Navy at SMU odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Navy Midshipmen at SMU Mustangs sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Navy Midshipmen (3-3 overall, 3-1 AAC) travel to Dallas to take on their American Atlantic Conference rival SMU Mustangs (5-1, 2-1) Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Navy-SMU college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Mustangs are ranked 23rd in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Navy at SMU: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Navy +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | SMU -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Navy +13.5 (-110) | SMU -13.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 58.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

Navy at SMU: Three things to know

  1. Navy was drubbed by Houston 37-21 and failed to cover as 14.5-point underdogs last week. Houston’s QB Clayton Tune picked apart the Midshipmen’s pass defense for 70.6 completion percentage with 316 passing yards and three passing touchdowns.

  2. SMU got smoked at home last week by Cincinnati 42-13. The Mustangs were truck-sticked by the Bearcats ground game, which ran 313 yards on 35 carries with five touchdowns.

  3. This head-to-head has been pretty one-sided in recent years with Navy winning nine of the previous 10 games against SMU (covering eight games).

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with a legal, online bet at BetMGM in CO, IN, NJ and WV. Risk-free first bet up to $500, paid in free bets. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Navy at SMU: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

SMU 33, Navy 28

Money line (ML)

PASS although I am tempted to sprinkle on Navy (+375). SMU’s run defense is suspect and we know Navy loves to run the ball. I am not impressed with SMU’s Top-25 ranking. The Mustangs were crushed when they played a good Cincinnati team and they’ve played the 64th-ranked schedule (according to Sports-Reference).

Against the spread (ATS)

Maybe I’m a sucker, but NAVY +13.5 (-110) is too many points for me to pass up.

The Midshipmen are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. SMU. Navy is going to run the ball and SMU has given up 189 or more rushing yards in every game aside from the meeting FCS-school Stephen F. Austin.

Look at all the success Cincinnati’s ground game had last week against SMU. Sure, Navy’s offensive line isn’t a big as Cincinnati’s, but the Midshipmen have performed better across most offensive line metrics from Football Outsiders.

Over/Under (O/U)

The main reason I cannot take Navy to pull off an upset is because its defense is ranked 67th in yards per game and 76th in points per game. QB Shane Buechele is one of the top passers in the AAC and should be able to get chunk plays against Navy. Also, Midshipmen QB Dalen Morris has proven he can connect with some deep balls if Navy has to go off game script to score points in a hurry. Last week, Morris completed 10-of-18 passes for 206 yards with two touchdowns and one interception.

I only “LEAN” OVER 58.5 (-115) though because both teams are inefficient in converting on third downs and in the red zone.

Want some action on this game? Place a legal, online bet in CO, IN, NJ and WV at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Houston at Navy odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Houston Cougars at Navy Midshipmen sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Houston Cougars (1-1, 1-0 AAC) and Navy Midshipmen (3-2, 3-0) clash in a Saturday American Athletic Conference battle at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Md, at 3:30 p.m. ET.  We analyze the Houston-Navy college football betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Houston at Navy: Betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:33 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Houston -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Navy +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Houston -14 (-106) | Navy +14 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Houston at Navy: Three things to know

  1. The last two games in this series have been shootouts with each side winning one apiece. The Midshipmen defeated the Cougars 56-41 last year in Texas. In 2018, Houston topped Navy 49-36 in Maryland. Both games featured both teams compiling 500-plus yards of total offense.
  2. Navy is 3-0 in league play after defeating Tulane, Temple and East Carolina All three of those games were decided by four points or less. Dating to 2019, the Middies have won nine straight in AAC play; five of those games were decided by one score.
  3. Navy’s run defense has been pillaged for 273.8 yards per game (76th FBS) on the strength of 6.1 yards per carry. Opponents have tallied 17 ground scores in five games. Albeit in just two games, the Houston defense is at the other end of the spectrum: The Cougars yielded 70 rushing yards in their first game (Tulane) and 78 in their second (BYU).

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with a legal, online bet at BetMGM in CO, IN, NJ and WV. Risk-free first bet up to $500, paid in free bets. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Houston at Navy: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Houston 35, Navy 20

Money line (ML)

PASS as there’s too much juice cutting in on value potential.

Against the Spread (ATS)

Navy QB Dalen Morris (concussion) is questionable, and backup QB Tyger Goslin doesn’t have much game experience. Houston was a minus-five in the turnover exchange in last year’s loss to Navy. That setback was part of a 1-4 stretch to end the season. But this season’s early returns have been promising. The Cougars lost to ranked BYU 43-26 on Oct. 16 after leading 26-14 late in the third quarter. BYU scored the final four TDs; two were in the last four minutes, and two were on drives of less-than-25 yards.

HOUSTON (-14) is a decent play, but pounce on the line if it drops to 13.5.

Over/Under (O/U)

This total has dropped multiple points since it was first posted. A 30% chance of rain is in the Annapolis forecast. This total is worth a LINE WATCH: a drop to 53 or 53.5 would make for an OVER play.

Want some action in this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.


Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama football / Auburn football / Florida football / Georgia football / LSU football / Michigan football / Michigan State football / Notre Dame football / Ohio State football / Oklahoma football / Tennessee football / Texas football / USC football / Wisconsin football

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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