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2021 Ally 400 NASCAR odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2021 Ally 400, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Nashville Superspeedway for the inaugural Ally 400 Sunday for a green flag at 3:30 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Ally 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

The NASCAR Cup Series makes its debut at the Nashville Superspeedway on Father’s Day.

It’s the first race in Nashville since the Federated Auto Parts 300 on July 23, 2011, an Xfinity and Camping World Truck series race. While it’s called a ‘superspeedway’, it is a 1.33-mile D-shaped track, and not a longer run like Daytona or Talladega.

2021 Ally 400: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick has four Xfinity races under his belt at Nashville, including a pair of wins. He also didn’t finish lower than seventh in those four Xfinity starts. While it’s been a while for Harvick, he knows the track well.
Penske Racing’s Brad Keselowski has logged 10 runs in Nashville, taking the checkered flag twice, while leading 253 laps. He did have two DNFs during his Xfinity career at the superspeedway.
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Kyle Busch also has 10 Xfinity starts at Nashville under his belt, and two truck series races, although the results have been mixed. He has a win, and four finishes inside the Top 5, but also a rather ordinary 12.8 Average-Finish Position (AFP).

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Who is going to win the 2021 Ally 400?

KYLE LARSON (+275) is the chalk at Nashville, and the way he has been going, why not? He wasn’t a part of the Xfinity Series when the last run was made in Nashville back in 2011, but that doesn’t matter. Larson won the All-Star race in Texas, and he also took checkers at Sonoma and Charlotte in the previous two races.

Larson has been red-hot, finishing first or second in five of his past six points races, including a runner-up finish at the Circuit of Americas, also a new track to the Cup Series.

HARVICK (+1400) has rather long odds for a guy who actually has a history at this track. Yes, it’s been over 10 years since Happy raced under the green flag in Nashville, and it wasn’t a Cup Series race, but familiarity still counts for something. His brief history is very good at this track.

More importantly for Harvick, he is due for a good performance. He finished 37th at COTA, 10th at Charlotte and 22nd at Sonoma. Still, he has finished 10th or better in five of his past seven races and has been trending up.

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2021 Ally 400 long-shot bets

AUSTIN DILLON (+5000) is another driver who has competed at this track during his time on the Xfinity circuit. He has two career starts in the Xfinity, posting finishes of third and seventh, an AFP of 5.0 with nine laps led. For the drivers with longer odds, his name stands out.

RYAN PREECE (+50000) is worth a small-unit play, as even a $1 bet would be a tremendous return. He posted a truck series race in the Rackley Roofing 200 Friday, taking home the cool guitar trophy in the Music City. That success in the lower-tier circuit should give him a little bit of confidence heading into Sunday’s run.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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2021 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2021 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at the Charlotte Motor Speedway for the Coca-Cola 600 Sunday for a green flag at 6:05 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

2021 Coca-Cola 600: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:29 a.m. ET.

It’s time for the longest race of the NASCAR Cup Series season, the 600-mile race with 400 laps on the 1.5-mile oval in Concord, N.C., with the race broken up into four 100-lap stages.

Penske Racing’s Brad Keselowski won last season’s Coca-Cola 600, breaking up a dominant run by Toyota by winning in his Ford. Toyota had won five of the previous six Memorial Day races, with Chevy in Victory Lane in May 2017. In fact, Keselowski’s win in the 600 was Ford’s first checkered flag in the long race since Mark Martin won May 26, 2002.
Keselowski’s teammate Joey Logano leads all drivers with a 12.2 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 22 career Cup series races at Charlotte. He has a win, six top-5 runs and 11 top-10 finishes with 331 laps led.
Joe Gibbs Racing’s Denny Hamlin has never won at Charlotte, but he has a 12.5 AFP, which is second only to Logano, in 29 career Cup starts. Hamlin has finished fifth or better on 10 occasions, leading 377 laps at the track on the oval setup.

