Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (59-46) and Minnesota Twins (55-50) will play Game 2 of their 4-game series on Friday night. First pitch from Target Field will be at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Blue Jays stayed hot on Thursday night by beating the Twins 9-3 and have now won 8 of their last 11 games.

After losing the opener to Toronto, the Twins have now alternated wins and losses in their last 6 games, going 3-3.

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Blue Jays at Twins projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Tyler Mahle

Berrios (8-4, 4.96 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 114 1/3 IP.

  • He’s 3-0 in his last 6 starts, posting a fine 3.00 ERA in July
  • Toronto has won his last 6 starts and are 9-2 in his last 11 outings

Mahle (5-7, 4.40 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 104 1/3 IP.

  • Making his Twins debut after being acquired from the Reds.
  • Was sharp in his final 2 starts with Cincinnati, going 2-0 with only 5 ER allowed in 12 IP with 12 K.

Blue Jays at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:42 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Twins +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+125) | Twins +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Blue Jays at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Blue Jays 4

Money line

The Blue Jays are going from their ace in SP Alek Manoah to a struggling starter in Berrios tonight, which doesn’t bode well for their chances against the Twins. Berrios lowered his ERA from 5.86 to 4.96 thanks to a strong month of July, but he’s had a rough season.

Mahle should perform well in his debut at Target Field, and at plus money, I like the TWINS (+102) to win outright.

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Run line/Against the spread

You could play it safer by betting on the Twins +1.5 at -155, but that line is juiced a bit and doesn’t offer nearly the reward that taking Minnesota outright does. The Twins haven’t been great against the spread this season, just 47-58, so I’d rather just bet on them to win outright instead of playing it safe with the spread.

PASS.

Over/Under

Even though these teams hadn’t been scoring many runs lately, each of their 4 meetings this season has been high-scoring – at least 12 runs in each – and each has gone Over. With Berrios on the mound and Mahle not being a shutdown ace, I like the OVER 8.5 (-115) Friday.

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (40-50) and Minnesota Twins (38-50) finish a four-game series Sunday with a 2:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Target Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Wily Peralta is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 through 21 IP over four starts and one relief outing.

Peralta is coming off 7 scoreless frames against the Texas Rangers Monday. For the season, he has yielded 5 ER through 21 IP and all 5 runs came in one game against the Los Angeles Angels.

RHP Jose Berrios is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 7-3 with a 3.36 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 through 101 2/3 IP across 17 starts.

Berrios is coming off 7 innings of 1-run ball against the Chicago White Sox Tuesday. He has logged a 2.96 ERA over his last four starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Tigers at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Twins -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-110) | Twins -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Twins 6, Tigers 4

Money line (ML)

Minnesota is up 3-0 in this series and has taken six of eight meetings from Detroit this season.

The Tigers are just 7-22 in their last 29 games at Target Field. The Detroit offense is likely overvalued after notching a .763 OPS over the two weeks leading up to this series, which was inflated by a .338 batting average on balls in play.

Both starters have been helped along by generous BABIPs, Peralta with the small sample of starts more so. The 32-year-old right-hander has benefited from a .183 BABIP and an 80.2% left-on-base figure.

PASS. The Twins are getting pick ’em odds on the run line. We’ll find more leverage there.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Saturday was a bullpen day for the Tigers. The Minnesota relief corps is in much better shape for Sunday, especially at the back end.

Each of the Twins’ last 6 wins was by a multi-run margin. Look for that trend to continue Sunday.

BACK MINNESOTA -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-105) gets a small lean, with pitcher fade analysis winning out over a weather report that figures to hinder offense (low humidity, wind in).

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (40-48) and Minnesota Twins (36-50) continue a four-game series Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Matt Manning is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. In 4 starts, Manning is 1-2 with a 7.94 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, 3.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 17 IP over 4 starts.

The Tiger rookie has been ripped for 16 hits over his last 6 1/3 IP.

RHP Kenta Maeda is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 4-3 with a 5.03 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 62 2/3 IP over 13 starts.

Maeda has a .330 batting average on balls in play, 68.7% left-on-base rate and 17.5% rate of fly balls registering as home runs. Expected-ERA measures peg the veteran right-hander closer to the 4.10-4.15 range.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Tigers at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (+100) | Twins -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Twins 5, Tigers 3

Money line (ML)

Minnesota took Thursday’s series opener, and the Twins are the clear favorite  Friday. They just aren’t a value as a betting choice at the price. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The best side for this contest is the MINNESOTA -1.5 (-120) play. Peg the Twins as the slightly better (and much better rested) bullpen.

Over/Under (O/U)

Maeda’s confidence and a pitcher’s breeze make for a lean on the UNDER 9 (+100).

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (40-47) and Minnesota Twins (35-50) open a four-game series Thursday at 8:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Tarik Skubal is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. In 17 games (15 starts), Skubal is 5-7 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 10.9 K/9, and 4.0 BB/9 in 82 2/3 IP.

Skubal is a fly-ball pitcher who has been hurt by the home run, but he owns a skill set built for striking out batters, even on pitches in the zone. He is, however, coming off a shaky outing — 5 ER allowed on 8 hits in 5 IP vs. the Chicago White Sox July 3.

LHP J.A. Happ is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 4-4 with a 6.09 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 7.0 K/9, and 2.9 BB/9 in 75 1/3 IP over 15 starts.

Happ has allowed 3-or-more earned runs in 5-of-his-last-6 starts. He owns a Boeing ERA (7.45) over that stretch. Current Tigers bats own a .759 OPS against him.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Tigers at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-165) | Twins -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Twins 5, Tigers 4

Money line (ML)

Detroit is 4-0-1 over its last five series. Over that span, the Tigers are 4-2 away from home; they are 8-5 on the road since June 14.

Minnesota is coming off a series loss to the White Sox, and the Twins are just 2-7 over their last nine games.

Prior to its 2-7 stretch, Minnesota had gone 7-2 from June 16-27, and the Twins do have the offense (and its especially tough on left-handers) to make for some value in a game like this.

Happ adds uncertainty, but he can’t get banged around with these marginal rates (last six starts: .368 batting average on balls in play, 22.4% fly balls as home runs) forever.

BACK THE TWINS (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run-line proposition. The bullpens on both sides make for a toxic mix of uncertainty.

Over/Under (O/U)

The starters being more ERA-dinged than what’s deserved and slight defensive edge in the weather forecast make for a sliver of value with the UNDER 9.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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