Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets odds predictions pick betting line spread

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 7 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets meet Sunday for Game 7 of their best-of-7 Western Conference, 2nd-round series. The series is tied 3-3. Tip-off from Ball Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Timberwolves won the first 2 games in Denver, putting the Nuggets into an 0-2 series hole. Things looked bleak for the defending champs, but they won both Games 3 and 4 in the Twin Cities, before posting a 112-97 win in Game 5 in Denver, pushing the Timberwolves to the brink of elimination.

In Game 6, it was all Minnesota, as the Timberwolves clobbered the Nuggets 115-70 in an elimination game, setting up the decisive Game 7 in the Mile High City. The win snapped a 3-game loss and non-cover streak for Minnesota, and it ended a 3-0 run to the Over, too. The 45-point loss was the worst in franchise history for Denver, and it came at an inopportune time.

Denver was held to just 30.2% (26 of 86) from the field, and just 19% (7 of 36) from behind the 3-point line, while Minnesota also had a dominant 62-to-43 advantage in rebounding.

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Nuggets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread: Timberwolves +4.5 (-105) | Nuggets -4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 198.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves

G Mike Conley (Achilles) questionable

Nuggets

G Jamal Murray (elbow) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 107, Timberwolves 101

Moneyline

The Nuggets (-200) are just a little too expensive on the moneyline, costing you 2 times your potential return.

This has been a topsy-turvy series, with the home team just 2-4 straight up and ATS in the first 6 games.

PASS.

Against the spread

The NUGGETS -4.5 (-115) are worth playing lightly in this decisive Game 7.

While Denver lost the first 2 games at home, it got the job done by 15 points on its home floor in Game 5, cashing a similar 4.5-point number as the favorite.

Look for the Nuggets to dig deep after the embarrassment of a franchise-record loss in Game 6, tapping into that championship experience of last season to scrape by a tough Timberwolves team.

Over/Under

OVER 198.5 (-105) is the best play on the board for this Game 7.

Yes, there will be some nerves, and we should see some decent defense at times. However, the Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games in this series, including Game 5 in Denver.

The winner of the past 4 games has scored at least 112 points, although the loser of the first 6 games has managed 99 or fewer points in 5 of the outings. Still, we should get at least 200 points in this Game 7.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves meet the Denver Nuggets Tuesday in Game 5 of the best-of-7 Western Conference 2nd-round series. The series is tied 2-2. Tip-off from Ball Arena is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

After dropping the 1st 2 games at home, Denver evened the series on the road with 2 wins, the last a 115-107 Game 4 victory in Minnesota on Sunday. League MVP C Nikola Jokic led the way with his playoff-high 35 points, 7 assists, 7 rebounds and 3 steals. They also got a 27 points, 7 rebounds, 6 assists and 2 blocks from F Aaron Gordon. The Nuggets shot 57% (45-for-79) as a team, including knocking down 13 treys.

G Anthony Edwards put on one heck of a show in a losing effort Sunday, finishing with 44 points on 16-for-25 (64%) shooting, adding 5 rebounds, 5 assists and 2 steals. No one else on the Timberwolves had more than 15 points. Minnesota could not stop the Nuggets inside, allowing 52 points in the paint. After a commanding 2-0 series lead, they head back to Denver tied with a lot of work to do.

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:27 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +4.5 (-110) | Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 205.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Nuggets

None

Timberwolves

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 105, Timberwolves 99

Moneyline

PASS.

This series is over in my mind because Minnesota losing both of those home games after being up 2-0 has to be completely mentally demoralizing. The Nuggets will step on their throats Tuesday night. but I’ll save my wager for the spread.

Against the spread

I don’t know how the Timberwolves mentally recover after blowing the series lead. The Nuggets won and covered in both of the games in Minnesota. You know what you are going to get from Jokic, but Gordon has been a man possessed on both ends of the court.

Edwards has been fantastic in this series but he cannot carry this team singlehandedly which was proven on Sunday night. He needs someone else to step up on the offensive end of the court.

BET NUGGETS -4.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Both games at Ball Arena went Under and both games at Target Center went Over the total. If I had a lean, it’d be the Under but neither team really excels at going Over the total. Minnesota was basically .500 for the season while the Nuggets were Under 16 more times than Over.

