets 104

Moneyline (ML)

The Clippers (-400) are heavy favorites against a Nuggets (+310) side just coming off a grueling Game 7 win against the Utah Jazz Tuesday night. L.A. last played Sunday when it finished off the Dallas Mavericks in six games. We have seen heavy favorites lose series openers so far in the bubble. This won’t be one of those times.

Despite the relative certainty that the more-rested Clips will win, AVOID a moneyline play on them since you’ll have to risk four times your potential return.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Clippers returns a profit of just $2.50 if they win. A $10 bet on the Nuggets returns a profit of $31 with a win.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The CLIPPERS -8.5 (-110) are relatively healthy. That’s bad news for the Nuggets +8.5 (-110). The last time these teams met it was a 124-111 win by the Clips on Aug. 12 in the bubble; L.A. also waxed Denver 132-103 on Feb. 28 before the pause button was pressed on the regular season. See a pattern here?

Also see:

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 223.5 (-110) is worth a small-unit play. The Nuggets’ defense is likely to look like a turnstile in the opener, as they’ll have heavy legs with such a quick turnaround after a physical series with the Jazz. The Clippers averaged 116.3 points per game this season, ranking fourth in the NBA, and they’re sixth in 3-pointer shooting. This one has the makings of a high-scoring blowout.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celtics odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celtics Game 3 betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors and Boston Celtics continue their Eastern Conference best-of-seven series for Game 3 Thursday at 6:30 p.m. ET in the bubble at Lake Buena Vista, Fla. We analyze the Raptors-Celtics NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Raptors vs. Celtics: Key injuries

Celtics

  • SF Gordon Hayward (ankle) out

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Raptors vs. Celtics: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Raptors 105, Celtics 102

Moneyline (ML)

The RAPTORS (-115), the defending world champions, are being treated rather rudely in this series so far by the Celtics (-106). Nothing has worked for the champs, as the C’s have played suffocating defense in limiting Toronto to just 96.5 points per game through two contests. It’s not terribly shocking considering Boston was No. 2 in the NBA in scoring defense at 107.3 PPG.

The Celtics’ plan from the jump was limiting Raptors PF Pascal Siakam at the offensive end, making someone beat them. So far, it’s working. Still, the Raps aren’t going down 3-0 in this series. They have the heart of a champion and it will shine through Thursday night.

New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Raptors would return a profit of $8.70, while a $10 winner on the Celtics would fetch a profit of just $9.52.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The RAPTORS -1 (-110) are slight favorites, but there is really no sense in betting this rather than the moneyline. If Toronto wins by one, albeit a very small chance, you would push rather than win with the moneyline. The same goes for the Celtics +1 (-110). Just bet the ML.

Also see:

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 215.5 (-110) came through in each of the first two games in this series, with an average of 203.5. It’s unlikely we’ll see a bump in offense. As mentioned above, Boston is No. 2 in scoring defense. Toronto is No. 1, and the Under is 4-1 in their past five playoff games. Look for a nice defensive slog.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Tuesday’s Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets Game 7 matchup with NBA betting odds and lines, picks, tips and best bets.

The Utah Jazz meet the Denver Nuggets in Game 7 of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series Tuesday. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET in the Orlando bubble. We analyze the Jazz-Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Jazz vs. Nuggets: Key injuries

Jazz 

  • C Ed Davis (knee) out 
  • SF Bojan Bogdanovic (wrist) out 

Nuggets

  • SG Will Barton (knee) out

Get some action on this game or any other matchup by placing your legal NBA bets at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Jazz vs. Nuggets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Nuggets 109, Jazz 103

Moneyline (ML)

The shootout between Nuggets PG Jamal Murray and Jazz SG Donovan Mitchell has been the best show of the bubble. They are both averaging over 30 points per game and are shooting 50-plus percent from the field and deep and over 90% from the foul line.

Denver’s supporting cast is more reliable. Heck, before Murray’s first-round explosion, most of the NBA community consider the Nuggets (-115) to be C Nikola Jokic’s team. Denver has six rotation players/starters that are shooting 40-plus from behind the arc.

Also, let’s not forget Denver was the favorite heading into the series as a 3-seed. We cannot think about the previous 3-1 deficit and, like the players, have to focus on just this game. BET DENVER (-115) to advance to the second round. 

New to sports betting? A $115 wager on the Nuggets (-115) earns a $100 profit if Denver beats Utah (-106).

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

There is no point in betting a line this small when we are taking the moneyline. PASS ON THE SPREAD; however, there are some ATS notes to reinforce our moneyline pick.

The Nuggets are a better ATS team in games projected to be close (1-2.5-point line as either the favorite or underdog). Denver is 12-8 ATS in those situations whereas Utah is 7-10 ATS. Also, the Jazz are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Also see:

Over/Under (O/U)

All the betting trends point toward this game going Over the projected point total of 217.5. The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 contests and 6-1 in the Nuggets’ last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record.

