Commissioner’s Cup Final: Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Lynx (13-3) and New York Liberty (15-3) meet Tuesday in the Commissioner’s Cup Final. Tip-off from UBS Arena in Elmont, N.Y., is slated for 8 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Lynx vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Lynx lead 1-0

The Lynx head to Long Island on a roll, winning 6 consecutive games, while covering 4 of those outings. Minnesota has an impressive 12-4 against the spread (ATS) mark on the season. That includes an 84-67 home win May 25 vs. New York as a 7-point home underdog with the Under (167.5) cashing.

Minnesota shot 47.8% (32-of-67) from the field in the 1st meeting vs. New York, while going a blistering 50.0% (14-of-28) from behind the 3-point line. The Lynx have a plus-5 rebounding margin, and 8 more assists than the Liberty. F Napheesa Collier scored 15 points with 12 rebounds for the double-double, while adding 4 assists, 2 blocked shots and 2 steals.

New York has racked up 3 straight wins, while winning 11 of the past 12 outings. The Liberty have scored 90 or more points in each of the past 6 games, and the Over is 6-1 in the previous 7 contests.

This game won’t count in the regular-season standings with it being the Commissioner’s Cup Final.

Lynx at Liberty odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Lynx +186 (bet $100 to win $186) | Liberty -235 (bet $235 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Lynx +5 (-112) | Liberty -5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 162.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Lynx at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 89, Lynx 86

Moneyline

New York (-235) will cost 2.35 times your potential return. That’s too much risk for not enough reward, at least as a standalone wager. As part of a Same-Game Parlay (SGP), playing the moneyline coupled with the total isn’t a bad play.

PASS as far as a straight-up bet is concerned.

Against the spread

Taking MINNESOTA +5 (-112) with the points is the way to go. These 2 teams are rolling with New York on a 3-game win streak and 11 of its last 12, while Minnesota enters on a 6-game win streak.

It’s hard to forget what happened exactly 1 calendar month ago when the Lynx embarrassed the Liberty 84-67 in the Twin Cities as 7-point underdogs.

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Over/Under

OVER 162.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

While the Lynx defense has been amazing lately, allowing just 57.5 PPG in the past 2 games against the Phoenix Mercury and Atlanta Dream, the offense has been on fire. Minnesota has piled up 80 or more points in 8 of its past 10 outings.

For the Liberty, they’ve scored 90 or more points in 6 consecutive contests, while allowing at least 80 points in 5 of the past 6 outings. The total has gone high in 4 in a row, and 6 of the past 7 contests.

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Minnesota Lynx at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Lynx at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Lynx (8-3) and Las Vegas Aces (5-4) meet Tuesday in a Commissioner’s Cup game at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Lynx vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Aces lead 1-0

The Lynx have won 4 of the past 5 games since losing May 29 at home to the Aces 80-66, while going 4-1 against the spread (ATS). Minnesota has played great defense lately, too, allowing 62 or fewer points in 2 of the past 3 games, while cashing the Under in all 3 outings.

The Aces dropped a high-scoring 96-92 game at Los Angeles Sunday, and it’s the 4th time Las Vegas has lost outright as a favorite of 7.5 or more points this season. In fact, Las Vegas is just 5-4 SU this season. It didn’t lose its 4th game last season until Aug. 19.

Las Vegas has won 5 straight head-to-head meetings vs. Minnesota, while also covering in each of the battles. When the Aces won the May 29 game, they were 4-point road favorites and the Under (169) cashed.

The Aces are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in the previous 10 in the series dating back to Sept. 8, 2021. The Under has a slight 3-2 edge in the 5-game win streak for the Aces.

Lynx at Aces odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Lynx +235 (bet $100 to win $235) | Aces -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Lynx +6.5 (-108) | Aces -6.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 166 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Lynx at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 84, Lynx 80

Moneyline

Las Vegas (-300) will set you back 3 times your potential return, and while that’s never a good betting strategy, it’s especially risky lately since the Aces aren’t playing very good basketball.

Yes, the Aces dominate Minnesota (+235), but the Lynx are playing pretty good basketball, and it isn’t a recommended bet.

AVOID and focus on the spread.

Against the spread

MINNESOTA +6.5 (-108) is a solid play catching more than 3 buckets.

Red-hot F Napheesa Collier has 5 double-doubles in the past 6 outings, including 18 points and 13 assists in the 1st battle with the Aces May 29 in the Twin Cities. Collier had 19 points, 14 rebounds and 3 assists with 2 3-pointers last time out against Seattle, too.

Collier was recently named to the Team USA Olympic team. She’s the lone Minnesota player on the American squad, while Las Vegas has 4 in guards Chelsea Gray, Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young and 2-time MVP center A’ja Wilson.

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Over/Under

UNDER 166 (-110) is the lean in this Commissioner’s Cup showdown; go with a half-unit play at most.

The Lynx have cashed the Under in 3 in a row, and these teams combined for 146 points on a total of 169 in the first meeting May 29 in Minneapolis. The total has gone Under at a 3-2 pace in the past 5 games for Vegas, too.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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