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Who is going to win the 2021 Coca-Cola 600?

KYLE LARSON (+350) is the chalk at Charlotte, mainly because he goes off from the pole position Sunday evening. He rolled up a best speed of 180.282 mph, a tick ahead of Ricky Stenhouse Jr. at 180.240 mph. Larson has an 18.9 AFP in 11 Cup starts with one top-5 showing at Charlotte, so go lightly. There are much better values to be had.

CHASE ELLIOTT (+500) starts third Sunday, and he has a win in his career at Charlotte. In fact, he has finished fifth or better in 44.4% of his career starts at the track, so he is a much better value than Larson, if you’re trying to decide between the two.

In fact, there is still value to be had taking ELLIOTT FOR A TOP-3 (+135) finish. Even ELLIOTT FOR A TOP 5 (-135) is not a bad wager, either.

KEVIN HARVICK (+1200) is a huge value play at this price. He is tied with MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+650) among active drivers with three career Cup victories in Charlotte. Happy has a 15.0 AFP with nine top-5 runs and half of his 38 career starts have resulted in a top 10.

HARVICK FOR A TOP 5 (+175) is good play with a chance to nearly double up.

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2021 Coca-Cola 600 long-shot and matchup bets

STENHOUSE JR. (+5000) is worth a roll of the dice for a small-unit play to win outright. He has zero wins at Charlotte in 16 career Cup starts, but he has a respectable 17.4 AFP. Stenhouse starts on the outside of Row 1 after turning a best speed of 180.240 mph in qualifying.

STENHOUSE JR. FOR A TOP-5 (+700) finish might be a much better play with some huge value, and STENHOUSE FOR A TOP 10 (+140) is still plus-money, and not a bad option.

ROSS CHASTAIN FOR A TOP 10 (+425) is a value play, too. He recorded a 10th at COTA last weekend, and he turned a best speed of 179.569 mph in qualifying here. He’ll go off from the 10th position.

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2021 EchoPark Texas Grand Prix odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2021 EchoPark Texas Grand Prix at Circuit of the Americas, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at the Circuit of the Americas Motor Racing Track – also known as COTA – for the EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Sunday for a green flag at 2:30 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 EchoPark Texas Grand Prix odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

2021 EchoPark Texas Grand Prix: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:01 a.m. ET.

It’s time for the inaugural EchoPark Texas Grand Prix at Circuit of the Americas (COTA), a 3.41-mile, 20-turn road course located near Austin, Texas.

The race will by 231 miles with 68 laps, and Stage 1 will be 15 laps, Stage 2 will be completed after 32 laps, and then the final stage is 36 laps.
Sunday’s weather forecast calls for showers and potential thunderstorms, with rain chances of 80 percent. Temperatures will be in the upper 70’s with a slight breeze.
While rain would normally be a kiss of death for the race, potentially postponing the event, the teams have Goodyear rain tires. They were used during practice on Saturday morning, too, and drivers have the experience of using them at Charlotte’s ROVAL last season, too.
Speaking of the ROVAL, we can look to the results of that race to determine potential favorites here, since the courses are somewhat similar. Chase Elliott is the defending champ from Charlotte’s ROVAL, and he has dominated with five road-course wins in the past eight stops.

Who is going to win the 2021 EchoPark Texas Grand Prix?

CHASE ELLIOTT (+225) is the chalk at COTA, mainly due to his amazing work on the road courses in the past couple of seasons. He has been dominant, grabbing the checkered flag in five of his past eight non-oval tracks.

In fact, in 13 Cup starts on road courses, Elliott has the five wins, six top-5 runs and eight top-10 showings with 284 laps led and a 9.85 Average-Finish Position (AFP), best among all active drivers.

A TOP 2 FINISH FOR ELLIOTT (-105) is near even-money, too, and that’s not a terrible play. Even a TOP 3 FINISH (-165) is not a bad wager.