A majority of the scoring output is from insanely hot shooting that isn’t sustainable game in, game out. These teams are bombing 3-pointers and if either or both go cold the Under could come in easily.
Furthermore, the nerves of Game 7 could come into play here (although it’s less of a factor with no in-arena attendance) and both team are ranked bottom-10 in pace of play. I’d slightly “LEAN” UNDER 217. 5 (-110).

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets Game 5 with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets meet in Game 5 of their Western Conference first-round series on Saturday at 6:30 p.m. ET in the Orlando Bubble. We analyze the Thunder-Rockets NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Series: Tied 2-2.

Thunder vs. Rockets: Key injuries

Rockets

  • PG Russell Westbrook (quadriceps) probable

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Thunder vs. Rockets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Thunder 115, Rockets 110

Moneyline (ML)

The Thunder (+170) was aggressive in getting to the foul line against the Rockets (-209) in a 117-114 Game 4 victory. Oklahoma City attempted 28 free throws compared to Houston’s 10 tries from the charity stripe.

It’s vital for the Thunder to negate or perform better than the Rockets in their two biggest strengths: drawing fouls and shooting three-pointers. They’ve been successful in those metrics thus far.

Houston is shooting the most threes in the playoffs but ranks 11th in three-point %, and the Rockets have attempted the second-fewest free throws per playoff game. OKC is settling into the series, and Sixth Man of the Year-nominee Dennis Schroder seems to have knocked the rust off from his pre-playoff-bubble absence.

Also, Russell Westbrook’s return led to a 2-3 point move in the betting line. I very much disagree with the market about how much Westbrook is worth to the number. I’d agree to prime, MVP-era Westbrook making a huge difference depending on the matchup. But in this spot, I’ll be grabbing the points.

The deeper and more complete THUNDER (+170) will take control of the series in Game 5. New to sports betting? A $50 bet on the Thunder (+170) earns an $85 profit if OKC upsets Houston.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Double your BET on THUNDER +5 (-110). OKC was the best against-the-spread team in the regular season. The Thunder have gone 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings with Houston.

New to sports betting? A $110 bet on the Thunder +5 (-110) returns a $100 profit if OKC wins or loses by four or fewer points.

Also see:

Over/Under (O/U)

This matchup screams UNDER 227.5 (-110) because Westbrook is playing in Game 5. Since he isn’t 100%, Westbrook’s addition to the lineup could be a subtraction for the ball movement and rhythm the role players have built.

When Westbrook is on the court, Houston’s offensive rating lowers by 2.4 points, and its defensive rating improves by 2 points, according to Basketball-Reference.com. It’ll be natural for the Rockets to give Westbrook some isolation plays to get him back into the groove.

It’s only a lean for me because the Rockets foist their pace on their opponents. OKC appears to have figured out how to score on Houston, and the Rockets are going to do what they do. Houston will go down firing regardless. Also, if Westbrook doesn’t play or plays only a few minutes, this angle isn’t strong.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets Game 5 with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

Game 5 of the Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets‘ Western Conference first-round series tips off at 6:30 p.m. ET in the Orlando Bubble. We analyze the Thunder-Rockets NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Series: Tied 2-2.

Thunder vs. Rockets: Key injuries

Rockets

  • PG Russell Westbrook (quadriceps) questionable

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Thunder vs. Rockets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Thunder 116, Rockets 111

Moneyline (ML)

The Thunder (+155) was aggressive in getting to the foul line against the Rockets (-189) in a 117-114 Game 4 victory. Oklahoma City attempted 28 free throws compared to Houston’s 10 tries from the charity stripe.

It’s vital for the Thunder to negate or perform better than the Rockets in their two biggest strengths: drawing fouls and shooting three-pointers. They’ve been successful in those metrics thus far.

Houston is shooting the most threes in the playoffs but ranks 11th in three-point %, and the Rockets have attempted the second-fewest free throws per playoff game. OKC is settling into the series, and Sixth Man of the Year-nominee Dennis Schroder seems to have knocked the rust off from his pre-playoff-bubble absence.

The deeper and more complete THUNDER (+155) will take control of the series in Game 5. New to sports betting? A $50 bet on the Thunder (+155) earns a $77.50 profit if OKC upsets Houston.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Game 4’s final score wound up separated by a single possession, albeit due to a meaningless three-pointer from Danuel House as time expired. Double your BET on THUNDER +4 (-110).

OKC was the best against-the-spread team in the regular season. The Thunder have gone 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings with Houston. Also, the Thunder were 8-2 ATS in the regular season when getting 3-4.5 points, and the Rockets are 3-7 ATS when laying 3-4.5 points.

New to sports betting? A $110 bet on the Thunder +4 (-110) returns a $100 profit if OKC wins or loses by three or fewer points.

 Also see:

Over/Under (O/U)

This matchup screams UNDER 225.5 (-110) because Russell Westbrook might play in Game 5. When Westbrook is on the court, Houston’s offensive rating lowers by 2.4 points, and its defensive rating improves by 2 points. It’ll be natural for the Rockets to give Westbrook some isolation plays to get him back into the groove.

It’s only a lean for me because the Rockets foist their pace on their opponents. OKC appears to have figured out how to score on Houston, and the Rockets are going to do what they do. Houston will go down firing regardless. Also, if Westbrook doesn’t play or plays only a few minutes, this angle isn’t strong.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers Game 4 betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and bets.

