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Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros Game 4 odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros ALDS Game 4 betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Oakland Athletics and Houston Astros play Game 4 of their American League Division Series at Dodger Stadium Thursday. The first pitch is scheduled for 3:35 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Athletics-Astros Game 4 MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Series: Houston leads 2-1.

Athletics vs. Astros: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Frankie Montas vs. RHP Zack Greinke

Montas: 3-5 with a 5.60 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 53 IP over 11 starts.

2020 postseason: 1-0 with 2 IP, 1 ER, 2 K and 0 BB. Montas’ outing was a relief appearance in Oakland’s Game 3 win in the American League Wild Card Series against the Chicago White Sox.
2020 vs. Astros (regular season): 2-1 with a 4.11 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 14 K and 3 BB in 15 1/3 IP over 3 starts.

Greinke: 3-3 with a 4.03 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 1.2 BB/9 in 67 IP across 12 starts.

2020 postseason: 0-0, 1 start (Game 1 of AL Wild Card Series vs. Minnesota Twins) with 4 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 1 K and 3 BB.
2020 vs. A’s (regular season): 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 17 K and 2 BB in 17 IP over 3 starts.

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Athletics vs. Astros: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Athletics

3B Matt Chapman (hip) out

Astros

OF Yordan Alvarez (knee) out
RP Roberto Osuna (elbow) out

Athletics vs. Astros: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Athletics 8, Astros 4

Money line (ML)

The Astros (-106) are trying to prove the naysayers wrong after being dragged all offseason for MLB’s sting of their sign-stealing operation. Houston’s core hitters, who’ve been integral in its recent success, have been raking in this series even without buzzers and trash cans. 2B Jose Altuve, OF George Springer, SS Carlos Correa and 3B Alex Bregman have all hit home runs and are all hitting at least .364 with a .462 OBP.

The Athletics (-106) have had an awesome season and beat Houston 7-3 in the regular-season series. Seven of those games were in Oakland and the Astros were a terrible road team this season but this isn’t a traditional home game for them either.

Furthermore, Greinke hasn’t been lights out against the Athletics this season. Don’t get me wrong, Montas hasn’t been fantastic either, but Oakland struggles to hit for average and Greinke has given up a hit an inning against the Athletics.

If the starting pitching matchup is a wash, I’ll take Oakland’s MLB-leading bullpen ERA over Houston’s bullpen that is missing numerous arms. BET ATHLETICS (-106) to extend the ALCS.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

I like Athletics-Astros to be a slugfest but I don’t think the Athletics’ -1.5 (+135) line is juicy enough. Also, I’d use a similar rationale for Oakland’s alternate run line. PASS ON THE RUN LINE.

Over/Under (O/U)

I’d TAKE OVER 9.5 (-106) since Houston has hit the cover off the ball this series and Oakland can chase Greinke early.

Also, the Athletics have to be familiar with the Astros bullpen at this point so expect them to add some runs late.

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Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros Game 3 odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros ALDS Game 3 betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Oakland Athletics and Houston Astros play Game 3 of their best-of-five AL Division Series Wednesday afternoon at 3:35 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. Houston will bat last as the home team. Below, we analyze the Athletics-Astros Game 3 MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Houston has taken Games 1 and 2 of the series, and that makes Wednesday’s matinee contest a potential elimination game.

Athletics vs. Astros: Projected starting pitchers

LHP Jesus Luzardo vs. RHP Jose Urquidy

Luzardo is a rookie-eligible port-sider who recorded a 4.12 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 59 innings during the regular season. He yielded 3 ER on 6 hits (2 HR) in 3 1/3 IP against the Chicago White Sox in a Sept. 29 Wild Card Series start.

Has held current Houston batters to a whiff-heavy .671 OPS (53 PA).

Urquidy logged a 2.73 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in five starts during the regular season. The 25-year-old right-hander has clocked a 3.44 ERA over 70 2/3 Major League innings in his career. Urquidy went 4 1/3 innings, allowing four base runners and a single run, in a Sept. 30 Wild Card Series start against the Minnesota Twins.

Had his 2.73 regular-season ERA buoyed by a .209 BABIP and 86.6% left-on-base rate.

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Athletics vs. Astros: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Athletics

3B Matt Chapman (hip) out

Astros

RP Roberto Osuna (elbow) out
OF Yordan Alvarez (knee) out

Athletics vs. Astros: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML)

The Astros (-106) have seemingly gotten back to their offensive capabilities after listing badly over the final two weeks of the regular season (.678 OPS). Houston’s 22 runs through four playoff games is A: A small sample, and B: A figure not wholly supported by peripheral numbers.