KEVIN HARVICK (+1800) is second-best in AFP among active drivers with a 12.4 AFP in 43 career Cup road-course starts, and he has two wins, 10 top-5 finishes and 23 top-10 showings. He has finished 21st or lower on just seven occasions, so he and his team make great adjustments on non-oval runs.

I absolutely love a TOP 5 FINISH FOR HARVICK (+230) with a chance to more than double up still. That seems like a slam-dunk play.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+450) has slightly longer odds than Elliott on the road courses, but he has been just as dominant. He has racked up four checkered flags with 11 top-5 showings and 17 top-10 runs in 33 career Cup starts while leading 264 laps, so he is always one to watch.

A TOP 5 FINISH FOR TRUEX (-165) is more expensive than Harvick, but also a great value.

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2021 EchoPark Texas Grand Prix long-shot and matchup bets

A.J. ALLMENDINGER (+2800) is worth a very small-unit bet at this tempting price, as he has always been good on road courses.

However, take the ringer Allmendinger for a TOP-10 FINISH (-135) for a much better price and a chance to cash.

ROSS CHASTAIN TOP-10 FINISH (+600) finished seventh in practice Saturday with the rain tires, and he could pay off handsomely.

As far as the head-to-head play, or matchup wager, look to HARVICK (+110) as a nice plus-money value over Kyle Busch.

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2021 Drydene 400 at Dover odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2021 Drydene 400 at Dover, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Dover International Speedway for the Drydene 400 Sunday at 2 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Drydene 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

2021 Drydene 400: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.

Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick won the back end of a weekend doubleheader last August, while Joe Gibbs Racing’s Denny Hamlin took the Saturday race.

Hamlin’s win was actually his first in 30 career starts at Dover as he has a mediocre 16.6 Average-Finish Position (AFP) with just six top-5 runs and 13 top-10 showings with four DNFs.
Harvick has fared much better over the years at the Monster Mile, going for three wins, 10 top-5 finishes and 21 top-10s with 1,631 laps led in 40 Cup starts. That’s good for a 13.2 AFP.
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson leads all active drivers with a sparkling 7.4 AFP in 12 career Cup starts at DIS, including nine finishes of 10th or better with 617 laps led.
None of the car models has a distinct advantage on the concrete oval in Delaware. Ford, Toyota and Chevrolet each have wins in the past three Dover starts, and each manufacturer has two checkered flags across the past six races at the track.

Who is going to win the 2021 Drydene 400?

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+350) is the chalk at Dover. This has always been the New Jersey native’s unofficial “home’ track” as DIS holds a special place in his heart since he won his first Cup Series race in June of 2007 here.

TRUEX JR. (-105) is also a good play at near even-money for a TOP-3 FINISH.

Hendrick’s CHASE ELLIOTT (+700) is a good value at this price. He doesn’t have as long of a history as some of the other drivers at this track, but he has been phenomenal here. Elliott has 10 Cup starts at Dover with one win and all but three finishes outside of the Top 5, with two of those a DNF.

ELLIOTT (+100) is also a value play at even money for a TOP-5 FINISH.

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2021 Drydene 400 long-shot bets

COLE CUSTER (+12500) is a driver to remember at Dover as he looks to claim his second career Cup series win. That’s likely not going to happen, but he has finished 10th or 11th in his two previous Cup starts at the track, so he is a value for a top-10 pick.

Take a chance on Custer for a TOP-10 FINISH (+350) for a chance to more than triple up.

ERIK JONES FOR A TOP-10 FINISH (+425) is also worth a small-unit play. He has eight Cup starts under his belt with a 13.0 AFP, posting two top-10 runs while finishing 20th or better on seven occasions. He has never finished lower than 22nd in his Cup career at the Monster Mile.

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2021 Goodyear 400 at Darlington odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2021 Goodyear 400 at Darlington, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Darlington Raceway for the Goodyear 400 Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Goodyear 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

2021 Goodyear 400: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:59 a.m. ET.

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin is defending champ at Darlington last fall, winning the Toyota 500 while starting from the 16th position.

Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick won The Real Heroes 400 from Darlington in the spring race, racing to checkers from the sixth spot. That was the highest starting spot from a winner since Harvick won from the pole position at the track in 2014.
Richard Petty Motorsports driver Erik Jones leads all drivers with a 5.17 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in six career Cup starts at Darlington. He has a win and six top-10 runs, and he has never finished lower than eighth in the six Cup starts.
Hamlin has three wins, tied with Harvick for most wins among active drivers. Hamlin also has a 7.53 AFP with nine top-5 finishes in 17 Cup starts with 593 laps led at ‘The Lady in Black’.
Toyota and Ford have alternated wins in the past four Darlington runs, and Toyota has won five of the past seven Darlington races. Chevy hasn’t been to Victory Lane since 2014 when Harvick raced to the win.

Who is going to win the 2021 Goodyear 400?

HAMLIN (+400) is the chalk at Darlington, along with Kyle Larson (+400). Hamlin leads all active drivers with three wins along with Harvick.

Larson has never won at this track, although he has three top-5 runs, five top-10 finishes and a 6.67 AFP in six Cup starts. If you’re picking between the two, roll with Hamlin over Larson.

HARVICK (+750) is a strong value, going for three victories, 11 top-5 runs and 15 top-10 runs across his 26 Cup starts while leading all active drivers with 782 laps led at the ‘Track Too Tough to Tame’. Harvick is also a strong value for a TOP-5 FINISH AT (+100), or even money.

Penske Racing’s BRAD KESELOWSKI (+950) has managed a win with five top-5 finishes, seven top-10 finishes and 380 laps led in 14 career Cup starts with a 10.4 AFP. The Penske racer is also a value play as a TOP-5 FINISH AT (+130).

In Matchbets, or best finishing position bets, roll with the following:

HARVICK (-130) is a good bet over Kyle Busch, last week’s winner at Kansas. ERIK JONES (+100) is a strong play over Aric Almirola, too, as an even-money play.

AUSTIN DILLON (+110) over Tyler Reddick is another good value at plus-money in head-to-head wagering.

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2021 Goodyear 400 long-shot bets

AUSTIN DILLON (+5000) is a long shot to win at Darlington. He has registered a pair of top-5 runs, three top-10 showings and he has finished outside of the Top 20 on just one of his nine Cup starts at Darlington.

That’s the good news. The bad news is that he has never led a lap at the track. Still, he is worth a small-unit play based on his 12.0 AFP. He is a solid play for a TOP-10 FINISH (+160) at plus-money, too.

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2021 GEICO 500 at Talladega odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2021 Geico 500 at Talladega, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Talladega Superspeedway for the GEICO 500 Sunday at 2 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 GEICO 500 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

2021 GEICO 500: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

The NASCAR Cup Series is back at the Talladega Superspeedway. Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin is the defending champ with checkers in the YellaWood 500 last fall. He’ll start from the pole position Sunday.

Hamlin’s win in the No. 11 Toyota was quite the rarity, as that manufacturer hadn’t been to Victory Lane at Talladega since Hamlin won the Aaron’s 499 in the spring 2014 race. He started from the 34th position.
Ford had won nine of the last 10 races at Talladega prior to Hamlin’s surprise win in a Toyota last fall. Penske Racing’s Ryan Blaney had won the previous two stops before Hamlin broke his string.
Hamlin won from the pole in the fall race. He was the first pole-sitter since Ricky Stenhouse Jr., won the 2017 GEICO 500 in the spring race.
Ryan Preece leads all active drivers with an 11.5 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in his four Cup starts at ‘Dega.

Who is going to win the 2021 GEICO 500?

HAMLIN (+650) is the chalk at Talladega, but given Toyota’s infrequent wins over the years at the superspeedway, it’s a good idea to look elsewhere. In fact, focus on Ford’s stable of cars.

