Summer League: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Rockets battle the Minnesota Timberwolves Thursday at the 2024 NBA Las Vegas Summer League. Tip from Thomas & Mack Center is set for 11 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Rockets, despite having high picks in the last few drafts, haven’t turned that into on-court success and struggled last season. With the 3rd overall pick, they drafted Kentucky standout G Reed Sheppard. The 1st collegiate player taken in the draft has dazzled so far in his 3 games, shooting 49% from the field and averaging 20 points per game.

As one of the best teams in the Western Conference the Timberwolves didn’t have a high draft pick, but are in the spotlight here as they traded for the No. 8 overall pick, G Rob Dillingham, who is also from Kentucky. Dillingham is averaging 28.8 minutes per game, but is shooting just 27.8% from the field, so he hasn’t quite found his groove. Minnesota also has former Illinois G Terrence Shannon Jr., who was among the top college scorers last season.

Timberwolves at Rockets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -128 (bet $128 to win $100) | Rockets +104 (bet $100 to win $104)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -1.5 (-110) | Rockets +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 179.5 (O: -113 | U: -113)

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Timberwolves at Rockets picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 91, Rockets 90

Moneyline

PASS.

A bettor might think that the moneyline value is better here, but in the last day, 2 summer league games have ended within 1 point. There have been 3 games within 1 point in the event and several within 2 points.

Play the spread instead.

Against the spread

BET ROCKETS +1.5 (-110).

The Rockets have a solid team that has 2 double-digit wins. They are coming off a loss to Detroit in which 2 Pistons combined to shoot 10-of-19 from deep with Rockets F Cam Whitmore shooting 1-of-15. That combination is unlikely to be repeated.

Minnesota had a 7-point and 11-point victory and then a 2-point loss, which was its last game. It shot just 19.2% from deep and has struggled beyond the 3-point line all tournament, shooting the second-worst from deep at just 23%.

Expect Houston to keep this close as it is averaging 93.7 points per game. Back ROCKETS +1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 179.5 (-113).

Both teams have flat-out scorers. From Whitmore and Sheppard to Dillingham and Shannon Jr., the weapons are there for each side to get to the bucket.

The Timberwolves are averaging 92 PPG. Both squads sit among the top half of teams in points per game despite both shooting sub-45 % from deep.

That means they push the pace, and when the shots fall, the scoring should be amplified. Considering that style of play, back points here and take OVER 179.5 (-113).

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (24-24) take on the Houston Rockets (10-36) Monday at Toyota Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Rockets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Timberwolves defeated the Rockets 113-104 on Saturday to cover as 8-point favorites at home. Minnesota has won 7 of its last 10 games, including twice against Houston.

Houston is currently on a dismal 13-game losing streak after the Saturday loss and has dropped 9 straight against the spread.

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Timberwolves at Rockets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Rockets +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -5.5 (-108) | Rockets +5.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Timberwolves at Rockets key injuries

Timberwolves

  • C Rudy Gobert (groin) questionable
  • F Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) out

Rockets

  • G Kevin Porter Jr. (foot) out
  • F Jabari Smith Jr. (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Timberwolves at Rockets picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 117, Rockets 108

Moneyline

AVOID.

Wagering on the Timberwolves (-210) to win on the road isn’t advised at the current odds due to the minimal return you’ll receive if they secure the victory.

Against the spread

TIMBERWOLVES -5.5 (-108) is the lean. The Rockets have lost by 8 or more points in 12 of their last 13 losses and each of their 3 meetings with the Timberwolves this season.

Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall and 6-1 ATS in its last 7 meetings against Houston. The Rockets are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss and 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight-up loss.

Over/Under

UNDER 234.5 (-115) is an enticing bet despite that these teams are both top 17 in pace, The Timberwolves and the Rockets have failed to go Over this total in 2 of the 3 meetings this season.

The Timberwolves are 4-1 to the Under in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (44-34) visit the Toyota Center Sunday to take on the Houston Rockets (20-58). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Rockets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Timberwolves have 4 games left to avoid the play-in tournament, played by the 7-10 seeds in each conference. They are 2 games below the Nikola Jokic-led Denver Nuggets.

Minnesota is coming off a 6-point victory over the Nuggets as 3-point road underdogs. It is 12-5 against the spread (ATS) over the past several weeks and 42-34-2 ATS on the season.

As for the Rockets, they’ll be without top-scorer C Christian Wood (hamstring). They have failed to cover 2 straight games and are 5-7 ATS over their last 12. Houston is just 32-45-1 ATS on the season.