PASS.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves face off against the Denver Nuggets on Monday in Game 2 of their best-of-7 Western Conference 2nd-round series with tip-off from Ball Arena set for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Minnesota leads the series 1-0. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Minnesota won the series opener 106-99 Saturday as a 4.5-point road underdog. The Wolves shot 52.4% from the field as G Anthony Edwards dropped 43 points on 17-of-29 shooting and added 7 rebounds.

C Nikola Jokic was dominant despite the loss, scoring 32 points with 8 rebounds and 9 assists. The Nuggets were outrebounded 42-34 in their 1st home loss in this year’s playoffs.

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:47 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Nuggets -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +5.5 (-110) | Nuggets -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 205.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves

None

Nuggets

G Jamal Murray (calf) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 105, Timberwolves 101

Moneyline

PASS.

I expect the Nuggets to win here and not be swept at home, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as -225 favorites. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET TIMBERWOLVES +5.5 (-110).

Minnesota has covered the spread in all 5 playoff games thus far, including covering as an underdog in each of its last 3 games. The Timberwolves are also 6-4 ATS in their last 10 matchups vs. Denver overall, being 4-1 ATS in the 5 matchups this season.

Over/Under

Updated at 2:50 a.m. ET.

Originally, I wrote this as “LEAN Under 206.5 (-115),” but BetMGM Sportsbook’s O/U line has dropped a full point to 205.5 (-110), so now it’s a PASS.

The Under has hit in back-to-back games for Denver and is 5-1 for the Nuggets in these playoffs. The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Minnesota-Denver matchups, being 3-2 in the last 5 meetings.

Plus, the Over is 4-2 in Minnesota’s last 6 games.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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C Nikola Jokic was dominant despite the loss, scoring 32 points with 8 rebounds and 9 assists. The Nuggets were outrebounded 42-34 in their 1st home loss in this year’s playoffs.

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 8:26 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Nuggets -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +5.5 (-110) | Nuggets -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 206.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves (not yet submitted)

None in Game 1

Nuggets (not yet submitted)

G Jamal Murray (calf) played in Game 1

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 105, Timberwolves 101

Moneyline

PASS.

I expect the Nuggets to win here and not be swept at home, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as -225 favorites. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET TIMBERWOLVES +5.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 206.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in back-to-back games for Denver and is 5-1 for the Nuggets in these playoffs. The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Minnesota-Denver matchups, being 3-2 in the last 5 meetings.

This is only a lean because the Over is 4-2 in Minnesota’s last 6 games.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets play Game 1 of a best-of-7 series in the Western Conference semifinals at Ball Arena Saturday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Minnesota breezed through the 1st round with a 4-0 sweep of the Phoenix Suns after beating them 122-116 Sunday to cover as a 1-point road underdog. G Anthony Edwards scored a team-high 40 points, while C Karl-Anthony Towns (28 points and 10 rebounds) added a double-double. The Timberwolves shot 46.1% from the field in the win.

Denver also cruised through the 1st round with a 4-1 series win over the Los Angeles Lakers after a 108-106 victory Monday while failing to cover as a 6.5-point home favorite. G Jamal Murray scored a game-high 32 points, while C Nikola Jokic (25 points and 20 rebounds) added a double-double. The Nuggets shot 47.2% from the field in the win.

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +4.5 (-110) | Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves

None

Nuggets

G Jamal Murray (calf) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 112, Timberwolves 104

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on Denver (-190) to win at home.

Against the spread

BET DENVER -4.5 (-110).

The Nuggets hold the advantage over the Timberwolves with Murray and Jokic, even with Murray listed as questionable for Saturday’s game. Denver has covered in 6 of its last 10 games, including 3 of its last 5 at home.

Minnesota faces a difficult challenge on the road after dealing with a disheveled Suns team in the 1st round.

Over/Under

BET OVER 208.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves have hit the Over in 7 of their last 10 games and scored 120 or more in 3 or their last 4. They have scored 105 or more points in 9 straight games.

Denver has scored 108 or more points in each of its last 3 games and in 9 of its last 10 overall.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (55-24) battle the Denver Nuggets (55-24) Wednesday with 1st place in the Western Conference on the line. Tip-off at Ball Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Timberwolves lead 2-1; Road team won each of the past 2 meetings, both in March, while Minnesota has covered all 3 meetings

The Timberwolves roughed up the Washington Wizards 130-121 in the Twin Cities on Tuesday night, but they didn’t come close to covering as an 18-point favorite as the Over (224) cashed. The T-wolves have won 4 of the past 5 games, and 8 of the past 10 contests outright, but they’re just 3-5 against the spread (ATS) in the past 8 games. The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 contests.