The Athletics (-106) were a decent fade candidate coming into the postseason, but Oakland is underrated by the level tag for Wednesday’s all-hands-on-deck contest. Luzardo is a solid starter, and lefty pitching brings out the lesser side of Houston’s platoon splits (.703 OPS in the regular season). The Astros’ .509 OPS against port-siders in September ranked dead-last in MLB. The A’s have a better bullpen, and it’s one better rested at the back end.

BACK THE ATHLETICS (-106).

New to sports betting? A winning $106 bet on the Athletics’ ML will net a $100 profit.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on what is a juice-drowned proposition on multi-run margins: Athletics -1.5 (+145)/Astros +1.5 (-176).

Over/Under (O/U)

There are mostly mixed signals underlying the analysis of this total — Over 9 (-110)/Under 9 (-110). A slight OVER lean would be the way to go, especially on a +100 price or a total of 8.5 instead of 9.

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Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics Game 2 odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Tuesday’s Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics ALDS Game 2 betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Houston Astros and Oakland Athletics meet for Game 2 their best-of-five AL Division Series Tuesday afternoon at 4:37 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. Below, we analyze the Astros-Athletics MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Astros at Athletics: Projected starting pitchers

LHP Framber Valdez vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Valdez posted a 3.57 ERA and 1.12 WHIP across 10 regular-season starts and one relief appearance. He pitched five scoreless innings against the Minnesota Twins in the Wild Card Series.

Has held current Oakland bats to a .686 OPS and .108 ISO in limited action.

Manaea registered a 4.50 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 11 regular season turns. The veteran port-sider was rocked for 3 homers and 4 earned runs in two innings of work in Oakland’s Wild Card Series against the Chicago White Sox.

Faced the Astros Sept. 10 and went seven innings, allowing 1 run on just 2 hits.

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Astros at Athletics: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Astros

RP Roberto Osuna (elbow) out
OF Yordan Alvarez (knee) out

Athletics

3B Matt Chapman (hip) out

Astros at Athletics: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML)

Peg both starters in this all-southpaw matchup as being more talented than what is revealed by surface numbers. Both were undone by rates around the margins, but there’s enough upside on the Houston (-106) side of this money line play to make them an undercard lean.

Consider a partial-unit play on the ASTROS (-106).

New to sports betting? A winning $106 bet on the Astros ML will net a $100 profit.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on what is a juice-drowned proposition on multi-run margins: Athletics +1.5 (-175)/Astros -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under (O/U)

The strongest play in Tuesday’s matchup is the Under, which went a robust 9-3 over a dozen regular-season meetings between these two AL West foes. Oakland struggles against lefty pitching. The Astros do, too, and since Sept. 1 their .509 OPS against port-siders ranks dead-last in MLB.

Both starters figure to undercut numbers suggested by their earned-run averages, and both excel in keeping the ball on the ground and avoiding hard contact. In the last six Houston-Oakland games tagged with a total between 8.5-9.5, the games have averaged 5.2 runs. Back the UNDER 9 (-110) without reservation.

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Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics Game 1 odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics AL Division Series Game 1 betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Houston Astros and Oakland Athletics swing into their best-of-five AL Division Series Monday afternoon at 4:07 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. Below, we analyze the Astros-Athletics Game 1 MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Astros at Athletics: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Lance McCullers Jr. vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

McCullers recorded a 3.93 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over 11 starts in the regular season. The 27-year-old right-hander did not pitch in Houston’s Wild Card Series against the Minnesota Twins and last appeared in a game on Sept. 26.

Was sensational down the stretch, posting a 1.52 ERA with 11.8 SO/9 over his last five starts.
Owns a 2.53 ERA over 32 career postseason innings (11 games, 4 starts).

Bassitt logged a 2.29 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in 11 regular season starts. The 31-year-old hurler saved his best for late in the season, as he notched a tidy 1.52 ERA over his last five regular-season starts and was effective in a 7-inning turn against the Chicago White Sox in the Wild Card Series (7 IP, 6H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K).

Wild Card start marked his postseason debut.

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Astros at Athletics: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Astros

RP Roberto Osuna (elbow) out
OF Yordan Alvarez (knee) out

Athletics

3B Matt Chapman (hip) out

Astros at Athletics: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML)

During the regular season, the Athletics (-139) averaged 4.57 runs per game while yielding 3.87. From an analytics standpoint, both figures are suspect, and the A’s went into the postseason as a solid default fade candidate. That’s not to say Oakland isn’t a solid club, just one too far over its skis with a .600 winning percentage. The bullpen matchup for this series is a more even exchange than what is indicated by surface ERA figures from the regular season (Oakland 2.72, Houston 4.39).