Penske’s BRAD KESELOWSKI (+1100) leads all active drivers with five checkered flags at Talladega, while his teammate RYAN BLANEY (+1000) won two of the last three races here.

Penske’s JOEY LOGANO (+900) certainly shouldn’t be overlooked, either. He has three victories in 24 Cup starts at this track, and he has been 10th or better on 10 occasions, posting a 16.6 AFP. Of course, he is also third among active drivers with seven DNFs, so there is plenty of risk.

STENHOUSE JR. (+1600) is always a threat on superspeedway. He won this race from the pole in the spring of 2017, and he has managed six top-5 runs, nine top-10s and 94 laps led with a 12.7 AFP in 15 Cup starts at ‘Dega.

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2021 GEICO 500 long-shot bets

Perhaps last week was just one week early to select TYLER REDDICK (+2200). He didn’t show out at Richmond like I hoped he would; however, he finished seventh and 20th in his two Cup starts at Talladega, and he has 21 laps led. He could make a little bit of noise at this track.

AUSTIN DILLON (+3500) has some rather long odds given his past successes at the superspeedways. Give him a look with a small-unit wager. He is a good bet for a Top 10 finish (-115), too.

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2021 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s Toyota Owners 400, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Richmond Raceway for the Toyota Owners 400 Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Toyota Owners 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

2021 Toyota Owners 400: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:43 a.m. ET.

The NASCAR Cup Series is back at the Richmond Raceway with Team Penske driver Brad Keselowski as the defending champ with checkers in the fall race in Sept. 2020.

Keselowski’s win at Richmond was a rarity for Ford, as the manufacturer had been to Victory Lane just twice in the past 11 races. Teammate Joey Logano won the spring race in 2017.
Joe Gibbs Racing’s Kyle Busch leads all active drivers with six checkered flags at Richmond with 18 top-5 finishes and 1,488 laps led in 30 starts, while posting a 6.77 Average-Finish Position (AFP).
Virginia native and JGR teammate Denny Hamlin has managed three wins with 13 top-5 finishes across 28 career Richmond starts, posting a 9.25 AFP. He also leads all active drivers with 1,704 laps led.
Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick has also been impressive with three wins and 15 top-5 finishes with a 9.74 AFP in 39 career Richmond runs.

Who is going to win the 2021 Toyota Owners 400?

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+400), who is coming off the win at Martinsville last week, is the chalk. He has picked up the checkered flag twice in 29 career Richmond starts with a 17.3 AFP.

MTJ swept the 2019 Richmond races, racing to victory from the fifth starting spot in the spring race, and winning from the eighth spot in the fall run. He is on the pole for Sunday’s race.

HAMLIN (+600) will start from the outside of Row 1, and the Chesterfield, Va., native usually shows out in his home state. He has three wins, 13 top-5 runs, 17 top-10 showings and a 9.25 AFP.

Hendrick Motorsports driver CHASE ELLIOTT (+900) goes off from the third spot in the starting grid. He has never won in his 10 starts at Richmond, but he has finished 24th or higher in every one of his runs at the short track. He has three top-5 runs and 36 laps led. He has been a runner-up at this track before, and at this price he is a value.

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2021 Toyota Owners 400 long-shot bets

TYLER REDDICK (+6600) is worth a look after finishing 11th in his Richmond Cup debut last season. In addition, he is still a good play for a TOP-10 FINISH AT +170.

ARIC ALMIROLA (+8000) is worth a roll of the dice at this huge price, too. He has 17 Richmond Cup starts under his belt, finishing with two top-5 runs, six top-10 finishes and a 15.53 AFP. He’s also a value play for a TOP-10 FINISH AT +210. In addition, bet ALMIROLA (-115) in best finish position in a head-to-head matchup vs. Matt DiBenedetto (-115).

