The Washington Nationals (14-24) and host Atlanta Braves (23-16) conclude their four-game series Sunday at Truist Park with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch. We analyze the Nationals-Braves MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Nationals at Braves: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Josh Tomlin
Corbin enters with a 2-3 record, 3.79 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and .314 OBP across 40 1/3 innings in his seven starts while serving up six home runs.
- Corbin has faced divisional foes in each of his past three outings, going 0-2 with a 3.63 ERA. He has yet to face the Braves this season.
- Corbin allowed just two earned runs, five hits and three walks in five innings in a loss at the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday. He received zero runs of support, and the Nats have backed him with a total of just seven runs in his past four outings.
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Tomlin has posted a 1-2 record, 4.37 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in three starts and eight relief appearances this season while striking out 24 batters over his 22 2/3 innings.
- Tomlin moved into the rotation on Aug. 18 in Washington, allowing two earned runs, six hits and a walk in a no-decision.
- The Braves are 0-3 in his previous three starts, getting outscored 17-10.
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Nationals at Braves: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Nationals
- 2B Starlin Castro (wrist) out
- OF Adam Eaton (knee) questionable
- OF Juan Soto (elbow) questionable
Braves
- 2B Ozzie Albies (wrist) out
Nationals at Braves: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:51 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Braves 6, Nationals 4
Moneyline (ML)
The BRAVES (-129) turned to Tomlin out of desperation for one of their rotation spots and he has done well. He won’t eat a ton of innings, as he is still getting stretched out, but he has a high strikeout rate and is pitching much better than Corbin overall.
A winning $10 bet on Atlanta returns a profit of $7.75 if they’re victorious.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The BRAVES (-1.5, +150) are worth a look at this price level. In each of Atlanta’s past five wins, it has won by at least three runs, and has won seven of its past nine by at least two runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 9.5 (-110) is the lean here, ever so slightly. We have seen an average of 10.3 runs per game in the first three games in this series, and the Over is 5-0-2 in Atlanta’s past seven, while going 5-2-1 in Washington’s previous eight.
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