The Astros (+125) could really use some length from McCullers in this spot. A 7-inning turn looks to be more likely on the Bassitt side, but McCullers does have a decent history of faring well on long rest.

The offenses here are similar. In fact, both averaged 4.79 RPG in the regular season. The line here is one that likely blankets any value, but there is a lean toward the ASTROS (+125) on evidence McCullers backs up his numbers to a greater degree than Bassitt.

New to sports betting? A winning $100 bet on the Astros ML will net a $125 profit.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on what is a juice-drowned proposition on multi-run margins (Athletics -1.5 (+145)/Astros +1.5 (-176).)

Over/Under (O/U)

The A’s took 7-of-10 from the ‘Stros in the regular season. The Under went 7-3 over those 10 games. On a fade of Bassitt and the Oakland bullpen, and on a weather report calling for a batters’ breeze and a game-time temperature of 92 degrees, the OVER 8 (-110) is a worthy play.

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Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics Game 3 odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics AL Wild Card Series Game 3 betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Chicago White Sox and Oakland Athletics conclude their best-of-three AL Wild Card Series Thursday afternoon at 3:10 p.m. ET at Ring Central Coliseum. The Athletics took Game 2 to stave off elimination. Below, we analyze the White Sox-Athletics Game 3 MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

White Sox at Athletics: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Dane Dunning vs. RHP Mike Fiers

Dunning is a 25-year-old rookie who made seven starts in the regular season. He faltered over his last two turns but still managed to log a 3.97 ERA and 1.12 WHIP across 34 innings pitched overall.

Allowed 4 earned runs in each of his last two starts, both of which were short outings of 4 and 3 innings.
Logged 14 strikeouts over his first 9 1/3 MLB innings and finished the season with 9.3 K/9.

Fiers is a 10-year MLB vet who tallied a 4.58 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 11 starts in 2020.

The Athletics are 5-2 over Fiers’ last 7 starts.
Has held current Chicago bats to a .623 OPS in past meetings.

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White Sox at Athletics: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

White Sox

OF Eloy Jimenez (lower body) out

Athletics

3B Matt Chapman (hip) out

White Sox at Athletics: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML)

During the regular season, the Athletics (-106) averaged 4.57 runs per game while yielding 3.87. From an analytics standpoint, both figures are suspect, and the A’s went into the postseason as a solid default fade candidate. That’s not to say Oakland isn’t a solid club; just one too far over its skis with a .600 winning percentage. The bullpens are an even exchange, despite the Oakland side — with a 2.72 surface ERA — likely being overvalued.

Dunning figures to draw some fade action after stumbling in his last two starts, but the rookie right-hander was undone by some unkind rates around the margins (HR rates on fly balls, batting average on balls in play, etc.). Dunning throws a lot of fastballs and Oakland isn’t a strong team against the heater. The Athletics bat a lot from the right side (59% of PA vs. RHP), and that plays into an area of strength for Dunning. The A’s own a sub-.675 OPS over the last 20 days (regular and postseason combined).

Fiers looks to be pegged a bit too far the other way, and a 4.58 ERA oversells what was a lackluster 2020 campaign for the veteran. GRAB THE WHITE SOX (-106).

New to sports betting? A winning $106 bet on the White Sox ML will net a $100 return.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on what is a juice-drowned proposition on multi-run margins (White Sox -1.5 (+145)/Athletics +1.5 (-176).

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9 (-115) has been taking on the early action. Probably not enough yet, and the low side is indeed the lean for a low-humidity contest that’ll get the best arms both sides can muster.

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Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics Game 2 sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Chicago White Sox (35-25 regular season) and Oakland Athletics (36-24) continue their best-of-three AL Wild Card Series Wednesday afternoon at 3 p.m. ET at Ring Central Coliseum. The White Sox took Game 1 to put the A’s on the brink of elimination. Below, we analyze the White Sox-Athletics MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

White Sox at Athletics: Projected starting pitchers

LHP Dallas Keuchel vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Keuchel clocked a 1.99 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in a terrific regular season for the ChiSox.

Owns a 3.47 ERA over 12 career postseason games.
Has held Oakland batters to a .659 OPS.

Bassitt logged a 2.29 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in 11 regular season starts. The 31-year-old hurler saved his best for late in the season: he owns a tidy 1.52 ERA over his last 5 GS.

