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The Minnesota Vikings (3-4) rekindle their divisional rivalry with the Green Bay Packers (2-4) when they meet at 1 p.m. ET Sunday at Lambeau Field in a game broadcast on FOX. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Vikings vs. Packers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Vikings were left for dead at 0-3, but have won 3 of their last 4 games and, if the playoffs started today, Minnesota would be the last Wild Card team in the NFC. The Vikings got themselves back in the playoff conversation Monday night with a 22-17 upset win over the San Francisco 49ers.
The Packers are on the other side of the coin. After starting 2-1, Green Bay has lost 3 straight – the most recent being a 19-17 loss to the Broncos. Key injuries on both sides of the ball have taken a toll on the NFL’s youngest team, and the Packers’ record reflects its lack of depth.
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Vikings at Packers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:45 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Vikings -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Packers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread (ATS): Vikings -1.5 (-110) | Packers +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 42 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Vikings at Packers key injuries
Vikings
- G Ezra Cleveland (foot) questionable
- WR Justin Jefferson (hamstring) out
Packers
- CB Jaire Alexander (back) questionable
- LB De’Vondre Campbell (ankle) questionable
- TE Luke Musgrave (ankle) questionable
- C Josh Myers (ankle) questionable
Vikings at Packers picks and predictions
Prediction
Vikings 20, Packers 16
Moneyline
PASS
This is insurance in the event of a tie (these two tied at Lambeau Field in 2018). The Vikings have played more 1-score games since the start of 2022 (18) than any team in the league.
1.5 points isn’t a lot to give away, and it’s cheaper to take the spread.
Against the spread
TAKE VIKINGS -1.5 (-110)
The Vikings are 3-3-1 against the spread and the Packers are 3-3 ATS, so there isn’t a clear indicator here.
When this line opened Monday, the Packers were favored despite losing to the struggling Broncos. That changed after the Vikings beat the 49ers and vaulted themselves back into playoff contention.
The Vikings have played their best defensively when facing young quarterbacks and defensive coordinator Brian Flores unleashing blitz pressure. Their 3 wins have all come against young QBs (Bryce Young, Justin Fields and Brock Purdy). Jordan Love will have to play extremely well not to be the next victim.
Over/Under
TAKE UNDER 42 (-110)
The Vikings haven’t scored more than 22 points in their last 4 games, which includes all 3 of their wins this season. The Packers have just 68 points in their last 4 games with weekly totals of 18, 20, 13 and 17.
Hitting Over 42 points is going to require both teams to approach or surpass 20 points. Given the status of both of these offenses, for this game not to stay Under will likely require at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown.
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