The Rockets have lost 3 straight games and are the bottom-ranked team in the Western Conference. They’re coming off 5-point and 3-point home losses to the Kings.

Timberwolves at Rockets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Timberwolves -1200 (bet $1200 to win $100) | Rockets +700 (bet $100 to win $700)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -13.5 (-110) | Rockets +13.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 242.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Timberwolves at Rockets key injuries

Timberwolves

  • G Malik Beasley (ankle) questionable
  • F Jaden McDaniels (ankle) out

Rockets

  • G Eric Gordon (hamstring) out
  • C Christian Wood (hamstring) out
  • G Dennis Schroder (shoulder) out

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Timberwolves at Rockets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 125, Rockets 110

Money line

PASS.

Neither money line option makes much sense here, especially considering the talent not taking the court for the Rockets.

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Against the spread

LEAN to the TIMBERWOLVES -13.5 (-110).

It’s difficult to get behind a 13.5-point spread, but it’s the better angle to play here.

The Wolves are the 9th-best team in the NBA at covering as a road underdog, a 9-6 ATS in that situation. They cover that spread by an average of 2.6 points as well.

Houston, on the other hand, is among the worst covering teams as a home underdog at 13-21-1 ATS. The Rockets also have the second-worst defensive rating while the Wolves rank 7th in offensive rating.

Given the Rockets will also be without their top scorer and two key veteran guards, I’d prefer to side with the Wolves by 13 or more.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 242.5 (-108).

The Rockets may be 42-35-1 O/U this season, but that energy hasn’t been the same as of late as they’re just 3-6 O/U in their last 9.

They’re down 3 of their top 5 scorers, and the 2 that are set to be active both shoot under 42% from the field. That’s going to be something even playing at an ultra-high pace won’t help with.

As for the Wolves, they are 5-5 O/U over their last 10 and have traded off hitting and missing the projected total in each, most recently coming off a 136-130 win over the Nuggets.

The pace should be high, but the Rockets’ efficiency won’t be able to keep up with the Wolves in this one.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (18-44) are on the road Tuesday night to take on the Houston Rockets (15-46), the only team in the NBA with a worse record than their own. Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET in the Toyota Center. Below, we analyze the Timberwolves-Rockets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Timberwolves are coming off two straight wins in a home-and-home against the first-place Utah Jazz.

They beat them Saturday in Utah 101-96 and followed that up with a 105-104 win in Minnesota last night. It was the first time since the first two games of the season in December the Timberwolves won two consecutive games.

The Rockets have lost four straight games and nine of their last 10. They only have five wins since February 1. With seven wins, they have the fewest home victories in the NBA this season.

Timberwolves at Rockets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Timberwolves -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Rockets +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Timberwolves -1.5 (-110) | Rockets +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Timberwolves at Rockets: Key injuries

Timberwolves

  • SG Malik Beasley (hamstring) out

Rockets

  • PG D.J. Augustin (ankle) out
  • SG Sterling Brown (knee) out
  • SG Eric Gordon (groin) out
  • SF David Nwaba (wrist) out
  • PG John Wall (hamstring) out

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Timberwolves at Rockets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Rockets 112, Timberwolves 109

Money line (ML)

The Timberwolves are playing surprisingly well right now. They have won two straight over the team with the best record in the league and are 4-2 in their last six games.

They still have the league’s fewest road wins with seven, but Houston’s seven wins at home are also the fewest in the league.

Minnesota has not won three games in a row all year. While they are playing better, when you have two teams as bad as both these two teams have been, you can’t count on consistency.

After two big wins, they are bound for a letdown. Take the ROCKETS (+105).

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Against the spread (ATS)

Houston’s 21-40 ATS record is the worst in the league. Minnesota is 28-31-3 ATS.

The Timberwolves have covered the spread in three of the past four games. and pushed on the other. The Rockets are 3-2 ATS in their last five games and covered the spread in their last two games.

Minnesota is a league-worst 4-11-2 ATS after a victory, so take the ROCKETS +1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Houston has the fourth-lowest Over percentage in the league at 43.3% and has averaged only 102.2 points per game in the last six contests. Three of the last four games have gone Under.

Three of the last five games for the Timberwolves have gone Under the total. They have been hot and cold with their offense, scoring 119 or more three times in their last eight games and then 105 or fewer in the other five.

Take UNDER 229.5 (-110). 

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