First-place Napoli (21 wins, 1 loss, 2 draws) welcomes Lazio (13-5-6) to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Friday. Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Napoli vs. Lazio odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Napoli has been, by far, the most dominant club in Serie A. The Blues have 65 points in 24 matches, 18 points ahead of Internazionale and AC Milan, who are tied for 2nd-place with 47 points each. Their +43 goal differential leads the league by 22 goals — Lazio is tied in 2nd with Juventus at +21. Napoli’s top scorer is F Victor Osimhen, who has 19 goals in 20 matches.
Lazio is 4th on the league table in 24 matches with 40 goals scored and just 19 allowed. The Eagles are a strong 6-2-3 on the road this season, including holding opponents to a clean sheet 7 times. Italian star F Ciro Immobile Lazio in scoring with 9 goals in 19 matches.
[betwidget_tipico]
[betwidget_gambbetmgmsb]
[betwidget_gambfanduelsb]
Napoli vs. Lazio odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:16 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Napoli -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Lazio +430 (bet $100 to win $430) | Draw +300
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+
Napoli vs. Lazio picks and predictions
Prediction
Napoli 1, Lazio 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
If you’re feeling risky, the Draw (+300) is enticing as the Lazio side has many star Italian players and has also shown competence on the road.
However, Napoli has won 10 of 11 home games and has won 8 straight league games. Napoli hasn’t necessarily destroyed top opponents, beating Milan 2-1 on the road, Lazio 2-1 on the road and losing 1-0 to Inter on the road.
Ultimately, I wouldn’t bet Draw (+300) given Napoli’s home dominance, but there is a tad bit of value given Lazio has won 2 straight league matches and plays well on the road.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-110).
There are only 3 teams in Serie A that have allowed Under 20 goals in league matches, and 2 of them will be on display in this game. Throughout all competitions, Lazio has gone Under this total in 8 straight games and in 5 consecutive league matches. Despite the first season meeting ending with Lazio winning 2-1, there were just 2.4 expected goals.
Napoli has allowed 1 goal in its last 7 matches and have 5 consecutive clean sheets (4 in league play). The defenses are elite, and I expect limited opportunities in this showdown.
BACK UNDER 2.5 (-110).
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=53935]