Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers Game 6 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers meet in Game 6 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference, 1st-round series Thursday. The Pacers lead the series 3-2. Tip-off from Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Pacers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Bucks covered as 5.5-point underdogs in a 115-92 win over the Pacers in Game 5 Tuesday with the Under (218) cashing in Milwaukee. F Khris Middleton and F Bobby Portis each had 29 points for the Bucks, who avoided elimination despite injuries to F Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) and G Damian Lillard (Achilles).

G Tyrese Haliburton had a team-high 16 points for Indiana, which had its lowest scoring output of the season.

Milwaukee has covered in 3 of 5 the games in this series, and the Over has gone 3-2.

Bucks at Pacers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bucks +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Pacers -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +8.5 (-110) | Pacers -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Bucks at Pacers key injuries

Bucks

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) doubtful
  • Patrick Beverley (oblique) probable
  • Damian Lillard (Achilles) doubtful
  • Khris Middleton (ankle) probable

Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton (back) questionable
  • Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Bucks at Pacers picks and predictions

Prediction

Pacers 120, Bucks 100

Moneyline

The Pacers (-350) are the healthier team and return home after an embarrassing loss. This is a great spot for Indiana, but it’s hard to beat the NBA betting into -350 moneylines.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

While I like the Pacers laying the points, the 1st-half spread is a more pure number. Instead of laying 8.5 full game and potentially getting backdoored in garbage time, let’s lay 4.5 in the 1st half knowing that Indiana will come out fully focused after dropping the ball in Milwaukee.

The Pacers had a chance to eliminate Milwaukee without its 2 star players Tuesday, and instead, they had their worst offensive showing of the season. Indiana’s offense should look much better right out of the gate Thursday, especially in front of its home crowd.

BET PACERS 1ST HALF -4.5 (-115).

Over/Under

While I lean Over, the full-game total is tough because it’s unlikely that Milwaukee will score 105 or more points. However, what we do know is that Indiana’s offense should look much better after its worst scoring output of the season.

While we could play Indiana’s team total full game, the 1st half is safer because we don’t run the risk of starters getting sat in a blowout.

BET PACERS TOTAL POINTS 1ST HALF OVER 57.5 (-110).

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Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers meet in Game 4 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference 1st-round series on Sunday. Tip-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Pacers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Pacers lead 2-1

The Bucks came up just short in Game 3 on Friday, falling 121-118 in overtime, although Milwaukee covered as 6.5-point underdogs as the Over (223) cashed.

Khris Middleton did his best to will his team to a road win in Game 3, scoring 42 points on 16-of-29 shooting, while Damian Lillard managed 28 points. Both players managed 4 triples in the OT loss. Unfortunately for the Bucks, Lillard suffered an Achilles’ injury, and he is doubtful for Game 4.

The Pacers have averaged 123.0 PPG in the past 2 games after opening with a 109-94 loss in Milwaukee in Game 1. Indiana is 1-2 against the spread (ATS) in 3 playoff games, although it holds a 2-1 series edge, which is much more important.

The Over has cashed in each of the past 2 games for Indiana, and the total has ended up going high in 7 of the past 8 games since April 5.

Bucks at Pacers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bucks +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Pacers -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Bucks +9.5 (-110) | Pacers -9.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Bucks at Pacers key injuries

Bucks

  • F Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) out
  • G Damian Lillard (Achilles) doubtful
  • F Chris Livingston (illness) out
  • F Khris Middleton (ankle) probable

Pacers

  • G Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Bucks at Pacers picks and predictions

Prediction

Pacers 119, Bucks 104

Moneyline

The Pacers (-400) will cost you 4 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not very much reward.

While Indiana is catching a break with the Bucks (+310) missing Antetokounmpo and Lillard all but likely to join him, it’s still too much risk.

PASS.

Against the spread

The PACERS -9.5 (-110) are laying a big number, but the home side is worth playing since the 2 biggest stars for the Bucks +9.5 (-110) are expected to sit.

Middleton had a giant Game 3, but even he is a little nicked up with an ankle. Plus, he can’t do it all by himself.

Indiana is ready to push Milwaukee to the brink of elimination in a season Bucks fans will be scratching their heads wondering what could have been.