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2021 Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 at Martinsville odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Saturday’s Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Martinsville Speedway for the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Blue-Emu Maximum Relief 500 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

2021 Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

The NASCAR Cup Series is back at the venerable Martinsville Speedway, with Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott as the defending champ with checkers in the fall race in the playoffs Nov. 1.

Joe Gibbs Racing’s Denny Hamlin enters with five victories at Martinsville, the active leader in wins at the track. He also leads the pack with 1,608 laps led with 15 of his 30 career runs resulting in finishes of fifth place or better.
Penske Racing’s Brad Keselowski is second among all active drivers with an Average-Finish Position (AFP) of 10.18 in his 22 career starts, winning twice with 11 finishes of fifth or better. He has also led 891 laps.
JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. has two wins in the past three starts at Martinsville, and he enters with an AFP of 17.0 in 30 career starts at the track. He has finished 10th or better in 13 of his outings, leading 987 laps.
Elliott’s race last season was the first by a Chevrolet since Oct. 20, 2016, when Jimmie Johnson picked up the win. Since that race, Toyota has three victories and Ford has four wins.

Who is going to win the 2021 Blue-Emu Pain Relief 500?

TRUEX JR. (+400) is the chalk, and again, he has two wins in the past three starts at the paper clip in Martinsville.

MTJ finished 22nd in the fall race in the playoffs in Nov. 2020, snapping a stretch of six straight races finished eighth or better, including five finishes of fourth or higher.

HAMLIN (+500) has been the gold standard at the historic track, as the Virginia native seems to always race well in his home state. The No. 11 was 11th in last fall’s race, and he was 24th in the spring. While his overall numbers are great at the track, he has had some stinkers in recent years, so be careful.

JGR’s KYLE BUSCH (+1200) is a tremendous value at this price. He was ninth last season, and 14th and 19th in the previous two stops at the track; however, that comes on the heels of a nine-race stretch finishing fifth or higher since the fall race in 2015. That includes wins in the spring race of 2016, and the fall run in 2017.

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2021 Blue-Emu Pain Relief 500 long-shot bets

MATT DIBENEDETTO (+6500) is a great value, as he looks for his first Cup victory. Hey, it’s been a season of firsts, so don’t write him off. He was 10th in the fall race in Martinsville last November, and he was seventh in last spring’s race. An AFP of 8.5 certainly raises some eyebrows. DIBENEDETTO (+170) is a solid play as a TOP 10 pick, too, at plus-money.

RYAN NEWMAN (+8000) has a win, and he has a 14.82 AFP in 38 career starts at Martinsville. The AFP is seventh among all active drivers, so a light play on Newman could be a big return with a win. At +210, he has a better chance to cash with a TOP 10 finish.

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2021 Food City Dirt Race at Bristol odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s Food City Dirt Race, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Bristol Motor Speedway for the Food City Dirt Race Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Food City Dirt Race NASCAR odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

2021 Food City Dirt Race: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:59 a.m. ET.

The NASCAR Cup Series will run its first dirt race since 1970. There is a bit of a concern that the Bristol Motor Speedway will hold up. Tire wear was a major issue and the Cup drivers had many complaints after Friday’s practice.

NASCAR opted to extend the first stage by 25 laps and the second stage by 50 laps. There also will be two added competition cautions.
Hendrick Motorsports driver Alex Bowman led the first practice session with a best speed of 89.308 mph, just edging out Christopher Bell at 88.999 mph. Joe Gibbs Racing’s Kyle Busch was third at 88.898 mph, followed by teammate Denny Hamlin.
Kyle Larson rounded out the top 5 in the first practice session at 88.609 mph. While he also won the pole, he is expected to drop to the rear of the field after his crew changed engines after the final practice Friday.
Penske Racing’s Ryan Blaney led the second practice session at 89.135 mph, followed by Bowman, who led the first run. Hamlin was third at 88.986 mph after running fourth in the first session.

Who is going to win the 2021 Food City Dirt Race?

