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The Washington Nationals finished last in the NL East for the 4th straight year in 2023. They did improve their win total from 55 in 2022 to 71 in 2023. The young Washington team started to gel after the All-Star break of 2023, finishing 1 game under .500 (35-36).
The exodus of marquee players has been well documented since the Nationals won the World Series in 2019. The departures of P Max Scherzer, SS Trea Turner, 3B Anthony Rendon, and OF Juan Soto have all brought in a new crop of young talented players like RHP Josiah Gray, LHP MacKenzie Gore, LHP DJ Herz, C Keibert Ruiz and SS CJ Abrams.
What’s new in 2024?
Washington was quiet during the off-season as their plans are focused on the long term. They did make a few free agent moves to fill holes on their active roster. The Nationals welcomed big thumper 1B/OF Joey Gallo, a veteran arm RHP Dylan Floro and former top prospect looking for a 2nd chance 3B/OF Nick Senzel.
There are minimal expectations in 2024 for this team. Let’s analyze the Washington Nationals’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and AL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.
Washington Nationals World Series odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, March 24 at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Odds: +25000 (bet $100 to win $2,5000)
The Nationals are tied with the White Sox for the 3rd longest odds to win it all. While this team is improving, I don’t see a postseason run in the cards for them this season, but maybe in the next 2-3 years.
PASS.
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Washington Nationals playoff odds
Will they make the playoffs: Yes +17000 | No -10000
The Nationals have an uphill to climb to make the playoffs being in the same division as the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies, who are both World Series favorites. They would have to hope for a Wild Card spot, but those will also be tough to come by with teams like the San Diego Padres, New York Mets, Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks fighting for positions in the postseason.
PASS.
Washington Nationals win total
Over/Under: 66.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
This number is completely attainable by this squad. The Nationals bring back almost all of their core from last season that won 71 games, and they made a few pick ups to help fill in the gaps. We will also see a few top prospects make an impact this season like SP Cade Cavali (returning from Tommy John), OF Dylan Crews (#2 overall pick in 2023 MLB Draft), and OF James Wood (key piece in Soto trade). This is a bet you should jump on now before the line moves or the odds adjust.
BET OVER 66.5 (-105).
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To win NL East Division
- Atlanta Braves -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
- Philadelphia Phillies +280 (bet $100 to win $280)
- New York Mets +1300 (bet $100 to win $1300)
- Miami Marlins +3500 (bet $100 to win $3,500)
- Washington Nationals +12000 (bet $100 to win $12,000)
The Atlanta Braves are the class of this division with the Phillies nipping at their heels. The Mets are the Mets and the Marlins surprised everyone by winning 84 games last season. I know it’s always tempting to take a longshot bet with those odds, but there is just too much for the Nationals to overcome for them to win this division. The only way they make the playoffs is via the Wild Card.
PASS.
To win National League
Odds: +12000 (bet $100 to win $12000)
There’s a reason why this team has the 2nd-longest odds to win the NL pennant. There is no real marquee name in the lineup or rotation to scare the opponent, just a lot of potential. The organization is still couple of years away from really competing.
Washington is taking a similar route that their neighbors in Baltimore did, building through the farm system and a few key free agents. The Orioles have arrived, but the Nationals still need more maturing. There’s no way you can make this bet unless you really just want to gamble.
PASS.
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