Over/Under

OVER 216.5 (-115) is a good idea in Game 4.

The Bucks have been missing Antetokounmpo for the entire series, and Lillard will likely be joining him in street clothes Sunday, so it’s hard to envision where Milwaukee is going to get its scoring. However, it’s also hard to figure where it will get its defense.

Indiana has averaged 123.0 PPG in the past 2 games, cashing the Over in each outing. The Pacers have cashed the Over in 4 of the past 6 outings since April 10, all against playoff teams.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers meet in Game 3 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference 1st-round series on Friday. Tip-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Pacers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Bucks have struggled without SF Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf), winning Game 1 109-94 as a 1.5-point underdog as the Under (230) cashed, while the Pacers won 125-108 in Game 2 as a 1-point favorite as the Over (223.5) connected.

The offense for Milwaukee has been steady in the series, with the defensive production fluctuating. In Game 2, the Pacers had 5 players score in double digits, including 37 points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists by PF Pascal Siakam, while PG Tyrese Haliburton was good for 12 points and 12 assists. And Indiana had 7 players hit a 3-pointer, with Haliburton, Siakam, SF Aaron NeSmith and C Myles Turner each hitting 3 triples.

The Pacers have won 5 of the past 7 meetings in this series, with Indiana also going 5-2 against the spread (ATS). The Over has cashed in 7 of the past 10 in the series.

Bucks at Pacers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bucks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Pacers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Bucks +5.5 (-105) | Pacers -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Bucks at Pacers key injuries

Bucks

  • F Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) doubtful
  • F Khris Middleton (ankle) questionable

Pacers

  • G Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Bucks at Pacers picks and predictions

Prediction

Pacers 117, Bucks 110

Moneyline

The Pacers (-250) will cost 2½ times the potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward. Over time, betting such heavy favorites isn’t a recommended option, unless you play it in a multi-team parlay or as part of some sort of boost or opt-in promo.

PASS.

Against the spread

The PACERS -5.5 (-115) are worth a look laying the points. It’s no surprise, but the Bucks are just not the same team when The Greek Freak isn’t 100% healthy.

Milwaukee has lost and failed to cover the past 3 games on the road since April 2, including the past 2 without Antetokounmpo. The Bucks are just 2-8 straight up (SU) in the past 10 games since March 6, while going 3-7 ATS. Trust Indiana to win and cover in this pivotal Game 3.

Over/Under

OVER 221.5 (-115) is worth a look. We’ve seen the Over-Under split in 2 games in this series. The total has gone high in 6 of the past 7 games for the Pacers since April 5.

With Giannis doubtful  — keep an eye on his status — for Milwaukee, Indiana will be able to operate down low with a little more ease, as he can be a deterrent defensively. For the Bucks, the Over is 12-8-1 in the past 21 games. Lean high, and enjoy the ride.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (54-21) visit the Indiana Pacers (33-43) Wednesday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Tip is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Pacers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Bucks wrap up a 4-game road trip, and Milwaukee can improve to 3-1 straight up (SU) on the journey with a victory. It won 126-117 in Detroit, but Milwaukee failed to cover the 11.5-point spread as the Over (226.5) cashed.

The Pacers picked up a 139-123 win in Milwaukee March 16, winning outright as a 12-point underdog. Indiana has done little since that, however, dropping 5 of the past 6 outings, while also going 1-5 against the spread (ATS).

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Bucks at Pacers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bucks -700 (bet $700 to win $100) | Pacers +500 (bet $100 to win $500)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks -11.5 (-110) | Pacers +11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 238.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Bucks at Pacers key injuries

Bucks

  • F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) probable
  • F Jae Crowder (rest) out
  • G Goran Dragic (knee) probable
  • G Jrue Holiday (personal) probable

Pacers

  • G Chris Duarte (ankle) out
  • G Tyrese Haliburton (ankle) out
  • G Buddy Hield (illness) probable
  • C Myles Turner (back) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Bucks at Pacers picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 125, Pacers 117

Moneyline

The Bucks (-700) will cost you 7 times your potential return if you want to play them straight up, and there is just no value in playing large favorites like that, straight up or in a multi-team parlay.

PASS.