The Indiana Pacers meet the Miami Heat for Game 4 of their Eastern Conference first-round series Monday in the Orlando bubble for a 6:30 p.m. ET tip-off. The Heat enter with the 3-0 series lead and try to book their ticket to Round 2. We analyze the Pacers-Heat NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Pacers vs. Heat: Key injuries

Pacers

  • PF Domantas Sabonis (foot) out
  • SG Jeremy Lamb (knee) out

Heat

  • SF Andre Iguodala (hip) questionable
  • SF Jae Crowder (knee) questionable
  • SF Derrick Jones Jr. (ankle) questionable

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Pacers vs. Heat Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Heat 114, Pacers 105

Moneyline (ML)

As if the 3-0 series lead didn’t say enough, the Heat (-278) are just too much for the Pacers (+220). Miami has won six of seven meetings this season, covering the spread in five of those wins.

Indiana’s offense isn’t good enough to keep up with Miami and the absence of Sabonis makes the defense not as staunch. The Pacers are well-coached by Nate McMillan, have great depth and there is no reason to think they’d quit in Game 4.

For me, there is not enough value in Pacers (+220) and no way I’m taking the Heat (-278) in a must-win for Indiana. PASS ON THE MONEYLINE.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

As much as I like the Pacers and they had a great 2019-20 campaign, the trends point to HEAT -6.5 (-110). Indiana is  0-5-1 against the spread in its last 6 playoff games as an underdog and 0-6-1 ATS in its last 7 Eastern Conference Quarterfinals games.

Miami’s offense really poured on the offense early in Game 3, scoring 74 of its 124 points in the first half, before Indiana erased a 20-point deficit. The Heat ended up winning the fourth-quarter scoring battle and covered the spread but Miami saw what could happen if goes into a lull versus Indiana.

The HEAT -6.5 (-110) is the right play because they’ll take control of a desperate Pacers (+6.5, -110) team that will play outside their comfort zone to keep up with scoring.

New to sports betting? A $110 bet on the Heat -6.5 (-110) returns a $100 profit if Miami beats Indiana by seven or more points.

Over/Under (O/U)

Game 3 broke a four-game streak of Unders between the Pacers and Heat. Like Game 3, I think both teams will come out to start the half lighting it up.

There’s a good chance Miami slows down the pace late in the game dragging the total down but TAKE OVER 217.5 (-110) since it’s a kitchen sink game for the Pacers and the Heat will pick apart a frantic Indiana team.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz Game 4 betting odds and lines, with NBA playoffs betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets meet the Utah Jazz in Game 4 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m ET on Sunday in the Orlando bubble. We analyze the Nuggets-Jazz NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Series: Utah leads 2-1.

Nuggets vs. Jazz: Key injuries

Jazz

  • SF Bojan Bogdanovic (wrist) out
  • C Ed Davis (knee) out

Nuggets

  • SG Gary Harris (hip) doubtful
  • SG Will Barton (knee) out
  • SF Vlatko Cancar (foot) out

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Nuggets vs. Jazz: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Nuggets 117, Utah 108

Moneyline (ML)

Series odds:

  • Utah (-334)
  • Denver (+260)

After winning Game 1 in overtime 135-125, the Jazz (-162) have trampled the Nuggets (+135) by a combined 56 points in Games 2 and 3. 

Even though the Nuggets have been blown out in the past two games, the main reason is because they are shooting seven fewer threes per game than the Jazz in this series.

Utah is tied with the Houston Rockets for the most threes made per game in the postseason (18). But Denver is shooting the three-ball at the highest clip in the postseason (.443%). And a 3-1 series deficit with no home games forthcoming would be a death sentence for Denver, so they’ll play with a little desperation.

Also, Mike Conley and Georges Niang combined for 11 of 14 on three-pointers. Donovan Mitchell was the only other Jazz player to hit more than one three-pointer, and he only made two threes. Good luck on winning like that again in Game 4, Utah.

BET NUGGETS (+135) to even this series. New to sports betting? A $50 bet on the Nuggets (+135) earns a profit of $67.50 if Denver upsets Utah.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Double-up your moneyline wager on the NUGGETS +3 (-110). I know each of the first three games has been decided by double digits, and the three-point bonanzas that these games turn into, but we’d be kicking ourselves if Utah squeaks by with a buzzer-beater, and we didn’t have the spread as insurance.

The play would be $110 on the Nuggets +3, and if they win or lose by two or one points, a profit will be earned. 

Also see:

Over/Under (O/U)

The total of 215.5 — with (-110) on the Over and Under — in Nuggets-Jazz is shockingly low. So much so that the OVER 215.5 (-110) feels like a sucker bet. I am going to bite and only put a few dollars on it since both teams are shooting above 40% from deep this series.

Utah and Denver have a combined O/U record of 80-70-1 in the regular season. Also, the Over has cashed in three of the previous four Nuggets-Jazz meetings, and the Over is 7-1 in the Nuggets’ last 8 games as an underdog.

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