Minnesota Timberwolves at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Boston Celtics odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (8-7) travel to take on the Boston Celtics (13-3) Sunday. Tip-off from TD Garden is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Timberwolves vs. Celtics odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split last season 1-1

Minnesota was handed a 110-105 loss by the Toronto Raptors Friday while failing to cover as a 7-point road favorite. Chemistry issues seemed to come up in the loss to Toronto after F Julius Randle failed to pass to C Rudy Gobert, who had a mismatch in the post, leading to an offensive 3-second violation and an argument amongst the Timberwolves. Minnesota has lost 3 of its last 5.

Boston beat the Washington Wizards 108-96 Friday while failing to cover as a 15.5-point road favorite. F Jaylen Brown put up 31 points to help the Celtics overcome a terrible shooting performance (23.9% from deep). The Celtics have won 4 straight.

Timberwolves at Celtics odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 11:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Celtics -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +8.5 (-115) | Celtics -8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Timberwolves at Celtics key injuries

Timberwolves

  • Mike Conley (toe) out

Celtics

  • Al Horford (illness) questionable
  • Kristaps Porzingis (foot) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 117, Timberwolves 107

Moneyline

PASS.

The Celtics will pick up the win here as -350 favorites given how Minnesota has underperformed this year and seemingly has chemistry issues. However, such heavy favorites are never worth the risk of betting on, so pass here, and bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

LEAN CELTICS -8.5 (-105).

The Celtics are the much better team and have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings in Boston. The Timberwolves have not yet figured out their identity, and they seem to be having a lot of problems still, so look for their disfunction to lead to a big Celtics win.

This is a lean because Boston has not been phenomenal ATS this season and Timberwolves G Anthony Edwards loves to put on a show in a big-time matchup, so his play alone could keep this game close.

Over/Under

BET OVER 222.5 (-105).

The Over has hit in 4 of Boston’s last 5 overall and in Boston’s last game against a Western Conference opponent. For Minnesota, the Over is 2-1 in its last 3 games. The Over has also hit in each of the last 2 meetings between these squads and is 3-1 in the last 4 matchups in Boston.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Boston Celtics odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (16-16) battle the Boston Celtics (22-10) at TD Garden Friday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Celtics odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Celtics lost 117-112 to the Indiana Pacers Wednesday, failing to cover as 9.5-point home favorites. Boston managed to make it a game despite entering the half down 28. The Celtics are 11-5 straight up at home. They are 17-14-1 against the spread (ATS) this season but are 0-5-1 ATS over their last 6 games. Boston sits 2nd in the NBA with 118.0 points per game.

The Timberwolves are just 13-19 ATS this season. Compared to 9-8 straight up at home, their 7-8 road record is better than expected. Minnesota lost 104-99 to the Dallas Mavericks at home Wednesday, failing to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The Wolves are 3-1 ATS over their last 4 games.

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Timberwolves at Celtics odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +325 (bet $100 to win $325) | Celtics -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +9.5 (-115) | Celtics -9.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Celtics key injuries

Timberwolves

  • Kyle Anderson (back) questionable
  • C Rudy Gobert (ankle) questionable
  • F Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) out

Celtics

  • G Marcus Smart (non-Covid illness) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Timberwolves at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 121, Timberwolves 108

Moneyline

PASS.

The Celtics have been struggling lately, losing 3 straight.

However, they still have one of the best duos in the league and are a solid 11-5 straight up at home. Both lines are justified here, but without KAT, I wouldn’t play the Timberwolves to win even with their boosted odds.

Against the spread

BET CELTICS -9.5 (-105).

This seems like a good buy-low spot for Boston. Season-long trends still point to it being the better play.

Minnesota is 6-9 ATS as the road side while Boston is 9-7 ATS at home. The Celtics have also been working C Robert Williams back into the lineup after he missed the first several months of the season.

The Wolves rank 21st in offensive rebounding rate and 25th in turnover rate. The Celtics rank 10th in fast break points. Those turnovers for Minnesota should allow for transition opportunities for Boston.

Considering the trends and the weaknesses in the Wolves’ offense, back the CELTICS -9.5 (-105).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 228.5 (-110).

The Wolves have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games. Minnesota has scored fewer than 100 points in 2 of its last 5 games as well — the absence of Towns has been clear.

The return of Williams for the Celtics — one of the best defensive big men in the NBA — has helped the Under become the sharp side. Boston has gone Under in 6 of its last 8 games.

The recent trends point to the UNDER 228.5 (-110) being the better play and I would back it for a partial unit.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Boston Celtics and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (43-32) stop by TD Garden Sunday to play the Boston Celtics (46-28) at 6 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Celtics odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Minnesota is 4-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks with the latest game being a 116-95 beatdown of the Dallas Mavericks Friday as a 4.5-point home favorite.

Boston is on a five-game win streak (4-1 ATS), which includes a sweep of its four-game Western Conference road swing and a 125-97 whooping of the Utah Jazz at home Wednesday.

The T-Wolves snapped a nine-game losing skid to the Celtics Dec. 27 with a 108-103 win in Minnesota as 5-point home underdogs. Boston is 8-1-1 ATS versus the T-Wolves over their last 10 meetings.

Timberwolves at Celtics odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Timberwolves +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Celtics -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Timberwolves +6.5 (-120) | Celtics -6.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Timberwolves at Celtics key injuries

Timberwolves

  • SG Malik Beasley (ankle) out
  • PF Jaden McDaniels (ankle) out

Celtics

  • SG Jaylen Brown (knee) probable
  • Al Horford (personal) out
  • SF Jayson Tatum (knee) probable

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Timberwolves at Celtics odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 119, Timberwolves 111

Money line

PASS.

Boston should cruise past Minnesota but the Celtics (-250) are out of my price range for an NBA regular-season ML favorite. According to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), Boston has the league’s best adjusted net rating versus teams with a top-10 net efficiency (plus-6.4).

However, I’d rather bet Boston’s spread than lay it with the money line.

PASS.

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Against the spread

BET the CELTICS -6.5 (-105) because they have the best ATS margin versus top-10 teams (plus-7.2), per CTG. Boston is 22-12-1 ATS versus teams with a winning record and 11-6 ATS as 5-to-7-point favorites.

On the other hand, Minnesota is 5-12-1 ATS on the road versus winning teams, 1-6 ATS in its last seven games as a road underdog and 0-7-1 ATS in its last eight visits to Boston.

The Celtics also have a strength-on-weakness edge over the T-Wolves in manipulating the officials. Boston is eighth in non-garbage time offensive free-throw attempt rate and Minnesota is dead-last in non-garbage time defensive free-throw attempt rate, per CTG.

The CELTICS -6.5 (-105) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the OVER 228.5 (-115) because the oddsmakers are trying to entice bettors into taking a cheaper Under, the assigned officiating crew has a combined 92-72 O/U record and these teams have a combined 47-24 O/U record versus teams with a winning record.

However, this is a sharp total and my prediction aligns pretty closely with the market’s projected score so there isn’t much value for me in this number.

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