Against the spread

The PACERS +11.5 (-110) are worth a look on their home floor. Indiana won in Milwaukee 2 weeks ago by 16 points as a 12-point underdog. The Pacers have been playing poorly lately, but there are plenty of nagging injuries on both sides, and the line is a tad bit too high.

Over/Under

Play the OVER 238.5 (-112).

While Duarte and Haliburton are out for the Pacers, it appears the Bucks will be at full staff, or at least very close to it. Milwaukee has scored 126 or more points in 3 of the past 4 games, and the Over is 5-2 in its past 7 road games.

In addition, the Over is 4-0 in the past 4 meetings, and 4-1 in the past 5 in Indianapolis.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers Team odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (31-17) take on the Indiana Pacers (24-26) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse Friday. Tip-off is at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Pacers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Bucks are getting healthy and expected to be serious title contenders while the Pacers are hoping to make the play-in game. Both scenarios took a small hit on Wednesday.

The Bucks struggled to beat a Denver Nuggets’ B team 107-99, failing to cover as 12.5-point favorites at home. Milwaukee was outrebounded and had more turnovers.

The Pacers, still without G Tyrese Haliburton, are not a playoff team. They have lost 8 of 9 and just lost to a last-place Orlando Magic team 126-120 as 4.5-point road underdogs.

Milwaukee beat the Pacers in the 1st meeting this season 132-119 at home on Jan. 16 as 4.5-point favorites as the Over hit.

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Bucks at Pacers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bucks -330 (bet $330 to win $100) | Pacers +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks -8.5 (+100) | Pacers +8.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bucks at Pacers key injuries

Bucks

  • F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) probable
  • G MarJon Beauchamp (knee) questionable
  • C Serge Ibaka (personal reasons) out
  • F Bobby Portis (knee) out

Pacers

  • G Tyrese Haliburton (knee) out
  • G Andrew Nembhard (wrist) questionable
  • F Myles Turner (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Bucks at Pacers picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 124, Pacers 114

Moneyline

Milwaukee has a problem taking care of the ball and they rank 27th in turnovers per game. Will that be enough for Indiana to pull off the upset? Probably not.

Indiana is 25th in shooting efficiency, which is not far from Milwaukee at 23rd. The difference is that the Bucks are dominant on the boards ranking 1st in defensive rebounds per game and 8th in offensive rebounds. As long as the Bucks take care of the ball they shouldn’t have much trouble. But the current line is too juicy so AVOID and look toward the spread.

Against the spread

The Bucks have covered in 5 of the last 6 games coming off a game where they didn’t cover. They also have covered in 5 of the last 6 games against  opponents with losing records.

The Pacers have not covered in 4 straight attempts after allowing more than 125 points. And the Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record.

The Pacers do have a winning home record (16-9), which is why the line is tighter than it should be. As long as everyone on the Bucks suit up I would be surprised if Indiana kept it together.

LEAN BUCKS -8.5 (+100).

Over/Under

The Bucks and Pacers rank 5th and 6th in 3-pointers made. On top of that Indiana’s 3-point defense 19th in the league.

Trendwise the Pacers have gone over in 12 of the last 16 games against teams above .600.

BET OVER 237.5 (-110).

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Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (12-8) travel to Gainbridge Fieldhouse Sunday to take on the Indiana Pacers (9-12). Tip-off is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bucks vs. Pacers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Bucks are coming off a championship run, and they’ve had a bit of a lag combined with several injuries along the way.

Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton are both back in action with two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo leading the way. They’re looking to get back to their dominant ways.

So far this season, the Bucks are 9-11 against the spread. The 9-12 Pacers are actually over .500, sitting at 11-10 against the spread. Indiana has talent at all positions and should be able to limit the Bucks star.

The Pacers are helped by rookie Chris Duarte, who is averaging 13.3 points per game. They should have a real chance to show their depth and skill against Milwaukee.

Bucks at Pacers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bucks -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Pacers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks -2.5 (-112) | Pacers +2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Bucks at Pacers key injuries

Bucks

  • G Donte DiVincenzo (ankle) out
  • C Brook Lopez (back) out

Pacers

  • F T.J. Warren (Navicular) out

Bucks at Pacers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pacers 108, Bucks 106

Money line

“LEAN” to the PACERS +115 as I like the home side here.