Has a limited but dominant history against White Sox bats (.362 OPS allowed in 65 PA).

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White Sox at Athletics: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

White Sox

OF Leury Garcia (hand) out
OF Eloy Jimenez (lower body) questionable

Athletics

3B Matt Chapman (hip) out

White Sox at Athletics: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML)

During the regular season, the Athletics (-129) averaged 4.57 runs per game while yielding 3.87. From an analytics standpoint, both figures are suspect, and the A’s went into the postseason as a solid default fade candidate. That’s not to say Oakland isn’t a solid club; just one too far over its skis with a .600 winning percentage.

The top-10 offense of the Chicago White Sox (+115) scuffled down the stretch, batting just .202/.280/.372 while going 2-8 over its last 10 games. Chicago is 130 points (OPS) worse against right-handed pitching (southpaw Jesus Luzardo started Tuesday’s game for Oakland).

The bullpens are an even exchange, despite the Oakland side — with a 2.72 surface ERA — likely being overvalued. As it was on Tuesday, the lean side in this one is with the WHITE SOX. But it’s a moderate lean at best and only at +115 or better.

New to sports betting? A winning $100 bet on the White Sox ML will net an $115 return.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on what is a juice-drowned proposition on multi-run margins.

Over/Under (O/U)

Ring Central Coliseum plays as less of a pitchers’ yard in day games. The Athletics bullpen is a fly ball-yielding group, and the weather report for the game hours is one with a hitters’ breeze. More importantly, both starters look to be significantly overvalued by their surface lines. Both have benefited from generous rates around the edges, and a total of 9-plus in this one is plenty likely. BACK THE OVER 7 (-110).

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Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Tuesday’s Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics Game 1 sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Chicago White Sox (35-25 regular season) and Oakland Athletics (36-24) open their best-of-three AL Wild Card Series Tuesday afternoon at 3 p.m. ET at Ring Central Coliseum. Below, we analyze the White Sox-Athletics MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

White Sox at Athletics: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Lucas Giolito vs. LHP Jesus Luzardo

Giolito logged a 3.48 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over a dozen regular-season starts.

Registered similar numbers in a breakout 2019 campaign: 3.41 ERA, 1.06 WHIP. Comparatively, from 2019 to 2020, walks and strikeouts were up a tick.
Consistent in his ability to hold hard contact under wraps – under 35% each of the last three seasons.

Luzardo is a rookie-eligible port-sider who recorded a 4.12 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 59 innings this season.

Enters the postseason on an apparent down note, having logged a 4.62 ERA over his last 25 1/3 IP. The percentage of barrels allowed (hard-hit with optimum launch angle) trends on that same line.

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White Sox at Athletics: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

White Sox

OF Leury Garcia (hand) out
OF Eloy Jimenez (lower body) questionable

Athletics

3B Matt Chapman (hip) out
RP J.B. Wendelken (undisclosed) out

White Sox at Athletics: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML)

In the regular season, the Athletics (+110) averaged 4.57 runs per game while yielding 3.87. From an analytics standpoint, both figures are suspect and that makes the A’s one of the best fade candidates of these playoff games. That’s not to say Oakland isn’t a solid club; just one too far over its skis with a .600 winning percentage. And to that end, the Athletics were a profitable fade over the last week or so of the regular season.

Enter the top-10 offense of the Chicago White Sox (-121). The Pale Hose clubbed southpaws around to the tune of an .890 OPS (second in MLB) in the regular season. Chicago scuffled down the stretch, batting just .202/.280/.372 while going 2-8 over its last 10 games, but that small sample was colored by hard-hit baseballs not finding safe homes. The slump came primarily against top pitching clubs in the Cleveland Indians and Cincinnati Reds.

Giolito is the better starter in this game. The bullpens are an even exchange, despite the Oakland side — with a 2.72 surface ERA — likely being overvalued. Side with the WHITE SOX (-121).

New to sports betting? A winning $100 bet on the White Sox ML will net an $86.24 return

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Oakland went 6-1 in extra-inning games in the regular season. Chicago went 5-8 in one-run games.

On the run line, the tag on the visitors is WHITE SOX -1.5 (+125). On a contest with an Over lean, consider a play on Chicago if you can wait out a price in the +130s.

Over/Under (O/U)

Ring Central Coliseum plays as less of a pitchers’ yard in day games. The Athletics bullpen is a fly-ball-yielding group, and the weather report for the game hours is one with a hitters’ breeze and an extra measure of humidity. Take the OVER 7.5 (-110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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