Nationals Brewers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (13-27) and Milwaukee Brewers (25-14) continue a 3-game series at American Family Field Saturday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0 after a 7-0 shutout Friday.

The Nationals are reeling. They’ve lost 5 straight series. Pitching has been Washington’s primary issue; a 4.99 ERA (28th MLB) has kept the Nats from being competitive.

The Brewers are a robust 13-5 in Cream City. Milwaukee’s pitching has led that home dominance: the Brewers own a 2.47 ERA in their home yard (2nd MLB).

Nationals at Brewers projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff

Corbin (0-6, 6.28 ERA) is tabbed for his 9th start of the season. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 38 2/3 IP.

Has registered just 3 wins over his last 22 starts.
Has held current Milwaukee batters to an aggregate .680 OPS.

Woodruff (4-2, 5.35 ERA) owns a 1.37 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 33 2/3 IP across 7 starts.

Logged a 2.56 ERA in 179 1/3 IP last season.
Has battled through the traffic of a .341 batting average on balls in play.
Has registered a 2.49 ERA at home since 2020.

Nationals at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:36 a.m. ET.

Money line: Nationals +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Brewers -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-120) | Brewers -1.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Nationals at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Nationals 3

Money line

PASS. Washington is a lukewarm lean, but the juice is drowning out value here.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Nats have played a significantly tougher slate so far, and the Brewers have a kind 9-3 mark in 1-run games.

The Brewers are the lean overall, but the price on getting the Nats within 1 run is solid enough.

BACK THE NATIONALS +1.5 (-120).

Over/Under

Milwaukee owns a well-below-average .668 OPS against port-siders. Woodruff is a solid pick to get on a decent roll this summer.

The back ends of both bullpens are in a good shape, and there is some around-the-margins downside to the Brewers’ overall batting production.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-107) but try to wait out a price closer to -102.

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Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (13-26) and Milwaukee Brewers (24-14) open a 3-game series at American Family Field Friday. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: first meeting.

The Nationals have lost 5 straight series. Pitching has been Washington’s primary issue; a 4.93 ERA (28th MLB) has kept the Nats from being competitive.

The Brewers took 2-of-3 games from the Atlanta Braves Monday-Wednesday. Those games were in Milwaukee, where the Brewers are thus far 12-5. Milwaukee’s pitching has led that home dominance: the Brewers own a 2.61 ERA in their home yard (2nd MLB).

Nationals at Brewers projected starters

RHP Erick Fedde vs. LHP Eric Lauer

Fedde (2-2, 4.24 ERA) has logged a 1.50 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 34 IP across 5 starts.

Has clocked a 2.61 ERA over his last 4 starts.
Owns a 1.59 ERA through 17 IP on the road.

Lauer (3-1, 2.60 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 12.7 K/9 through 34 2/3 IP.

Coughed up 3 home runs in his last start as he allowed 4 ER across 5 IP at the Miami Marlins Saturday.
Has benefited from a .257 batting average on balls in play and a left-on-base rate of 90.9%.

Nationals at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

Money line: Nationals +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Brewers -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-120) | Brewers -1.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Nationals at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Nationals 3

Money line

The price here on Milwaukee is a tad aggressive, but its advisable to wait out a better line on a Nats club which has not won back-to-back games since the first week of May. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Nats have played a significantly tougher slate so far, and the Brewers have a kind 9-3 mark in 1-run games.

Fedde is on a solid trend line, and the Washington bullpen figures to be underrated by a 4.08 surface ERA.

BACK THE NATIONALS +1.5 (-120).

Over/Under

The Under has a slight lean here, but it’d be advisable to see if a line on a total of 8.5 is posted. PASS, for now.

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Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (53-69) and Milwaukee Brewers (75-49) play the finale of a three-game set Sunday at American Family Field with a 2:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze the lines around the Nationals vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Nationals LHP Sean Nolin (0-1, 12.00 ERA) makes his second start. He allowed 4 earned runs on 8 hits over 3 innings in a loss in his season debut Aug. 12, against the New York Mets.

Nolin’s start against the Mets was his first appearance in the majors since an Oct. 3, 2015, start as a member of the Oakland Athletics.

Brewers RHP Adrian Houser (7-5, 3.55 ERA) makes his 20th start and his 22nd appearance. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 through 104 IP.

Allowed 1 run on no hits and 5 walks with 4 strikeouts across 6 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Pittsburgh Pirates in his most recent outing Aug. 3.
Houser rejoined the team Monday for a bullpen session after finishing a 10-day quarantine at home after testing positive for COVID-19.

Nationals at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

Money line: Nationals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Brewers -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-112) | Brewers -1.5 (-108)
Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Brewers 7, Nationals 5

Money line (ML)

The Brewers (-220) bounced back with a 9-6 win over the Nationals in the middle game to square the series and now look for the three-game win.

They’re a good bet against Nolin, who is making just his second start in the majors after a six-year hiatus. However, Milwaukee is risky with Houser returning from the COVID list.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Take BREWERS -1.5 (-108) lightly on the run line instead of risking more than two times your potential return on the money line.

This is likely to be a higher-scoring affair, as Nolin is rather unproven, and Houser could have some rust after a two-week layoff. Milwaukee covered the run line Saturday and should get it done again Sunday, too. Houser has been a good luck charm for the Brew Crew, as they’re 9-1 across his last 10 starts.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9.5 (+100) is the best play on the board in this series finale. Nolin was a bit shaky in his season debut last time out, and Houser is returning from the COVID list, so rust could be an issue.

The Over is 3-0 across Houser’s past three starts and 6-1 across his past seven starts.

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