Additionally, the Pacers are one of the few teams that have a dominating rim-protecting center that should help slow two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo.

While the Pacers have been underwhelming on the road, they’ve found strength behind their home crowd at Gainbridge.

That said, this is a good price for them against a Bucks team that has struggled and will lose three-point shooting with the continued absence of Lopez.

Against the spread

BET on the PACERS +2.5 (-108) as there’s some reverse-line movement.

Per pregame.com, the Bucks have 95% of the tickets yet just 74% of the cash. You’d think that would send the Bucks to be more of a favorite, but the line has dropped since it opened at -3.

The Bucks won all three meetings last season, but the Pacers will be returning one starter, All-Star-caliber forward Domantas Sabonis. Myles Turner, Caris LeVert and Malcolm Brogdon will add talent on both sides of the ball that can rival that of Milwaukee.

At home, I think there’s a strong chance they cover.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 217.5 (-108) as neither team has been overly impressive on the total this season.

The Bucks are 6-14 on the over/under while the Pacers are just 8-13. Both teams rank better defensively than offensively; however, they’re around the middle of the back in both.

The Pacers allow opponents the least three-point attempts while the Bucks shoot the fourth most. With Turner down low, I expect them to be able to stay on their assignments and prevent the swinging to open shooters.

With that in mind, I’d expect the Under to be the better play here.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (2-1) head to Indianapolis to take on the Indiana Pacers (1-2) Monday. Tip-off from Gainbridge Fieldhouse is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bucks vs. Pacers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Commencing the season with their NBA Championship rings presentation, the Bucks went out and pummeled the Brooklyn Nets 127-104. They’ve since lost to the Miami Heat by 42 (137-95) and beat the San Antonio Spurs by 10 (121-111).

The Bucks are led by two-time MVP PF Giannis Antetokoumpo. Giannis is the only Milwaukee player averaging over 20 points per game through the start of the season. The Bucks are among the league’s top three-point shooting rosters with SG Grayson Allen and SG Pat Connaughton.

The Pacers took down the Heat by 11 (102-91) in their last outing Saturday. Both of the Pacers’ losses, to the Charlotte Hornets and the Washington Wizards, have come by just 1 point each.

Led by PF Domantas Sabonis, who is averaging 26 points per game, Indianapolis is a competent side but not one expecting to have title aspirations.

Bucks at Pacers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bucks -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Pacers +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks -2.5 (-115) | Pacers +2.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Bucks at Pacers key injuries

Bucks

  • PG Jrue Holiday (left ankle) doubtful
  • C Brook Lopez (back) out
  • SG Donte DiVincenzo (left ankle) out
  • PF Bobby Portis (left hamstring) out

Pacers

  • SG Caris LeVert (back) out
  • SF T.J. Warren (left navicular) out

Bucks at Pacers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 118, Pacers 116

Money line

PASS on the total with a slight lean to the Pacers as the Bucks are decimated with injuries.

There’s some value with Indianapolis getting plus money at home, but given how good of a regular-season team Milwaukee is even without Holiday and their slew of role players, I’d still play the points instead.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the PACERS +2.5 (-107) as the best bet on the spread. The Pacers have been competing against quality opponents and have lost by just 1 point in both their defeats.

Coming off an 11-point victory in which they held SF Jimmy Butler to just 19 points and the Heat to just 91, the Pacers should again come out with a competitive nature.

Sabonis might not ever be the best player on a championship-contending team, but he can certainly be one on a top-tier team in the East.

With a plethora of underrated role players like PG Malcolm Brogdon and rookie PG Chris Duarte, the Pacers should be able to keep pace with Milwaukee, especially with C Myles Turner roaming the paint and limiting the Bucks star forward.

Over/Under

BET on the OVER 229.5 (-115) as it’s the better play and has a bit of juice behind it.

The Over is leaned on by the sportsbooks as both sides have shown aggressive offensive play. The Pacers have yet to go under 100 in a game this season and have topped 120 in two of the three.

Milwaukee has one of the best offenses in the NBA as well, clearing 120 in two of three games also. The Bucks have hit at least 15 threes in two of their three games so far.

Given the pace at which this game should be played the Over is the better bet.

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