The defending World Champs are looking to hang onto the top overall seed in the Western Conference, entering this game tied for the top spot in the conference with the Timberwolves. Denver has won 4 of its past 5 games, while covering the last 2. The Nuggets haven’t covered in 3 in a row since a 4-0 ATS run from Feb. 22-28. Denver has cashed the Under in 5 of the past 7 games.

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:06 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Nuggets -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread: Timberwolves +5.5 (-105) | Nuggets -5.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves

C Karl-Anthony Towns (knee) out

Nuggets

F Aaron Gordon (foot) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 115, Timberwolves 107

Moneyline

The Nuggets (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s just a little risky for such a huge clash.

The Timberwolves (+180) have the unfortunate situation of playing at home, then flying from the Twin Cities to the Mile High City, working on no rest.

PASS.

Against the spread

The NUGGETS -5.5 (-115) are also playing on no rest, but they won 111-95 in Utah, and stayed on Mountain Time with a quick jump from Salt Lake City back to Denver, while sleeping in their own beds on Tuesday night.

The Timberwolves +1.5 (-105) are just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games when working on no rest, including the most recent meeting at home against the Nuggets, falling 115-112 on March 19 as a 7.5-point favorite.

Over/Under

OVER 212.5 (-115) is the play, and it’s the Timberwolves driving that wager.

The total has gone high in 5 straight games when Minnesota is playing on no rest, and the Over is 10-2 in the second end of a back-to-back set this season.

For the Nuggets, the Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games when playing on no rest.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Denver Nuggets (51-22) welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves (50-22) to Ball Arena Friday. Tip is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Nuggets are 1-1 straight up but 0-2 against the spread (ATS) vs. Minnesota this season. Most recently, they beat the Wolves on the road 115-112 March 19, failing to cover as 7.5-point favorites.

Denver lost to the Phoenix Suns 104-97 in its last game Wednesday, failing to cover as a 5.5-point home favorite. That snapped a 4-game win streak for the Nuggets. They have won 9 of their last 11 yet are just 6-5 ATS in that span. Denver is 33-39-1 ATS on the season.

The Timberwolves beat the Detroit Pistons 106-91 Wednesday, failing to cover as 16.5-point favorites. They have won 3 in a row after losing to Denver. Minnesota is 38-34 ATS on the season and 6-1 ATS over its last 7 games. It is led by G Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 26.2 points per game.

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Nuggets -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +6.5 (-108) | Nuggets -6.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 212 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves

G Anthony Edwards (back) questionable
C Rudy Gobert (rib) questionable
F Karl-Anthony Towns (meniscus) out

Nuggets

C Nikola Jokic (back) probable
G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable
C Zeke Nnaji (adductor) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 115, Timberwolves 107

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nuggets (-280) have won 9 of their last 11. While Minnesota is also among the best teams in the West, it is more injured and could be missing several key pieces.

However, Denver at -280 is still too expensive to play outright.

Against the spread

LEAN NUGGETS -6.5 (-112).

Denver has covered in 4 of its last 6 home games. The Nuggets sit 7th in offensive efficiency and have proven they can score on Minnesota, notching 115 against the Wolves on the road March 19.

The Wolves have lost 2 of their last 3 road games against playoff-contending opponents by at least 10 points. They are 7-8 ATS since Feb. 27, so while they have picked it up as of late, they haven’t consistently covered over the last month.

Considering those trends, back NUGGETS -6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 212 (-110).

If there’s 1 thing both teams have done consistently as of late, it is hit the Over. The Wolves have gone Over in 5 of their last 9 games and 8 of their last 14. The Nuggets have gone Over in 4 of their last 5, scoring at least 113 in 4 of those games.

Denver has allowed at least 106 points in 4 of its last 7, so Minnesota should be able to chip in to help the total here as well.

That said, take OVER 212 (-110).

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 5 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves take on the Denver Nuggets Tuesday at Ball Arena for Game 5 of their 1st-round playoff matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Minnesota avoided the sweep, no thanks to how they played in the 4th quarter. Denver leads the playoff series 3-1 and will look to finish them off at home.

Minnesota G Anthony Edwards went 12-for-27, scoring 34 points, to will his team to victory 114-108 on Sunday. But it was reigning MVP C Nikola Jokic and his 43 points who brought the Nuggets back from the dead after trailing by 12 with 2:52 left in the game.

