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Napoli (5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) welcome AC Milan (7-0-2) to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Sunday. Kickoff is set for 3:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Napoli vs. AC Milan odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Napoli beat Union Berlin 1-0 in a midweek Champions League match. The home side took down Hellas Verona 3-1 on the road in its last Serie A battle. It is 2-0-2 at home this season and has scored 20 goals and allowed 10 throughout all 9 league matches. F Victor Osimhen has been the most potent attacker, scoring 6 goals in 8 matches. It has had double its opponent’s expected goals in 3 of 4 home matches.
AC Milan is 4-0-1 on the road in league play this season and also had a midweek Champions League match, losing 3-0 to PSG on the road. Its last league match was a 1-0 home loss to Juventus. Milan had 3 straight wins to start the season but is 4-0-2 over its last 6. 37-year-old F Olivier Giroud and newcomer F Christian Pulisic are tied for a team-high 4 goals.
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Napoli vs. AC Milan odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:49 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Napoli +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | AC Milan +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Draw +240
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -125)
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Napoli vs. AC Milan picks and predictions
Prediction
AC Milan 2, Napoli 1
Moneyline (ML)
LEAN AC MILAN (+220).
Napoli’s play at home hasn’t been impressive.
Coming into the weekend, they had beaten No. 14 Sassuolo and No. 18 Udinese, losing to No. 9 Lazio and No. 5 Fiorentina. Their struggles against teams higher on the table at home is crucial here as Milan sits with the 2nd-most point through 9 matches. Against top-10 teams at home, Napoli have been outscored 5 to 2.
Milan is 4-0-1 on the road and has lost to just Inter, the top team in the league. It has a road win over No. 8 Roma. Milan has the better resume in this situation, and at this value, back AC MILAN (+220).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (-110).
Both teams have potent offenses. Napoli have scored 20 goals through 9 matches and have scored in each home game. Even against Real Madrid in a Champions League group stage home match, they tallied 2 goals.
They have scored 8 goals in 4 home matches. In both games against a team in the top 10 of the table, they have gone Over this total. Milan has gone Over in 3 of 5 road league matches as well, scoring in all 5.
Expect goals and take OVER 2.5 (-110).
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