MVC Tournament: Murray State vs. Drake odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Murray State at Drake MVC Tournament odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks and predictions.

The Murray State Racers (17-14) and Drake Bulldogs (24-7) tussle Friday in an MVC Tournament quarterfinal. Tip from Enterprise Center in St. Louis is slate for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Murray State vs. Drake odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

No.7 seed Murray State advanced to this game with a 78-50 win over Valparaiso in the opening-round win Thursday. MSU lost to Drake twice in the regular season by an average margin of 21.0 points. The Racers are playing in their 1st MVC Tournament after being a member of the Ohio Valley Conference from 1948-2022. They went 11-9 in the MVC campaign.

The Bulldogs went 15-5 in placing 2nd in the MVC regular-season standings. Four of their 5 setbacks on the circuit were before Jan. 20, but Drake is 10-1 since then. The Bulldogs have been solid at both ends of the floor but have been especially strong on defense lately, holding foes to a 40.8% accuracy mark from the field during a 10-game win streak from Jan. 21-Feb. 22.

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Murray State vs. Drake odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Murray State +390 (bet $100 to win $390) | Drake -575 (bet $575 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Murray State +10.5 (-110) | Drake -10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Murray State vs. Drake picks and predictions

Prediction

Drake 76, Murray State 68

Moneyline

The underdog is a slight lean ATS but is not actionable on the moneyline. AVOID.

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Against the spread

The Racers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral-site games.

Murray State had some outlier defensive shooting percentages down the stretch. The Racers figure as a below-average defensive team to be sure, but they are more likely worthy of being an 8.5-point underdog in a slower-paced game, and that’s what Friday’s contest is likely to be.

Drake is the better team but is also quite inconsistent.

BACK THE RACERS +10.5 (-110). Consider a partial-unit play; there is not a lot of leverage here.

Over/Under

Respecting a well-made number here. Figure a game in the low 140s. PASS.

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