Minnesota may be happy they will live another day, but now they travel to Denver with their near collapse still fresh.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:09 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): T-wolves +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Nuggets -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): T-wolves +9.5 (-110) | Nuggets -9.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves

F Kyle Anderson (eye) out
F Jaden McDaniels (hand) out
G Jaylen Nowell (knee) questionable

Nuggets

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 116, Timberwolves 103

Moneyline

This game is one of the more lopsided lines in the NBA playoffs. The books think the Nuggets will win and so do I. Certainly if you are looking for value you can take the Timberwolves, but I will PASS.

Against the spread

A double-digit victory is a big ask in the playoffs but I want to start by saying that home favorites are 14-5 ATS. And, more surprising, the winning team has covered in 28 of 30 games.

BET NUGGETS -9.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Trends indicate this will be a low-scoring game. In the Nuggets last 7 home games the Under has hit in 6 of them. On top of that after a ATS loss Denver went Under in 5 of their last 6 games.

LEAN UNDER 221.5 (-110).

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 2 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will face the Denver Nuggets in Game 2 of their 1st-round playoff series on Wednesday. Tip-off from Ball Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Timberwolves were blown out 109-80 by the Nuggets in Game 1 on Sunday as they failed to cover as 8-point underdogs. Minnesota has lost its last 2 meetings against Denver by a combined 63 points.

The Nuggets cruised to a 29-point win despite C Nikola Jokic fouling out in 28 minutes of action. G Jamal Murray led the way with 24 points, 8 rebounds, and 8 assists in Game 1.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:52 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Nuggets -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +8.5 (-110) | Nuggets -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves

C Rudy Gobert (back) questionable
F Jaden McDaniels (hand) out
G Jaylen Nowell (knee) questionable
C Naz Reid (wrist) out

Nuggets

C Nikola Jokic (wrist) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 118, Timberwolves 108

Moneyline

AVOID.

Unless you believe the Timberwolves will pull off the upset in Game 2, then the moneyline isn’t worth taking in Wednesday’s pivotal showdown.

Against the spread

NUGGETS -8.5 (-110) is the pick in this contest assuming that Jokic is active. Denver looked like the far superior team in Game 1 and I expect the Nuggets to cruise to a 2-0 lead in this series.

Over/Under

OVER 222.5 (-115) is the choice with it tough to expect the Timberwolves to score only 80 points again in Game 2. Both of these teams are top 8 in true-shooting percentage and the Nuggets are 5th in offensive rating.

The Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings and the Over is also 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Denver.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 1 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 8th-seeded Minnesota Timberwolves take on the top-seeded Denver Nuggets Sunday in Game 1 of the Western Conference quarterfinals. Tip from Ball Arena is set for 10:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The T-wolves survived the play-in tournament with a 120-95 beating of the Oklahoma City Thunder Friday as 6-point favorites. Minnesota fell 108-102 in overtime at the Lakers in the 1st game of the tournament as an 8.5-point underdog Tuesday. The Wolves have the longest odds to come out of the West at +6600

Despite being the top seed, Denver is 2nd to Phoenix (+180) in odds to come out of the West at +350. They were 2nd only to Memphis in home record at 34-7 on the season. This really shouldn’t be a series as Denver is -500 to win it outright.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:49 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Nuggets -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +8.5 (-115) | Nuggets -8.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves

C Rudy Gobert (back) questionable
F Jaden McDaniels (hand) out
G Jaylen Nowell (knee) questionable

Nuggets

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 120, Timberwolves 102

Moneyline

The teams split 4 games with each team defending its home floor this season. The Wolves (+260) will have to be marksmen to make this a series. Minnesota was middle of the pack with 36.6% from 3-point range. Gobert playing hurt underneath will cause problems, too.

Denver’s price of -350 isn’t worth the risk, however. PASS.

The series spread looks pretty cozy at DENVER -1.5 GAMES (-175) though.

Against the spread

Three of the 4 games between the teams were decided by 10 points or more. The Wolves are in over their heads. I’ll SPRINKLE NUGGETS -8.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The total is really the only dangerous scenario. The Over went 2-1-1 in the 4 head-to-head games this season. Both of Minnesota’s play-in games went Under. The Nuggets only hit 2 Overs in their last 10.

This number is attainable, but I think poor Minnesota shooting will cash the UNDER 224.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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