Michigan State at Wisconsin odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Michigan State at Wisconsin odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Michigan State Spartans (11-4, 3-1 Big Ten) take on the No. 18 Wisconsin Badgers (11-3, 3-1) at the Kohler Center on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Michigan State vs. Wisconsin odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Wisconsin comes in after losing 79-69 to Illinois on Saturday as a 7.5-point underdog. This was the Badgers 1st loss since falling 78-75 to Wake Forest on Nov.  29. The Badgers have been a strong team this season and unlike past years, these Badgers can score as 8 of 14 games have gone over the total.

Michigan State has played a difficult schedule and held its own this season. The Spartans come in on a 6-game winning streak after beating Michigan 59-52 on Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. MSU last loss 70-63 to Northwestern on Dec. 4.

Defense will be the story of this game as the Spartans come in allowing just 64.9 points while Wisconsin is even better allowing only 62.4 points.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Michigan State at Wisconsin odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Michigan State -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Wisconsin +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State -1.5 (-105) | Wisconsin +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 126.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Michigan State at Wisconsin picks and predictions

Prediction

Wisconsin 63, Michigan State 58

Moneyline

WISCONSIN +100 is a wonderful way to play this game.

Both teams are good and have been playing well of late. Wisconsin, coming off its 1st loss since November and being at home will look to get back on track against a Spartans team that struggled in its prior outing.

Against the spread

PASS. No wager is the play here. Taking Wisconsin on the Moneyline, I will not double down on the spread as well.

Over/Under

UNDER 126.5 (-110) will be the winning play.

The Spartans only allow 64.9 points per game while Wisconsin ranks 35th in the nation allowing just 62.5 Neither of these offenses are overly reliable as well with both teams averaging less then 71 points per contest. This will be a defense-1st game and the Under is the way to go.

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Michigan State at Wisconsin odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Michigan State at Wisconsin odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 13 Michigan State Spartans (14-3, 5-1 Big Ten) travel to Madison, Wis., to battle the No. 8 Wisconsin Badgers (15-2, 6-1) in a 9 p.m. ET Friday at the Kohl Center. Below, we look at the Michigan State vs. Wisconsin odds and lines and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Michigan State is coming off an upset loss to Northwestern. The Spartans were undone by a minus-8 on the boards and a minus-7 in the turnover exchange in having a nine-game win streak snapped. MSU now travels for just its second true road game since Dec. 8.

The Badgers are also coming off a game against Northwestern — they beat NU 82-76 Tuesday. Wisconsin has won seven consecutive games; sophomore G Johnny Davis has scored 20-plus points in four of those games, averaging 23.8 along the way. Davis and his backcourt mates take care of the basketball better than just about any team in the country: UW’s 8.4 turnovers per game lead the Big Ten.

Michigan State at Wisconsin odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Michigan State +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Wisconsin -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State +3.5 (-120) | Wisconsin -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Michigan State at Wisconsin odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Wisconsin 74, Michigan State 69

Money line

This isn’t exactly a tortoise-and-the-hare matchup, but MSU plays at the faster end of the pace spectrum while UW plays more of a slow-down style. It’s an intriguing matchup because neither side has a ton of experience against top-40 foes that play the other way.

Drilling down on how these teams performs yields a lean to maybe -155 for the Badgers on the money line and right around 3.5 points on the spread. So, this feature game is well-surrounded by the public.

PASS on the money line: the best margins to leverage are against the number and on the total.

Against the spread

Wisconsin took last year’s matchup — at MSU — by nine (85-76 Dec. 25, 2020), and the Badgers have won two in a row SU and ATS against the Spartans.

And UW is just a razor-thin lean here. Some shooting regression may be due the Badgers, but Wisconsin’s defensive rebounding, handles on the ball and ability to get to the stripe win out in edging the probability meter into two-possession territory.

BACK THE BADGERS -3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Both sides have been trending a bit more toward the offensive side of the ball. And Wisconsin has been edging toward more free-throw attempts and a higher pace in general.

TAKE THE OVER 140.5 (-107).

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