LARSON (+250) is the chalk, and it’s not even close. BELL (+550) is the next closest on the odds sheet. While Larson is expected to go to the back of the field, he and BLANEY (+2000) raced all week at this track and should have an edge with a considerable amount more knowledge than the rest of the field.

Bell has three dirt races under his belt at Eldora Speedway in the Truck Series. While the tracks are completely different, he is one of the better dirt drivers on the circuit.

As far as practice is concerned, HAMLIN (+1400) looked very good, finishing fourth or better in speed in each of his two practice sessions. AUSTIN DILLON (+1000) has a win in his three Eldora starts, and he finished 10th or better in each of those outings.

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2021 Food City Dirt Race long-shot bets

BOWMAN (+2500) looked very good in practice, leading the first session while ending up second in the second run. He is set to go off seventh in Sunday’s race, and he really looked like he had a good grasp of the track and setup on Friday.

BUBBA WALLACE (+2500) is also a driver worth keeping an eye on. In two Eldora starts in the Truck Series, Wallace has a win and a seventh-place finish.

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2021 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s Folds of Honor QuikTrop 500, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Atlanta Motor Speedway for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 NASCAR odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

2021 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick raced to a checkered flag in Atlanta June 7, edging out Joe Gibbs Racing’s Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. Harvick led 151 of the 325 laps, with MTJ second in that category with 65 laps led.

Harvick has registered three wins and nine top-5 finishes in his 30 career Cup starts at the venerable track. Half of his 30 starts have resulted in finishes of 10th or better, and he leads all active drivers with 1,348 laps led. The next best is Kurt Busch at 803.
JGR’s Denny Hamlin is on the pole for Sunday’s race. He has just one win in his 21 Cup starts while only eight of his runs have resulted in a finish of 10th or better. His 17.33 Average-Finish Position (AFP) is 12th-best among active drivers with at least five Cup starts at the track.
Kyle Larson is back after a one-year hiatus from the circuit due to an off-track issue. While he has never won in six Cup starts in Atlanta, he is second to only Georgia native Chase Elliott with a 13.83 AFP. Three of his six starts have resulted in a top-10 run or better.
Speaking of Elliott, the Dawsonville, Ga., native has also never won at Atlanta, but he has four top-10 finishes in five career starts and he has never finished worse than 19th while leading 26 laps with a 10.0 AFP.

Who is going to win the 2021 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500?

HARVICK (+550) is the chalk, and rightly so. He’ll be out front frequently, and he will be searching for his third win in his last four Atlanta starts. He has also finished ninth or better in each of his past six Cup starts at the track.

A Ford has been to Victory Lane in four straight Atlanta races. Harvick has won twice in the past three runs, and Penske Racing’s BRAD KESELOWSKI (+700) also has two wins in the past four Cup races at the track.

Keselowski has just 12 Cup starts in Atlanta over the years, but he has the two trips to Victory Lane, four top-5 runs and eight top-10 showings with 135 laps led and a stellar 14.6 AFP in his runs.

Teammate JOEY LOGANO (+900) is also worth a look. While the latter has never won in Atlanta, he has 195 laps led in 14 Cup runs with a pair of top-5 showings and a 16.6 AFP. Logano was 10th last season in Atlanta, and he has been 12th or better in six of his past eight appearances at the track after some uneven performances earlier in this career.

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2021 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 long-shot bet

TYLER REDDICK (+8000) made his first-career Cup start in Atlanta last season and finished a respectable 16th in his first go-around. Reddick started 24th in that race and will go off 29th Sunday. While I’d only go lightly on him for a straight-up win, he is a value at +210 FOR A TOP 10 FINISH.

And while he isn’t a true long-shot bet, his odds are rather moderate. KURT BUSCH (+2500) is a great value at this price. Not only is he tied with Harvick with three-career wins at this track, he was a solid sixth last season in Atlanta. Playing him straight-up for the win is fine, but I also like KURT BUSCH (+333) for a Top 5.

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