The Missouri Tigers (2-2 overall, 2-2 SEC) head to Gainesville to play the Florida Gators (2-1, 2-1) Saturday in a conference game at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Missouri-Florida college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The Gators are No. 9 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Missouri at Florida: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:41 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Missouri +380 (bet $100 to win $380) | Florida -527 (bet $527 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Missouri +13.5 (-110) | Florida -13.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 63.5 (O: +100 | U: -121)
Missouri at Florida: Three things to know
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Florida hasn’t played since losing to Texas A&M 41-38 on Oct. 10. The reason was the Gators have been dealing with dozens of positive COVID-19 tests on their roster and it’s unknown how many players will take the field vs. Missouri.
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Missouri smothered Kentucky 20-10 last week. The Tigers outgained the Wildcats in total yards 421-142, and held them to just eight first downs.
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Florida won last year’s game against Missouri 23-6. The Tigers won the previous two meetings, both of which were started by current Denver Broncos QB Drew Lock.
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Missouri at Florida: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks
Prediction
Florida 37, Missouri 28
Money line (ML)
ESPN reported that at least 26 Florida players tested posted for COVID-19, including head coach Dan Mullen. All that flummox has to affect Florida’s execution of the offensive game plan and defensive readiness.
Florida QB Kyle Trask was getting early-season Heisman hype before the loss to Texas A&M and the team’s COVID-19 complications derailed his 2020 campaign. Trask is completing 71.8% of this throws for 996 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and one interception.
Missouri’s defense should give Florida trouble and it has enough offense to control the tempo early. The Gators will probably figure it out somewhere along the way, but no way would I bet Florida (-500) or put it in a parlay.
Against the spread (ATS)
The Gators have played the 75th-toughest schedule and the Tigers the 29th, according to Sports-Reference.com. Florida is the fourth-ranked opponent for Missouri this season.
Florida has the national profile and gaudy player stats but it has played a soft schedule thus far. This could be a lookahead spot for Florida with No. 5 Georgia next up on the schedule. Plus, this is a much bigger game for Missouri.
GIMME MISSOURI +13.5 (-110) to play Florida tight most of this game.
Over/Under (O/U)
All three Florida games this year have cruised well past the total because as high-octane as its offense is, the Gators defense hasn’t found their footing yet.
Aside from a clunker against Tennessee, Missouri redshirt freshman QB Connor Bazelak has played pretty well and he’s throwing against a bad Florida pass defense which hasn’t played in three weeks or practiced in two.
It’s forecasted to be a nice night in Gainesville and Florida’s offense will put up points in this game. But so will Missouri’s. “LEAN” OVER 61.5 (-110). A lean is not necessarily a bet. Proceed at your own caution.
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